Dmr2009 Phonographic Industry Study

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    Dmr2009 Phonographic Industry Study - Presentation Transcript

    1. DIGITAL MUSIC REPORT 2009 New BusiNess Models for a ChaNgiNg eNviroNMeNt.
    2. ifPi digital MusiC rePort 2009 Contents p3 n Introduction: Music has embraced the future with new business models – Will governments secure a future for digital content? p4 n Section 1: Shaping a new era in digital music – Digital music: key facts and figures p8 n Section 2: New business models for a changing environment – The shift to ‘music access’ – More choice in music downloads – Social networks and ad-supported services deliver - New frontiers: brands, games and merchandising – Public performance: getting fair value for music – Digital music goes global – three countries in focus Section 3: The core mission – investing in talent p18 n – Cutting through the digital noise – Adding value to artists – Broadening services – Marketing an album in the digital world – A team sharing the same vision: The manager’s view Section 4: Monetising music in an era of free – the role of ISPs and governments p22 n – A future for local music and film? France and Spain in focus – From concept to reality: governments start to move on ISP cooperation p26 n Section 5: Education – the campaign for hearts and minds – Young People, Music and the Internet – Pro-music.org – National campaigns p28 n Section 6: Creative voices speak out – When did intellectual property become free? – music managers speak out – Commerce in the era of “free” – a common challenge for creative industries p30 n Section 7: Pre-release piracy: industry steps-up action 2
    3. iNtroduCtioN Music has embraced the future with new business models – will governments secure a future for digital content? By John Kennedy, chairman testimony to the commercial value of and chief executive, ifPi. music and it will strike a chord among ISPs and mobile operators elsewhere. The recorded music industry is reinventing The second dominant theme of this report itself and its business models. Our world in is the part that record companies – also 2009 looks fundamentally different from how referred to in this report as “music” companies it looked five years ago. Record companies to reflect their expanding role – continue to have changed their whole approach to doing play in bringing to market the vast majority business, reshaped their operations and of acts that music fans enjoy. The idea that responded to the dramatic transformation in the digital world somehow diminishes the the way music is distributed and consumed. importance of music companies is simply a myth. On the contrary, in a world where a The music business, like others, goes multitude of aspiring artists are competing into 2009 under the uncertain cloud of for visibility among millions of consumers, the global economic downturn. However, the music company role can only become we are no stranger to the need to more important in the digital future. The The debate has a huge way to go, but the reform, restructure and reinvent. Record investment, skills, services and creative campaign for ISPs to act as proper partners in companies began this process many advice that labels provide remain as core helping protect intellectual property is making years ago. They are, I believe, as a result, a function of the music business as ever. progress. Governments are beginning to better placed than many other sectors to understand the scale of the challenge of trying manage through more difficult times. to monetise content in an environment where “Governments are beginning to around 95 per cent of all music is downloaded There are some very positive stories in without payment to artists or producers. this report about innovation and change accept that, in the debate over France is leading the drive towards ISP inside today’s music business. First, record ‘free content’ and engaging cooperation, understanding that it is the future companies are building an economic future ISPs in protecting intellectual of French creative industries that are at stake. based not just on selling music but on property rights, ‘doing nothing’ The UK and a growing number of countries “monetising” consumer access to it. Nokia’s have progressed along a similar route in 2008 Comes With Music service, launched in is not an option.” and momentum will build further in 2009. October 2008, embodies that concept, with John Kennedy, Chairman music free and unlimited, bundled into the and Chief Executive of IFPI This report tells the story of the music cost of a mobile phone. So do the new business as it is developing today. Music is the link-ups between music companies and ISPs, engine and heart of a large number of diverse from Sky in the UK to TDC in Denmark and businesses and demand for the product is other European ISPs. These are just tasters growing year-by-year. Music companies are of the enormous potential for licensing and changing their business models and refining Finally, there is a momentous debate going generating commercial value from music at their skills in bringing artists to an ever more on about the environment on which our every point where the consumer is likely to complex and sophisticated marketplace. business, and all the people working in it, want it. Meanwhile, as this report goes to depends. This is a debate about the future press Apple announced it had signed deals Governments are beginning to accept not just of music but of all creative industries with leading record companies to offer eight that, in the debate over “free content” and in a digital era where the very principle of million DRM-free tracks at flexible price points. engaging ISPs in protecting intellectual getting rewarded for creative work is at risk. property rights, doing nothing is not an Increasingly our partners in these ventures, option if there is to be a future for commercial The vast growth of unlawful file-sharing grappling with consumer demand problems digital content. The big question for 2009 – quite simply threatens to put the whole of their own, are seeing the opportunity of with the focus in particular on France and music sector out of business. This report adding music to the value of their offering. the UK - is what real action will result and reflects the wide consensus, from major One impressive statistic in this report is the how quick and how effective it will be in and independent record companies confirmation by Danish telecoms company reversing the devaluation of recorded music to managers and politicians, that a TDC that its music service has produced and helping return the industry to growth. new approach is needed to protect a very significant and measureable impact copyright – one that involves sharing in retaining its broadband and mobile responsibility across the value chain. phone customers. That is a powerful 3
    4. ifPi digital MusiC rePort 2009 shaping a new era in digital music. “Music has never been more important to The music industry is reinventing itself the consumer than today. Every year we are and its business models to meet new forms of seeing increased use of music and what consumer demand in an environment that has we are doing as music companies is finding been revolutionised by new technology. In 2008 new ways of playing into that interest,” says the digital music business internationally saw a Thomas Hesse, president, global digital sixth year of expansion, growing by an estimated business, Sony Music Entertainment. 25 per cent to US$3.7 billion in trade value. Another key change is the explosion of Digital platforms now account for around 20 “With the advent of the access consumer choice as music companies work per cent of recorded music sales, up from 15 model, the music industry’s to offer music in as many ways as possible. per cent in 2007. Recorded music is at the economic model is at last aligned These approaches range from à-la-carte forefront of the online and mobile revolution, with the mobile industry’s. Both download stores like iTunes and AmazonMP3 generating more revenue in percentage terms to subscription services, licensing of music through digital platforms than the newspaper, will view the world through the in games and films, merchandising, brand magazine and film industries combined. same lens - average revenue per partnerships, ad-supported streaming Music consumption is becoming far more user, commonly known as ARPU.” sites like YouTube and MySpace as well as ubiquitous and revenue streams for music collecting revenue generated by broadcast companies are expanding and diversifying. Edgar Bronfman, Chairman & and public performance rights. In 2008 Chief Executive Officer, a plethora of new channels continued to global digital revenues by industry (2008) Warner Music Group emerge, reflecting a far more complex and Digital share sophisticated commercial landscape in which consumers are being given the opportunity Games 35% to acquire music legally in many new ways. Recorded music 20% Newspapers 4% New business models A pre-eminent example of the shifting business Films 4% model is the growth of commerce around Magazines 1% “music access”, with music being bundled with other services or devices. Nokia’s Comes Sources: PWC Global Entertainment With Music phone and TDC’s PLAY are and Media Report (2008), IFPI examples of music access services launched A number of key themes underpin these in 2008. Others, rolled out mainly in Europe, changes. First is the unflagging consumer involve partnerships with ISPs and mobile demand for music. In the US, research operators. Record labels see music access by NPD Group found that total music models as a big opportunity. “A big album consumption (both licensed and unlicensed) worldwide will sell about seven million units increased by one third between 2003 and but during the course of a year many more 2007. Nielsen SoundScan reports overall people will listen to and enjoy the album,” sales in the US hit an all time high in 2008, says Rob Wells, senior vice president, digital, with music purchases across all formats Universal Music Group International: “This is totalling 1.5 billion, up 10.5 per cent. about lighting up all these other consumers.” Partnerships with technology companies are integral to the changing business model. Music industry revenues in the next few years “A big album worldwide will sell are likely to come increasingly from revenue- about seven million units but sharing deals with Internet Service Providers many more people will enjoy (ISPs), hardware manufacturers, handset the album. This is about lighting makers and other technology companies. up all these other consumers.” Technology companies look to music to add value to their services and enhance their own Rob Wells, Senior Vice business model while music companies look President, Digital, Universal to these partners for their enormous reach Music Group International into consumers’ homes and lifestyles. 4
    5. shaPiNg a New era iN digital MusiC music experience; from being part of the Michael Nash, executive vice president, digital discovery process, to music in games like strategy and business development, Warner Rock Band and Guitar Hero or recording and Music Group, believes these partnerships will play an important role in returning the music selling music at live events and so on. Our industry to growth: “There is a multi-trillion role is not to put physical discs on a shelf but dollar economy of digital connectivity, made to reach consumers wherever they are.” up of digital networks, wireless, broadband and hardware. Music is extremely important to This is also reflected in the new expertise this economy and is also the driver of a wide music companies are bringing into their range of larger industries. These industries are businesses. For example, Douglas Merrill, thinking about how to partner with the music president, digital business at EMI Music, joined industry in new ways. The health of the music the company from Google in April 2008. He industry is going to contribute significantly to says that one of the big lessons from Google the health of this trillion-dollar economy.” is to focus not on consumers’ destination sites but on the ways they discover music: Music downloads continue to grow healthily, “Social networks have been terrific for fans with AmazonMP3 joining the European market looking for bands they know, but far more broadening consumer choice. An important challenging as a way of finding new bands. development in 2008 was the licensing of We have to help fans find music wherever more online stores to sell downloads without they are and at the moment they want it. If we digital rights management (DRM), meaning can do that we will find ways to monetise it.” consumers can play the music they acquire on Nurturing and investing in talent any portable device. In January 2009, Apple announced it had signed deals with leading Along with all the dramatic changes of the record companies to offer eight million DRM- digital music revolution, however, there is free tracks at flexible price points. The move is continuity as well. Music companies, large expected to significantly boost download sales. and small, believe their primary role in all these new business partnerships is to remain the Music companies are, meanwhile, commercially main investors in new talent and developers licensing many of the most popular channels of artists’ careers. The skills, expertise, of music discovery. One of the top brands investment capacity, creative understanding in social networking, MySpace, and, above all, the ability to connect the extended from the world of music artists’ work with their audience will remain discovery into a commercial the music company’s role well into the future. “The campaign against illegal music service. Video-streaming file-sharing is a fight against the sites like YouTube are hugely “The record company has two fundamental roles perverse idea that music has no popular with consumers in search and both are from time to time undervalued and cost. That illusion of “music for of music. Music companies are misunderstood - one as an investor, the other working on licensing arrangements as a provider of skills and services,” says Martin free” is disastrous, particularly for to make these sites part of Mills, chairman of Beggars Group, one of the independent record companies the legitimate music economy UK’s largest independent record companies: producing specialised repertoire.” which respects content owners’ “These roles are always going to be required.” rights, recompenses creators Yves Riesel, President, the role of isPs and government for their work and incentivises Abeille Musique France the creation of new music. Music’s digital reinvention is happening in an (independent label) environment where the vast majority – IFPI Record labels are transforming estimates around 95 per cent – of tracks themselves in this new are downloaded without payment to rights environment, marrying traditional skills of artist holders. Online piracy is swamping the development with new expertise in reaching legitimate music business, harming sales, consumers. Elio Leoni Sceti, chief executive innovation, artists’ careers and investment of EMI Music, says this has fundamentally in repertoire. Government regulation holds changed the role, though not the value, the key to addressing this critical issue. of the music company: “We don’t just sell In 2008, France led the way internationally records any more, we act wherever people with draft legislation requiring ISPs to experience music, from digital and physical be effective partners in addressing large- formats to all the other ‘touchpoints’ of the scale copyright theft on their networks. 5
    6. ifPi digital MusiC rePort 2009 digital music: key facts and figures. n France is also seeing strong digital Music companies’ digital revenues internationally grew by an estimated 25 growth, with sales up 49 per cent in 2008. per cent in 2008 to US$3.7 billion. Digital 14.5 million online single tracks were platforms now account for around 20 per cent downloaded in 2008, up 20 per cent on of recorded music sales, up from 15 per cent 2007, while 1.4 million digital albums were in 2007. The continued growth in digital sales sold, up 27 per cent (SNEP). In addition, has helped slow down the rate of decline 12 million tracks were downloaded in 2008. in the overall market for recorded music. France is at the forefront of experiments with new “music access” models such as Single track downloads, up 24 per the revenue-sharing ventures with Neuf cent in 2008 to 1.4 billion units globally, Cegetel, SFR and Orange. The country is continue to drive the online market, but leading the world in terms of government digital albums are also growing healthily action intended to curb internet piracy. (up 37%). The top-selling digital single of 2008 was Lil Wayne’s Lollipop. n Digital music sales in Germany are showing steady growth. Online single track downloads totalled 37.4 million in 2008, A few major markets are spearheading a 22 per cent growth on 2007. Digital the digital music revolution: album sales increased by 57 per cent, totalling 4.4 million (Media n The US is the world leader in digital Control GfK International). music sales, accounting for some 50 per cent of the global digital music market Digital growth rates vary value. Single track downloads crossed sharply between the US, the one billion mark for the first time in Japan and the rest of the 2008, totalling 1.1 billion, up 27 per cent world. Digital accounted for on 2007. Digital album sales totalled 66 39 per cent of recorded music million, an increase of 32 per cent (Nielsen sales in the US in the first half SoundScan). Digital albums now account of 2008 – more than four times for 15 per cent of total album sales, higher than in Germany (9%). compared to 10 per cent in 2007. Atlantic Meanwhile the proportion of Records became the first sizeable label US consumers’ disposable to report that the majority of its revenue income spent on digital music is more than is now coming through digital channels. five times higher than in Europe. Online, US broadband users spent an average of n Japan, a predominantly mobile market, US$12.5 on music compared to US$7.8 in continues to be a notable success the UK and just US$0.6 in Spain (2007). story, with digital sales helping overall trade revenues to growth in the first Many factors account for these variations. half of 2008. 140 million mobile singles They include the different levels of mobile were sold in 2008, an increase of 26 and broadband adoption in the different per cent on the prior year (RIAJ). markets and variations in the use and ownership of technology. The differing n The UK saw the biggest increase in digital strength of the physical retail sectors are also sales in the first half of 2008 among the a factor, as well as piracy levels, credit card top markets, with sales up by 45 per cent. penetration and payment methods available 110 million single tracks were downloaded to consumers. There are also sharp contrasts in 2008, up 42 per cent on 2007. Digital in the marketing efforts by digital services in album sales also rose sharply, by 65 per different countries. Consumer trust in online cent to 10.3 million now accounting for buying also differs from country to country. 7.7 per cent of the albums market (OCC/ BPI). The country hosted the first launch of Nokia’s Comes With Music service and Amazon MP3 also expanded its service to British consumers in 2008. 6
    7. shaPiNg a New era iN digital MusiC 25% 4.0 digital music 3.7 revenues (2008). 3.5 20% 2.9 3.0 20% 2.5 US$ billions 15% 2.2 % digital 15% 2.0 10% 1.5 11% 1.2 1.0 5% 0.4 5% 0.5 2% 0% 0.0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Source: IFPI. Figures include online, mobile and subscription trade revenues. 2008 figures are estimates. Figures rounded and expressed on a fixed exchange rate. top five digital music markets (2008) top 10 digital single tracks 2008 Country Digital share No. Artist Title Sales (m units) US 39% 1 Lil Wayne Lollipop 9.1 Japan 19% 2 Thelma Aoyama Sobaniirune 8.2 UK 16% 3 Flo Rida feat. T-Pain Low 8.0 France 12% 4 Leona Lewis Bleeding Love 7.7 Germany 9% 5 Timbaland Apologize 6.2 6 Greeeen Kiseki 6.2 Source: IFPI. Figures reflect digital shares for the period of Jan-Jun 2008. 7 Katy Perry I Kissed A Girl 5.7 8 Alicia Keys No One 5.6 9 Usher feat. Young Jeezy Love In This Club 5.6 10 Chris Brown With You 5.5 Source: IFPI. Chart includes online single tracks, audio and video mastertones, ringback tones and full track downloads to mobile. Period of 12 months to November 2008. Sales figures are rounded. Combines all versions of the same song. some top digital selling artists of 2008. Alicia Keys Katy Perry Lil Wayne Flo Rida 7
    8. ifPi digital MusiC rePort 2009 the shift to ‘music access’. The music business is moving from a model existing sales. In the UK, for example, “Ultimately, we will see all sorts based only on sales to one of “monetising” research by TNS shows that total annual of products come with music – access to music. The introduction of “access” music spend averages £65, but there are home stereos, cars and potentially services is the single most important current huge variations above and below that average. development in the music business. While the Francis Keeling, commercial director, digital, televisions. Music can become an services differ in detail, they all operate on the Universal Music Group International, says this important element that enhances the same principle of offering consumers access suggests the new model will complement value of consumer electronics devices, to music, either bundled with other services others: “We want to convert people at the providing consumers with a very or as an additional subscription option. lower end of the spending spectrum through complete and satisfying experience.” deals like Comes With Music, without Nokia launched its Comes With Music service cannibalising the top end of the market.” Thomas Hesse, President, in the UK in the run-up to Christmas 2008. Global Digital Business, It is expected to be rolled out to other key Key to Comes With Music is the offer of Sony Music Entertainment markets in 2009. When consumers buy a limitless music and the combination of Nokia Comes With Music phone, they gain subscription and ownership. “Our research unlimited music access for a year and can shows that consumers will pay extra for a high-quality audio and access to a huge download songs at no additional charge. handset if they can see the benefit of gaining music catalogue, providing 1,000 pre-loaded unlimited access to music,” says Ulrich popular tracks on the handset and a PC Users access the service by downloading Jaerkel, senior vice president, digital and player. At the end of their six to 18 month a PC application which they can use to new business development EMEA, at Sony contract, users can keep up to 300 of download from the Nokia Music Store Music Entertainment, “Some shy back if there their most played tracks on any device. and subsequently transfer music to is no ownership, which is why the Comes their handset. At the end of the year With Music concept is so popular. It’s about Lennard Hoornik, corporate vice president consumers can keep all the tracks they music discovery as well as keeping songs and and head of marketing at Sony Ericsson, have downloaded and continue to update that is popular across all demographics.” says: “All mobile consumers want to have their collection with à-la-carte purchases content on their phone, but many find at the Nokia Music Store or upgrade to Sony Ericsson is also advancing the model the experience difficult, slow and time another Comes With Music handset. of “music access”. Its PlayNow™ plus consuming. With PlayNow™ plus, there service was first launched in Sweden with will be no more barriers, we’re giving It is believed that the new service can grow operator Telenor on a special edition of consumers the freedom to instantly discover, the whole music market, not merely replace Sony Ericsson Walkman phone. The service download, play and recommend all the is expected to launch in other markets in music they want - anytime, anywhere.” early 2009. PlayNow™ plus allows users to download, play and recommend music “We believe that Comes With Music PlayNow™ plus is powered by Omnifone, wherever they are and whenever they like, will transform the way people which provides music services for use directly over the mobile network. It offers enjoy music. With unlimited internationally by device vendors, mobile music access for a year, fans can network operators and broadband providers such as Vodafone, Telenor, 3 Hong Kong enjoy their favourite artists or and Vodacom. Omnifone chief executive Rob delve into new genres without Lewis says: “We believe there is an increasing having to worry about individual emphasis on services that are delivered in track or album purchases.” cooperation with device makers and we are in talks with a wide range of vendors from Tero Ojanpera, Head of in-car audio providers to personal computer Entertainment, Nokia and set-top box manufacturers that will be delivering unlimited
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