Raf meersman

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FTTH Conference 2013

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Raf meersman

  1. 1. Costs for Obtaining the EU-2020 Broadband Target in Germany Applying the FTTH Council Europe Cost Model on a Specific CountryRaf Meersman, CEOraf.meersman@comsof.com
  2. 2. Cost Model Team FTTH Council Europe - Hartwig Tauber Grooten FTTH - Albert Grooten Consultancy - Raf Meersman Comsof - Luc De Heyn Greenwich Consulting - Patrick JungFebruary 21, 2013 FTTH Conference London 2
  3. 3. Agenda The EU27 Cost Model Model for Germany Results for GermanyFebruary 21, 2013 FTTH Conference London 3
  4. 4. Project Objective What investment is needed to reach DAE broadband objective? 1. 50% of European households should be FTTH subscribed to a bandwidth of at least 100Mbps FTTB 2. 100% of European households should be able to subscribe to a bandwidth of 30Mbps EU Targets by 2020February 21, 2013 FTTH Conference London 4
  5. 5. EU27 Project Approach (2012) Areas Density covering per Area EU27 Cost Estimate per Area Cost Relation Estimation Cost/ EU27 Density %HP and %HC for 202B€ DAEFebruary 21, 2013 FTTH Conference London 5
  6. 6. Model Evaluation + Sample points: Real topologies - Low amount of sample points based on real for Cost/Density GIS data relation Accurate bill of Statistics on material support populated area HP/HC costs on NUTS2 level Discounted cash Correction for flow and unit country specific price evolution labour costs not consideredFebruary 21, 2013 FTTH Conference London 6
  7. 7. Agenda The EU27 Cost Model Model for Germany Results for GermanyFebruary 21, 2013 FTTH Conference London 7
  8. 8. Assumptions about design rules• FTTB (Fiber To The Building)• P2P or P2MP• (4f + 2f) / building or 2f / building• Use Microducts and Air-Blown-Fiber City-POP Area-POP Distribution Drop Building Point Point Metroloop Feeder Distribution DropFebruary 21, 2013 FTTH Conference London 8
  9. 9. Assumptions about unit costs• Material: – Start from prices of EU27 calculation (2011 - EU average) • Verified by members of the council – Revised for 2012 + Germany• Installation: – Start from prices of EU27 model (2011 - EU average) – Revised for 2012 + Germany• Civil work/Trenching: – Current practise = deep trenching (60 cm) • From 100 EUR/m in most Urban to 40 EUR/m in most Rural areas – New methods, for example minitrenching • 25 EUR/mFebruary 21, 2013 FTTH Conference London 9
  10. 10. Reference CalculationsGenerated FTTx designs ©FiberPlanITConsidering 30+ components Troisdorf WiesbadenOn More than 230 reference areas More than 2.3 million buildings Ingolstadt Munchen Konstanz February 21, 2013 FTTH Conference London 10
  11. 11. Extrapolation based on density• Populated area per NUTS3 derived from detailed GIS data covering all of Germany Background = Google Streets/Satellite Green = Area covered with Residential BuildingFebruary 21, 2013 FTTH Conference London 11
  12. 12. Trendlines for each network layerFebruary 21, 2013 FTTH Conference London 12
  13. 13. Agenda The EU27 Cost Model Model for Germany Results for GermanyFebruary 21, 2013 FTTH Conference London 13
  14. 14. Results for Germany Typical German network built today • P2P FTTB with 4f/6f per building 67,1 B€ • All underground (deep trenches) Including cost for 100% homes connectedFebruary 21, 2013 FTTH Conference London 14
  15. 15. Results for Germany 67,1 B€ Typical German network built today • P2P FTTB with 4f/6f per building 58,5 B€ • All underground (deep trenches) Including cost for 50% homes connectedFebruary 21, 2013 FTTH Conference London 15
  16. 16. Results for Germany 67,1 B€ 58,5 B€ Optimal hybrid network • P2MP FTTB with 2f for SDU 52,6 B€ • P2P FTTB with 4f/6f for MDU • All underground (deep trenches) Including cost for 50% homes connectedFebruary 21, 2013 FTTH Conference London 16
  17. 17. Results for Germany 67,1 B€ 58,5 B€ Optimal hybrid network • P2MP FTTB with 2f for SDU 52,6 B€ • P2P FTTB with 4f/6f for MDU • All underground • Use alternative trenching methods, for example 32,6 B€ ‘mini-trenches’ Including cost for 50% homes connectedFebruary 21, 2013 FTTH Conference London 17
  18. 18. Results for Germany 67,1 B€ 58,5 B€ Optimal hybrid network • PON FTTB with 2f for SDU 46,4 B€ • P2P FTTB with 4f/6f for MDU • All underground • 70% ‘deep trenches’ • 30% ‘mini-trenches’ Including cost for 50% homes connectedFebruary 21, 2013 FTTH Conference London 18
  19. 19. Thanks for your attention Questions?Raf Meersman, CEOraf.meersman@comsof.com

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