Session 1

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    Session 1 - Presentation Transcript

    1. BM362 Electronic & Mobile Commerce A Lee Gilbert Information Management Research Centre Nanyang Business School Singapore 639798 Agenda Data Services as Disruption Course Structure and Conduct Supply-side: Convergence or Chaos? Demand-side: Network-based Freedoms Business Models and New ICT: Web 2.0 2 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 1
    2. Disruptive Technologies in EC Clayton Christensen is a Harvard Business School professor who studies the impact of new technology on industry structure, conduct, and performance. 3 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Discussion: Turn to your neighbor and identify two information technologies that disrupted the structure of the entertainment industry at some point in time.  Which players do you think benefited the most from this disruption? Who lost?  How do you think the new technology altered the way they did business? 4 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 2
    3. “capable of upending existing ts n eme economic structures” quir re d h en Hig ts n eme quir e r end Low 5 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 How is Christensen’s theory relevant to new ICT and  Communications?  Book Retailing?  Publishing?  Education? 6 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 3
    4. Amazon.com: Before and After Most well-known e-commerce company  Conceived by Jeff Bezos in 1994  Opened in July 1995  Four compelling reasons to shop (then)   Selection (1.1 million titles)  Convenience (anytime, anywhere)  Price (high discounts on bestsellers)  Service (automated order confirmation, tracking, and shipping information) 7 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 http://uk.biz.yahoo.com/p/a/amzn.html Amazon.com: Before and After Revenues and Earnings What is the story today? Revenues Earnings 1996 $15.6 Million ($6.24 Million) 1997 $148 Million ($31 Million) 1998 $610 Million ($125 Million) 1999 $1.6 Billion ($720 Million) 2000 $2.7 Billion ($1.4 Billion) 2001 $3.1 B ($567 Million) 2002 $3.9 B ($149 Million) 2003 $5.3 B 35.2 Million 2004 $6.9 B 592 Million 2005 $8.5 B 359 Million 2006 $10.5 B 2.0 ??? 8 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 4
    5. What you can learn from this course How network technology alters markets How new entrants use new technology to alter the dominant business model How e-business works today, and might work tomorrow How m-commerce is similar to and different from e-business 9 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Disruption 1: Digitalisation  The harmonizing effect of being digital  partitioned disciplines and enterprises find themselves collaborating, not competing.  "Digital books never go out of print. They are always there” 10 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 5
    6. Disruption 2: Globalisation  'Information about money has become almost as important as money itself. ' "Economic progress is largely a process of increasing the relative contribution of knowledge in the creation of wealth. Indeed, the new source of wealth is not material, it is information, knowledge applied to work to create value." Walter Wriston, former CITIBANK chairman  Once, nations and borders were able to control the trade of physical commodities. Today, a programmer with a $35.00 USB drive in her pocket can take a plane from New York to Tokyo, and the data is worth, say, $1 million. What does she declare to Customs? 11 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Disruption 3: Personalisation  The goal: one-to-one marketing and "mass customization," based on  The end of privacy as we know it  purchase analysis (card transactions),  credit history and other financial data  demographic and psychographic data  Web Marketing- above plus  Web-based recommendation engines, “cookies,” and clickstream analytics  Business rules-based systems  Advanced data analytics / warehousing 12 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 6
    7. Disruption 4: Mobility  Worldwide, mobile subscribers now outnumber fixed subscribers (2002)  Access to higher bandwidth “2.5G / 3G” services will accelerate demand  By 2004, more mobile than fixed-line users will have Internet access  Next big thing: “anywhere, anytime” and location-sensitive applications 13 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Disruption 5: Convergence  Technological convergence (the network is the computer) has evolved into the business arena  In the strategic domain, the term is rapidly displacing the earlier idea of “synergy”  With the advent of 2.5 and 3G networks, the scope for convergence expands geometrically  When combined with falling barriers to market entry, convergence will obsolete many of the premises underlying current business models  Standards are the key to managing in a convergent world 14 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 7
    8. Example: VOIP How new technology evolves: Typical Scenario [from Christensen 1997] 1.) Established firms develop Disruptive Technology 2.) Marketing seek reactions from lead customers 3.) Established firms defer introduction of DT, step up pace of sustaining technological improvement 4.) New companies are formed and new markets for disruptive technologies are found by trial and error 5.) The new entrants move upmarket, capture share 6.) Established firms belatedly jump on the bandwagon to defend their customer base 15 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 The Heart of the Internet? “It’s the TCP/IP Protocol Stack” Applications  Web Applications  Email  Video/Audio Middleware TCP/IP Services Access Technologies  Ethernet (LAN) TCP/IP  Wireless (LMDS, WiFi, Network Cellular) Technology  Cable Substrate  DSL  Satellite Access Technologies 16 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 8
    9. Perspectives on Wireless: supply Phone-centric  What is a cellphone today, tomorrow?  Standards: WAP vs. DoCoMo, 2.5 vs. 3G, 4G Device-centric  PDA: GSM, Bluetooth, or wireless LAN?  GameBoy, PSP etc  RIM Blackberry Enterprise-centric  WiFi (802.11x) links to laptop & PDA  Special-purpose devices (wearables, etc) 17 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 The Hype Cycle: Bluetooth Web Services  Low-power interactive digital radio transmission standard, launched as a licence-free open specification in May 1998 by the Bluetooth Special Interest Group consisting of Ericsson, IBM, Intel, Nokia and Toshiba. Mesh  By 2004, at least 75 percent of new mobile phones shipped will support direct e-cash via Bluetooth links to POS and vending machines. 3G PROMISE -> CHAOS & CLUTTER -> MAINSTREAM  Early Bluetooth products will command premium: competition will commoditize Bluetooth functionality before 2003.  Bluetooth enables new business models: direct consumer-to-business e-payment (POS, ticketing and vending machines) Source: Gartner and Ericsson by 2003 18 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 9
    10. Really Personal Computing Devices are Shrinking  Personal digital assistants (PDAs)  Cellphones and Connecting! 19 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Group Discussion point With your neighbor, identify the features you would like in your next phone.  Would the phone do this, or the network?  Refine these features by identifying the needs they would meet, and their value. Enter this in your blog as “New Phones”. 20 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 10
    11. Course Structure and Conduct Format: 3 hour seminar, plus self-learning Deliverables: 1.Immediate: Edventure homepage with your picture, link to your blog site, personal information use log 2.Weekly: Update online blog to reflect your learning Post relevant article for discussion to blog 3.Term project (group) Marks Project                                               40% Participation, discussion, presentation     20% Final Exam                                         40% 21 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 What is expected of you  Attendance plus contribution to seminars  Your insights on assigned materials  Bringing new materials to our attention  Public record of our learning experience  Teamwork (3-4 persons, peer marking)  Project Proposal  Service Design (prototype or simulation)  Prospectus: Business Model plus Presentation  Examination (open book, case-based) 22 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 11
    12. The support you can expect from me  Illustrating the main ideas in our text  Bringing in relevant ideas and concepts  Examining current trends and events  Guiding your projects toward viability  Answering questions, in Edventure forums  Providing feedback on your progress 23 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 TEXT: Mobile Web 2.0 wiki  Electronic commerce (e-commerce)  Businesses trading with other businesses and internal processes  Electronic business (e-business)  Term used interchangeably with e-commerce  The transformation of key business processes (and the business model) through the use of Internet technologies  Mobile Commerce? 24 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 12
    13. Categories: Electronic Commerce  Five general e-commerce categories  Business-to-consumer (B2C)  Business-to-business (B2B)  Business processes (rent software & network)  Consumer-to-consumer (P2P)  Government-to-business (G2B)  Supply management / procurement (B2B)  Units devoted to negotiating purchase transactions with suppliers 25 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Categories of Electronic Commerce (Continued)  Transaction  Exchange of value, among separate entities  Business processes  Groups of logical, related, and sequential activities and transactions in which businesses engage  Telecommuting or telework  Employee logs in to organisational network instead of traveling to office to perform tasks 26 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 13
    14. Electronic Commerce Categories 27 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Essential Terms and Concepts  Electronic funds transfers (EFTs)  Originally called wire transfers  Electronic transmissions of account exchange information over private communications networks  Electronic data interchange (EDI)  Transmitting computer-readable data in a standard format to another business 28 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 14
    15. Essential Terms and Concepts (Continued)  Trading partners  Businesses that engage in EDI with each other  Value-added network (VAN)  Independent firm  Offers connection and transaction-forwarding services to buyers and sellers engaged in EDI 29 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Second Electronic Commerce Wave  Defining characteristics of first wave  Dominant influence of U.S. businesses  Extensive use of English language  Low bandwidth data transmission technologies  Marginally reliable network technologies  Unstructured e-mail deployment  Overreliance on advertising as a revenue source  Naive optimism regarding busines models 30 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 15
    16. The Second Wave of Electronic Commerce (Continued)  As second wave begins  Growth of electronic commerce increasingly international in scope  Language translation and currency conversion problems to be solved  E-mail used as an integral part of marketing and customer contact strategies  Mobility matters!  Personalization penetrates! 31 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Business Models, Revenue Models, and Business Processes Business model  A structure and set of processes designed to create value and generate a margin Revenue model  Target customers  Deliver value to those customers  Capture revenue, from customers and/or other sources 32 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 16
    17. Focus on Specific Business Processes  Merchandising  Combination of store design, layout, supply chain, and product display knowledge  Commodity item  Hard to distinguish from similar products or services provided by other sellers  Features standardized and well known 33 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Focus on Specific Business Processes (Continued)  Shipping profile  Collection of attributes that affect how easily a product can be packaged and delivered  Value-to-weight ratio  Can make overall shipping cost a small fraction of the selling price 34 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 17
    18. Advantages of Electronic Commerce  Can increase sales and decrease costs  If advertising done well on the Web  Can get a firm’s promotional message out to potential customers in every country  Using e-commerce sales support and order- taking processes, a business can  Reduce costs of handling sales inquiries  Provide price quotes 35 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Advantages of Electronic Commerce (Continued)  Increases purchasing opportunities for buyer  Negotiating price and delivery terms is easier  The following cost less to issue and arrive securely and quickly  Electronic payments of tax refunds  Public retirement  Welfare support 36 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 18
    19. Disadvantages of Electronic Commerce  Difficult to  Predict return-on-investment  Integrate existing databases and transaction- processing software into new software that enables e-commerce  Cultural and legal obstacles  Some products harder to sell online (Why?) 37 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Economic Forces and Electronic Commerce  Economics  Study of how people allocate scarce resources  Preconditions for a market  Potential sellers of a good come into contact with potential buyers  A medium of exchange is available  Information about product and value proposition available 38 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 19
    20. Transaction Costs  Total costs that a buyer and seller incur  Significant components of transaction costs  Cost of information search and acquisition  Investment of seller in equipment or to hire skilled employees to supply product or service to buyer  Uncertainty, opportunism, and complexity 39 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 The Role of Electronic Commerce  Businesses and individuals  Can use electronic commerce to reduce transaction costs by  Improving flow of information  Increasing coordination of actions 40 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 20
    21. Network Economic Structures  Network economic structure  Companies coordinate their strategies, resources, and skill sets  Strategic alliances (strategic partnerships)  Relationships created within the network economic structure 41 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Network Economic Structures (Continued)  Virtual companies  Strategic alliances that occur between or among companies operating on the Internet  Strategic partners  Come together as a team for a specific project or activity 42 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 21
    22. Network Effects  Law of diminishing returns  Most activities yield less value as the amount of consumption increases  Network effect  As more people or organizations participate in a network  Value of network to each participant increases 43 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Value Chains in Electronic Commerce  Strategic business unit  One particular combination of product, distribution channel, and customer type  Firm  Multiple business units owned by a common set of shareholders  Industry  Multiple firms that sell similar products to similar customers 44 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 22
    23. Strategic Business Unit Value Chains  Value chain  A way of organizing the activities that each strategic business unit undertakes  Primary activities  Design, produce, promote, market, deliver, and support the products or services it sells  Supporting activities  Human resource management and purchasing 45 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Value Chain for Strategic Business Unit 46 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 23
    24. Industry Value Chains Value system  Larger stream of activities into which a particular business unit’s value chain is embedded  Also referred to as industry value chain 47 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Industry Value Chain for Wooden Chair 48 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 24
    25. SWOT Analysis: Evaluating Business Unit Opportunities  SWOT analysis  Analyst first looks into the business unit to identify its strengths and weaknesses  Analyst then reviews operating environment and identifies opportunities and threats 49 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 SWOT Analysis Questions 50 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 25
    26. Results of Dell’s SWOT Analysis 51 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 International Nature of Electronic Commerce  Companies with established reputations  Often create trust by ensuring that customers know who they are  Can rely on their established brand names to create trust on the Web  Customers’ inherent lack of trust in “strangers” on the Web  Logical and to be expected 52 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 26
    27. This Cartoon from The New Yorker Illustrates Anonymity on the Web 53 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Language Issues  To do business effectively in other cultures  Must adapt to culture  Researchers have found that  Customers are more likely to buy products and services from Web sites in their own language  Localization  Translation that considers multiple elements of local environment 54 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 27
    28. Culture Issues  Important element of business trust  Anticipate how the other party to a transaction will act in specific circumstances  Culture  Combination of language and customs  Varies across national boundaries  Varies across regions within nations 55 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Infrastructure Issues  Internet infrastructure includes  Computers and software connected to Internet  Communications networks over which message packets travel  Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development’s (OECD)  Statements on Information and Communications Policy  Deal with telecommunications infrastructure development issues 56 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 28
    29. Infrastructure Issues (Continued)  Flat-rate access system  Consumer or business pays one monthly fee for unlimited telephone line usage  Contributed to rapid rise of U.S. electronic commerce  Targets for technological solutions  Paperwork and processes that accompany international transactions 57 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Parties Involved in a Typical International Trade Transaction 58 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 29
    30. Summary  Commerce  Negotiated exchange of goods or services  Electronic commerce  Application of new technologies to conduct business more effectively  First wave of electronic commerce  Ended in 2000  Second wave of electronic commerce  New approaches to integrating Internet technologies into business processes 59 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Summary  Using electronic commerce, businesses have  Created new products and services  Improved promotion, marketing, and delivery of existing offerings  Global nature of electronic commerce  Leads to many opportunities and few challenges  To conduct electronic commerce across international borders  You must understand the trust, cultural, and language legal issues 60 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 30
    31. Discuss: Seven Web 2.0 Principles  The Web as Platform  Harnessing Collective Intelligence  Data is the Next Intel Inside  End of the Software Release Cycle  Lightweight Programming Models  Software above the Level of a Single Device  Rich User Experience en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Web_2 61 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 Assignment: before leaving class  Form project teams of 3-4 (max)  Arrange a time and place to discuss assigned case, design 15-minute presentation, build it, and rehearse.  Next session, your team must address:  What should be the goals of the firm?  Can the firm deploy new technology to reach these goals? How? When?  What user needs can this technology meet? For which kinds of users? Where?  What kinds of other resources are needed? 62 '07 Session 1 BM362 Web 2.0 31

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