Christian futures:
 Three scenarios
Three possible futures:

   Continuing contraction

   Conservative resurgence

   Pregnancy
Three possible futures:

   Continuing contraction
       -   Shrinking numbers
       -   Wrinkling members
       -   Lo...
Three possible futures:

   Conservative resurgence
       -   Immigration fears
       -   American domination
       -  ...
Three possible futures:
   Pregnancy
       - Theological reformation
       - Missional reorientation
       - Post-natio...
Which future(s) should you
 prepare for?

  Which future seems most
            likely?

  Which future(s) should you
    ...
Christian futures:
 movements and
       institutions
Needed:
A theology of institutions and
                  movements
Institutions:

         Organizations which
    conserve the gains made
   by past social movements.
Social Movements

Organizations which call
 current institutions to make
 progress towards new
 gains.
Both movements and
               institutions...

Organize for their purpose

Need one another

Are frustrated with one
 ...
Without movements ...

Institutions stagnate ...


         Without institutions ...

Movements evaporate ... (or
 create ...
Some movements
successfully inject their
 values into the institutions
 they challenge. Then what?

             Other mov...
Vital movements
call people to passionate,
 sacrificial personal
 commitment

       Sustainable institutions
create loyal...
Movement leaders

              &

     Institutional leaders


Different skills, much overlap
          Essential friends...
Movements
Institutions




               Low Stress   High Stress
Did Jesus start a movement
 or an institution or both?

What is the status of our
 Christian movements
 today?

What is th...
What kinds of personal
 commitments do movements
 invite? How do they solicit and
 maintain commitment?

What kinds of per...
!eological movements


          &


Theological institutions
Catholic movements
Catholics as ex/inclusive
Ecclesiolae en ecclesia

Protestants as protestors
Protestants as pro-testifi...
Christian futures:
       A hopeful
       movement
What’s
emerging?
a conversation
    becoming
  a movement
Some ways to think of the church that is
emerging -
              As center a…

                              a fringe
a s...
a stage
Consider that we live in at least three
  worlds.


                                  Emerging world
                     ...
it ion
                     s
                 Tran
         L ate
                              it ion
                  ...
it ion
                     s
                 Tran
         L ate
                              it ion
                  ...
New
                                       Paradigm/

                         it ion         Model
                     s...
New
                                       Paradigm/

                         it ion         Model
                     s...
The Churches
                              of Tomorrow
               The Churches
               that are
               ...
The Churches We Love and
      Respect
                              The Churches
                              of Tomorro...
As center
Liturgical     Social Action




 Evangelical   Charismatic
a fringe
Is this “the
                          emerging
                          church?”

            pentecostal
              ...
Or are these
                          the churches
                          that are
                          emerging?...
All must deal
                          with the
                          realities of
                          today’s ...
emergence and
  convergence
Conservative
                         way
       Modern
           Crisis
Medieval
 church
                     Liberal wa...
“evangelical”



       Modern
           Crisis
Medieval
 church                        “mainline”


           from Nanc...
Increasing Polarization



                    Conservative way

Medieval church

          Modern
           Crisis


   ...
Increasing Polarization



                    Conservative way

Medieval church

          Modern
           Crisis


   ...
The Post-Liberal, Post-Evangelical
  Convergence


                    Conservative way

Medieval church

          Modern...
Conservative way
                            A Generous
                            Orthodoxy?
Modern
Crisis

            ...
Conservative way



Modern
Crisis


            Liberal way
At hea" -


a #eological movement seeking to


  transform ex$ting in%itutions


  ar&nd Jesus’ messa( of #e


  kingdom o...
Christian futures:
 A critical choice
Conventional
            Church-going
             Christians
Spiritual                   Atheists
 but not               ...
Typical Reaction
        ATTACK!       ATTACK!




              Conventional
              Church-going
               Ch...
Alternate Response
       Listen/Learn    Listen/Learn



            ?                  ?
                Conventional
  ...
“I don’t feel the need for
   religion or spirituality.”

  The New Atheists/Agnostics
I’m NOT ...
Interested in preserving
  unprovable beliefs.

Interested in defending
  religious violence.
I’m WORRIED ...

That strong religious identity
 makes people vicious.

That no spiritual identity
 makes people vulnerabl...
I’m CONFIDENT ...

Religion is the problem.

Reason is the answer.
“I’m not religious, but I’m
   spiritual.”

           The SNR/Nones ...
I’m NOT ...
I don’t believe organized
  religion has all the answers.

I don’t believe science,
  government, and
  econom...
I’m WORRIED ...

That strong religious identity
 makes people vicious.

That no spiritual identity
 makes people vacuous.
Religion:
 How [our] religion provides
            exclusive
religious goods and services
     so human souls can
        ...
From what kind of God would
 people need to be saved?

                         violent
unforgiving
              cruel
  ...
Religion:
How [our] brand provides exclusive
  religious goods and services
       so human souls can
             be save...
Spirituality:
          How God is saving
 all creation from human evil ... by
          grace, through faith,
in the way ...
The Christian Religion:
Identity: Exclusive distributorship of saving
   doctrines, rituals, or membership so souls
   can...
Christian spirituality:
Identity: A way of wisdom, compassion, and
   love so creation can be saved from human
   evil
Goa...
Religion:
Other Religions: Shouldn’t exist, a mistake,
  should be critiqued and eradicated
Other Religious Leaders: Shoul...
Spirituality:
Other Religions: Part of God’s world, should be
  understood and valued, a mix of good and
  evil in need of...
Christian futures
and Denominations
What Denominations Do Well:
Embody Ethos: Brand name, virtues
Conserve Treasures: Wisdom, values,
  memories
Support Relat...
What Denominations Can Do Better:
Evolve Ethos: Emerging identities around
  mission and values
Enhance Treasures: Keep le...
Denominational Leaders Gone Wild:
Evolve Ethos: Change your name
Enhance Treasures: Write new commitments and
  creeds to ...
Christian futures
and Denominations
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in …5
×

Christian Futures

853 views
714 views

Published on

Published in: Spiritual, News & Politics
0 Comments
0 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Views
Total views
853
On SlideShare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
5
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
38
Comments
0
Likes
0
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide
  • The Hubble Space Telescope captured this image of a violent collision of two distant galaxies which triggered massive amounts of star formations in a spectacular fireworks show.

    (Accessed on November 15, 2004 from http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/stars_galaxies/sg_images/hubble_pic_browse.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/stars_galaxies/stargazing/stargazing_image.html&h=286&w=400&sz=13&tbnid=aS9vjMk1n4QJ:&tbnh=85&tbnw=118&start=4&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dplanetary%2Bcollision%26hl%3Den%26lr%3D)

    Let’s draw a parallel. When 2 worlds collide in space, it creates a galactic fireworks show. When 2 worldviews collide, the effects are similar in the social, cultural, and spiritual realms.

    On the lower left you see the leadership paradigm belonging to modernity. On the upper right you see the leadership paradigm belonging to postmodernity. Notice these are such distinct models that there is no overlap.

    Modernity was characterized by organizations that were centralized, hierarchical, vertical, mechanistic, executive-oriented, bureaucratic, rigid and transactional. Postmodern organizations are decentralized, flattened, horizontal, team-based, organic, fluid, flexible and transformational.

    The only connector is the fact that we are in transition from one to another. And it is this period of history, the transition, that we currently find ourselves in. And it’s bound to be a painful journey for leaders who care to make the trek. But as Ronald Heifitz of Howard University’s Leadership Education Project asserted, “There are lots of things in life that are worth the pain. Leadership is one of them.” That statement could never be more true than when applied to this most challenging period of worldview transition.
  • The Hubble Space Telescope captured this image of a violent collision of two distant galaxies which triggered massive amounts of star formations in a spectacular fireworks show.

    (Accessed on November 15, 2004 from http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/stars_galaxies/sg_images/hubble_pic_browse.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/stars_galaxies/stargazing/stargazing_image.html&h=286&w=400&sz=13&tbnid=aS9vjMk1n4QJ:&tbnh=85&tbnw=118&start=4&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dplanetary%2Bcollision%26hl%3Den%26lr%3D)

    Let’s draw a parallel. When 2 worlds collide in space, it creates a galactic fireworks show. When 2 worldviews collide, the effects are similar in the social, cultural, and spiritual realms.

    On the lower left you see the leadership paradigm belonging to modernity. On the upper right you see the leadership paradigm belonging to postmodernity. Notice these are such distinct models that there is no overlap.

    Modernity was characterized by organizations that were centralized, hierarchical, vertical, mechanistic, executive-oriented, bureaucratic, rigid and transactional. Postmodern organizations are decentralized, flattened, horizontal, team-based, organic, fluid, flexible and transformational.

    The only connector is the fact that we are in transition from one to another. And it is this period of history, the transition, that we currently find ourselves in. And it’s bound to be a painful journey for leaders who care to make the trek. But as Ronald Heifitz of Howard University’s Leadership Education Project asserted, “There are lots of things in life that are worth the pain. Leadership is one of them.” That statement could never be more true than when applied to this most challenging period of worldview transition.
  • The Hubble Space Telescope captured this image of a violent collision of two distant galaxies which triggered massive amounts of star formations in a spectacular fireworks show.

    (Accessed on November 15, 2004 from http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/stars_galaxies/sg_images/hubble_pic_browse.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/stars_galaxies/stargazing/stargazing_image.html&h=286&w=400&sz=13&tbnid=aS9vjMk1n4QJ:&tbnh=85&tbnw=118&start=4&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dplanetary%2Bcollision%26hl%3Den%26lr%3D)

    Let’s draw a parallel. When 2 worlds collide in space, it creates a galactic fireworks show. When 2 worldviews collide, the effects are similar in the social, cultural, and spiritual realms.

    On the lower left you see the leadership paradigm belonging to modernity. On the upper right you see the leadership paradigm belonging to postmodernity. Notice these are such distinct models that there is no overlap.

    Modernity was characterized by organizations that were centralized, hierarchical, vertical, mechanistic, executive-oriented, bureaucratic, rigid and transactional. Postmodern organizations are decentralized, flattened, horizontal, team-based, organic, fluid, flexible and transformational.

    The only connector is the fact that we are in transition from one to another. And it is this period of history, the transition, that we currently find ourselves in. And it’s bound to be a painful journey for leaders who care to make the trek. But as Ronald Heifitz of Howard University’s Leadership Education Project asserted, “There are lots of things in life that are worth the pain. Leadership is one of them.” That statement could never be more true than when applied to this most challenging period of worldview transition.
  • The Hubble Space Telescope captured this image of a violent collision of two distant galaxies which triggered massive amounts of star formations in a spectacular fireworks show.

    (Accessed on November 15, 2004 from http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/stars_galaxies/sg_images/hubble_pic_browse.jpg&imgrefurl=http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/stars_galaxies/stargazing/stargazing_image.html&h=286&w=400&sz=13&tbnid=aS9vjMk1n4QJ:&tbnh=85&tbnw=118&start=4&prev=/images%3Fq%3Dplanetary%2Bcollision%26hl%3Den%26lr%3D)

    Let’s draw a parallel. When 2 worlds collide in space, it creates a galactic fireworks show. When 2 worldviews collide, the effects are similar in the social, cultural, and spiritual realms.

    On the lower left you see the leadership paradigm belonging to modernity. On the upper right you see the leadership paradigm belonging to postmodernity. Notice these are such distinct models that there is no overlap.

    Modernity was characterized by organizations that were centralized, hierarchical, vertical, mechanistic, executive-oriented, bureaucratic, rigid and transactional. Postmodern organizations are decentralized, flattened, horizontal, team-based, organic, fluid, flexible and transformational.

    The only connector is the fact that we are in transition from one to another. And it is this period of history, the transition, that we currently find ourselves in. And it’s bound to be a painful journey for leaders who care to make the trek. But as Ronald Heifitz of Howard University’s Leadership Education Project asserted, “There are lots of things in life that are worth the pain. Leadership is one of them.” That statement could never be more true than when applied to this most challenging period of worldview transition.
  • Christian Futures

    1. 1. Christian futures: Three scenarios
    2. 2. Three possible futures: Continuing contraction Conservative resurgence Pregnancy
    3. 3. Three possible futures: Continuing contraction - Shrinking numbers - Wrinkling members - Low retention - Low evangelization - Constrained leadership
    4. 4. Three possible futures: Conservative resurgence - Immigration fears - American domination - Terrorism fears/revenge - Playing to base - New alliances (global, ecumenical)
    5. 5. Three possible futures: Pregnancy - Theological reformation - Missional reorientation - Post-national, post-partisan identity/ethos - Spiritual-social movement (Peace, planet, poverty) - New alliances (global, ecumenical)
    6. 6. Which future(s) should you prepare for? Which future seems most likely? Which future(s) should you help create?
    7. 7. Christian futures: movements and institutions
    8. 8. Needed: A theology of institutions and movements
    9. 9. Institutions: Organizations which conserve the gains made by past social movements.
    10. 10. Social Movements Organizations which call current institutions to make progress towards new gains.
    11. 11. Both movements and institutions... Organize for their purpose Need one another Are frustrated with one another
    12. 12. Without movements ... Institutions stagnate ... Without institutions ... Movements evaporate ... (or create institutions)
    13. 13. Some movements successfully inject their values into the institutions they challenge. Then what? Other movements decide to create their own institutions. Then what?
    14. 14. Vital movements call people to passionate, sacrificial personal commitment Sustainable institutions create loyalty across generations through evocative rituals & traditions
    15. 15. Movement leaders & Institutional leaders Different skills, much overlap Essential friendships
    16. 16. Movements Institutions Low Stress High Stress
    17. 17. Did Jesus start a movement or an institution or both? What is the status of our Christian movements today? What is the status of our Christian institutions?
    18. 18. What kinds of personal commitments do movements invite? How do they solicit and maintain commitment? What kinds of personal commitments do institutions invite? How do they solicit and maintain them?
    19. 19. !eological movements & Theological institutions
    20. 20. Catholic movements Catholics as ex/inclusive Ecclesiolae en ecclesia Protestants as protestors Protestants as pro-testifiers Protestant movements and institutions
    21. 21. Christian futures: A hopeful movement
    22. 22. What’s emerging?
    23. 23. a conversation becoming a movement
    24. 24. Some ways to think of the church that is emerging - As center a… a fringe a stage a n d a r a n g e.
    25. 25. a stage
    26. 26. Consider that we live in at least three worlds. Emerging world NOW Modern world Pre-modern world Non-modern world
    27. 27. it ion s Tran L ate it ion ra ns Old yT rl Ea Paradigm/ Model
    28. 28. it ion s Tran L ate it ion ra ns Old yT rl Ea Paradigm/ Model
    29. 29. New Paradigm/ it ion Model s Tran L ate it ion ra ns Old yT rl Ea Paradigm/ Model
    30. 30. New Paradigm/ it ion Model s Tran L ate it ion ra ns Old yT rl Ea Paradigm/ Model
    31. 31. The Churches of Tomorrow The Churches that are emerging The Churches We Know
    32. 32. The Churches We Love and Respect The Churches of Tomorrow The Churches that are emerging The Churches We Know
    33. 33. As center
    34. 34. Liturgical Social Action Evangelical Charismatic
    35. 35. a fringe
    36. 36. Is this “the emerging church?” pentecostal A new “slice Anglican of the pie?” catholic baptist
    37. 37. Or are these the churches that are emerging? pentecostal reformed A new ring on catholic the tree… baptist
    38. 38. All must deal with the realities of today’s world pentecostal reformed catholic baptist PLANET POVERTY PEACE RELIGION
    39. 39. emergence and convergence
    40. 40. Conservative way Modern Crisis Medieval church Liberal way from Nancey Murphy, “Beyond Liberalism and Fundamentalism”
    41. 41. “evangelical” Modern Crisis Medieval church “mainline” from Nancey Murphy, “Beyond Liberalism and Fundamentalism”
    42. 42. Increasing Polarization Conservative way Medieval church Modern Crisis Liberal way
    43. 43. Increasing Polarization Conservative way Medieval church Modern Crisis Liberal way
    44. 44. The Post-Liberal, Post-Evangelical Convergence Conservative way Medieval church Modern Postmodern Crisis Interruption Liberal way
    45. 45. Conservative way A Generous Orthodoxy? Modern Crisis A Missional Liberal way Church?
    46. 46. Conservative way Modern Crisis Liberal way
    47. 47. At hea" - a #eological movement seeking to transform ex$ting in%itutions ar&nd Jesus’ messa( of #e kingdom of God
    48. 48. Christian futures: A critical choice
    49. 49. Conventional Church-going Christians Spiritual Atheists but not Agnostics Religious
    50. 50. Typical Reaction ATTACK! ATTACK! Conventional Church-going Christians Spiritual Atheists but not Agnostics Religious
    51. 51. Alternate Response Listen/Learn Listen/Learn ? ? Conventional Church-going Christians Spiritual Atheists but not Agnostics Religious
    52. 52. “I don’t feel the need for religion or spirituality.” The New Atheists/Agnostics
    53. 53. I’m NOT ... Interested in preserving unprovable beliefs. Interested in defending religious violence.
    54. 54. I’m WORRIED ... That strong religious identity makes people vicious. That no spiritual identity makes people vulnerable to persecution by the religious.
    55. 55. I’m CONFIDENT ... Religion is the problem. Reason is the answer.
    56. 56. “I’m not religious, but I’m spiritual.” The SNR/Nones ...
    57. 57. I’m NOT ... I don’t believe organized religion has all the answers. I don’t believe science, government, and economics have all the answers either.
    58. 58. I’m WORRIED ... That strong religious identity makes people vicious. That no spiritual identity makes people vacuous.
    59. 59. Religion: How [our] religion provides exclusive religious goods and services so human souls can be saved from God.
    60. 60. From what kind of God would people need to be saved? violent unforgiving cruel capricious tribal or racist
    61. 61. Religion: How [our] brand provides exclusive religious goods and services so human souls can be saved from God.
    62. 62. Spirituality: How God is saving all creation from human evil ... by grace, through faith, in the way of wisdom, compassion, and love, inviting our participation.
    63. 63. The Christian Religion: Identity: Exclusive distributorship of saving doctrines, rituals, or membership so souls can be saved from God Goal: Converts, believers, souls in heaven, political power Jesus: blessings for members, condemnation for non-members Clergy: Priests & pastors to and for members Laity: Consumers, satisfied customers become marketers Focus: One hour per week Social Cohesion: In-group vs. Out-group, us vs. them
    64. 64. Christian spirituality: Identity: A way of wisdom, compassion, and love so creation can be saved from human evil Goal: A world healed and transformed Jesus: Blessings for learners so they can bring blessings to everyone Leaders: Training fellow-learners to be priests and pastors to all humanity Learners: Being presence and agents of Christ, inviting and including others Focus: Way of life and goodness lived every day Social Cohesion: Come-on-in group, some of us for all of us
    65. 65. Religion: Other Religions: Shouldn’t exist, a mistake, should be critiqued and eradicated Other Religious Leaders: Should be rejected, mocked, vilified, discredited Other Religious Beliefs & Practices: Should be feared and avoided as competition with and contradiction to our own People of other religions: Seek to avoid or convert and assimilate. If they won’t convert, ignore, shame, or inconvenience. If they become a threat, defeat and “cleanse” them.
    66. 66. Spirituality: Other Religions: Part of God’s world, should be understood and valued, a mix of good and evil in need of growth and maturity - just as ours is Other Religious Leaders: Should be respected, honored, appreciated Other Religious Beliefs & Practices: May have much to teach us, similarities and differences may help us appreciate our own People of other religions: Receive the gifts they offer, offer the gifts we have; seek mutual understanding; collaborate for the common good of all
    67. 67. Christian futures and Denominations
    68. 68. What Denominations Do Well: Embody Ethos: Brand name, virtues Conserve Treasures: Wisdom, values, memories Support Relationships: Local, regional, national, global Protect Physical Assets: Buildings, colleges, camps, properties, etc. Protect Human Assets: Professional development, insurance, pensions, etc. See/Solve Problems: Financial, demographic, etc. Setting Policies: Ordination, discipline, etc., so bad things don’t happen again.
    69. 69. What Denominations Can Do Better: Evolve Ethos: Emerging identities around mission and values Enhance Treasures: Keep learning, adding Expand Relationships: Age, race, culture, class Leverage Physical Assets: For mission, sometimes through liquidation Develop Human Assets: Recruitment, networking, training, support See/Set New Goals: For mission, transformation, formation Creating New Policy Zones: So creative things can start happening again.
    70. 70. Denominational Leaders Gone Wild: Evolve Ethos: Change your name Enhance Treasures: Write new commitments and creeds to support them Expand Relationships: Recruit talent outside your denomination, race, class, culture Leverage Physical Assets: Direct funds from asset sales into new church development Develop Human Assets: Give everyone an annual 4-week learning sabbatical See/Set New Goals: Focus on behaviors, not results Creating New Policy Zones: Create a future denomination alongside/within the present one
    71. 71. Christian futures and Denominations

    ×