Hear Bluefield analyst, Erin Bonney, discuss the top five key takeaways from our new report titled U.S. Municipal Wastewater & Reuse: Market Trends, Opportunities and Forecasts, 2015-2025. Learn more about the report's findings at bluefieldresearch.com.
Top Five Takeaways: U.S. Municipal Wastewater & Reuse
1. ADVANCED WATER TREATMENT & DESALINATION INSIGHT SERVICE
GREENFIELD + WATER = BLUEFIELD
Photo
credit:
eigene
Aufnahmen
FOCUS
REPORT
US
Municipal
Wastewater
&
Reuse:
Market
Trends,
Opportuni2es,
&
Forecasts,
2015-‐2025
July
2015
2. US
Municipal
Wastewater
and
Reuse:
Market
Trends,
OpportuniAes,
and
Forecasts
2015
–
2025
ADVANCED WATER TREATMENT & DESALINATION
ANALYST PRESENTATION
2
!!!!!!US!Municipal!Wastewater!&!Reuse:"Market'Trends,'Opportuni2es,'&'Forecasts,'2015:2025'
ADVANCED WATER TREATMENT & DESALINATION
FOCUS REPORT
14
US Market Attractiveness Drivers
Policy
Drivers
Available
Funding
Historical
Experience
Water
Scarcity
Market
Attractiveness
California High
Florida High
Texas High
Arizona Medium
Colorado Medium
Georgia Medium
Oklahoma Medium
Nevada Low
New
Mexico
Low
Market Inhibitor Limited Impact Improving Conditions Market Driver
Acute water stress shapes near-term development.
• California’s extreme drought conditions have sparked a
wave of infrastructure investment and planned reuse
projects.
• Texas has undergone a significant shift after recent rainfall,
moving it from a near-term to long-term market opportunity,
strengthened by a transparent water plan focused on
statewide water risks.
• More than US$1.98 billion of funding for reuse has been
made available in California and Texas to address drought.
Policy measures impact long-term outlook.
• Florida has made wastewater reuse development a state-
wide priority since 1989 to mitigate aquifer saltwater
intrusion and environmental contamination. Regulators
continue to pass reuse initiatives, including the 2013
mandate that the Florida Department of Environmental
Protection produce a feasibility study to expand reuse.
• Arizona’s water management strategy focused on banking
water limits its overall opportunity for other applications.
• Nevada policies are dictated by Colorado River entitlements
and capturing credits by returning water back to surface
water sources.
Distinct regulatory environments, infrastructure investment, and water environments segment the
markets of opportunity.
Source: Bluefield Research
Analysis
!!!!!!US!Municipal!Wastewater!&!Reuse:"Market'Trends,'Opportuni2es,'&'Forecasts,'2015:2025'
ADVANCED WATER TREATMENT & DESALINATION
FOCUS REPORT
Nine
Leading
States
Potable
vs.
Non-Potable
Reclaimed
Water
Applications
Potable
Reuse
Regulations
Water
Stressed
US States*
US Global
Footprint
2015Market
Landscape
2015–2025Market
USOutlook
Potable
vs.
Non-Potable
Capacity
Additions
Capital
Expenditures
The US Municipal Wastewater Landscape, 2015-2025
The US$9.6 billion outlook for US municipal reuse is built on a series of critical factors already in
place in 2015, including more than 247 projects in the development pipeline.
Treatment
Systems
46%
Pipe
Networks
48%
Other 6%
US9.6
Billion
Florida
55%
California
27%
Texas 6%
Other States
12%
8.9
Million
m3/d
Non-Potable
73%
Potable
27%
8.9
Million
m3/d
Rest of World
62%
US
38%
9 States
93%
41 States 7%
Irrigation
66%
Industry 16%
Potable 15%
No Regulations
39 States
Limited Stress
70.4%
IPR Regulations
11 States
Moderate to
Exceptional Drought
29.6%
Indirect Potable
Reuse
99%
Note: Water Stress was measure in May 2015
Source: NOAA, Bluefield Research
9
!!!!!!US!Municipal!Wastewater!&!Reuse:"Market'Trends,'Opportuni2es,'&'Forecasts,'2015:2025'
ADVANCED WATER TREATMENT & DESALINATION
FOCUS REPORT
45
State-by-State Capacity Forecasts, 2015-2025
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
M3/d(thousands)
Rest of the US
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Georgia
Arizona
Nevada
Colorado
Texas
California
Florida
• Bolstered by Miami- Dade wastewater infrastructure
projects through 2025 Florida will add 4.9 million m3/d
of capacity. Florida Power and Light’s (FPL) Turkey
Point Nuclear Power Plant offtake from the Miami-
Dade South District wastewater plant will account for
340,700 m3/d of capacity by 2021.
• California will represents 27% of total additions that
will increase if drought conditions persist, but the real
impact of San Diego Pure Water plant will be after the
forecast period when the remaining 219,600 m3/d is
expected by 2035.
• California’s ramp up in 2025 is driven by several large
scale projects set to come online including the
216,000 m3/d Hyperion MBR project.
• The near-term Texas forecast has been pushed back
to account for the 2015 rains, but political and
industrial momentum will enable momentum more
than 560,000 m3/d of additions through 2025.
• Outside of the leading states, the remainder will add
1.0 million m3/d, led by Colorado’s 400,000 m3/d.
Analysis
Florida and California represent 82%, or 7.3 million m3/d, of total forecasted capacity additions
through 2025, building on their significant share of current capacity to date.
Forecasted Wastewater Reuse Capacity Additions by State
Source: Bluefield Research
ADVANCED WATER TREATMENT & DESALINATION INSIGHT SERVICE
GREENFIELD + WATER = BLUEFIELD
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%
US&Municipal&Wastewater&&&Reuse:""
Market'Trends,'Opportuni2es,'&'Forecasts,'2015:2025'
%
June%2015%
%
%
'
US Municipal Wastewater and Reuse Report Published July 2015
US Municipal Wastewater & Reuse: Market
Trends, Opportunities and Forecasts,
2015-2025
Publication Date: July 2015
This Focus Report highlights the following:
• A 2015–2025 forecast of municipal wastewater
reuse in the US by key state, capital investment,
and technology adoption totaling $11.0B of CAPEX
• Bottom-up assessment of the 247 projects in the
pipeline by state and status
• In-depth analysis of state and federal regulatory
environments influencing the deployment of
wastewater reuse
• More than 40 profiles and analysis of 9 key states
and 32 water districts.
• Industrial users of reclaimed water and trends for
greater adoption
Bluefield’s 140-page report is designed to support companies addressing wastewater reuse in the U.S.
with in-depth analysis, detailed project data, and ten year forecasts with a transparent methodology.
3. US
Municipal
Wastewater
and
Reuse:
Market
Trends,
OpportuniAes,
and
Forecasts
2015
–
2025
ADVANCED WATER TREATMENT & DESALINATION
ANALYST PRESENTATION
Key Report Takeaways
3
1. Municipal wastewater reuse to increase 61% by 2025, requiring US$11.0 billion of capital
expenditures.
2. 94% of reuse projects expected to take place in nine states, headlined by Florida and
California.
3. More than 247 reuse projects in various stages of planning in the US.
4. Potable reuse, the process of treating wastewater to drinking water currently makes up
15% of total capacity and is expected to increase to 19% of total water reuse by 2025.
5. More than 94% of California's project pipeline is located in seven counties.
4. US
Municipal
Wastewater
and
Reuse:
Market
Trends,
OpportuniAes,
and
Forecasts
2015
–
2025
ADVANCED WATER TREATMENT & DESALINATION
ANALYST PRESENTATION
4
Municipal Wastewater & Reuse Landscape
Source: Bluefield Research
Potable
15%
Industrial
16%
Irrigation
69%
• Reclaimed water is expected to grow 61% by
2025.
• Potable reuse, almost exclusively indirect, has
steadily gained momentum to reach 15% of the
total flows through membrane technology
advancements. The first direct potable reuse
projects in the US only came online in 2013 with
more projects now in the queue.
• Risk to power plants and the energy sector have
drawn the lion’s share of reclaimed water for
industry.
• Irrigation for agriculture and landscaping,
represent 69% of total flows, are expected to
maintain a majority share of reclaimed water
use.
Bluefield’s bottom-up analysis details reclaimed water sources and applications from 2015 to 2025.
8.3 million
m3/d
2014 Municipal Wastewater Reuse Volumes Analysis
5. US
Municipal
Wastewater
and
Reuse:
Market
Trends,
OpportuniAes,
and
Forecasts
2015
–
2025
ADVANCED WATER TREATMENT & DESALINATION
ANALYST PRESENTATION
Key Report Takeaways
5
1. Municipal wastewater reuse to increase 61% by 2025, requiring US $11.0 billion of capital
expenditures.
2. 94% of reuse projects expected to take place in nine states, headlined by Florida and
California.
3. More than 247 reuse projects in various stages of planning in the US.
4. Potable reuse, the process of treating wastewater to drinking water currently makes up
15% of total capacity and is expected to increase to 19% of total water reuse by 2025.
5. More than 94% of California's project pipeline is located in seven counties.
6. US
Municipal
Wastewater
and
Reuse:
Market
Trends,
OpportuniAes,
and
Forecasts
2015
–
2025
ADVANCED WATER TREATMENT & DESALINATION
ANALYST PRESENTATION
6
Reused Wastewater Flows in the US by State, 2014
Sunbelt states– from southern California to Florida– dominate the US municipal wastewater reuse
landscape, built on surging populations and economic growth in recent decades.
Source: Bluefield Research
• Four states – Florida, California, Texas, Arizona –
make up 82% of wastewater reuse in the US.
• Florida, the market leader in the US for wastewater
reuse, currently reuses 2.72 million m3/d of reclaimed
water and has the most mature reuse program that
was initiated more than 30 years ago.
• As California moves toward its fifth year of drought, a
host of mandates, infrastructure investment, and
growing project pipeline are expected to boost its
current 31% share of market.
• Arizona is unique, and less of a growth opportunity, in
that it has focused on groundwater banking of
reclaimed water and supplying the Palo Verde nuclear
power plant.
Reused Wastewater Flows in the US by State, 2014
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
m3/d(million)
Analysis
7. US
Municipal
Wastewater
and
Reuse:
Market
Trends,
OpportuniAes,
and
Forecasts
2015
–
2025
ADVANCED WATER TREATMENT & DESALINATION
ANALYST PRESENTATION
Key Report Takeaways
7
1. Municipal wastewater reuse to increase 61% by 2025, requiring US $11.0 billion of capital
expenditures.
2. 94% of reuse projects expected to take place in nine states, headlined by Florida and
California.
3. More than 247 reuse projects in various stages of planning in the US.
4. Potable reuse, the process of treating wastewater to drinking water currently makes up
15% of total capacity and is expected to increase to 19% of total water reuse by 2025.
5. More than 94% of California's project pipeline is located in seven counties.
8. US
Municipal
Wastewater
and
Reuse:
Market
Trends,
OpportuniAes,
and
Forecasts
2015
–
2025
ADVANCED WATER TREATMENT & DESALINATION
ANALYST PRESENTATION
8
Miami-Dade Capital Improvement Plan
Miami-Dade Reuse Activity
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
US$million
General Obligation Bond (GOB) Water and Wastewater
Water
Wastewater
7,412
Miami-Dade County Water and Sewer Department (MDWSD) a central focus for water solutions
providers.
Source: Bluefield Research
• Miami-Dade County’s compliance with the Ocean
Outfall Legislation represents the single largest
water reuse initiative in the country.
• Miami Dade is expected to invest US$5.1 billion in
wastewater infrastructure.
• US$3.3 billion of investments planned for
expanding the reuse systems in order to comply
with Ocean Outfall Legislation.
• More than 32 companies have targeted the
market, highlighting the scale of the opportunity.
Analysis
9. US
Municipal
Wastewater
and
Reuse:
Market
Trends,
OpportuniAes,
and
Forecasts
2015
–
2025
ADVANCED WATER TREATMENT & DESALINATION
ANALYST PRESENTATION
Key Report Takeaways
9
1. Municipal wastewater reuse to increase 61% by 2025, requiring US $11.0 billion of capital
expenditures.
2. 94% of reuse projects expected to take place in nine states, headlined by Florida and
California.
3. More than 247 reuse projects in various stages of planning in the US.
4. Potable reuse, the process of treating wastewater to drinking water currently makes up
15% of total capacity and is expected to increase to 19% of total water reuse by 2025.
5. More than 94% of California's project pipeline is located in seven counties.
10. US
Municipal
Wastewater
and
Reuse:
Market
Trends,
OpportuniAes,
and
Forecasts
2015
–
2025
ADVANCED WATER TREATMENT & DESALINATION
ANALYST PRESENTATION
10
Forecasted Capacity Additions
Source: Bluefield Research
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
m3/d(thousands)
Potable
Non Potable
• Potable reuse projects, both direct and indirect,
are expected to account for 2.5 million m3/d of the
total 10.1 million m3/d of capacity additions
between 2015 and 2025.
• The growth in potable reuse is largely driven by
several large-scale projects in planning, including
the 56,780 m3/d Pure Water San Diego Project to
recharge the San Vicente Reservoir expected
online in 2023.
• In the near term, smaller potable reuse projects
are expected to come online in response to
scarcity in California and localized water stress in
Texas.
Analysis
Still in its infancy in the US, potable reuse is expected to scale in second half of the forecast period to
reaching 25% of added capacity in 2025.
Forecasted Potable Reuse Capacity Additions
11. US
Municipal
Wastewater
and
Reuse:
Market
Trends,
OpportuniAes,
and
Forecasts
2015
–
2025
ADVANCED WATER TREATMENT & DESALINATION
ANALYST PRESENTATION
Key Report Takeaways
11
1. Municipal wastewater reuse to increase 61% by 2025, requiring US $11.0 billion of capital
expenditures.
2. 94% of reuse projects expected to take place in nine states, headlined by Florida and
California.
3. More than 247 reuse projects in various stages of planning in the US.
4. Potable reuse, the process of treating wastewater to drinking water currently makes up
15% of total capacity and is expected to increase to 19% of total water reuse by 2025.
5. More than 94% of California's project pipeline is located in seven counties
12. US
Municipal
Wastewater
and
Reuse:
Market
Trends,
OpportuniAes,
and
Forecasts
2015
–
2025
ADVANCED WATER TREATMENT & DESALINATION
ANALYST PRESENTATION
California’s 2.3 million m3/d project pipeline is dominated by Los Angeles County, where urban water
use, population growth, and drought combine for the greatest demand.
12
SoCal Represents Market Epicenter
San Diego
.378
Riverside
.227
San Bernardino
.174
Stanislaus
.075
Santa Clara
.113
Fresno
.037
San Francisco
.022
Orange
.022
Sacramento
.018
Monterrey
15.1
Yolo
.011
Contra Costa
.0113
Marin
<.01
Merced
<.01
Napa
<.01
Ventura
<.01
Los Angeles
1.222
• Geographically, more than 94% of California’s
project pipeline is located in seven counties.
• Seven counties, led by Los Angeles, have more
than 37,000 m3/d in planned capacity additions.
• Reinforcing the trend toward urban reuse, the
large majority of activity is in the more
populated coastal counties and greater
metropolitan areas of Los Angeles, San
Francisco, and San Diego.
• Eight projects greater than 45,000 m3/d are
planned for Los Angeles County, headlined by
the Joint Water Pollution Control plant and the
Hyperion MBR project which are system
upgrades.
Analysis
Circle size represents planned
capacity additions, million m3/d
Planned Reuse Projects in California by County
Source: Bluefield Research
13. US
Municipal
Wastewater
and
Reuse:
Market
Trends,
OpportuniAes,
and
Forecasts
2015
–
2025
ADVANCED WATER TREATMENT & DESALINATION
ANALYST PRESENTATION
ADVANCED WATER TREATMENT & DESALINATION
INSIGHT SERVICE
CLIENT FOCUS: This Insight Service is designed for companies involved in
the supply, purchase or integration of water and wastewater treatment
technologies, including:
• Municipal and water utilities tracking new players and technologies
• Business development and strategy executives at manufacturers and
integrators of water and wastewater treatment systems, components
• EPC and water project developers seeking new supply relationships or
strategic or vertical partnerships
• Large industrial water users searching for optimal supply solutions
• Investors targeting new business models in water treatment and re-use
RESEARCH COVERAGE: a 12-month cycle of data- and analytics-driven
research provided in multiple formats to support client strategies, covering:
• Desalination market trends including new projects, emerging brackish
water applications, and cost drivers
• Growth of water and wastewater treatment markets by segment
(membrane, chemical, thermal, etc), by vertical market, and by region
• Water re-use strategies and market acceptance by sector
• In-depth insight into industrial treatment markets including mining, oil &
gas, fracking, power, agriculture, and manufacturing
• Technology trends in materials, processes, and energy efficiency
• Supplier rankings and market share by segment and region
• Supply chain shifts and tracking of new entrants
METRICS: primary research and analysis is supported by proprietary market,
project and company databases updated continuously:
• WT, WWT and desalination project databases ( technology, supplier)
• EPC and equipment supplier databases
• Industrial segment project databases (mining, O&G, power, etc)
• Rigorous market forecasts detailing models, assumptions, and detailed
scenarios
Insight Service Description
WATER SOLUTIONS COVERED:
Business
Models
Cost
Drivers
M&A
Activity
Regulatory
Activity
Market
Share
MARKET SEGMENTS COVERED:
Industrial Water
Municipal Water
• Power Gen
• Oil & Gas
• Mining
• Chemicals
• Food & Beverage
Water Reuse
Water
Treatment
Wastewater
Treatment
Desalination
Agriculture
SELECT LIST OF COMPANIES COVERED:
13