German Parliamentary Elections 2009 (Mr. Rainer Heufers)
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German Parliamentary Elections 2009 (Mr. Rainer Heufers)

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German Parliamentary Elections 2009 (Mr. Rainer Heufers) German Parliamentary Elections 2009 (Mr. Rainer Heufers) Presentation Transcript

  • Diskusi Pemilu Jerman 2009 FNS Indonesia Jakarta 06 October 2009
  • German Parliamentary Elections 27 September 2009 Rainer Heufers 6 October 2009
  • Who was competing? Black Purple Green Yellow Red
  • Election Results
  • Back to 1949…?
  • Voter turnout reduced
  • Geographic distribution
  • West and East Germany
  • West and East Germany
  • Analysis by profession (in %)
  • Analysis by age (in %) (-1) (+5) (+3) (-1) (-16) (+3) (+4) (-2) (-13) (+3) (+4) (-4) (-10) (+6) (+4) (-1) (+1)
  • Politik Aliran?
  • Reasons for Voting Decisions
  • Gains and losses (in %)
  • Seat allocation
  • Coalition Building on the National Level Black Red “Grand Coalition” (1966-69, 2005-09) Black Yellow (1961-66, 1982-1998) (currently negotiated) Red Red Red Green Green (1998-2005) “Jamaica-coalition” “Social liberal” (1969-1982) “Traffic light coalition”
  • Negotiating a Coalition
  • Negotiations • Location: representative office of German state of NRW • Time: Until Parliament convenes on 27 October or before 9 November • 9 FDP reps, 18 CDU/CSU reps • Result will be a more or less specific contract (1994: 50 pages)
  • 7 working groups discussing 2 ministerial portfolios each • Foreign – Security policy • Economic and Financial Policies • Homes Affairs and Law • … Traditional practice: No side of the table will gain both resorts of a working group Each working group has two Chairpersons from both camps
  • Issues Highly contentious Problematic Less problematic Easy Labour Taxes policies Home Affairs / Foreign Internal Security Nuclear policy power Stimulus packages Public Security health Unemployment Defence welfare benefits Agriculture
  • 1 Chancellor 15 Ministers Foreign Affairs / Vice Chancellor Defense Home Affairs Family/Seniors/Women/Youth Law Health Finance Traffic/Works/Urban Planning Economics/Technology Environment/Nuclear Safety Labour/Welfare Education/Research Nutrition/Agriculture/ State Secretariat (Chancellery) Consumer Protection Economic Cooperation/Development
  • Diskusi Pemilu Jerman 2009 FNS Indonesia Jakarta 06 October 2009