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The Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce, in partnership with its Foundation for a Sustainable Community, presented the State of the Community Report, 7:30-9:30 a.m., Tuesday, August 30, 2011 at ...

The Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce, in partnership with its Foundation for a Sustainable Community, presented the State of the Community Report, 7:30-9:30 a.m., Tuesday, August 30, 2011 at The Sheraton Chapel Hill Hotel.

The only one of its kind in the community, the report tracks the well-being of Chapel Hill-Carrboro along social, economic, and environmental indicators. Attendees gained a comprehensive overview of the health of our community, including areas where we thrive and areas to improve.

Aaron Nelson, Chamber President and CEO and Foundation Executive Director, presented the report and took questions from attendees.

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    State of the Community 2011 State of the Community 2011 Presentation Transcript

    • 4thAnnual State of the Community Report Aaron Nelson Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber of Commerce Foundation for a Sustainable Community
    • A Word From Our SponsorsTriangle Community Foundation- Dr. Phail Wynn -Interim Executive Director
    • A Word From Our Sponsors  www.OurLocalDeal.com ◦ Driving Business Local ◦ Connecting Businesses with New Customers ◦ Saving Local People Money  Big Discounts with Local Merchants  9,700 deals in 20 weeks valued at more than $420,000
    • A Word From Our Sponsors Table Sponsors - Durham Technical Community College - Chapel Hill/Orange County Visitors Bureau - UNC Health Care
    • A bit about Chamber and ourFoundation The Chamber ◦ Serve and advance the business interests of our 1,100 member employers  Improve members’ bottom line  Grow members’ professional network  Give members access to timely information and decision makers  Advocate for member business interests and help build a sustainable community where business can thrive Our Economic and Community Development Foundation ◦ Raised and invested more that $1 million to the community since 2004 ◦ Launched Green Plus national small business education and certification program ◦ Accelerating Fourth Sector Enterprises
    • Background on this Report  Our Fourth State of the Community Report  Born out of graduate student research at UNC  Social, Environmental and Economic Indicators  Objective: deliver relevant information to community and business leaders  Thank you to Kristen Smith, director of public policy and member engagment
    • Population Jurisdiction 2000 2010 Growth Rate +17,785 Orange County 116,016 133,801 (15.3%) Hillsborough 5,513 6,087 +574 (10.4%) Carrboro 17,668 19,582 +1,914 (10.8%) Chapel Hill 48,038 57,233 +9,195 (19.1%) +1,456,659 North Carolina 8,078,824 9,535,483 (18.0%) U.S. Census Bureau
    • Population Growth160,000140,000 133,801120,000 116,016100,000 80,000 60,000 48,038 57,233 40,000 17,668 19,582 20,000 5,513 6,087 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Orange County Carrboro Chapel Hill Hillsborough U.S. Census Bureau
    • 5.1% of 627,683 in projected 6- county growthPopulation Projections 1.4% of projected state growth Growth County 2015 2020 Growth Rate 2025 Rate +24,471 (13.9%) 188,451 +36,706ALAMANCE 163,982 176,216 (23.8%) +21,552 CHATHAM 71,053 78,237 +14,376 (18.4%) 85,422 (33.0%) +54,549 (16.9%) 350,749 +81,824 DURHAM 296,200 323,474 (29.8%) +75,660JOHNSTON 195,372 220,591 +50,440 (22.9%) 245,811 (43.1%) +21,117 (13.6%) 166,001 +31,767 ORANGE 144,885 155,442 (24.0%) +253,509 +380,265 WAKE 1,034,069 1,160,823 1,287,579 (21.8%) (40.8%)NC Office of State Budget andManagement
    • Major Employers 2009-1014 2014 2009 Public Administration 2,420 Other Services (excl Pub Adm) 2,485 Accommodation/Food Services 5,137 Health Care/Social Services 13,574 Educational Services 17,295 Prof/Scientific/Tech Services 6,305 Information 2,249 Retail Trade 4,815 Manufacturing 2,776 Construction 3,751 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000NC Dept of CommerceEDIS
    • New Job Growth 2009-2014 Public Administration 185 Accommodation/Food Services 481 Arts/Entertainment/Rec 124 Health Care/Social Services 2,045 Educational Services 1,845 Admin/Supp/Waste Mgmt Services 259 Prof/Scientific/Tech Services 736 Information 266 Construction 153 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500NC Dept of Commerce EDIS
    • Orange County Employment67,50067,000 66,95666,50066,000 65,61065,500 65,06265,000 64,52664,500 64,27564,00063,50063,00062,500 2007 2008 2009 2010 Jul-11NC Employment Security Commission
    • Chapel Hill Employment26,600 26,41326,40026,20026,000 25,88225,800 25,68625,600 2545325,400 25,35525,20025,00024,800 2007 2008 2009 2010 Jul-11NC Employment Security Commission
    • 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 45,000 50,000 5,000 40,000 0 Alamance Alleghany Ashe Beaufort Bladen Buncombe Cabarrus Camden Caswell Chatham Chowan Cleveland Chatham Craven Currituck Davidson Duplin Edgecombe Cumberland Franklin Durham Gates Granville Guilford Harnett HendersonUS Dept of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis Hoke Iredell Johnston Lee Lincoln Macon Martin Mitchell Moore New Hanover Onslow Mecklenburg Pamlico Pender Orange Person Polk Richmond Rockingham Rutherford Scotland Stokes Swain Tyrrell Vance Warren Wake Watauga Wilkes Per Capita Income by County Yadkin
    • Per Capita Income Change 2007-2009 Durham-Chapel Hill, NC (MSA) 0.6% -5.6% Wake Randolph 0.7% Person 3.7% Orange 3.6% -7.5% Mecklenburg -3.1% Johnston -0.8% Durham -2.0% Chatham -2.4% Alamance -0.3% North CarolinaUS Dept of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis
    • Orange Co Income Levels by Household $200,000+ Less than $150,000 to $199,999 8% $10,000 6% 11% $100,000 to $10,000 to $149,999 $34,999 13% 25% $75,000 to $99,999 $35,000 to 11% $74,999 26%NC Department of Commerce
    • % Change in Orange Co Income ‘08 -v- ‘09 -2.4% $200,000 or more $150,000 to $199,999 6.5% -7.6%$100,000 to $149,999 $75,000 to $99,999 3.0% -4.3%$50,000 to $74,999 $35,000 to $49,999 4.0% -6.2% $25,000 to $34,999 -6.5% $15,000 to $24,999 $10,000 to $14,999 15.0% Less than $10,000 12.9%-10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%US Census Bureau
    • % Change in Orange Co Income ‘08 -v- ‘09 -2.4% $200,000 or more $150,000 to $199,999 6.5% -7.6%$100,000 to $149,999 $75,000 to $99,999 3.0% -4.3%$50,000 to $74,999 $35,000 to $49,999 4.0% -6.2% $25,000 to $34,999 -6.5%$15,000 to $24,999 $10,000 to $14,999 15.0% Less than $10,000 12.9%-10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%US Census Bureau
    • 2010 Orange County Population by Race Native American 0.4% Asian 6.7% Latino/Hispanic 8.2% African American 11.9% White 74.4% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0%U.S. Census Bureau
    • 2010 Orange County Population by Race 100% 90% 80.1% 77.4% 74.4% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 15.7% 13.7% 11.9% 10% 8.2% 2.5% 4.1% 0% 0.3% 4.4% 6.7% 1990 2000 2010 White African American Latino/Hispanic AsianU.S. Census Bureau
    • Minority Race/Ethnicity African American Hispanic or Latino Asian 35.00% 30.00% 29.5% 25.00% 21.5% 20.00% 15.00% 13.8% 11.9% 11.9% 10.1% 9.7% 10.00% 8.2% 8.2% 8.4% 6.6% 6.4% 6.7% 5.00% 1.7% 2.2% 0.00% CarrboroU.S. Census Bureau Hillsborough Chapel Hill Orange County NC
    • Educational Attainment Orange County North Carolina United States 89.6% 90 82.9% 84.5% 80 70 55.4% 60 50 40 25.6% 27.4% 30 20 10 0 High School Graduate (or Bachelors Degree (or higher) higher)U.S. Census Bureau
    • High School Graduation Rates CHCCS 4-year CHCCS 5-year OCS 4-year OCS 5-year NC 4-year NC 5-year 95% 93.0% 90% 88.3% 85% 84.4% 82.8% 80% 77.7% 77.7% 75% 70% 65% 60% 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08N.C. Dept of Public Instruction
    • Percent of Children Receiving Free or ReducedPrice Lunch by School (Chapel Hill-CarrboroSchools) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 47% 48% 47% 50% 39% 35% 40% 23% 23%25% 23% 27% 26%22%22% 30% 17% 21%22% 20% 13% 10% 0%N.C Dept of Public Instruction
    • Percent of Children Receiving Free or ReducedPrice Lunch by School (Orange County Schools) 100% 89% 94% 90% 80% 70% 66% 60% 57% 50% 42% 40% 46% 39% 34% 34% 40% 33% 30% 20% 20% 20% 10% 0%N.C Dept of Public Instruction
    • Percent of Students Receiving Free orReduced Lunch Orange County CHCCS 45% 40% 39.0% 35% 32.6% 30% 25% 25.6% 20% 15% 21.7% 10% 5% 0% 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10N.C Dept of Public Instruction
    • Location of Orange County HousingUnits Carrboro Hillsborough Chapel Hill Rest of County 9,258, 16% 21,492, 39 % 2,593, 5% 22,254, 40 %US Census Bureau
    • Percent Renter-OccupiedRest of Orange County 18.1% Chapel Hill 52.4% Hillsborough 35.9% Carrboro 61.5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%US Census Bureau
    • Number of Homes Sold in OrangeCounty 2000 1859 1886 1797 1686 1749 1800 1600 1543 1400 1271 1200 1140 1142 1000 800 600 400 200 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Greater Chapel Hill Association of REALTORS
    • Orange County Average HousingPrices $342,740 $350,000 $321,326$317,847 $329,918 $300,000 $320,489 $250,000 $318,899 $298,883 $200,000 $280,592 $150,000 $262,920 $100,000 $50,000 $0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Greater Chapel Hill Association of REALTORS
    • 2010 Average Home Price $329,918 $350,000 $307,292 $300,000 $255,525 $250,000 $190,985 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 $0Greater Chapel Hill Association of REALTORS
    • 2010 Average Home Price $329,918 $350,000 $307,292 $300,000 $255,525 $250,000 $190,985 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 $0 Durham Wake Chatham OrangeGreater Chapel Hill Association of REALTORS
    • Building Permits Carrboro Chapel Hill Orange County (incl. Hillsborough) 600 500 400 300 200 135 100 45 0 41 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Home Builders Association of Durham, OrangeChatham
    • Community Home Trust Units Under Management 233 250 193 200 150 - $20.2M in assessed 100 value - $314K in property tax 50 0Community Home Trust
    • Chapel Hill/Orange Co. Hotel Occupancy 72% 69.9% 70% 68% 67.1% 66% 65.0% 63.8% 64% 62% 60% 58.9% 59.5% 58% 56% 54% 52% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD (Jun)Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
    • Chapel Hill/ Orange Co Average Daily Rate 120 $116.37 $114.77 115 110 108 $107.35 105 $101.94 $102.00 100 95 90 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD (Jun)Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
    • Chapel Hill/Orange County Lodging Statistics (2011 YTD) 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% Chapel Hill NC 2% U.S. 0% -2% -4% Occupancy Room Rate Room Demand Room RevenueChapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
    • 2010 Taxes Generated by Tourists (in Millions) 2010 • In 2010, visitors to 9 8.45 Orange County 8 generated 11.3 7 million in State and 6 5 Local Taxes 4 (including 2.92 3 sales, lodging, food & 2 beverage, gas and 1 other) 0 Local StateChapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
    • Tourism Spending in Orange County(in millions) 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Chapel Hill Orange County Visitors Bureau
    • Orange County Tourism Impact Tourism in Orange County produced $144 million in 2010, a 5.7% increase from 2009 Orange County ranked 24th in travel impact among North Carolinas 100 counties Tourism was responsible for 1610 jobs Travel generated a $27.17 million in payroll in 2010
    • Total Funding for UNCResearch $900,000,000 $803,390,675 $800,000,000 $700,000,000 $600,000,000 $500,000,000 $400,000,000 $300,000,000 $200,000,000 $248,997,990 $100,000,000 $0Office of the Vice Chancellor for Research andEconomic Development
    • UNC Cumulative New CompanyCreation 50 45 46 40 40 41 35 30 33 32 25 25 26 20 19 22 15 10 16 5 5 0 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10UNC Office of Technology Development
    • UNC Patent Application andAwards U.S. Patent Applications U.S. Patents Issued140 125120100 80 60 40 28 20 0 FY00FY01FY02FY03FY04FY05FY06FY07FY08FY09FY10UNC Office of Technology Development
    • Property Crime Rate (per 100,000) Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake8,0007,0006,0005,0004,0003,0002,0001,000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010U.S. Dept of Justice
    • Violent Crime Rate (per 100,000) Alamance Chatham Durham Orange Wake1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010U.S. Dept of Justice
    • Orange County Pregnancy Rates (per 1000 girls age 15-17)605040302010 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 White Minority TotalNC State Center for Health Statistics
    • Orange County Infant Mortality Rate 35 (per 1000 live births) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Orange County County: White County: MinorityNC State Center for Health Statistics
    • Infant Mortality Rate Comparison(per 1,000 live births) Orange County State141210 8 6 4 2 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009NC State Center for Health Statistics
    • Percent of Adults Obese (2010) North Carolina 28.6% Wake 24.4% Durham 26.4% Orange 17.9% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%NC State Center for Health Statistics
    • Percent of Adults Smoking(2010)North Carolina 19.8% Wake 16.2% Durham 14.7% Orange 13.3% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%NC State Center for Health Statistics
    • Female Breast Cancer Incidence Rate (‘03-’07, per 1,000 people) Wake 163.7 Person 131.2 Orange 181.2 Durham 156.5 Chatham 160.6 Alamance 134.1NORTH CAROLINA 149.6 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190N.C State Center for Health Statistics
    • Prostate Cancer Incidence Rate (‘03-’07, per 1,000 people) Wake 171.8 Person 159.7 Orange 158.3 Durham 186.8 Chatham 177.7 Alamance 153.0NORTH CAROLINA 153.8 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200N.C State Center for Health Statistics
    • Lung Cancer Incidence Rate (‘03-’07, per1,000 people) Wake 61.2 Person 85.7 Orange 65.1 Durham 72.7 Chatham 65.0 Alamance 76.9NORTH CAROLINA 75.8 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90N.C State Center for Health Statistics
    • Asthma in Hospital Discharges (OrangeCo., per 100,000) All Ages Ages (0-14) 135.7 140 120 92.3 97.4 92.3 100 90.1 90.1 80 69.5 72.7 65.7 57.3 55.2 60 50.9 48 50.9 50 50.3 40 20 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009N.C State Center for Health Statistics
    • Orange County Families ReceivingFood Stamps 7000 5854 6000 5000 4000 2987 3000 1684 2000 1390 1000 0Orange County Dept of Social Services
    • Water Sales and Accounts Drought 2001/02 10 Drought 24,000 2007/08 9 22,000Average Annual Sales (million gallons per day) Number of Customer Accounts 8 20,000 7 18,000 6 16,000 Reclaimed Water to 5 UNC begins 2009 14,000 4 12,000 3 10,000 FISCAL YEAR Actual Water Sales Projected Water Sales Actual Customer Accounts
    • Monthly Water & Sewer BillsAverage monthly bill based on 5,000 gallons per month use $100 18% $90 16% $80 14% $70 12% Increase Rate $60 10% $50 8% $40 6% $30 $20 4% $10 2% $0 0% Average Bill Projected Average Bill Rate Increase Projected Rate Increase
    • Commuting PatternsNC Employment Security Commission
    • Orange County CommutingPatterns Out To In From1800016000140001200010000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0NC Employment Security Commission-2006
    • UNC Employees LivingLocally Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Chapel Durham 5000 4500 4451 4000 3500 3865 3000 2500 2259 2000 1500 1447 1000 705 907 500 445 0 361 2000Chapel Hill Data Book 2010 2005 2009
    • Percent of UNC employees livinglocally Chapel Hill Carrboro Hillsborough Durham 45% 40% 39.7% 35% 36.5% 30% 25% 20% 14.9% 18.5% 15% 10% 7.2% 7.4% 5% 0% 3.7% 3.6% 2000Chapel Hill Data Book 2010 2005 2009
    • UNC Students Living Locally Chapel Hill Carrboro Durham1800016000 16,54414000 13,1891200010000 8000 6000 4000 2587 2125 2000 0 1936 1693 FY 02 FY05 FY09Chapel Hill Data Book 2010
    • Percent of UNC Students Living Locally Chapel Hill Carrboro Durham70% 65.3%60%50% 45.6%40%30%20% 10.2%10% 7.3% 7.6% 5.9% 0% 2002 2005 2009Chapel Hill Data Book 2010
    • Percent of Town of Chapel HillEmployees Living in Chapel Hill45%40% 41%35%30% 30% 27%25%20% 22%15%10% 5% 0% 1995 2004 2008 2010Chapel Hill Data Book 2010
    • Modes of Transportation (2010) Chapel Hill Orange County United States80% 75.8% 69.3%70% 64.0%60%50%40%30%20% 10.7% 10.4% 12.0% 6.5% 8.2% 6.2%10% 5.0% 5.5% 2.9% 0% drove alone (%) carpooled (%) Public Walked (%) transportation (%)US Census Bureau
    • Transit Ridership (millions)87 7.29 6.846 6.4 5.16 5.47 5.72 5.625 4.674 3.463 3.01210 FY 01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10Chapel Hill Data Book - 2010
    • Orange County Greenhouse Gas Emissions bySector Solid Industrial Waste, 1% , 2% Commercial /Institutional Transportati , 29% on, 49% Residential, 19%Orange County State of the Environment Report
    • Unemployment Rate Chapel Hill Orange County State12 10.9%10.3%10 8 7.1% 6.5% 6 6.8% 4 5.4% 2 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Jul-11NC Employment Security Commission
    • Unemployed Chapel Hill Orange County 6,000 5,000 4,972 4,000 3,000 2,000 2,200 1867 1,000 772 - 2007 2008 2009 2010 Jul-11NC Employment Security Commission
    • 2009 County Retail Data Retail Demand Retail Sales $3,000,000,000 $2,500,000,000 $2,000,000,000 $2,887,422,337 $1,863,025,918 $1,355,149,927 $1,532,958,131 $1,201,013,563 $2,742,524,973 $264,725,866 $258,724,306 $328,189,079 $1,500,000,000 $674,645,069 $1,000,000,000 $500,000,000 $0 Alamance Chatham Durham Orange PersonNC Department of Commerce
    • Orange Co. Taxable Sales(millions) $1,000 $985.3 $980 $971.6 $960 $952.2 $940 $936.5 $920 $912.1 $900 $880 $860 2006NC Department of Revenue 2007 2008 2009 2010
    • Q1+Q2 Orange Co. Taxable Sales(millions) $540 $520 $515.1 $500 $483.1 $480 $474.5 $474.5 $462.7 $460 $449.0 $440 $420 $400 Jan-June Jan-June Jan-June Jan-June Jan-June Jan-June 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011NC Department of Revenue
    • Percent Change Q1+Q2 Orange Co.Taxable Sales10% 8% 7.6% 6.6% 6% 4% 2.6% 2% 0.0% 0% -2% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 -4% -6% -5.4% -8%NC Department of Revenue
    • Some takeaways… We have a strong, well-educated work force and increasingly diverse population. Local municipalities share attributes but have key demographic differences. We are growing and will grow, but slower than our neighbors as we take a small portion of regional growth and state population growth. We have a large disparity in wealth and have seen increases in children in poverty and food stamp recipients.
    • Some takeaways… Growth in retail sales is one of our greatest economic opportunities. While we have enough water for the next 50 years, price continues to increase and a permanent emergency supply must be secured. Housing prices, while holding steady, remain high compared in other counties in the region
    • Some takeaways… Our two school districts continue to out perform their peers. Tourism and visitor spending are strong and growing. Orange County employee income is the highest and unemployment is one of the lowest in the state, but per capita retails sales lags substantially.
    • Some takeaways… Our residents are healthy and trending healthier (other than breast cancer frequency). UNC research funding remains strong and with a large economic multiplier will help mitigate the impact of state workforce reductions. Per capita income growth is outpacing our neighbors and retail sales are on the rise.
    • PARTICIPATE AND SUPPORT-Campaign for Jobs and Schools - Early Voting October 20-Orange County Development Briefing -Sept 20-Leadership Chapel Hill-Carrboro XXVI -Sept 26
    • Facebook.com/ChapelHillCarrboroChamb er  Twitter: @CarolinaChamber  Flickr.com/photos/carolinachamber LinkedIn: Chapel Hill-Carrboro Chamber group  www.carolinachamber.org