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BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas
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BNC_Tech_Forum_Andrew_Savikas

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  • 1. The Future of Publishing
  • 2. photo credit: Andres Rueda
  • 3. “The Future is here -- it’s just not evenly distributed yet” William Gibson
  • 4. photo credit: moon angel
  • 5. US Trade Wholesale Ebook Sales
  • 6. oreilly canary.com
  • 7. Doctorow’s Law “If someone takes something that belongs to you, and puts a lock on it that you don't have a key for, that lock isn't in your best interests.”
  • 8. bookworm.oreilly.com
  • 9. 1,000,000,000,000 13,000,000,000
  • 10. “Demand for products not available in traditional bricks and mortar stores is potentially as big as for those that are [because of limits on shelf space]” -- Chris Anderson
  • 11. Printed Book Sales Long Tail 6% Short Head 94%
  • 12. Safari Page Views Long Tail 23% Short Head 77%
  • 13. Web = Free?!
  • 14. Do People Really Pay? Internet access fees: $25.8 Billion Music: $2.3 Billion Games: $1.8 Billion Video Downloads: $353 Million Mobile Email and Alerts: $1.3 Billion 2007 Figures from Veronis Suhler Stevenson “Communications Industry Forecast”
  • 15. “Free is more complicated than you might think” -- Scott Adams, creator of “Dilbert”
  • 16. A few years ago I tried an experiment where I put the entire text of my book, quot;God's Debris,quot; on the Internet for free, after sales of the hard copy and its sequel, quot;The Religion Warquot; slowed. My hope was that the people who liked the free e-book would buy the sequel. According to my fan mail, people loved the free book. I know they loved it because they emailed to ask when the sequel would also be available for free. For readers of my non-Dilbert books, I inadvertently set the market value for my work at zero. Oops. [emphasis added]
  • 17. photo credit: bala
  • 18. Linux Network Adminstrator’s Guide: $3M Writing Linux Device Drivers: $1.6M Using Samba: $1.3M Asterisk: The Definitive Guide: $500K Version Control with Subversion: $300K Real World Haskell: $128K (in first 2 months)
  • 19. realworldhaskell.org/read
  • 20. 7500 comments during book development, 2000 more since publication Only 10% were anonymous 21 people left at least 75 comments
  • 21. missingmanuals.com/iphone_app/get
  • 22. BookScan POS Data
  • 23. photo credit: moon angel
  • 24. ALL publishing is now digital These aren’t print books you happen to sell digitally, these are digital books you might happen to also sell in print
  • 25. bookglutton.com
  • 26. TV and Radio “The first TV shows were basically radio programs on the television — until someone realized that TV was a whole new medium. Ebooks should not just be print books delivered electronically.”
  • 27. “The best way to predict the future is to invent it.” -- Alan Kay
  • 28. More information http://tinyurl.com/bnc09links toc.oreilly.com radar.oreilly.com toccon.com oreilly.com/ebooks twitter.com/toc twitter.com/andrewsavikas
  • 29. “Because early experiments can be highly influential, companies that hope to be eventual industry leaders must think carefully about the precedents they set during this period.” -- Michael Porter, Harvard

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