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EVALUATION OF RELEVANT
 SCIENTIFIC LITERATURE
            Ahmed Zeeneldin
  Associate Prof of Medical Oncology
Master of Clinical Research, Liverpool, UK
Why should we evaluate the literature?
• PubMed
  • 2011: ~ 1000 000 new articles added
  • Dec 2011: >100 000 new articles added
  • Anthracycline AND chemotherapy
    AND breast cancer: >8000 articles
• Thus:
   • little time and huge literature volume
   • Prioritize
   • Evaluate what you read/hear
Acquiring information
• The ‘push’ method
  • lectures, seminars,
  • reading journals
  • no control over the content
• The ‘pull’ Method
  • You search for answers
    for your questions
This medicine is based on what?




          Based on Nothing?
Evidence 3-dimensions (apq)
• Author (a)
  • Known
  • Expert
• Publisher (p)
  • Peer-reviewed
  • Non-reviewed
• Quality of evidence (q)
  • On the fly: EBM guides
  • Comprehensive
Literature assessment/appraisal

• Pre-appraised sources
  • Up-to-date
  • Trip database
  • Rehab+ database
  • Risk lies on expert authority (a & P)
• Appraise it yourself (q)
        - Rapidly: EBM tools
        - Extensively: critical
        appraisal tools
Types of Information Sources
• Primary Sources: original research
  • Not appraised
•   Secondary Sources: about primary
    • Appraised
• Tertiary Sources: about secondary
  • Appraised
Primary Sources
• Original materials
• Not been filtered through interpretation, condensation
• Not evaluated by a second party;
• Examples:
  • Original journal articles
  • Theses
Secondary Sources
• Sources about primary, or original, information,
• Modified, selected, or rearranged for a specific purpose or
  audience
• Examples:
  • Textbooks
  • Review articles
Tertiary Sources
• Sources twice removed from original sources
• Examples:
  • Handbooks
  • Encyclopedias
Steps of reading literature
• You may start by 3ry or 2ry information recourses
   • Textbook
   • Review article
   • Encyclopedia
   • handbook
• To get overview of the topic
• Then you use the bibliography
  to locate 1ry sources
• Or search directly for 1ry sources
Evidence-based medicine (EBM) tools
• EBM: is a process to systematically
 • FIND,
 • APPRAISE, and
 • APPLY
 • research findings to clinical decisions
OLD EBM CONCEPT
Evidence Pyramid
• I - Controlled and randomized
• II-I Controlled but not randomized
• II-2 Cohort or case control
• II-3 Multiple time series
• III- Expert opinion or case study
2011 OXFORD CENTRE FOR EVIDENCE-BASED
   MEDICINE (OCEM) LEVELS OF EVIDENCE



      EVIDENCE BOXES
2011 OCEBM Levels of Evidence (Evidence Boxes)

If you have limited time, where do you begin
searching for evidence?
       - hierarchy of the likely best evidence
       - for busy people (few minutes to few hours)
PubMed search for
      “ Anthracycline AND chemotherapy AND (breast cancer) ” plus some filters

Type            Term used                                  No. of articles
All articles    (no filter)                                   8066
SR              Systematic review                                32

RCT             "random allocation" [MeSH]                       120

DBRCT           double blind method [mh]                         58

Cohort          "cohort studies" [MeSH]                         1379

Case-control "Case-Control Studies"[Mesh]                       521

Case report Case Reports [Publication Type]                     568
Evidence according to question
• Incidence
 (How common is the problem?)
  • Local surveys with random sampling OR consensus
• Diagnosis
 (Is this diagnostic or monitoring test accurate?)
  • SR of cross sectional studies with reference standard
• Prognosis
 (What will happen if we do not add a therapy?)
  • SR of inception cohort studies
• Treatment Benefits
 (Does this intervention help or harm?)
  • SR of RT
• Screening
 (Is this (early detection) test worthwhile
  • SR of RT
Critical appraisal of study reports
• Systematic Review
• Diagnostics
• Prognosis
• RCT
•
Systematic Review Appraisal

• What is the question (PICO)?
• Were important and relevant studies missed?
• Were criteria to select articles appropriate?
• Were the quality of included articles assessed?
• Were the results similar from study to study?
• What were the results? and how they are
 presented?
Diagnostic test study appraisal
• Was the diagnostic test evaluated in a representative
  spectrum of patients?
• Was the reference standard applied regardless of the
  index test result?
• Was there an independent, blind comparison between
  the index test and an appropriate reference ('gold')
  standard of diagnosis?
• Are test characteristics presented?
  • Accuracy: sensitivity and specificity
  • Performance in population: PPV and NPV
• Details to replicate the test?
Critical appraisal of Prognostic studies
• Were patients representative and assembled at a
    common point?
•   Was patient follow-up sufficiently long and complete?
•   Were outcome criteria either objective or applied in a
    ‘blind’ fashion?
•    If subgroups with different prognoses are identified, did
    adjustment for important prognostic factors take
    place?
•   How likely are the outcomes over time?
•    How precise are the prognostic estimated?
•   Are the results applicable to my patients?
RCT appraisal
• What question did the study ask (PICO)?
• Was the assignment of patients to treatments
  randomised?
• Were the groups similar at the start of the trial?
• Aside from the allocated treatment, were groups treated
  equally?
• Were all patients who entered the trial accounted for?
  and were they analysed in the groups to which they were
  randomised?
RCT appraisal
• Were measures objective or were the patients and
  clinicians kept “blind” to which treatment was being
  received?
• How large was the treatment effect?
• How precise was the estimate of the treatment effect?
• Will the results help me in caring for my patient?
Steps of EBM

 1. asking questions
 2. searching for answers
 3. critically appraising the results
    _____________________________
 4. determining applicability to practice
 5. integrating data with experience
 6. involving patient in decisions
Asking questions
 1) what is the question about?
  • Therapy, diagnosis, prognosis, aetiology/harm, screening etc
 2) what is the type of question?
       - background Q (topic)
       - foreground Q (patient)
 3) how can questions be structured to facilitate a search
 for precise answers?
PICO’ components:
  • Patient group/Population
  • Intervention
  • Comparison
  • Outcome
Examples of Focused Questions
                           1                        2                          3                   4
                     Patient or           Intervention                 Comparison           Outcomes
                                           (a cause, prognostic
                     Problem              factor, treatment, etc.)     Intervention
                                                                          (if necessary)

               In patients with MBC      does FEC regimen Compared to CMF                  Yield better OS
Med Oncology
                                                          regimen                          rates?
               In patients with early BC Does BCS         Compared to MRM                  Lead to higher
Surgical
                                                                                           recurrences and
Oncology
                                                                                           lower OS?
               In patients with operable Does IO RT                  Compared to PO RT     Yield higher
Radiotherapy
               BC                                                                          recurrences?
               In patients with ovarian   Does HEP4                  Compared to CA125     Leads to earlier
Clinical       cancer                                                                      diagnosis of
Pathology                                                                                  recurrence?
               In normal people           Does smoking               Compared to no        Increase risk of
Epidemiology
                                                                     smoking               lung cancer
How to Conduct a Computer Search
1.   Specify the research problem      1.   Honey and cancer
2.   Select the databases              2.   PubMed
3.   Select the key concepts,          3.   Honey AND cancer
     operators, limits
                                       4.   ENTER: 198 records
4.   Conduct the search
                                       5.   Honey OR bees
5.   Increase or decrease your total        AND cancer: 281
     results                                Honey AND cancer
6.   Review the citation list               AND treatment: 129
Determining the Level of Evidence
• Quickly:
  • Evidence box according to question
• Thoroughly (critically appraise according to study
 type):
  • Relevance (related):
    • applicability of the evidence to my problem
  • Validity (correct):
    • the extent to which a concept, conclusion or measurement is well-
      founded and corresponds accurately to the real world
TRANSLATING
EVIDENCE INTO
DECISION
The integration of relevant evidence with
clinical experience
Trial Validity
• Internal: proper study
   • Did the study measure what it is meant to?
   • Do we trust the results?
• External: generalizability of results
Making decisions
• Define the population and intervention
  • Patients’ characteristics
  • Intervention: price and availability, training
• Search for and understand the biases
  • Critical appraisal
• Interpret the findings and apply them to your patient
   • Sample size
   • Summary statistic:
   • Probablity (p) and confidence of the results (CI)
Conclusion
• Pre-appraised literature may be the
 main source of information for
 undergraduate students

• However, graduates and faculty staff
  should be able to appraise
  information both quickly (EBM tools)
  and thoroughly (critical appraisal
  tools)
• APQ 3-dimension concept
Recommendation
• I suggest that principles of EBM be taught to all NCI
  students
• By whom?
  • Concerned Departments?
  • Epidemiology/Biostatistics Department?
Evaluation of scientific literature

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Evaluation of scientific literature

  • 1. EVALUATION OF RELEVANT SCIENTIFIC LITERATURE Ahmed Zeeneldin Associate Prof of Medical Oncology Master of Clinical Research, Liverpool, UK
  • 2. Why should we evaluate the literature? • PubMed • 2011: ~ 1000 000 new articles added • Dec 2011: >100 000 new articles added • Anthracycline AND chemotherapy AND breast cancer: >8000 articles • Thus: • little time and huge literature volume • Prioritize • Evaluate what you read/hear
  • 3. Acquiring information • The ‘push’ method • lectures, seminars, • reading journals • no control over the content • The ‘pull’ Method • You search for answers for your questions
  • 4. This medicine is based on what? Based on Nothing?
  • 5. Evidence 3-dimensions (apq) • Author (a) • Known • Expert • Publisher (p) • Peer-reviewed • Non-reviewed • Quality of evidence (q) • On the fly: EBM guides • Comprehensive
  • 6. Literature assessment/appraisal • Pre-appraised sources • Up-to-date • Trip database • Rehab+ database • Risk lies on expert authority (a & P) • Appraise it yourself (q) - Rapidly: EBM tools - Extensively: critical appraisal tools
  • 7. Types of Information Sources • Primary Sources: original research • Not appraised • Secondary Sources: about primary • Appraised • Tertiary Sources: about secondary • Appraised
  • 8. Primary Sources • Original materials • Not been filtered through interpretation, condensation • Not evaluated by a second party; • Examples: • Original journal articles • Theses
  • 9. Secondary Sources • Sources about primary, or original, information, • Modified, selected, or rearranged for a specific purpose or audience • Examples: • Textbooks • Review articles
  • 10. Tertiary Sources • Sources twice removed from original sources • Examples: • Handbooks • Encyclopedias
  • 11. Steps of reading literature • You may start by 3ry or 2ry information recourses • Textbook • Review article • Encyclopedia • handbook • To get overview of the topic • Then you use the bibliography to locate 1ry sources • Or search directly for 1ry sources
  • 12. Evidence-based medicine (EBM) tools • EBM: is a process to systematically • FIND, • APPRAISE, and • APPLY • research findings to clinical decisions
  • 14. Evidence Pyramid • I - Controlled and randomized • II-I Controlled but not randomized • II-2 Cohort or case control • II-3 Multiple time series • III- Expert opinion or case study
  • 15. 2011 OXFORD CENTRE FOR EVIDENCE-BASED MEDICINE (OCEM) LEVELS OF EVIDENCE EVIDENCE BOXES
  • 16. 2011 OCEBM Levels of Evidence (Evidence Boxes) If you have limited time, where do you begin searching for evidence? - hierarchy of the likely best evidence - for busy people (few minutes to few hours)
  • 17. PubMed search for “ Anthracycline AND chemotherapy AND (breast cancer) ” plus some filters Type Term used No. of articles All articles (no filter) 8066 SR Systematic review 32 RCT "random allocation" [MeSH] 120 DBRCT double blind method [mh] 58 Cohort "cohort studies" [MeSH] 1379 Case-control "Case-Control Studies"[Mesh] 521 Case report Case Reports [Publication Type] 568
  • 18. Evidence according to question • Incidence (How common is the problem?) • Local surveys with random sampling OR consensus • Diagnosis (Is this diagnostic or monitoring test accurate?) • SR of cross sectional studies with reference standard • Prognosis (What will happen if we do not add a therapy?) • SR of inception cohort studies • Treatment Benefits (Does this intervention help or harm?) • SR of RT • Screening (Is this (early detection) test worthwhile • SR of RT
  • 19. Critical appraisal of study reports • Systematic Review • Diagnostics • Prognosis • RCT •
  • 20. Systematic Review Appraisal • What is the question (PICO)? • Were important and relevant studies missed? • Were criteria to select articles appropriate? • Were the quality of included articles assessed? • Were the results similar from study to study? • What were the results? and how they are presented?
  • 21. Diagnostic test study appraisal • Was the diagnostic test evaluated in a representative spectrum of patients? • Was the reference standard applied regardless of the index test result? • Was there an independent, blind comparison between the index test and an appropriate reference ('gold') standard of diagnosis? • Are test characteristics presented? • Accuracy: sensitivity and specificity • Performance in population: PPV and NPV • Details to replicate the test?
  • 22. Critical appraisal of Prognostic studies • Were patients representative and assembled at a common point? • Was patient follow-up sufficiently long and complete? • Were outcome criteria either objective or applied in a ‘blind’ fashion? • If subgroups with different prognoses are identified, did adjustment for important prognostic factors take place? • How likely are the outcomes over time? • How precise are the prognostic estimated? • Are the results applicable to my patients?
  • 23. RCT appraisal • What question did the study ask (PICO)? • Was the assignment of patients to treatments randomised? • Were the groups similar at the start of the trial? • Aside from the allocated treatment, were groups treated equally? • Were all patients who entered the trial accounted for? and were they analysed in the groups to which they were randomised?
  • 24. RCT appraisal • Were measures objective or were the patients and clinicians kept “blind” to which treatment was being received? • How large was the treatment effect? • How precise was the estimate of the treatment effect? • Will the results help me in caring for my patient?
  • 25. Steps of EBM 1. asking questions 2. searching for answers 3. critically appraising the results _____________________________ 4. determining applicability to practice 5. integrating data with experience 6. involving patient in decisions
  • 26. Asking questions 1) what is the question about? • Therapy, diagnosis, prognosis, aetiology/harm, screening etc 2) what is the type of question? - background Q (topic) - foreground Q (patient) 3) how can questions be structured to facilitate a search for precise answers? PICO’ components: • Patient group/Population • Intervention • Comparison • Outcome
  • 27. Examples of Focused Questions 1 2 3 4 Patient or Intervention Comparison Outcomes (a cause, prognostic Problem factor, treatment, etc.) Intervention (if necessary) In patients with MBC does FEC regimen Compared to CMF Yield better OS Med Oncology regimen rates? In patients with early BC Does BCS Compared to MRM Lead to higher Surgical recurrences and Oncology lower OS? In patients with operable Does IO RT Compared to PO RT Yield higher Radiotherapy BC recurrences? In patients with ovarian Does HEP4 Compared to CA125 Leads to earlier Clinical cancer diagnosis of Pathology recurrence? In normal people Does smoking Compared to no Increase risk of Epidemiology smoking lung cancer
  • 28. How to Conduct a Computer Search 1. Specify the research problem 1. Honey and cancer 2. Select the databases 2. PubMed 3. Select the key concepts, 3. Honey AND cancer operators, limits 4. ENTER: 198 records 4. Conduct the search 5. Honey OR bees 5. Increase or decrease your total AND cancer: 281 results Honey AND cancer 6. Review the citation list AND treatment: 129
  • 29. Determining the Level of Evidence • Quickly: • Evidence box according to question • Thoroughly (critically appraise according to study type): • Relevance (related): • applicability of the evidence to my problem • Validity (correct): • the extent to which a concept, conclusion or measurement is well- founded and corresponds accurately to the real world
  • 30. TRANSLATING EVIDENCE INTO DECISION The integration of relevant evidence with clinical experience
  • 31. Trial Validity • Internal: proper study • Did the study measure what it is meant to? • Do we trust the results? • External: generalizability of results
  • 32. Making decisions • Define the population and intervention • Patients’ characteristics • Intervention: price and availability, training • Search for and understand the biases • Critical appraisal • Interpret the findings and apply them to your patient • Sample size • Summary statistic: • Probablity (p) and confidence of the results (CI)
  • 33. Conclusion • Pre-appraised literature may be the main source of information for undergraduate students • However, graduates and faculty staff should be able to appraise information both quickly (EBM tools) and thoroughly (critical appraisal tools) • APQ 3-dimension concept
  • 34. Recommendation • I suggest that principles of EBM be taught to all NCI students • By whom? • Concerned Departments? • Epidemiology/Biostatistics Department?