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North Carolina House Legislative Partners
           Survey of 600 Registered Voters
                January 22 – 23, 2013
Level of Interest in Politics and Elections
        On a scale from 1-10, with one being “not at all interested” and ten being “extremely interested, how
        interested would you say you are in politics and elections for public office?


60%           54.3%


50%                                                                                       8-10 Level of   4-7 Level of   1-3 Level of
                                                                                    N=
                                                                                             Interest        Interest       Interest
                         39.3%                                       Liberal      123        67.5%          25.2%           5.7%
                                                                     Moderate     193        47.7%          46.1%           5.7%
40%                                                                  Conservative 259        54.4%          40.2%           5.0%
                                                                     Republican     201      52.7%          39.3%           6.5%
                                                                     Democrat       267      52.8%          40.4%           6.0%
30%                                                                  Unaffiliated   125      60.8%          36.8%           2.4%
                                                                     Tea Party      66       74.2%          18.2%           7.6%
                                                                     White          450      53.3%          40.4%           5.3%
20%                                                                  Black          115      59.1%          34.8%           4.3%
                                                                     Male           288      54.2%          41.0%           3.8%
                                                                     Female         312      54.5%          37.8%           6.7%
10%                                5.3%

                                              1.0%

 0%
            8-10       4-7        1-3      Don't
                                           Know

N=600
North Carolina is Moderate to Conservative
        If you had to label yourself, would you say you are a liberal, a moderate, or a conservative in your political
        beliefs?

35%                         32.2%

30%
                                                                              Very Somewhat            Somewhat       Very
                                            23.7%                      N=                    Moderate
25%                                                                          Liberal Liberal          Conservative Conservative
                                                           Republican 201 1.0%       0.5%      17.4%      33.3%       43.8%
                                    19.5%
20%                                                        Democrat   267 16.9%      20.6%     38.2%      11.2%       7.5%
                                                           Unaffiliated 125 7.2%     8.8%      41.6%      16.0%       24.8%
                    11.2%
15%         9.3%                                           Tea Party   66    1.5%    3.0%      10.6%      21.2%       63.6%
                                                           White       459   8.0%    8.0%      31.3%      21.6%       27.1%
10%                                                        Black       115   9.6%    25.2%     36.5%      10.4%       13.0%
                                                           Male        288   7.6%    8.7%      30.2%      21.9%       27.1%
                                                    4.2%   Female      312   10.9%   13.5%     34.0%      17.3%       20.5%
 5%

 0%




N=600
How Voters Feel About Where NC is Headed
        In general, do you believe that North Carolina is heading in the right direction or the wrong direction?



                49.2%

50%
                                                                                                      Right     Wrong      Don't
                                                                                               N=
                                                                                                     Direction Direction Know/ Ref
45%
                                                                                Liberal      123      41.5%    40.7%      17.9%
40%                                                                             Moderate     193      47.7%    33.2%      19.2%
                              31.0%                                             Conservative 259      54.8%    24.7%      20.5%
35%                                                                             Republican     201    60.7%    22.4%      16.9%
                                                                                Democrat       267    43.8%    35.2%      21.0%
30%                                                                             Unaffiliated   125    40.8%    37.6%      21.6%
25%                                          19.8%                              Tea Party      66     65.2%    19.7%      15.2%
                                                                                White          450    49.1%    30.9%      20.0%
20%                                                                             Black          115    53.9%    28.7%      17.4%
                                                                                Male           288    47.2%    30.6%      22.2%
15%                                                                             Female         312    51.0%    31.4%      17.6%

10%

 5%

 0%
             Right         Wrong       Dk/Refused

N=600
Most Important Issue Facing North Carolina
     In your opinion, what is the single most important issue facing North Carolina today?


                     39.7%
         40%
         35%
         30%                  22.3%
         25%
         20%
         15%
                                         7.5%        7.0%
         10%                                                    4.9%
                                                                           2.2%       1.8%
          5%                                                                                 1.0%
          0%




   Republicans, Democrats and Unaffiliated voters all cited “unemployment” and “the economy” as most
   important issue – 69.2% (GOP), 60.6% (DEM) and 63.2% (UNA). Second issue set for GOP was Taxes
   (11.4%) , DEM was Education (7.9%), UNA was Taxes (7.2%).

N=600 (Open Ended Question)
The Tea Party in North Carolina
        Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?


                             84.0%
90%

80%                                                                                  N=   Yes   No   Not Sure
                                                                    Liberal          123 2.4% 95.9%   0.8%
70%                                                                 Moderate         193 3.6% 92.2%   2.1%
                                                                    Conservative     259 21.6% 71.8%  3.9%
60%                                                                 Republican       201 21.4% 70.6%   5.5%
                                                                    Democrat         267 3.0% 94.0%    1.1%
50%                                                                 Unaffiliated     125 12.0% 83.2%   3.2%
                                                                                 172 8.1% 87.2%
                                                                    Ticket Spilter                     2.9%
                                                                    Some College 175 13.7% 82.3%       2.3%
40%
                                                                    College Grad. 283 8.1% 84.9%       2.9%
                                                                    White         450 13.6% 81.1%      3.8%
30%
                                                                    Black         115 3.5% 92.2%       0.0%
               11.0%                                                Male             288 11.5% 81.9%   4.2%
20%                                                                                  312 10.6% 85.6%
                                                                    Female                             1.9%

10%                                        3.0%


 0%
             Yes           No         Not Sure

N=600
Image Overview: Barack Obama




60%          51.3%
                                                                                                   No Opinion/
                                                                        N= Favorable Unfavorable
                                                                                                   Never Heard

                           41.7%                Republican              201   10.4%     79.6%        10.0%
50%
                                                Democrat                267   86.5%     10.1%        3.4%
                                                Unaffiliated            125   43.2%     47.2%        9.6%
                                                Liberal                 123   93.5%     2.4%         4.1%
40%
                                                Moderate                193   69.9%     21.8%        8.3%
                                                Conservative            259   16.6%     77.6%        5.8%
                                                Rural                   250   43.2%     51.2%        5.6%
30%
                                                Suburban                214   52.3%     38.8%        8.9%
                                                Urban                   128   67.2%     26.6%        6.0%
                                                Ticket Spliter          172   41.9%     45.9%        12.2%
20%
                                                White Suburban Female   75    45.3%     45.3%        9.3%
                                         7.0%   Male                    288   44.1%     46.9%        9.0%
10%                                             Female                  312   58.0%     36.9%        5.1%



 0%
         Favorable   Unfavorable   No Opinion

N=600
Image Overview: Pat McCrory



60%          50.7%

                                                                                                   No Opinion/
                                                                        N= Favorable Unfavorable
50%                                                                                                Never Heard
                                                Republican              201   71.1%    6.5%          20.4%
                                                Democrat                267   33.7%    25.8%         12.8%
40%                                             Unaffiliated            125   52.8%    12.8%         30.4%
                                                Liberal                 123   93.5%    2.4%          4.1%
                                        29.3%
                                                Moderate                193   69.9%    21.8%         8.3%
                                                Conservative            259   16.6%    77.6%         5.8%
30%
                                                Rural                   250   43.2%    51.2%         5.6%
                                                Suburban                214   52.3%    38.8%         8.9%
                           16.3%                Urban                   128   67.2%    26.6%         6.0%
20%                                             Ticket Spliter          172   61.6%    9.9%          26.7%
                                                White Suburban Female   75    54.7%    17.3%         28.0%
                                                Male                    288   44.1%    46.9%         9.0%
10%                                             Female                  312   58.0%    36.9%         5.1%



 0%
         Favorable   Unfavorable   No Opinion

N=600
Issues of Interest
In general, are you most interested in economic issues, like taxes, jobs and the budget; foreign affairs and national security
issues, including terrorism and war; social issues, like education, healthcare and the environment; urban issues, like crime,
drugs, welfare reform, and immigration; or moral issues like “pro-life” and anti-pornography?



                    58.0%
    60%


    50%


    40%


    30%
                                    20.7%

    20%
                                                    10.8%

    10%                                                                                                4.5%
                                                                      3.0%            3.0%

     0%
              Economic          Social           Moral       Foreign Affairs      Urban          Don't
                                                                                              Know/Refused
Issues of Interest continued…
                                                          GOP     DEM       IND



        70%                   65.8%
              61.2%
                      52.8%

        60%


        50%


        40%


        30%
                                              20.0%

        20%                                       17.1%         16.4%

                                      10.4%                         10.5%
                                                                            7.9%
        10%                                                                                                       5.7%
                                                                                      4.5%
                                                                                             2.9%          3.5%
                                                                                                    2.6%
                                                                                                                         1.3%

        0%
               Economic                  Social                  Moral             Foreign Affairs          Urban

N=600
Job Rating of the NC State House



                                69.2%

70%
                                                                                    Excellent/   Only Fair/
                                                                              N=                              Refused
                                                                                      Good         Poor
60%                                                   Republican              201    26.9%         62.2%      10.9%
                                                      Democrat                267    15.4%         76.8%      7.9%
                                                      Unaffiliated            125    28.0%         64.0%      8.0%
50%                                                   Liberal                 123    8.1%          82.1%      9.8%
                                                      Moderate                193    19.7%         72.0%      8.3%
40%                                                   Conservative            259    30.9%         61.0%      8.1%
                                                      Rural                   250    22.4%         69.6%      8.0%
               21.7%                                  Suburban                214    23.8%         68.7%      7.5%
30%                                                   Urban                   128    14.8%         71.9%      13.3%
                                                      Ticket Spliter          172    23.8%         70.3%      5.8%
20%                                                   White Suburban Female   75     26.7%         64.0%      9.3%
                                               9.2%   Male                    288    20.1%         71.9%      8.0%
                                                      Female                  312    23.1%         66.7%      10.3%
10%


 0%
        Excellent/Good   Only Fair/Poor   Refused

N=600
Job Rating of GOP Leadership in Congress
        How would you rate the job of the Republican leadership in the United States Congress? Would you say
        they have done an excellent job, a good job, only a fair job or a poor job?




90%                              82.3%
                                                                                               Excellent/ Only Fair/
                                                                                         N=                          Refused
                                                                                                 Good       Poor
80%
                                                                 Republican              201    27.9%      70.1%     2.0%
                                                                 Democrat                267    4.9%       90.6%     4.5%
70%
                                                                 Unaffiliated            125    16.0%      82.4%     1.6%
                                                                 Liberal                 123    2.4%       91.9%     5.7%
60%
                                                                 Moderate                193    9.8%       88.1%     2.1%
                                                                 Conservative            259    25.1%      72.6%     2.3%
50%
                                                                 Rural                   250    18.4%      78.4%     3.2%
40%                                                              Suburban                214    11.7%      85.0%     3.2%
                                                                 Urban                   128    10.9%      87.5%     1.6%
30%                                                              Ticket Spliter          172    12.8%      61.2%     4.1%
                                                                 White Suburban Female   75     10.7%      86.7%     2.7%
                 14.8%
20%                                                              Male                    288    16.0%      81.6%     2.4%
                                                                 Female                  312    13.8%      82.7%     3.5%
10%                                             3.0%

 0%
         Excellent/Good   Only Fair/Poor   Refused

N=600
State Sales Tax vs. State Income Tax
      Which of the following would you say is the best way to tax the citizens of North Carolina?
      I.     A state sales tax where everyone pays the same tax rate for all goods and services so revenue is collected
             based upon how much a person spends, OR
      II.    A state income tax rate where people who earn more pay more while lower income families pay less.


60%                             51.7%                                                       State        State
                                                                                                                   DK/Refused
                                                                                          Sales Tax   Income Tax
                                                                           Republican      54.7%        33.8%        11.4%
50%             40.2%                                                      Democrat        25.8%        70.0%        4.1%
                                                                           Unaffiliated    44.8%        43.2%        12.0%
                                                                           Liberal         26.0%        69.1%        4.9%
40%                                                                        Moderate        30.6%        60.1%        9.3%
                                                                           Conservative    54.4%        37.1%        8.5%
                                                                           Rural           38.0%        50.8%        11.2%
30%                                                                        Suburban        44.4%        50.0%        5.6%
                                                                           Urban           35.9%        57.0%        7.0%
                                                                           Male            47.6%        45.5%        6.9%
20%                                                                        Female          33.3%        57.4%        9.3%
                                                 8.2%
10%


0%
            Sales Tax     Income Tax     DK/Refused
Tax Reform
      “Eliminating the state income tax for all citizens while expanding the state sales tax to include
      professional services such as legal fees, haircuts, labor for auto repairs and entertainment items such as
      movie tickets.”



60%                          51.8%
                                                                                         Favor   Opposed   DK/Refused
                                                                          Republican     44.3%    44.8%      10.9%
                                                                          Democrat       29.6%    59.6%      10.9%
50%
                                                                          Unaffiliated   40.0%    47.2%      12.8%
              36.8%
                                                                          Liberal        32.5%    58.5%      8.9%
                                                                          Moderate       29.0%    58.0%      13.0%
40%
                                                                          Conservative   44.4%    45.2%      10.4%
                                                                          Rural          36.4%    50.4%      13.2%
30%                                                                       Suburban       39.3%    50.0%      10.7%
                                                                          Urban          31.3%    60.2%      8.6%
                                                                          Male           41.3%    28.3%      10.4%
20%                                                                       Female         32.7%    55.1%      12.2%
                                             11.3%

10%


0%
           Favor         Opposed      DK/Refused
Tax Reform
      “Eliminating the state income tax for corporations and individual business owners s a way to spur new
      economic growth while expanding the state sales tax.”




                             53.8%
60%
                                                                                        Favor   Opposed   DK/Refused
                                                                        Republican     48.3%     40.8%      10.9%
                                                                        Democrat       27.0%     62.5%      10.5%
50%
                                                                        Unaffiliated   35.2%     55.2%      9.6%
              35.7%                                                     Liberal        18.7%     74.0%      7.3%
40%                                                                     Moderate       29.0%     60.6%      10.4%
                                                                        Conservative   48.3%     41.3%      10.4%
                                                                        Rural          38.0%     50.4%      11.6%
30%                                                                     Suburban       36.9%     50.9%      12.1%
                                                                        Urban          27.3%     67.2%      5.5%
                                                                        Male           39.2%     51.0%      9.7%
20%                                                                     Female         32.4%     56.4%      11.2%
                                            10.5%

10%


0%
         Favorable     Unfavorable    No Opinion
Tax Reform
      “Eliminating tax deductions to charities, churches and other non-profits.”




                              65.0%
70%
                                                                                       Favor   Opposed   DK/Refused
                                                                        Republican     27.4%    70.6%      2.0%
60%                                                                     Democrat       32.6%    61.0%      6.4%
                                                                        Unaffiliated   28.8%    64.8%      6.4%
                                                                        Liberal        31.7%    59.3%      8.9%
50%
                                                                        Moderate       28.5%    66.8%      4.7%
                                                                        Conservative   30.1%    67.2%      2.7%
40%           30.2%                                                     Rural          29.2%    65.2%      5.6%
                                                                        Suburban       32.2%    65.0%      2.8%
                                                                        Urban          25.8%    67.2%      7.0%
30%                                                                     Male           29.9%    67.7%      2.4%
                                                                        Female         30.4%    62.5%      7.1%
20%

                                              4.8%
10%


0%
         Favorable     Unfavorable     No Opinion
Tax Reform
      “Having a new state sales tax on food and groceries in order to lower your state income tax.”




                             66.7%

70%
                                                                      Tax on Food and
                                                                                        Favor Opposed DK/Refused
                                                                         Groceries
60%                                                                   Sample = 600      27.3%   66.7%   6.0%
                                                                      Republican        32.8%   61.2%   6.0%
50%                                                                   Democrat          25.5%   69.3%   5.2%
                                                                      Unaffiliated      23.2%   68.8%   8.0%
                                                                      Liberal           20.3%   75.6%   4.1%
40%                                                                   Moderate          20.7%   71.5%   7.8%
              27.3%
                                                                      Conservative      35.5%   59.8%   4.6%
30%                                                                   Rural             31.6%   62.8%   10.7%
                                                                      Suburban          24.8%   68.7%   6.5%
                                                                      Urban             21.9%   72.7%   5.5%
20%
                                                                      Male              30.6%   64.9%   4.5%
                                             6.0%                     Female            24.4%   68.3%   7.4%
10%


0%
         Favorable     Unfavorable    No Opinion
Summary: Tax Reform
To help solve the state budget problem, lawmakers are looking at ways to reform our tax code in order to
provide a stable revenue stream and make the tax code more reflective of people’s spending habits than
taxing the income they earn.
                                                Favor   Oppose

                                                                      65.0%                 66.7%
   70%

                                               53.8%
   60%                 51.8%

   50%
              36.8%                  35.7%
   40%
                                                             30.2%
                                                                                   27.3%
   30%


   20%


   10%


   0%
           Expand Sales Tax     Eliminate Income Tax/        Eliminate         Sales Tax on Food
                                      Corporate         Deducation/Charities
Expanding Sales Tax or Spending Cuts
      When it comes to reducing the state taxes we pay, which of the following options would you prefer most?
      I.       Lower the income tax on individuals and businesses by expanding the state sales tax to other goods and
               services OR
      II.      Lowering these income taxes by implementing state spending cuts and use that savings to lower taxes.

                                  63.0%
70%
                                                                                                Expand   Spending    DK/
                                                                                               Sales Tax   Cuts     Refused
60%                                                                           Republican        21.9%     62.2%       15.9%
                                                                              Democrat          20.2%     65.9%       13.9%
50%                                                                           Unaffiliated      24.0%     57.6%       18.4%
                                                                              Liberal           18.7%     59.3%       22.0%
                                                                              Moderate          21.8%     60.1%       18.1%
40%
                                                                              Conservative      22.8%     66.4%       10.8%
                  21.3%                                                       Rural             23.2%     64.8%       12.0%
30%                                                                           Suburban          19.6%     60.7%       19.6%
                                                                              Urban             19.5%     64.8%       15.6%
                                                  15.7%                       Male              21.9%     63.5%       14.6%
20%
                                                                              Female            20.8%     62.5%       16.7%

10%

0%
            Expand Sales    Spending      DK/ Refusedx
                Tax           Cuts
How Voters Receive Their Television Signal
                    Republicans:               52.2% Cable          32.3% Satellite
                    Democrats :                62.2% Cable          22.5% Satellite
                    Unaffiliated:              60.8% Cable          27.2% Satellite


                                                                               58.2%
 60%


 50%


 40%

                                                                                             26.8%
 30%


 20%

                                                                  6.3%
 10%                       2.0%                        4.0%
            0.8%                         0.8%

 0%
       Don't Have      Other        Internet        Phone     Antenna       Cable      Satellite TV
                                                   Provider
Viewing Habits by Political Affiliation

                                                                            24.90%
25%                                                                                         17.40%

                                                                 20.90%

20%


                                                       4.50%
15%                                         13.9%

                                   5.0%

10%


                       5.0%
 5%        1.5%



 0%
      Daytime/Soaps HGTV/Cooking   PBS    Sports     Movie     Primetime   Local News   National
                                                    Channels                            CNN/FOX
How Long have you lived North Carolina?
     45.2% said their entire life. As a follow up, we asked: What was the last state you lived in, if it was another
     country, then just say so?

                                                    Map of Top 10 States:




                                                                                                         13.5%


                                                                                                      4.3%       4.6%
                                                                                        4.6%
                                                                                                                 4.0%

                                                                                                      9.8%




                                                                                                 5.8%

                                                                                          4.9%

                                                          4.0%
States from the Northeast (34%)                                                                7.1%
and Southeast (32.8%) make up 2/3
of where voters lived last before
moving to North Carolina.
Demographic Overview


  •   21.3% - Urban Based Voters        •   33.5% Registered Democratic
  •   35.7% - Suburban Based Voters     •   44.0% Registered Republican
  •   41.7% - Rural Based Voters        •   20.8% Registered Unaffiliated



  •   45.2% - Lived in NC entire Life
                                        •   37.8% Always/Usually Vote DEM
  •   25.7% - > 20years
                                        •   31.5% Always/Usually Vote GOP
  •   12.3% - 11-20 years
                                        •   28.7% Say They’re Ticket Splitters
  •   16.2% - < 10 years


                                        •   29.3% ----65 or older
  •   47.2% - Are College Graduates
                                        •   25.7% ---55-64 years old
  •   29.2% - Received some College
                                        •   24.7% ---41-54 years old
  •   19.0% - High School Degree
                                        •   16.83% ---26-40 years old
  •   3.2% - Some High School or Less
                                        •   2.5% ---18-25 years old



  • 52.0% Female                        •   75.0% White
  • 48.0% Male                          •   21.5% non-White
                                        •   19.2% Black

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NCHLP Polling Presentation

  • 1. North Carolina House Legislative Partners Survey of 600 Registered Voters January 22 – 23, 2013
  • 2. Level of Interest in Politics and Elections On a scale from 1-10, with one being “not at all interested” and ten being “extremely interested, how interested would you say you are in politics and elections for public office? 60% 54.3% 50% 8-10 Level of 4-7 Level of 1-3 Level of N= Interest Interest Interest 39.3% Liberal 123 67.5% 25.2% 5.7% Moderate 193 47.7% 46.1% 5.7% 40% Conservative 259 54.4% 40.2% 5.0% Republican 201 52.7% 39.3% 6.5% Democrat 267 52.8% 40.4% 6.0% 30% Unaffiliated 125 60.8% 36.8% 2.4% Tea Party 66 74.2% 18.2% 7.6% White 450 53.3% 40.4% 5.3% 20% Black 115 59.1% 34.8% 4.3% Male 288 54.2% 41.0% 3.8% Female 312 54.5% 37.8% 6.7% 10% 5.3% 1.0% 0% 8-10 4-7 1-3 Don't Know N=600
  • 3. North Carolina is Moderate to Conservative If you had to label yourself, would you say you are a liberal, a moderate, or a conservative in your political beliefs? 35% 32.2% 30% Very Somewhat Somewhat Very 23.7% N= Moderate 25% Liberal Liberal Conservative Conservative Republican 201 1.0% 0.5% 17.4% 33.3% 43.8% 19.5% 20% Democrat 267 16.9% 20.6% 38.2% 11.2% 7.5% Unaffiliated 125 7.2% 8.8% 41.6% 16.0% 24.8% 11.2% 15% 9.3% Tea Party 66 1.5% 3.0% 10.6% 21.2% 63.6% White 459 8.0% 8.0% 31.3% 21.6% 27.1% 10% Black 115 9.6% 25.2% 36.5% 10.4% 13.0% Male 288 7.6% 8.7% 30.2% 21.9% 27.1% 4.2% Female 312 10.9% 13.5% 34.0% 17.3% 20.5% 5% 0% N=600
  • 4. How Voters Feel About Where NC is Headed In general, do you believe that North Carolina is heading in the right direction or the wrong direction? 49.2% 50% Right Wrong Don't N= Direction Direction Know/ Ref 45% Liberal 123 41.5% 40.7% 17.9% 40% Moderate 193 47.7% 33.2% 19.2% 31.0% Conservative 259 54.8% 24.7% 20.5% 35% Republican 201 60.7% 22.4% 16.9% Democrat 267 43.8% 35.2% 21.0% 30% Unaffiliated 125 40.8% 37.6% 21.6% 25% 19.8% Tea Party 66 65.2% 19.7% 15.2% White 450 49.1% 30.9% 20.0% 20% Black 115 53.9% 28.7% 17.4% Male 288 47.2% 30.6% 22.2% 15% Female 312 51.0% 31.4% 17.6% 10% 5% 0% Right Wrong Dk/Refused N=600
  • 5. Most Important Issue Facing North Carolina In your opinion, what is the single most important issue facing North Carolina today? 39.7% 40% 35% 30% 22.3% 25% 20% 15% 7.5% 7.0% 10% 4.9% 2.2% 1.8% 5% 1.0% 0% Republicans, Democrats and Unaffiliated voters all cited “unemployment” and “the economy” as most important issue – 69.2% (GOP), 60.6% (DEM) and 63.2% (UNA). Second issue set for GOP was Taxes (11.4%) , DEM was Education (7.9%), UNA was Taxes (7.2%). N=600 (Open Ended Question)
  • 6. The Tea Party in North Carolina Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party? 84.0% 90% 80% N= Yes No Not Sure Liberal 123 2.4% 95.9% 0.8% 70% Moderate 193 3.6% 92.2% 2.1% Conservative 259 21.6% 71.8% 3.9% 60% Republican 201 21.4% 70.6% 5.5% Democrat 267 3.0% 94.0% 1.1% 50% Unaffiliated 125 12.0% 83.2% 3.2% 172 8.1% 87.2% Ticket Spilter 2.9% Some College 175 13.7% 82.3% 2.3% 40% College Grad. 283 8.1% 84.9% 2.9% White 450 13.6% 81.1% 3.8% 30% Black 115 3.5% 92.2% 0.0% 11.0% Male 288 11.5% 81.9% 4.2% 20% 312 10.6% 85.6% Female 1.9% 10% 3.0% 0% Yes No Not Sure N=600
  • 7. Image Overview: Barack Obama 60% 51.3% No Opinion/ N= Favorable Unfavorable Never Heard 41.7% Republican 201 10.4% 79.6% 10.0% 50% Democrat 267 86.5% 10.1% 3.4% Unaffiliated 125 43.2% 47.2% 9.6% Liberal 123 93.5% 2.4% 4.1% 40% Moderate 193 69.9% 21.8% 8.3% Conservative 259 16.6% 77.6% 5.8% Rural 250 43.2% 51.2% 5.6% 30% Suburban 214 52.3% 38.8% 8.9% Urban 128 67.2% 26.6% 6.0% Ticket Spliter 172 41.9% 45.9% 12.2% 20% White Suburban Female 75 45.3% 45.3% 9.3% 7.0% Male 288 44.1% 46.9% 9.0% 10% Female 312 58.0% 36.9% 5.1% 0% Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion N=600
  • 8. Image Overview: Pat McCrory 60% 50.7% No Opinion/ N= Favorable Unfavorable 50% Never Heard Republican 201 71.1% 6.5% 20.4% Democrat 267 33.7% 25.8% 12.8% 40% Unaffiliated 125 52.8% 12.8% 30.4% Liberal 123 93.5% 2.4% 4.1% 29.3% Moderate 193 69.9% 21.8% 8.3% Conservative 259 16.6% 77.6% 5.8% 30% Rural 250 43.2% 51.2% 5.6% Suburban 214 52.3% 38.8% 8.9% 16.3% Urban 128 67.2% 26.6% 6.0% 20% Ticket Spliter 172 61.6% 9.9% 26.7% White Suburban Female 75 54.7% 17.3% 28.0% Male 288 44.1% 46.9% 9.0% 10% Female 312 58.0% 36.9% 5.1% 0% Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion N=600
  • 9. Issues of Interest In general, are you most interested in economic issues, like taxes, jobs and the budget; foreign affairs and national security issues, including terrorism and war; social issues, like education, healthcare and the environment; urban issues, like crime, drugs, welfare reform, and immigration; or moral issues like “pro-life” and anti-pornography? 58.0% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20.7% 20% 10.8% 10% 4.5% 3.0% 3.0% 0% Economic Social Moral Foreign Affairs Urban Don't Know/Refused
  • 10. Issues of Interest continued… GOP DEM IND 70% 65.8% 61.2% 52.8% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20.0% 20% 17.1% 16.4% 10.4% 10.5% 7.9% 10% 5.7% 4.5% 2.9% 3.5% 2.6% 1.3% 0% Economic Social Moral Foreign Affairs Urban N=600
  • 11. Job Rating of the NC State House 69.2% 70% Excellent/ Only Fair/ N= Refused Good Poor 60% Republican 201 26.9% 62.2% 10.9% Democrat 267 15.4% 76.8% 7.9% Unaffiliated 125 28.0% 64.0% 8.0% 50% Liberal 123 8.1% 82.1% 9.8% Moderate 193 19.7% 72.0% 8.3% 40% Conservative 259 30.9% 61.0% 8.1% Rural 250 22.4% 69.6% 8.0% 21.7% Suburban 214 23.8% 68.7% 7.5% 30% Urban 128 14.8% 71.9% 13.3% Ticket Spliter 172 23.8% 70.3% 5.8% 20% White Suburban Female 75 26.7% 64.0% 9.3% 9.2% Male 288 20.1% 71.9% 8.0% Female 312 23.1% 66.7% 10.3% 10% 0% Excellent/Good Only Fair/Poor Refused N=600
  • 12. Job Rating of GOP Leadership in Congress How would you rate the job of the Republican leadership in the United States Congress? Would you say they have done an excellent job, a good job, only a fair job or a poor job? 90% 82.3% Excellent/ Only Fair/ N= Refused Good Poor 80% Republican 201 27.9% 70.1% 2.0% Democrat 267 4.9% 90.6% 4.5% 70% Unaffiliated 125 16.0% 82.4% 1.6% Liberal 123 2.4% 91.9% 5.7% 60% Moderate 193 9.8% 88.1% 2.1% Conservative 259 25.1% 72.6% 2.3% 50% Rural 250 18.4% 78.4% 3.2% 40% Suburban 214 11.7% 85.0% 3.2% Urban 128 10.9% 87.5% 1.6% 30% Ticket Spliter 172 12.8% 61.2% 4.1% White Suburban Female 75 10.7% 86.7% 2.7% 14.8% 20% Male 288 16.0% 81.6% 2.4% Female 312 13.8% 82.7% 3.5% 10% 3.0% 0% Excellent/Good Only Fair/Poor Refused N=600
  • 13. State Sales Tax vs. State Income Tax Which of the following would you say is the best way to tax the citizens of North Carolina? I. A state sales tax where everyone pays the same tax rate for all goods and services so revenue is collected based upon how much a person spends, OR II. A state income tax rate where people who earn more pay more while lower income families pay less. 60% 51.7% State State DK/Refused Sales Tax Income Tax Republican 54.7% 33.8% 11.4% 50% 40.2% Democrat 25.8% 70.0% 4.1% Unaffiliated 44.8% 43.2% 12.0% Liberal 26.0% 69.1% 4.9% 40% Moderate 30.6% 60.1% 9.3% Conservative 54.4% 37.1% 8.5% Rural 38.0% 50.8% 11.2% 30% Suburban 44.4% 50.0% 5.6% Urban 35.9% 57.0% 7.0% Male 47.6% 45.5% 6.9% 20% Female 33.3% 57.4% 9.3% 8.2% 10% 0% Sales Tax Income Tax DK/Refused
  • 14. Tax Reform “Eliminating the state income tax for all citizens while expanding the state sales tax to include professional services such as legal fees, haircuts, labor for auto repairs and entertainment items such as movie tickets.” 60% 51.8% Favor Opposed DK/Refused Republican 44.3% 44.8% 10.9% Democrat 29.6% 59.6% 10.9% 50% Unaffiliated 40.0% 47.2% 12.8% 36.8% Liberal 32.5% 58.5% 8.9% Moderate 29.0% 58.0% 13.0% 40% Conservative 44.4% 45.2% 10.4% Rural 36.4% 50.4% 13.2% 30% Suburban 39.3% 50.0% 10.7% Urban 31.3% 60.2% 8.6% Male 41.3% 28.3% 10.4% 20% Female 32.7% 55.1% 12.2% 11.3% 10% 0% Favor Opposed DK/Refused
  • 15. Tax Reform “Eliminating the state income tax for corporations and individual business owners s a way to spur new economic growth while expanding the state sales tax.” 53.8% 60% Favor Opposed DK/Refused Republican 48.3% 40.8% 10.9% Democrat 27.0% 62.5% 10.5% 50% Unaffiliated 35.2% 55.2% 9.6% 35.7% Liberal 18.7% 74.0% 7.3% 40% Moderate 29.0% 60.6% 10.4% Conservative 48.3% 41.3% 10.4% Rural 38.0% 50.4% 11.6% 30% Suburban 36.9% 50.9% 12.1% Urban 27.3% 67.2% 5.5% Male 39.2% 51.0% 9.7% 20% Female 32.4% 56.4% 11.2% 10.5% 10% 0% Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
  • 16. Tax Reform “Eliminating tax deductions to charities, churches and other non-profits.” 65.0% 70% Favor Opposed DK/Refused Republican 27.4% 70.6% 2.0% 60% Democrat 32.6% 61.0% 6.4% Unaffiliated 28.8% 64.8% 6.4% Liberal 31.7% 59.3% 8.9% 50% Moderate 28.5% 66.8% 4.7% Conservative 30.1% 67.2% 2.7% 40% 30.2% Rural 29.2% 65.2% 5.6% Suburban 32.2% 65.0% 2.8% Urban 25.8% 67.2% 7.0% 30% Male 29.9% 67.7% 2.4% Female 30.4% 62.5% 7.1% 20% 4.8% 10% 0% Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
  • 17. Tax Reform “Having a new state sales tax on food and groceries in order to lower your state income tax.” 66.7% 70% Tax on Food and Favor Opposed DK/Refused Groceries 60% Sample = 600 27.3% 66.7% 6.0% Republican 32.8% 61.2% 6.0% 50% Democrat 25.5% 69.3% 5.2% Unaffiliated 23.2% 68.8% 8.0% Liberal 20.3% 75.6% 4.1% 40% Moderate 20.7% 71.5% 7.8% 27.3% Conservative 35.5% 59.8% 4.6% 30% Rural 31.6% 62.8% 10.7% Suburban 24.8% 68.7% 6.5% Urban 21.9% 72.7% 5.5% 20% Male 30.6% 64.9% 4.5% 6.0% Female 24.4% 68.3% 7.4% 10% 0% Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion
  • 18. Summary: Tax Reform To help solve the state budget problem, lawmakers are looking at ways to reform our tax code in order to provide a stable revenue stream and make the tax code more reflective of people’s spending habits than taxing the income they earn. Favor Oppose 65.0% 66.7% 70% 53.8% 60% 51.8% 50% 36.8% 35.7% 40% 30.2% 27.3% 30% 20% 10% 0% Expand Sales Tax Eliminate Income Tax/ Eliminate Sales Tax on Food Corporate Deducation/Charities
  • 19. Expanding Sales Tax or Spending Cuts When it comes to reducing the state taxes we pay, which of the following options would you prefer most? I. Lower the income tax on individuals and businesses by expanding the state sales tax to other goods and services OR II. Lowering these income taxes by implementing state spending cuts and use that savings to lower taxes. 63.0% 70% Expand Spending DK/ Sales Tax Cuts Refused 60% Republican 21.9% 62.2% 15.9% Democrat 20.2% 65.9% 13.9% 50% Unaffiliated 24.0% 57.6% 18.4% Liberal 18.7% 59.3% 22.0% Moderate 21.8% 60.1% 18.1% 40% Conservative 22.8% 66.4% 10.8% 21.3% Rural 23.2% 64.8% 12.0% 30% Suburban 19.6% 60.7% 19.6% Urban 19.5% 64.8% 15.6% 15.7% Male 21.9% 63.5% 14.6% 20% Female 20.8% 62.5% 16.7% 10% 0% Expand Sales Spending DK/ Refusedx Tax Cuts
  • 20. How Voters Receive Their Television Signal Republicans: 52.2% Cable 32.3% Satellite Democrats : 62.2% Cable 22.5% Satellite Unaffiliated: 60.8% Cable 27.2% Satellite 58.2% 60% 50% 40% 26.8% 30% 20% 6.3% 10% 2.0% 4.0% 0.8% 0.8% 0% Don't Have Other Internet Phone Antenna Cable Satellite TV Provider
  • 21. Viewing Habits by Political Affiliation 24.90% 25% 17.40% 20.90% 20% 4.50% 15% 13.9% 5.0% 10% 5.0% 5% 1.5% 0% Daytime/Soaps HGTV/Cooking PBS Sports Movie Primetime Local News National Channels CNN/FOX
  • 22. How Long have you lived North Carolina? 45.2% said their entire life. As a follow up, we asked: What was the last state you lived in, if it was another country, then just say so? Map of Top 10 States: 13.5% 4.3% 4.6% 4.6% 4.0% 9.8% 5.8% 4.9% 4.0% States from the Northeast (34%) 7.1% and Southeast (32.8%) make up 2/3 of where voters lived last before moving to North Carolina.
  • 23. Demographic Overview • 21.3% - Urban Based Voters • 33.5% Registered Democratic • 35.7% - Suburban Based Voters • 44.0% Registered Republican • 41.7% - Rural Based Voters • 20.8% Registered Unaffiliated • 45.2% - Lived in NC entire Life • 37.8% Always/Usually Vote DEM • 25.7% - > 20years • 31.5% Always/Usually Vote GOP • 12.3% - 11-20 years • 28.7% Say They’re Ticket Splitters • 16.2% - < 10 years • 29.3% ----65 or older • 47.2% - Are College Graduates • 25.7% ---55-64 years old • 29.2% - Received some College • 24.7% ---41-54 years old • 19.0% - High School Degree • 16.83% ---26-40 years old • 3.2% - Some High School or Less • 2.5% ---18-25 years old • 52.0% Female • 75.0% White • 48.0% Male • 21.5% non-White • 19.2% Black