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Shift to the future – the technological disruption of learning and work - cio executive summit (2013)
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Shift to the future – the technological disruption of learning and work - cio executive summit (2013)


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We live in unprecedented times... technology is disrupting learning and work as we know it. Machines are taking over more and more jobs and we need to be preparing this generation for a very …

We live in unprecedented times... technology is disrupting learning and work as we know it. Machines are taking over more and more jobs and we need to be preparing this generation for a very uncertain unpredictable rapidly changing world. Education needs to shift to a world of abundant knowledge, leveraged through networks, and knowledge engines. CIO's need to be futurists and guides for their organizations to lead them forward into the future.

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  • 1. Brian KuhnDirector of Technology / CIOVancouver School / @bkuhnMy Coordinates…http://www.shift2future.com to the Future: The TechnologicalDisruption of Learning and # 22796717#evantaCIO
  • 2. We live inunprecedentedtimes! # 17723170
  • 3. “Late in the 1800s, during the IndustrialRevolution, business leaders began complainingabout all these rural kids who were pouringinto the cities and going to work in ourfactories. Business leaders said that these kidswere no good, and that what they needed wasan educational system that would produce"industrial discipline.” (paraphrase: show up,be on time, follow rules), Alvin Toffler
  • 4. “How does that system fit into a worldwhere assembly lines have gone away?It doesnt. The public school system isdesigned to produce a workforce for aneconomy that will not be there. Andtherefore, with all the best intentions inthe world, were stealing the kidsfuture.”, Alvin Toffler
  • 5. “If you make some very logical, and evenconservative, assumptions about wheretechnology is likely to lead in the comingyears, much of the conventional wisdomabout what the future will look likebecomes unsupportable” The Lights in the Tunnel (Kindle222)
  • 6. History has proven time and again that, wheretechnology is concerned, something can beimpossible since the dawn of civilization andthen suddenly, in the blink of an eye, becomepossible. The Lights in the Tunnel (Kindle 2998)
  • 7. © Designs by Shell
  • 8. PRINTING PRESS (1440) the beginning of abundance andelimination of scarcity…The Pencil (1560)two hundred years for thedevice to be completed withthe invention of the eraser –Where Good Ideas Come From (Kindle 2888)Shift to digital - sign an invoicefor a furnace repair using yourfinger on the repair guy’s iPhone
  • 9. MECHANICAL CALCULATOR (1645)Shift to digital - its anapp, a web page; earlyelectronic calculators were$1000 - some schools hada lab of them, now they’refree!TELEGRAPH (1838)Shift to digital - e-mail,texting, Facebook,Twitter, etc.
  • 10. TYPEWRITER (1868) to digital - touch, voice,and hand motion
  • 11. TELEPHONE (1876) to digital - personaldigital assistant, thephone has disappearedamongst a powerfulgeneral purposecomputer in your handTELEVISION (1927), Movie, Radio,Web, Video Phone,Apps, …
  • 12. INTERNET (1970--1975) # 15885386“The Web provides a platform for networking human minds.Printing allowed people to know. The Web enables people tocollaborate and to learn collectively.” Macrowikinomics (kindle 566)
  • 13. “Most long-range forecasts of what istechnically feasible in future time periodsdramatically underestimate the power offuture developments because they arebased on what I call the ‘intuitive linear’view of history rather than the ‘historicalexponential’ view.” The Singularity is Near (kindle 429) # 453710“But because we’re doubling the rateof progress every decade, we’ll see theequivalent of a century of progress—attoday’s rate—in only twenty-fivecalendar years.” The Singularity is Near (kindle 442)
  • 14. # 18436318
  • 15. # 95069What is the mostprofoundtechnologicalchange youveexperienced inyour lifetime?
  • 16. # 17156598
  • 17. BecomesExpensive “expertonly” knowledge hasevolved into freecollaboratively createdknowledge…When I was a student…
  • 18.
  • 19. Students need access to digital toolsToday’s Students can…Create / use podcastsCreate / use videoTake digital pictures (everycell phone is a digitalcamera field trip datacollection device)Tell digital storiesStudents can do all of thisif we give them access tothe tools… # 4066060
  • 20. # 10030485Needed: Freedom to Choose Learning Tools“more flexible policyaround use ofpersonal technologytools”, Lord Byngstudent
  • 21. Labs?
  • 22. # 23362991
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25. # 15033392Google SketchUp Dream Rooms
  • 26. Research Tools• Distance• Routes• Geography• Field trips• International culture• Planning
  • 27. Earthquakes near Japan
  • 28. Whathappened?
  • 29. At a time when content and teacherswere scarce, it made sense to want ourkids to be “learned.” If all they had waslimited access to a relatively smallstockpile of knowledge and information,we’d need to cram all that stuff in, just incase they might need it one day. Why School? (Kindle465)
  • 30. Shift to the Future… # 14726231
  • 31. “If you ask anyone who has been onthe Internet for at least a decadewhat has changed, the answer willprobably be, ‘Everything.’”, A New Culture of # 11038062
  • 32. 3.6 B people on earthFirst computer chess tournament0 (yes zero) personal computers sold0 e-mails sent0 blog posts0 Facebook usersBG (before Google)1970 # 1563122
  • 33. 7.11 B people on the earth127,183,835 personal computers sold this year655,071 TVs sold today4,840,432 cell phones sold today2,533,834,102 internet users on earth417,231,286,923 e-mail messages sent today3,752,456 blog posts today1,000,000,000 + Facebook users3,982,823,201 Google searches today273,595,223 Tweets sent todayMay 12, 2013 around 10:08am # 7611212
  • 34. Benedict XVIFrancis
  • 35. # 18713708
  • 36. and Automation…
  • 37. In spite of the radiologist’s training requirementof at least thirteen additional years beyond highschool, it is conceptually quite easy to envisionthis job being automated. The primary focus ofthe job is to analyze and evaluate visual images.The Lights in the Tunnel (Kindle 998)Automated Radiologist
  • 38. The New Knowledge Worker?Watsonunderstandsnaturallanguage,breaking downthe barrierbetween peopleand system thengenerateshypotheses -recognizing thatthere aredifferentprobabilities ofvariousoutcomes.
  • 39. “The Makr Shakr can make anydrink you want--and even cut alemon. Put a tie and a vest on it,and you won’t even be able to tellthe difference between it and yourlocal mixologist”
  • 40. # 1084313Exponential Change is Happening“technology is not justadvancing gradually: itis accelerating” The Lights in theTunnel (kindle 227)“If you make some very logical,and even conservative,assumptions about wheretechnology is likely to lead in thecoming years, much of theconventional wisdom about whatthe future will look like becomesunsupportable” The Lights in the Tunnel (kindle 222)
  • 41. If at some point, machines are likely topermanently take over a great deal ofthe work now performed by humanbeings, then that will be a threat to thevery foundation of our economicsystem. This is not something that willjust work itself out. This is somethingthat we need to begin thinking about, TheLights in the Tunnel (Kindle 217)
  • 42. #5420109The Lights in the Tunnel
  • 43. Flickr.comphotos29160242QN083412459402From factory learning…
  • 44. "In times of change learnersinherit the earth, while thelearned find themselvesbeautifully equipped to dealwith a world that no longerexists." - Eric Hoffer
  • 45. “There’s no competitive advantagetoday in knowing more than theperson next to you. The worlddoesn’t care what you know. Whatthe world cares about is what youcan do with what you know.”, Tony Wagner – WhySchool? (Kindle 468)
  • 46. # 11819618“Teaching young people how toscrutinize, validate, and put things incontext will be among the toughesttasks for educators.” Macrowikinomics (kindle 4390)“the true test of rigor is for students to be ableto look at material they’ve never seen beforeand know what to do with it.” 21st Century Skills (kindle 241)
  • 47. Other skills have become worthless, and people whohold the wrong ones now find that they have little tooffer employers. They’re losing the race against themachine. Race Against the Machine (Kindle 158) # 15207641
  • 48. Flickr – langwitches # 4211065001“imagine, as a student, that you could not only read aboutwhat it is like to be a scientist, an architect, an artist, anentrepreneur, or an engineer, but also collaborate with fellowstudents in a safe virtual environment to recreate thatexperience for yourself.” Macrowikinomics (Kindle 2907)
  • 49. Shift to a universe of virtualworlds for exploring,collaborating, creating, andlearning…VirtualLearning
  • 50. # 7042359What does this mean for us?
  • 51. # 18844759the Internet has effectivelyreduced the transmissioncosts of sharing good ideasto zero. Where Good Ideas Come From (Kindle 2676)
  • 52. # 18844759This is not the wisdom of the crowd,but the wisdom of someone in thecrowd. It’s not that the network itselfis smart; it’s that the individuals getsmarter because they’re connectedto the network. Where Good Ideas Come From (Kindle 678)
  • 53. “The full-immersion visual-auditory virtual-realityenvironments, which will be ubiquitous during thesecond decade of this century, will hasten the trendtoward people living and working wherever theywish.” The Singularity is Near (Kindle 1779) # 11562895
  • 54. the world we live in now. It’s one wherecomputers improve so quickly that theircapabilities pass from the realm of sciencefiction into the everyday world not over thecourse of a human lifetime, or even withinthe span of a professional’s career, butinstead in just a few years, Race Against the Machine (Kindle 232)
  • 55. Professional Conversation and #7755704WorkProcessesPracticesTeamsDesign and Implementation TeamsLearning TeamsEngage… …staff…Focus GroupsLearningPilot…vendors
  • 56. © Designs by ShellExpect and Enable…
  • 57. # 95069How might futureinnovations inrobotics andautomation impactyour employeesand your business?
  • 58. # 2030715CIO as Futurist and Guide