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Near-Term Trajectories in Agri-Food: Implications for Business Strategy<br />
Crop v. Livestock Productivity<br />
The U.S. is not the only country experiencing these rapid shifts<br />We have been doing it longer<br />But China’s agric ...
All Agriculture Productivity Index<br />Source: FAOStats.org<br />
Consider the case of China . . . <br />Per capita meat consumption in China was 20 kg in 1985 <br />By 2000, it had increa...
But it is not just about food<br />It is more about energy<br />Transportation <br />Electricity<br />China is projected t...
Let history guide us in our assessment of the near-future trajectories that face us<br />Agriculture has grown principally...
Developed Country Markets<br />Developing Country  & Urban Production<br />
Thank You<br />Conversations<br />
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Near-Term Trajectories in Agri-Food

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Near-Term Trajectories in Agri-Food: Implications for Business Strategy

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Transcript of "Near-Term Trajectories in Agri-Food"

  1. 1. Near-Term Trajectories in Agri-Food: Implications for Business Strategy<br />
  2. 2.
  3. 3.
  4. 4.
  5. 5.
  6. 6. Crop v. Livestock Productivity<br />
  7. 7. The U.S. is not the only country experiencing these rapid shifts<br />We have been doing it longer<br />But China’s agric productivity growth rate has surpassed that of the U.S. in relative terms<br />As have Brazil’s, and even India’s<br />
  8. 8. All Agriculture Productivity Index<br />Source: FAOStats.org<br />
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  13. 13. Consider the case of China . . . <br />Per capita meat consumption in China was 20 kg in 1985 <br />By 2000, it had increased to 50 kg<br />It is projected to reach 85 kg/person by 2030 <br />And the population of China is growing at about 0.5% per annum<br />
  14. 14. But it is not just about food<br />It is more about energy<br />Transportation <br />Electricity<br />China is projected to overtake the U.S. in oil consumption<br />And with uncertainty about supply, concerns begin to accentuate<br />
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  16. 16. Let history guide us in our assessment of the near-future trajectories that face us<br />Agriculture has grown principally through technology and knowledge<br />And there is no reason to believe that will not continue<br />However, it is going to follow a different path<br />Different from the monolith we have seen in the last seven decades<br />And the emergence of multiple strategies to meet specific customer needs<br />
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  18. 18. Developed Country Markets<br />Developing Country & Urban Production<br />
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  26. 26. Thank You<br />Conversations<br />
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