Where is the future that was predicted in 1958? This presentation looks at three trends that were forecast and didn't happen. The problem is future bias - we tend to think that the future will be like today, but it often surprising.
4. Phillip Allen MGSM Partnership Institute Manager Past Researcher Think Tank ABF Technology Forecaster IDC Masters eCommerce (eLearning) Deakin University PhD Australian Graduate School of Management Thesis – Technology Management and Innovation Economics Degree - University of Newcastle
5. Objectives Share three predictions that didn’t happen Encourage your thinking about the future Spark ideas Have a dialogue as we step through the presentation
10. Whatever happened to? Fun Jet Packs Monorails Pastel Computers Rocket Shoes Holograms Fax Machines Teleportation Good Riddance Please Come Back The Media Second Life Cold War Nokia Dog Translators Self-Cleaning House Clippy Boring
11. VHS vs Beta Case study superior technology doesn’t always win