Who moved my risk? (LSSC12 talk)

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Background at http://positiveincline.com/index.php/2012/05/who-moved-my-risk-kanban-killer-feature/

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Who moved my risk? (LSSC12 talk)

  1. 1. LSSC 2012Who moved my risk? Mike Burrows (@asplake) mike@djaa.com Who  Moved  my  Risk? http://positiveincline.com LSSC  12    
  2. 2. “Risk  means  that  not  everything  that   can  happen  will  happen”   Elroy  Dimson   Who  Moved  my  Risk? LSSC  12    
  3. 3. Not  so  long  ago,  in  two   universes  not  so  far  away…   14/41 Disk Space! Board Report! 29/3 MJB 29/3 Who  Moved  my  Risk? Increase Disk2 space on ln4p516c Monitoring LSSC  12 ST 31/1 14/2 AB 23/1    
  4. 4. Risks  specific  to  each  piece  of  work?   14/41 Disk Space! Board Report! 29/3 MJB 29/3 Who  Moved  my  Risk? Increase Disk2 space on ln4p516c Monitoring LSSC  12 ST 31/1 14/2 AB 23/1    
  5. 5. No  change  in  a  week…  How  does  each  piece  of  work  look  now?   14/4 1 Disk Space! Board Report! 29/3 MJB 29/3 Who  Moved  my  Risk? Increase Disk 2 space on ln4p516c Monitoring LSSC  12 ST 31/1 14/2 AB 23/1    
  6. 6. Who  moved  my  risk?   –  The  risk  in  the  work  n  Inherent,  specific  n  ExpectaFons   Time   Who  Moved  my  Risk?n  LSSC  12    
  7. 7. Which  feels  the  more  comfortable?   14/41 Disk Space! Board Report! 29/3 MJB 29/3 Who  Moved  my  Risk? Increase Disk2 space on ln4p516c Monitoring LSSC  12 ST 31/1 14/2 AB 23/1    
  8. 8. Where  is  the  beHer  capability?   14/41 Disk Space! Board Report! 29/3 MJB 29/3 Who  Moved  my  Risk? Increase Disk2 space on ln4p516c Monitoring LSSC  12 ST 31/1 14/ AB 23/1 2    
  9. 9. Which  team  has  the  beHer  capability?   A Who  Moved  my  Risk? B LSSC  12    
  10. 10. Which  team  has  the  beHer  capability?   X Who  Moved  my  Risk? Y LSSC  12    
  11. 11. Which  team  has  the  beHer  capability?   X Who  Moved  my  Risk? 1 Y 2 LSSC  12    
  12. 12. The  ease  with  which  we  can  make  variety   explicit  is  one  of  Kanban’s  killer  features   X Y Who  Moved  my  Risk? 1 Y 2 LSSC  12    
  13. 13. n  Embrace  change     Who  Moved  my  Risk?   LSSC  12 Beck,  2000,  Extreme  Programming  Explained      
  14. 14. n  Embrace  change  n  Embrace  variability   Who  Moved  my  Risk?   LSSC  12 (paraphrasing  with  permission)  Reinertsen,  1997  &  2009      
  15. 15. n  Embrace  change  n  Embrace  variability   Who  Moved  my  Risk?n  Embrace  variety   LSSC  12    
  16. 16. Embrace  variety:  visualise  it,  design  for  it   Standard Expedite Respect limits Production first! IN dd/mm - dd/mm IN dd/mm - dd/mm dd/mm Who  Moved  my  Risk? Intangible Fixed Date Keep in the mix, As per Standard; prepare to give way Expedite if at risk IN dd/mm - dd/mm IN dd/mm - dd/mm LSSC  12 Rightmost, Topmost    
  17. 17.  This  designed-­‐in  resilience  is  a  triple  win     Who  Moved  my  Risk? LSSC  12 EffecFve   n  Economic   n  Humane      
  18. 18. Who  moved  my  risk?   –  The  risk  in  the  system  n  Capability  n  Variety   Resilience   Who  Moved  my  Risk?n  LSSC  12 EffecFve   n  Economic   n  Humane      
  19. 19. The  grim  economics  of   backlog-­‐driven  development   Who  Moved  my  Risk?0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% LSSC  12 60:40 Pareto    
  20. 20. The  grim  economics  of   backlog-­‐driven  development   Who  Moved  my  Risk?0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Cumulative Value LSSC  12    
  21. 21. The  grim  economics  of   backlog-­‐driven  development  120%100%80%60% Who  Moved  my  Risk?40%20% 0% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% LSSC  12 Cumulative Value Cumulative Cost    
  22. 22. The  grim  economics  of   backlog-­‐driven  development  120%100%80%60% Who  Moved  my  Risk?40%20% 0% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% LSSC  12 Cumulative Value Cumulative Cost ROI    
  23. 23. Who  Moved  my  Risk?   LSSC  12  
  24. 24. n  Management  !=  Grooming  n  Backlog  !=  Goldmine   Who  Moved  my  Risk?   LSSC  12    
  25. 25. Step  outside  the  system   The TheKnown The Imagined The Unknown Unthinkable Noise The The The Who  Moved  my  Risk? Important Work Actual The The LSSC  12 Possible Impossible    
  26. 26. Thinking  the  unthinkable,   cross-­‐funcFonally   Who  Moved  my  Risk?08:00 08:30 09:00 09:30 10:00 10:30 11:00 11:30 12:00 12:30 13:00 13:30 14:00 14:30 15:00 15:30 16:00 16:30 LSSC  12    
  27. 27. Step  outside  the  system   The TheKnown The Imagined The Unknown Unthinkable Noise The The The Who  Moved  my  Risk? Important Work Actual The The LSSC  12 Possible Impossible    
  28. 28. Shared PossibilityMutual Understanding Who  Moved  my  Risk? Commitments Work LSSC  12    
  29. 29. n  Reduce  WIP  &  reduce  risk   Shared Possibilityn  Shrink  backlogs  &  grow   Mutual Understanding mutual  understanding   Who  Moved  my  Risk? Commitments   Work LSSC  12    
  30. 30. n  The  risk  in  the  work  n  The  risk  in  the  system  n  Stepping  outside  the  system   Who  Moved  my  Risk? LSSC  12    
  31. 31. Q:  Who  moved  my  risk?  A:  We  did!    Are  we  making  it  count?   Who  Moved  my  Risk? LSSC  12    
  32. 32. Thank you.Questions? Who  Moved  my  Risk? Mike Burrows (@asplake) LSSC  12 mike@djaa.com http://positiveincline.com    

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