RBNZ NZ vs Aus Presentation

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    RBNZ NZ vs Aus Presentation - Presentation Transcript

    1. Both Countries Grew Strongly over the Decade Australia stronger, but not by much
      • GDP growth
    2. But Australia Experienced Much Stronger Terms of Trade which fell in the crisis, but by less
      • Terms of trade
    3. Both Countries’ Financial Systems Weathered the Crisis Well with similar institutions and policies
      • Credit default swap spreads
    4. Strong Chinese Growth Assists Australia more than most countries Exports to China (% of total) Exports share for China’s ‘domestic’ use Source: Grattan Institute
    5. Australia Is Investing Heavily In Minerals encouraged by new finds, strong prices & bottlenecks
      • Capital investment by the Australian mining industry
      Source: Grattan Institute
    6. Australian Future Growth Potential Looks Very Strong due to investment, population growth, terms of trade, & stimulative policies
      • Estimates of potential output growth
      Source: OECD
    7. NZ also Stimulated the Economy but growth went negative & pick-up slower
      • GDP growth
    8. But Financial Markets View the Countries Similarly despite different growth & inflation forecasts
      • Official cash rates
    9. And this is Particularly so in FX Markets where the cross-rate is very stable
      • Exchange rates
    10. Despite NZ Economy being more Vulnerable manufacturers & services have a bigger share of exports
      • Non-commodity exports
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