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Renewable Portfolio Standard: a State by State Analysis of the future of the Solar Industry
 

Renewable Portfolio Standard: a State by State Analysis of the future of the Solar Industry

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A State by State analysis of the advancement of the RPS and the future of the solar industry.

A State by State analysis of the advancement of the RPS and the future of the solar industry.
Key figures: cost of electricity, breakdown of electricity consumption, RPS targets...

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    Renewable Portfolio Standard: a State by State Analysis of the future of the Solar Industry Renewable Portfolio Standard: a State by State Analysis of the future of the Solar Industry Presentation Transcript

    • Solar Energy Possibilities State by State Bernhard Baumgartnerbernhard.baumgartner@skema.edu
    • Explanation• The next four slides explain how I built the document. The same system is used throughout the whole document.
    • User Cost per MWh Cost of Electricity* Residential $10,5C Commercial $8,96 Colorado 33% most expensive 33% in the middle Utility 33% least expensive $6,7 *The more expensive, the more interesting net metering becomesGrade Solar Development:A: very goodB: goodC: fairD: to improveF: bad http://solarpowerrocks.com
    • Potential 1800MW Colorado Per year 180-200 A Yrly goal yesPotential: number of MW that have to be installed to reach the RPS goalPer year: average number of MW installed per year until the end of the RPSYrly goal: the State has a yearly objectif of installation in the RPS #3 108 Grade RPS: MW A: very good B: good C: fair D: to improve Top 10 US States F: bad Ranking and number of http://solarpowerrocks.com MW installed in 2010 No Renewable Portfolio Stantard
    • Solar Irradiation Colorado excellent Very good Good Fair Bad http://tiny.cc/71h4a clean: hydro, wind, solar, geothermal, biomasse dirty: coal, oil, gas, nuclear Distance from reaching RPS goalRPS Goal % renew 5,530% 2020 Clean Dirty % away 24,5 solar Solar MW/yr
    • Colorado coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Electricity Sources Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other
    • Analysis• The details of the 51 States are laid out in the next slides. It’s give you details about every State and the color schemes gives you an immediate opinion about the State.
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $10.88F Commercial $10.45 Alabama F Utility $5.85 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal Clean % renew Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $16.76F Commercial $14.79 Alaska F Utility $15.51 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal Clean % renew Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $9.93C Commercial $8.82 Arizona B Utility $6.02 coal #4 Nuclear Gas 101 Hydro MW Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 6,7 15% 2025 Clean Dirty % away 8,7 solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $7.93F Commercial $6.93 Arkansas F Utility $5.1 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal Clean % renew Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $14.83F Commercial $12.96 California C Utility $10.07 coal #1 Nuclear Gas 971 Hydro MW Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 33 33% 2020 Clean Dirty % away 0 solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $10.5C Commercial $8.96 Colorado A Utility $6.7 coal #3 Nuclear Gas 108 Hydro MW Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 5,5 30% 2020 Clean Dirty % away 24,5 solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $17.63F Commercial $15.82 Connecticut C Utility $13.45 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 3 23% 2020 Clean Dirty % away 20 solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $13.06A Commercial $11.07 Delaware A Utility $9.56 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 15 25% 2026 Clean Dirty % away 10 solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $13.25B Commercial $13.58 Washington DC A Utility $7.7 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 0 20% 2020 Clean Dirty % away 20 solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $11.67F Commercial $10.15 Florida F Utility 8$.97 coal #6 Nuclear Gas 73 Hydro MW Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal Clean % renew Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $10.15C Commercial $9.64 Georgia F Utility $6.32 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal Clean % renew Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $31.04C Commercial $28.44 Hawaii C Utility $24.82 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 40% 2030 Clean Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $7.79D Commercial $6.54 Idaho F Utility $4.6 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal Clean % renew Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Potential 1800MW Residential $11.22A Commercial $8.58 Illinois Per year 180-200 B Utility Yrly goal yes $6.23 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 0 25% 2025 Clean *Wind: 18% Dirty % away 25 1,5% solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $9.51D Commercial $8.8 Indiana F Utility $6.3 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal Clean % renew Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $9.64F Commercial $7.44 Iowa F Utility $5.11 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal 105 MW Clean % renew 7 Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $9.74F Commercial $8.27 Kansas F Utility $6.41 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 20% 2020 Clean Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $8.74F Commercial $8.44 Kentucky F Utility $5.16 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal Clean % renew Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $8.36F Commercial $8.38 Louisiana F Utility $5.21 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal Clean % renew Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $15.85D Commercial $12.70 Maine C Utility $9.54 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal 10% new 2017 Clean % renew Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Potential 1000MW Residential $13.62A Commercial $11.79 Maryland Per year 50-200 A Utility Yrly goal Yes $9.56 *Takeoff 2017 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 4 20% 2022 Clean Dirty % away 16 2% solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Potential 400MW* Outside RPS Residential $14.60A Commercial $13.92 Massachussets Per year 40 A Utility Yrly goal no $13.17 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 4 22,1% 2020 Clean Dirty % away 18,1 solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $12.47C Commercial $10.14 Michigan C Utility $7.35 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 3 10% 2015 Clean Dirty % away 7 solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $10.24F Commercial $8.14 Minnesota F Utility $6.20 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 25% 2025 Clean Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $9.97F Commercial $9.65 Mississippi F Utility $6.48 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal Clean % renew Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Potential 700 MW Residential $8.32F Commercial $7.15 Missouri Per year 70-80 D Utility Yrly goal No $5.47 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 2 15% 2021 Clean Dirty % away 13 1% solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $9.33F Commercial $9.07 Montana F Utility $5.17 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 15% 2015 Clean Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $8.03F Commercial $7.47 Nebraska F Utility $5.57 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal Clean % renew Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Potential 300 MW Residential $11.86D Commercial $9.49 Nevada Per year 20-25 B Utility Yrly goal No $5.68 coal #5 Nuclear Gas 97 Hydro MW Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 7 25% 2025 Clean Dirty % away 18 1,5% solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Potential 30 MW Residential $16.34F Commercial $14.40 New HampshirePer year 3-4 A Utility Yrly goal No $12.59 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal 23,8% 2025 Clean % renew 11 Dirty % away 12,8 0,3% solar Solar MW/yr (2014)
    • User Cost per MWh Potential 5400MW 5,316 GWh per yr til 2026 Residential $16.70A Commercial $13.43 New Jersey Per year 150-700 A Utility $11.86 Yrly goal Yes (exp) coal #2 Nuclear Gas 293 Hydro MW Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 1 20,38% 2021 Clean Dirty % away 19,38 5,4 GW solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Potential 500 MW Residential $10.18B Commercial $8.69 New Mexico Per year 50-60 B Utility $5.95 Yrly goal no coal #9 Nuclear Gas 45 Hydro MW Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 4 20% 2020 Clean Dirty % away 16 4% solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Potential 5000MW Residential $17.45A Commercial $15.22 New York Per year 330 A Utility $9.25 Yrly goal no coal #7 Nuclear Gas 54 Hydro MW Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 19 29% 2015 Clean Dirty % away 10 5 GW solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Potential 200 MW Residential $10.12A Commercial $8.06 North Carolina Per year 15-20 C Utility $5.83 Yrly goal yes coal #10 Nuclear Gas 42 Hydro MW Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 4,5 12,5% 2021 Clean Dirty % away 8 0,2% solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $7.31F Commercial $6.88 North Dakota F Utility $6.20 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other Goal Goal % renew 10% 2015 Clean Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Potential 750 MW Residential $10.45A Commercial $9.66 Ohio Per year 30-50 C Utility $6.20 Yrly goal yes coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 1 25% 2025 Clean Dirty % away 24 0,5% solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $8.31F Commercial $7.13 Oklahoma F Utility $5.18 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other Goal Goal % renew 15% 2015 Clean Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $9.39A Commercial $8.34 Oregon C Utility $5.67 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 65 25%* 2025 Clean *large utilities Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Potential 850 MW Outside RPS Residential $12.72B Commercial $9.77 Pennsylvania Per year 85 A Utility Yrly goal No $8.36 coal #8 Nuclear Gas 54 Hydro MW Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 3 18% 2021 Clean Dirty % away 15 0,5% solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $16.36F Commercial $12.93 Rhode Island F Utility $11.42 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 16% 2021 Clean Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $11.57F Commercial $9.34 South Carolina F Utility $5.62 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal Clean % renew Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $8.30F Commercial $7.39 South Dakota F Utility $6.01 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other Goal Goal % renew 10% 2015 Clean Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $9.42F Commercial $9.98 Tennessee F Utility $6.89 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal Clean % renew Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $10.94C Commercial $9.11 Texas C Utility $6.38 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 1 5,8GW 2015 Clean Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $8.35F Commercial $6.90 Utah F Utility $4.73 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other Goal Goal % renew 4 20% 2025 Clean Dirty % away 16 solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $15.96F Commercial $13.77 Vermont D Utility $10.15 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other Goal Goal % renew 20% 2017 Clean Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $9.84C Commercial $7.61 Virginia F Utility $6.47 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other Goal Goal % renew 15% 2025 Clean Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $8.04B Commercial $7.49 Washington F Utility $4.09 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 74 15% 2020 Clean Dirty % away 12* No hydro solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $8.82F Commercial $7.75 West Virginia F Utility $6.04 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other Goal Goal % renew 2 25% 2025 Clean Dirty % away 23 solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $12.57B Commercial $10.19 Wisconsin F Utility $7.17 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass Other RPS Goal % renew 10% 2015 Clean Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • User Cost per MWh Residential $8.50F Commercial $7.57 Wyoming F Utility $5.21 coal Nuclear Gas Hydro Oil Wind Solar Geothermal Biomass B RPS Goal Clean % renew Dirty % away solar Solar MW/yr
    • Further analysis High irradiation Vs. Good policy
    • Policy Vs Irradiation I chose 20 States that are doing better than average and ranked them along two scales: solar irradiation and solar policy. Irradiation data come from the software PV SOL 4 and the policy is a qualitative measure ranked according to the grade of solarpowerrocks.com
    • Resources http://www.dsireusa.org/ http://solarpowerrocks.com/ http://www.eia.gov/ Other presentations are available on http://www.slideshare.net/bernhardbaumgartnerOther presentations can be made upon request Contact: bernhard.baumgartner@skema.edu International Master in Management Experience in Solar Industry Four languages spoken