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After Shock 2010 Refresher
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After Shock 2010 Refresher

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This presentation is designed to help you and your team prepare for the upturn, and take advantage of the turbulent years that lie ahead. In a rapidly changing world, it is more necessary than ever to …

This presentation is designed to help you and your team prepare for the upturn, and take advantage of the turbulent years that lie ahead. In a rapidly changing world, it is more necessary than ever to have some means of anticipating – and responding to – what the future holds.

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  • 1. After Shock What happens after what comes next: The keys to success in a new world of work by Barrie Bramley TomorrowToday.co.za .co.za 1
  • 2. Drivers of disruptive change “The digital watch didn't come from established watch companies, the calculator didn't come from slide rule or adding machine companies, After Shock video games didn't come from board-game manufacturers Parker Bros or Mattel, the ballpoint pen didn't come from fountain pen manufacturers, What happens after and Google didn't come from the Yellow Pages.” what comes next: The keys to success in a new world of work Bob Seidensticker, Futurehype by Barrie Bramley TomorrowToday.co.za .co.za ..co.za .co.za 1 2 3 “The greatest danger in times of turbulence is not the turbulence, it is to act with yesterdayʼs logic.” The T.I.D.E.S. of change Drivers of disruption Peter Drucker in your industry .co.za .co.za .co.za 4 5 6 Technology .co.za .co.za .co.za 7 8 9
  • 3. 1. Convergence 2. Augmented Reality ..co.za ..co.za ..co.za 10 11 12 3. User generated content ..co.za ..co.za ..co.za 13 14 15 Technology http://www.google.com/alerts .co.za .co.za ..co.za 16 17 18
  • 4. Institutional change .co.za .co.za ..co.za 19 20 21 “Protect” or “Constrict”? New structures, new rules ..co.za ..co.za ..co.za 22 23 24 Institutional change Demography .co.za ..co.za .co.za 25 26 27
  • 5. Land area World Population, 2007 World Population, 2050 Source: www.worldmapper.org Source: www.worldmapper.org .co.za ..co.za ..co.za 28 29 30 !"#$%&'()*+',,---.%&/0#0.1"2,3+%,---,345,+6$78340.)98:( .co.za .co.za .co.za 31 32 33 Increasing conflict between generations !"#$%&'()*+',,---.%&/0#0.1"2,3+%,---,345,+6$78340.)98:( .co.za .co.za !"##"#$%&'(%)*+(%,-.%/*0(#&%"#%12(.$"#$%3-4#&."(5%678)9%!"#$%&'()*#+,#-.)/"0#123/)#+,#42((0#)3/#5)"#+,#6%3'.7#% ..co.za 34 35 36
  • 6. Demography Environment Data: UK Met Office, the official National Weather Service, Dec 2009 ..co.za .co.za .co.za 37 38 39 ! Population growth ! Water shortages ! Food shortages (and prices) ! Pollution ! Pandemics ! Extreme Poverty ! Violence ! Runaway computer intelligence ! Global warming 2009 ! End of human life… .co.za .co.za .co.za 40 41 42 Activist consumers (and staff!) Environment Shifting Societal values ..co.za Picture credit: TIME magazine, September 2009 ..co.za .co.za 43 44 45
  • 7. The new normal? http://www.kiva.org/ .co.za .co.za .co.za 46 47 48 New rules: Incentives don’t work • Daniel Pink: Upcoming book (2010): “The Surprising Science of Motivation” • Video: http://tr.im/pinkrewards ..co.za ..co.za .co.za 49 50 51 New rules: Self-directed teams Societal Values ..co.za ..co.za .co.za 52 53 54
  • 8. Opportunities to Innovate “Over the last two decades, the world has changed “It ain’t what you don’t know substantially. The economic, political, social, that gets you into trouble. corporate, and personal rules that now apply bear It's what you know for sure scant relation to those applicable two decades ago. that just ain’t so.” Different times require a different script.” Mark Twain Kenichi Ohmae " " " " The Next Global Stage ! ! ! ! ! ! 2005 .co.za .co.za ..co.za 55 56 57 Invitations to connect Barrie is available to speak at your next company "Even after the economic turnaround, conference, away day or strategy session which may take up to 3 years to Visit our website www.tomorrowtoday.co.za normalise the world, things will Read our blog www.connectioneconomy.com never be the same.” Email me barrie@tomorrowtoday.co.za Connect with me on: Twitter, Facebook & LinkedIn ..co.za .co.za Source - @ncallegari (Twitter) at a Deloitte briefing (July 2009) .co.za 58 59 60 61