German Parliamentary Elections 2009 (Mr. Rainer Heufers)

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German Parliamentary Elections 2009 (Mr. Rainer Heufers)

  1. 1. Diskusi Pemilu Jerman 2009 FNS Indonesia Jakarta 06 October 2009
  2. 2. German Parliamentary Elections 27 September 2009 Rainer Heufers 6 October 2009
  3. 3. Who was competing? Black Purple Green Yellow Red
  4. 4. Election Results
  5. 5. Back to 1949…?
  6. 6. Voter turnout reduced
  7. 7. Geographic distribution
  8. 8. West and East Germany
  9. 9. West and East Germany
  10. 10. Analysis by profession (in %)
  11. 11. Analysis by age (in %) (-1) (+5) (+3) (-1) (-16) (+3) (+4) (-2) (-13) (+3) (+4) (-4) (-10) (+6) (+4) (-1) (+1)
  12. 12. Politik Aliran?
  13. 13. Reasons for Voting Decisions
  14. 14. Gains and losses (in %)
  15. 15. Seat allocation
  16. 16. Coalition Building on the National Level Black Red “Grand Coalition” (1966-69, 2005-09) Black Yellow (1961-66, 1982-1998) (currently negotiated) Red Red Red Green Green (1998-2005) “Jamaica-coalition” “Social liberal” (1969-1982) “Traffic light coalition”
  17. 17. Negotiating a Coalition
  18. 18. Negotiations • Location: representative office of German state of NRW • Time: Until Parliament convenes on 27 October or before 9 November • 9 FDP reps, 18 CDU/CSU reps • Result will be a more or less specific contract (1994: 50 pages)
  19. 19. 7 working groups discussing 2 ministerial portfolios each • Foreign – Security policy • Economic and Financial Policies • Homes Affairs and Law • … Traditional practice: No side of the table will gain both resorts of a working group Each working group has two Chairpersons from both camps
  20. 20. Issues Highly contentious Problematic Less problematic Easy Labour Taxes policies Home Affairs / Foreign Internal Security Nuclear policy power Stimulus packages Public Security health Unemployment Defence welfare benefits Agriculture
  21. 21. 1 Chancellor 15 Ministers Foreign Affairs / Vice Chancellor Defense Home Affairs Family/Seniors/Women/Youth Law Health Finance Traffic/Works/Urban Planning Economics/Technology Environment/Nuclear Safety Labour/Welfare Education/Research Nutrition/Agriculture/ State Secretariat (Chancellery) Consumer Protection Economic Cooperation/Development
  22. 22. Diskusi Pemilu Jerman 2009 FNS Indonesia Jakarta 06 October 2009

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