Day 2-t7-1650 chris-pearson-20120524

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LTE World Summit Barcelona May 2012 Day 2

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Day 2-t7-1650 chris-pearson-20120524

  1. 1. Americas Mobile BroadbandOperator Challenges and Opportunities Chris Pearson, President 4G Americas May 23-24, 2012
  2. 2. Agenda• High speed data: The tale of two continents• LTE ecosystem leadership in North America• Understanding the LTE opportunity in Latin America• Common issues and obstacles in the region
  3. 3. 4G Americas Board of GovernorsMay 2012
  4. 4. 2011-2012 White PapersSpanish VersionAvailable Available for free download at www.4gamericas.org
  5. 5. Mobile Broadband Data Demand Global North America• Demand for mobile data is • The average US mobile data increasing around 75% per user will be consuming 2.6 GB year on average1 of data per month by the end of 20164• Half of all mobile broadband data is consumed by just • Mobile broadband subscribers 1% of users2 will grow from 14.6 million in 2010 to 58 million in 2016 due to• 3% of heavy users generate tablet data plans and the 70% of mobile data traffic3 introduction of LTE.5 Sources: 1 Joe Madden, Mobile Access, 01/12 2 Arieso, January 01/12 3 Ibid. 4 iGR, January 01/12 5 Berg Insight 01/12 www.4gamericas.org
  6. 6. Mobile Broadband Demand in the U.S. Wireless Data Traffic Growth U.S. Wireless by the Numbers in the United States 2010-2011 Subscriptions • 332 Million 900Billion Megabytes 866.7 Penetration • Nearly 105% Billion 123% Megabytes 600 Increase Smartphones • 111.5 Million 300 388 Data-capable Billion devices • 295.1 Million Megabytes Tablets, 0 Laptops, • 20.2 Million 2010 2011 Modems (49% annual increase)Source: CTIA Semi-Annual Survey, April 13, 2012 www.4gamericas.org
  7. 7. Utilization Levels Globally are atThreshold Levels 1 Source: CS Survey ResultsSource: Credit Suisse, July 2011 www.4gamericas.org
  8. 8. Mobile Broadband Explosion, Rysavy Research, September 2011 Technology Evolutionwww.4gamericas.org
  9. 9. HSPA+ Operators in theAmericas 53 HSPA+ networks Canada: 10 HSPA+ networks (4 @ 42 Mbps Dual-Carrier) USA: 7 HSPA+ networks (1 @ 42 Mbps Dual-Carrier) Latin America: 36 HSPA+ networks in 21 countries (3 @ 42 Mbps Dual-Carrier) www.4gamericas.org
  10. 10. Next Generation Global Standard Technology platform of choice for GSM-HSPA,  74 LTE Commercial Greenfield, WiMAX and EV-DO operators networks launched in 40 countries Available in both FDD and TDD modes and supported by numerous frequency bands  334 operator commitments Offers capacity and speed to handle a rapid worldwide increase in data traffic  15 million LTE subscriptions  110+ networks expected by YE 2012Source: 4G Americas, Informa Telecoms & Media, April 2012 www.4gamericas.org
  11. 11. LTE Worldwide Deployment Status Asia Pacific (13)North America Western Europe Eastern Europe (18) Australia – Telstra(11) (19) Armenia – Viva MTS Hong KongCanada Austria Belarus – Yota Bel • CSL Bulgaria –MTel • China Mobile 74• Rogers Wireless • 3• Bell Mobility • A1 Croatia – India – Bharti• Telus • T-Mobile • Hrvatski Telecom JapanUS Denmark • VIPNet • emobile••• AT&T Leap Wireless Metro PCS • •LTE Networks TDC TeliaSonera Finland Estonia – EMT Hungary – T-Mobile Kyrgystan – Saima Telecom • • NTT DoCoMo Softbank Philippines• Mosaic Telecom • DNA Latvia – LMT • Smart•• PTCI Bonfire People’s Telephone Cooperative in 40 Countries • • Elisa TeliaSonera Germany Lithuania – Omnitel Moldova - IDC Montenegro – Telenor Singapore • • Mobile One Singtel• US Cellular • • O2 T-Mobile May 1, 2012 Poland • Aero2 South Korea • KTF• Verizon Wireless • Vodafone D2 • Polkomtel • LGLatin America Norway TeliaSonera Russia - Megafon Middle East SK •(6) Portugal Siberia – Yota • Optimus Uzbekistan (7)Brazil – Sky Telecom • MTS Bahrain – VivaColombia – UNE • TMN • Ucell Kuwait – VivaPuerto Rico • Vodafone Saudi Arabia• AT&T Sweden • Mobily• Claro • TeliaSonera • Tele2 Africa (1) • STC• Open Mobile Angola – Movicel • ZainUruguay - Antel • TeleNor UAE - Etisalat UK – UK Broadband www.4gamericas.org
  12. 12. LTE North AmericaDeployment Status USA CANADA Covers 74 million POPs in 40 markets Expected to reach 150 million POPs by end 2012 LTE largely deployment complete by end 2013 2013 roll-out in 1700/2100 MHz spectrum Plans to offer in most of top 50 US markets Covers more than 2/3 of US population (200 Million POPs) in 230 markets. By end of 2012, will cover 260 million people in over 400 markets Rumored launch scheduled for 2Q with extensive coverage expected by mid-2013 Planning to enter in 31 markets in first half of 2013 www.4gamericas.org
  13. 13. Spectrum Requirements ITU analysis states that spectrum The Mobile industry will NGMN has requirements by need an additional 300 determined that net 2020 for a singleMHz in the next four years spectrum network within a (above the existing total 500 MHz spectrum base) requirement single country willgrowing to a total additional would be between range from 1280- amount of 500 MHz in the 500 MHz and 1GHZ 1720 MHz. next 10 years. by 2020 Countries in the depending on global Americas will need region. an additional 557- 997 MHz beyond --June 2007 Report identified spectrum allocations by 2020. www.4gamericas.org
  14. 14. Spectrum Availability and Pipeline South USA Japan Germany UK France Italy Canada Spain Mexico Korea Subscribers # 322.8M 121.9M 109.8M 75.7M 63.2M 91.2M 25.7M 57.3M 51.8M 95.1M Average Consumers’ 777 136 130 195 231 161 369 149 303 191 Minutes of Use per Month** Average Revenue per minute – A Measure of the $0.03 $0.21 $0.10 $0.10 $0.13 $0.11 $0.10 $0.16 $0.08 $0.04 Effective Price per Voice Minute** Efficient Use of Spectrum – Subscribers Served per 788,418 351,297 178,537 201,867 168,800 243,200 95,185 91,680 191,852 365,769 MHz of Spectrum Allocated Spectrum Assigned for 409.5 347 375 375 270 270 615 MHz 375 MHz 625 MHz 260 MHz Commercial Wireless Use MHz* MHz MHz MHz MHz MHz Up to 59.6 MHz Recently Potentially Usable 400 310 250 (Recently 120 50 MHz auctioned 250 MHz 200 150 MHz Spectrum in the Pipeline*** MHz 350 MHz MHz MHz auctioned MHz MHz 250 MHz) *Figure includes AWS-1, 700 MHz spectrum not yet in use and 55.5 MHz of spectrum at 2.5GHz. **Glen Campbell et. al “Global Wireless Matrix 3Q 2011,” Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Sept 28, 2011, at Tables 1-2, ***Regulatory & company websites and press reportsSource: CTIA Spring 2012 www.4gamericas.org
  15. 15. LTE North AmericaLeadership Will Erode Without Spectrum www.4gamericas.org
  16. 16. Growth of Mobile Broadband in Latin America Subscriptions (Millions) 57% Percentage Mobile Broadband Penetration <1% 12% 2007 2011 2015 www.4gamericas.orgSource: Informa Telecoms & Media, WCIS, December 2011
  17. 17. LTE launches in Latin America & Caribbean Puerto Rico (FDD)  AT&T in 700 MHz  Claro in 700 MHz Colombia (FDD)  Open Mobile in 700 MHz  UNE, December 2011 in 2.6 GHz Brazil (TDD)  Sky Telecom, in 2.6 GHz for fixed broadband service Uruguay (FDD)  Antel, December 2011 in 1.7/2.1 GHzSource: Public Announcements, Regulatory Bodies www.4gamericas.org
  18. 18. Testing LTE in  Latin America & Caribbean Mexico Dominican Republic  Telcel 1.7/2.1 GHz  Wind Telecom 2.6 MHz Nicaragua Venezuela  America Móvil 700 MHz  Digitel 1.8 GHz Peru Brazil  Telefónica 700 MHz  Oi 2.6 GHz Bolivia  Entel Movil 700 MHz Argentina  Telecom Personal 2.6 GHz Chile  Telefónica 1.7/2.1 GHz  Entel 2.6 GHzSource: Public Announcements, Regulatory Bodies as of February 2012 www.4gamericas.org
  19. 19. Expected Auctions in  2012 ‐ 2013  Peru Brazil 80 MHz spectrum total 204 MHz spectrum total New spectrum in 2.6 GHz; New spectrum on 1.7/2.1 GHz 140 MHz in 4 FDD sub-bands (AWS); 2x(20+20), 3x(10+10); 80 MHz in 2x (20+20) sub-bands; 50 MHz in 2 TDD sub-band; expected 2H 2012 expected 1H 2012 900 MHz, 10.15 – 10.30 GHz and New spectrum in 450 MHz; 10.50 – 10.65 GHz 14 MHz in 2x7 sub-bands New spectrum in 3.5 GHz; expected 2H 2012 Chile Argentina New spectrum: 120 MHz in 2.6 GHz; expected 1H 2012 102.5 MHz spectrum total and 90 MHz in 700 MHz Old spectrum: 850/1900 MHz in 3 expected 2H 2013 regions; expected 1H 2012 New spectrum 1.7/2.1 GHz (AWS); 90 MHz; expected 2H 2012Source: Public Announcements, Regulatory Bodies www.4gamericas.org
  20. 20. Expected Auctions in 2012 - 2013 Mexico 30 MHz spectrum total 30 MHz left on 1.7/2.1 GHz (AWS): expected 2H 2012 Colombia 225 MHz spectrum total 225 MHz in 3 bands: expected 2H 2012 5 MHz in 1900 MHz New spectrum Uruguay 90 MHz in 1.7/2.1 GHz 130 MHz spectrum total (AWS) 130 MHz in 2.6 GHz In 900 (10), 1.9 (30) and 1.7/2.1 (90) GHz bandsSource: Public Announcements, Regulatory Bodies www.4gamericas.org
  21. 21. Wireless MarketBenefits For Tomorrow of DemandsSpectrum A 2011 GSMA/AHCIET report cited $15 billion contribution to the Latin American economy by allocating Digital Dividend spectrum in the top five countries Doubling the For every 1000 broadband speed for an economy additional broadband increases GDP by users, roughly 80 new 0.3 jobs are created Research conducted by Ericsson, Arthur D. Little and Chalmers University of Technology 2011 Source: Ericsson, Arthur D. Little, & Allen Consulting www.4gamericas.org
  22. 22. Conclusions• Huge mobile broadband opportunities and obstacles in the Americas• North America leads the world in LTE• LTE can bridge the digital divide in Latin America• More Internationally harmonized spectrum is needed in the Americas (NOW!) www.4gamericas.org
  23. 23. Thank you! Americas Mobile Broadband Operator Challenges and Opportunities Chris Pearson, President, 4G Americas Chris.pearson@4gamericas.org www.4GAmericas.org

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