Predicting the Future of Web Apps Edwin Aoki Oct. 4, 2007

Edwin’s Near Term Industry Predictions (you heard them here first) A new industry group to develop standards for building web applications and content for low-cost, reduced capability devices AOL to announce a major push for HTML and Javascript applications on the desktop New mobile computing device, with a modern OS and open developer platform. The hardware will include a hard drive, handwriting recognition, and a touch screen

A new industry group to develop standards for building web applications and content for low-cost, reduced capability devices

AOL to announce a major push for HTML and Javascript applications on the desktop

New mobile computing device, with a modern OS and open developer platform. The hardware will include a hard drive, handwriting recognition, and a touch screen

The Future of Web Apps is powered by: HTML Flash Silverlight AJAX Dojo JQuery Javascript CSS DOM Prototype Ideas

1. The Network Computer Reference Platform 1996 - Sun, IBM, Apple, Netscape, and Oracle Supported HTML, Java, NFS, SNMP “ This initiative has been formed in the interest of true open computing. Like the Internet itself, the NC Reference Profile has the potential to set in motion an industry that serves the interest of users instead of software developers and hardware suppliers.” - Larry Ellison, 1996

1996 - Sun, IBM, Apple, Netscape, and Oracle

Supported HTML, Java, NFS, SNMP

“ This initiative has been formed in the interest of true open computing. Like the Internet itself, the NC Reference Profile has the potential to set in motion an industry that serves the interest of users instead of software developers and hardware suppliers.” - Larry Ellison, 1996

2. Netscape Crosssware 1997 - Applications built on Java, Javascript, and HTML “ Dynamic HTML's ability to create and manage HTML objects, window and key events, and Communicator windows makes it easy to create product-quality user interfaces that provide the same level of user experience that users expect from native applications” - Marc Andreessen

1997 - Applications built on Java, Javascript, and HTML

“ Dynamic HTML's ability to create and manage HTML objects, window and key events, and Communicator windows makes it easy to create product-quality user interfaces that provide the same level of user experience that users expect from native applications” - Marc Andreessen

3. AT&T/EO Communicator 1994 - Touch screen, handwriting recognition (English and Japanese), live object embedding, 33.6kbps fax and data modem “ We purposely used Personal Communicator to show the capabilities it has that PDAs don't offer, which are essentially the communications features. You can't just tack on these communications capabilities and get the same user functionality or user experience. It's got to be thought through all the way from the operating system through the hardware.”

1994 - Touch screen, handwriting recognition (English and Japanese), live object embedding, 33.6kbps fax and data modem

“ We purposely used Personal Communicator to show the capabilities it has that PDAs don't offer, which are essentially the communications features. You can't just tack on these communications capabilities and get the same user functionality or user experience. It's got to be thought through all the way from the operating system through the hardware.”

Build on Solid, Tested Foundations Storage AOL XDrive, Amazon S3, Zimke Messaging and Data Exchange XMPP, JSON and REST based APIs to Open AIM now available for use in Europe Publishing and Commenting AOL Atom Publishing (launched here at FOWA) Identity Open ID, OpenAuth

Storage

AOL XDrive, Amazon S3, Zimke

Messaging and Data Exchange

XMPP,

JSON and REST based APIs to Open AIM

now available for use in Europe

Publishing and Commenting

AOL Atom Publishing (launched here at FOWA)

Identity

Open ID, OpenAuth

Webapps of the Future Need to Run Everywhere

Learning from Our Past Small and beautiful beats large and clunky Sweat the details, but don’t sweat infrastructure Let service providers do the heavy lifting for you Standards and openness are important But employ them with an eye towards security and trust Technology moves faster than society It’s up to us to use it responsibly

Small and beautiful beats large and clunky

Sweat the details, but don’t sweat infrastructure

Let service providers do the heavy lifting for you

Standards and openness are important

But employ them with an eye towards security and trust

Technology moves faster than society

It’s up to us to use it responsibly

The Future of Stuff

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Questions? http://dev.aol.com Email: aoki@aol.net Photo Credits: Nokia S60: http://flickr.com/photos/benoitdarcy/153051393/ iPhone image courtesy of Apple

http://dev.aol.com

Email: aoki@aol.net

Photo Credits:

Nokia S60: http://flickr.com/photos/benoitdarcy/153051393/

iPhone image courtesy of Apple