FGS 2012 - It's the End of the World As We Know It (And I Feel Fine)
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FGS 2012 - It's the End of the World As We Know It (And I Feel Fine)

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Ben Garney discusses the future of Flash and what Flash developers can do to survive it - and why he's feeling strangely calm about all of it.

Ben Garney discusses the future of Flash and what Flash developers can do to survive it - and why he's feeling strangely calm about all of it.

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    FGS 2012 - It's the End of the World As We Know It (And I Feel Fine) FGS 2012 - It's the End of the World As We Know It (And I Feel Fine) Presentation Transcript

    • It’s The End Of The World As We Know It, And I Feel Fine. By Ben Garney For latest slides & more info, visit http://bengarney.com/Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Introduction • Who am I? • What’s going on? • Where are we going?Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Hill Valley, 1955Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • GarageGames, 2006Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Recent Events • Adobe drops Flash in mobile browsers. • Financial analyst call in January. • Open sourcing Flex. • Flash Player Roadmap last month.Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Flash in the Market • Flash has a great position. • But right behind it... • Corona, Moai, Unity • Scaleform, Iggy, In-house tech. • HTML5, Emscripten, Swiffy, GordonSaturday, March 3, 2012
    • ErosionSaturday, March 3, 2012
    • The Flash Tripod • Tools - Flash Builder, Flash Pro • Runtime - Player, AIR • Platform - SWF, AVM+, APIsSaturday, March 3, 2012
    • Declining AssetsSaturday, March 3, 2012
    • “Declining” Outcomes • Led to GG sale to IAC for ~$50M... • Left and started PushButton Labs... • Torque survived shutdown, still selling!Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • “Declining Asset” is a label to help make decisions. Not business reality.Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Back to Adobe... • Writing on the wall. • Long term winner: HTML5 • But Flash still lives....Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • CommunitySaturday, March 3, 2012
    • Tech Communities • Look out for the vocal minority. • The people you hear from are emotionally invested. • Users have a limited perspective.Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Reaction • End of the world! • Flash is dead! • Wait, are we talking about our ex-girlfriend, or software?Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Reports Of My Death...Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Adobe’s Outs • Replace Player with HTML5. • Leverage tools to target JS. • And the subtle play...Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Adobe’s Outs • HTML5 is the future. • Open standard. • Public opinion supports it! • Wide deployment.Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Adobe’s Outs • HTML5 is the future? • Vendor friction. • Mixed priorities. • JS is not great for large apps.Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Adobe’s Outs • Take advantage of HTML5 boom. • Take Flash off the agenda... • And let it fly under the radar.Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Flash Outcomes • Could die quietly... • Could maximize revenue in mid-term... • Could allow a renaissance.Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Future ProofingSaturday, March 3, 2012
    • Build it, and they will come.Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Diversify.Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Platforms Die.Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • (And I Feel Fine.)Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • ConclusionSaturday, March 3, 2012
    • Conclusion • Flash is a “declining asset”... • (Whatever that means.) • Leverage Flash as long as you can! • Your skillsets are not... • Future proof yourself.Saturday, March 3, 2012
    • Conclusion • Thanks for coming! • http://bengarney.com • @bengarney • Questions?Saturday, March 3, 2012