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2.26.08   Monte Carlo
2.26.08   Monte Carlo
2.26.08   Monte Carlo
2.26.08   Monte Carlo
2.26.08   Monte Carlo
2.26.08   Monte Carlo
2.26.08   Monte Carlo
2.26.08   Monte Carlo
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2.26.08 Monte Carlo

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  • 1. Let’s Make a Deal! p. 464 “The Monty Hall Problem”
  • 2. p. 464 “The Monty Hall Problem” <ul><li>Dealer deals three cards (two black, one red) face down. </li></ul>
  • 3. p. 464 “The Monty Hall Problem” <ul><li>Dealer deals three cards (two black, one red) face down. </li></ul><ul><li>Player chooses a card </li></ul>
  • 4. p. 464 “The Monty Hall Problem” <ul><li>Dealer deals three cards (two black, one red) face down. </li></ul><ul><li>Player chooses a card </li></ul><ul><li>Dealer looks at two remaining cards, turns over a black card. </li></ul>
  • 5. p. 464 “The Monty Hall Problem” <ul><li>Dealer deals three cards (two black, one red) face down. </li></ul><ul><li>Player chooses a card </li></ul><ul><li>Dealer looks at two remaining cards, turns over a black card. </li></ul><ul><li>Player can keep the chosen card, or switch to the remaining face down card. </li></ul>Choice of These
  • 6. p. 464 “The Monty Hall Problem” <ul><li>Dealer deals three cards (two black, one red) face down. </li></ul><ul><li>Player chooses a card </li></ul><ul><li>Dealer looks at two remaining cards, turns over a black card. </li></ul><ul><li>Player can keep the chosen card, or switch to the remaining face down card. </li></ul><ul><li>If the Player has the red card, they win. </li></ul>
  • 7. p. 464 “The Monty Hall Problem” <ul><li>Dealer deals three cards (two black, one red) face down. </li></ul><ul><li>Player chooses a card </li></ul><ul><li>Dealer looks at two remaining cards, turns over a black card. </li></ul><ul><li>Player can keep the chosen card, or switch to the remaining face down card. </li></ul><ul><li>If the Player has the red card, they win. </li></ul><ul><li>Repeat this game 15 times, then switch player/dealer. </li></ul><ul><li>Keep track of whether or not the player switched cards and whether or not the player won the game. </li></ul>
  • 8. What is the better strategy… switching cards, or not switching cards? Why? 43.60656 172 133 Not Switch 71.71315 71 180 Switch Win % Losses Wins  

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