ADB Clean Energy Week Presentation - Lessons Learned on Reviewing Investments Under 5 MWe

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    ADB Clean Energy Week Presentation - Lessons Learned on Reviewing Investments Under 5 MWe - Presentation Transcript

    1. Lessons learned Reviewing investment proposals under 5 MWe in South East Asia Austin Arensberg I  Business Development Manager www.ped‐asia.com I austin@ped‐asia.com T.   +66 (0) 2 251 4602 
    2. Presentation Overview Audience RE Investors and companies looking for investment  Purpose Share lessons learned from reviewing multiple project proposals and  companies across Asia Take away message  Renewable energy in SE Asia is an immature, dynamic , market  everyone learning – patience, clear communication,  flexibility to  structures will allow for an efficient deal process.
    3. Market Context – The numbers $140 billion or 56% of global energy investments in renewable energy in 2008. From 2005‐2007 growth in RE was 50% annually. 2008 ‐ Investors spent just 5  percent more on clean energy.  DOE Report expects Luzon to attract $16.14 billion, which may be used to  produce 8,072.3 MW of electricity from renewable sources. Technical or  practical reality? Cleantech venture investments declined for two consecutive quarters since  peaking at $2.6 billion in the third quarter 2008 representing the lowest level of  venture capital investment in clean technology companies in two years. It won’t  last for long. Q1 2009 – Miserable – Funding plunged 70% amid oil and carbon prices.  Good valuations – poor proposals.  Sources: Bloomberg, New Energy Finance, UNDP, Cleantech Group
    4. When to start investment review? Wait for contracts in hand  before initiating review. Align technical interests  from host before  negotiating financial stake. Always have materials ready for distribution.
    5. Legal Framework Priority – Green “New Deals”  Grid sales Tariff Adders Tax Promotions Thailand still the best
    6. Deal Communication Documentation counts. Project bundles should include:  Executive summaries, clear excel sheets with assumptions, Full business plans  with legal reviews, market analysis,  feedstock/host facilities financial  statement.  Explain strategic interests Early site visits ‐ speed up reviews
    7. Due Diligence – Share Clear, Open Deadlines
    8. Externalities need solutions Oil Volatility requires Price floors for HFO replacement Share profits with host Price floor allows for   continued operation
    9. Clear Technical Sales Contracts Metering / weighing is the  most important aspect of  biogas and biomass projects.  Crucial to explain in clear  detail how this process works.  High potential for fraud.
    10. Less sustainable project? Look for local debt. • Palm projects are hard sells in Europe. • Local debt means local officers, easier site visits, hopefully faster  responses and easier due diligence. Key is contacts. • Less favorable terms but at least not years of development time.
    11. Online Marketing Works and it’s Free
    12. Local buy‐in most important Local Know how
    13. SE Asia hub for bioenergy technology
    14. Austin Arensberg Questions? www.ped‐asia.com austin@ped‐asia.com T.   +66 2 251 4602 Contact Us All Seasons Place Bangkok, Thailand

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