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Future prospect of genetically modified crops

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"China, with plenty of field and great demand for crops, has great potential in GM crops. Stimulated by safety certificates issuing of GM rice, key grain crop in Asia, GM technology and GM crops have …

"China, with plenty of field and great demand for crops, has great potential in GM crops. Stimulated by safety certificates issuing of GM rice, key grain crop in Asia, GM technology and GM crops have attracted unprecedented attention of China and the world.

By interviewing researchers, governmental officers and citizens, CCM tries to find out whether GM rice will come into commercial production in the near future and what is the future for Chinese GM crops industry.

To figure out future trend of GM crops, especially GM rice in China, CCM will carry out deep investigation in this research in order to:
- Help clients understand Chinese GM crops industry
- Find out influencing factors for GM crops development
- Analyze competitive landscape of Chinese and multinational GM crops producers
- Assess market risks and identify business opportunities
- Find out GM crop prospect "

Published in: Education, Technology, Business

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  • 1. CCM Data & Primary Intelligence Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
  • 2. CCM Data & Primary Intelligence Description: China, with plenty of field and great demand for crops, has great potential in GM crops. Stimulated by safety certificates issuing of GM rice, key grain crop in Asia, GM technology and GM crops have attracted unprecedented attention of China and the world. By interviewing researchers, governmental officers and citizens, CCM tries to find out whether GM rice will come into commercial production in the near future and what is the future for Chinese GM crops industry. To figure out future trend of GM crops, especially GM rice in China, CCM will carry out deep investigation in this research in order to: - Help clients understand Chinese GM crops industry - Find out influencing factors for GM crops development - Analyze competitive landscape of Chinese and multinational GM crops producers - Assess market risks and identify business opportunities - Find out GM crop prospect Main content: No. Content Page Executive summary 1 Introduction and Methodology 2 I History of GM crops in China, 1996~2008 4 II Current situation of GM crops in China 8 II-1 China’s status in global GM crops' market 8 II-2 Situation of GM crops in China 9 II-3 MNCs’ activities in GM crops industry in China 11 II-4 Research of GM crops in China 12 II-5 Problem of GM crops in China 14 III Future Prospect of GM Crops in China, 2010~2014 17 III-1 Influencing factors 17 III-1.1 Governmental policies 17 III-1.2 Researchers' attitudes 20 III-1.3 Public attitudes towards GM crops 22 III-1.4 MNCs’ promotion 25 III-1.5 Environmental protection 25 III-1.6 International public opinion 25 Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
  • 3. CCM Data & Primary Intelligence III-1.7 Grain supply risk 26 III-2 Future Perspective of GM Crops in China 26 IV Risk and opportunity 29 Executive summary: China, as one of countries to have first commercially produced GM crops in the world, has been paying close attention to GM crops research and development. With commercial production of six kinds of GM crops, including varieties of cotton, tomato, poplar, morning glory, antivirus pawpaw and pimiento, China has become the sixth biggest GM crops planter in the world in 2009 with harvested area of XX million hectares. Stimulated by safety certificates promulgation of GM rice, key grain crop in Asia, GM technology and GM crops have attracted unprecedented attention both at home and abroad. The commercial production of GM rice in the future is mainly influenced by the following factors: - Governmental policies and support - Researchers' attitudes - Civil attitude towards GM crops - MNCs’ promotion - Environmental protection - International public opinion - Grain supply risk CCM thinks it is probable that China will commercially produce GM rice in the following XX years. Meanwhile, GM soybean, edible corn and rapeseed are likely to receive safety certificates within XX years. Some cash crops may also have chances too. China’s GM crops market enjoys stronger opportunity than risk. Character of CCM' Report: The aim of this report is to provide powerful assistance to the strategy group and the management team in making correct decision as how to penetrate the ever-increasing China market and how to catch the maximum commercial opportunities. The report is formulated independently by CCM’s professional market researchers, based on the first-hand and primary data which are analyzed by scientific methodology, confirmed with both manufacturers/end users/traders and legal authorities, and presented in a logic way. Sample pages: Website: http://www.cnchemicals.com Email: econtact@cnchemicals.com Tel: +86-20-3761 6606 Fax: +86-20-3761 6968
  • 4. II Current situation of GM crops in China II-2 Situation of GM crops in China At present, there are over 100 kinds of GM biospecies under research and exploitation, including above 200 kinds of animals, plants and microorganism genes. And some of them can be commercially produced. Table II-2.1 Major Bt cotton seed producers, 2009 No. Name Abr. Brand Remark 1 XX XX XX XX 2 XX XX XX XX 3 XX XX XX XX 4 XX XX XX XX 5 XX XX XX XX 6 XX XX XX XX 7 XX XX XX XX 8 XX XX XX XX 9 XX XX XX XX 10 XX XX XX XX 11 XX XX XX XX 12 XX XX XX XX Source: CCM international III Future Prospect of GM Crops in China, 2010~2014 III-1 Influencing factors CCM interviews 26 researchers and governmental officers to figure out the importance of each influencing factor on GM crop. And ‘governmental policies’, ‘public attitude towards GM crops’ and ‘researchers' attitudes’ are the most important. Table III-1.1 Interviewees’ attitudes towards the importance of influencing factors on GM crops Influence factors 5* 4* 3* 2* 1* Average score Governmental policies XX XX XX XX XX XX Researchers' attitudes XX XX XX XX XX XX Pubilc attitudes towards GM crops XX XX XX XX XX XX MNCs’ promotion XX XX XX XX XX XX Environmental protection XX XX XX XX XX XX International public opinion XX XX XX XX XX XX Grain supply risk XX XX XX XX XX XX Source: CCM international *Remark: 5-Very important, 4-Relatively important, 3-Commonly important, 2-Not important, 1-Negligible
  • 5. III-1.1 Governmental policies Chinese government support GM organism (GMO) research and expect to commercially produce some GM crops under effective management. Strengthening biotechnology development is a strategic decision for Chinese government. The ‘No 1 central document (2010)’ expresses that China will pay close attention to exploit functional genes and new biological diversities with important application value and proprietary intellectual property rights. In addition, China will promote commercially production of new GM crops under the condition of scientific assessment and management. In addition, new GM biology breeding is one of the 16 key technology special projects of National Guideline on Medium- and Long-Term Program for Science and Technology Development (2006-2020). III-2 Future Perspective of GM Crops in China It is probable that China will first commercially produce GM rice in 3~5 years. Government, researchers and MNCs are the main bodies to support GM crops’ commercial production in China. In addition, grain supply risk and environmental protection are also driving forces for GM crops’ commercial production. On the contrary, only citizens’ and international public opinions will prevent GM crops’ commercial production, obviously, their strength is weak.