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Dec 6 power point mclaughlin asn 12-3-10

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  • 1. Smart Program InvestmentsG Keeping Truant, Suspended & Expelled Students In SchoolG Re-Enrolling Students Who Have Dropped Out of School
  • 2. Le#
Behind
in
the
Labor
Market:
The
Con4nued
 Deteriora4on
of
Employment
Opportuni4es
for
Young
High
School
Dropouts
in
the
U.S
and
Illinois
 Joseph
McLaughlin
 Center
for
Labor
Market
Studies
 Northeastern
University
 Boston,
MassachuseKs
 December
2010

  • 3. Changes in Civilian Employment in the U.S. from November-December 2007 – September-October 2010 by Major Age Group (Seasonally Adjusted*) 
 November- Change in December September- Employed Age Group 2007 October 2010 Persons 16+ 146,328 139,226 (7,102) 16-24 19,727 17,097 (2,630) 25-29(1) 16,432 15,476 (956) 16-29 36,159 32,573 (3,586) 55+ 26,209 28,039 1,830 (1)
The
25‐29
year
old
age
was
seasonally
adjusted
using
the
same
adjustment
factor
for
all
workers
16
and
older.

  • 4. Percentage Point Changes in the Employment/Population Ratiosof U.S. Adults By Age Group, January-August 2000 to January- August 2010 (Not Seasonally Adjusted) 
 (A) (B) (C) Percentage Point Age Group Jan.-Aug. 2000 Jan.-Aug. 2010 Change 16+ 64.4 58.5 -5.9 16-19 46.1 26.6 -19.5 20-24 72.2 60.4 -11.8 25-29 81.1 73.0 -8.1 30-34 82.0 74.7 -7.3 35-44 82.1 76.3 -5.8 45-54 80.5 74.8 -5.7 55-64 57.7 60.4 2.7 65+ 12.4 16.1 3.7
  • 5. Employment/Population Ratios of Non-Enrolled 16-24 Year Olds in Illinois and the U.S. By Educational Attainment, 2009 Annual Average100%90% 86.6% 88.1%80% 76.3% 75.1%70% 62.8% 61.9%60%50% 44.5% 40.5%40%30%20%10% 0% <12 or 12, No H.S. H.S. Diploma/GED Some College, No Bachelors or Higher Diploma Diploma Degree U.S. Illinois
  • 6. Full-Time Employment/ Population Ratios of 16-24 Year Olds By Educational Attainment, U.S. and Illinois, 2009 Annual Average70% 59.6% 59.8%60% 51.8%50% 47.6% 39.9%40% 35.1%30% 25.9% 21.0%20%10% 0% <12 or 12, No H.S. H.S. Diploma/GED Some College, No Bachelors or Higher Diploma Diploma Degree U.S. Illinois
  • 7. Employment Rates of 16-29 Year Old Dropouts in the U.S. By Race-Ethnic Group, 2007 and 2010 
 (A) (B) (C) Percentage PointRace-Ethnic Group 2007 Jan.-Oct. 2010 Change All 55.5 45.7 -9.8 Black 39.7 29.4 -10.3 Hispanic 63.5 56.5 -7.0 White 53.1 41.8 -11.3
  • 8. Percent of 16-24 Year Old High School Dropouts Who WereJobless At the Time of 2009 Survey By Race-Ethnic Group, City of Chicago and Illinois, 200990.0% 82.4% 79.6%80.0%70.0% 66.8% 62.3%60.0% 56.8% 57.0% 55.7% 49.4%50.0%40.0%30.0%20.0%10.0%0.0% White Black Hispanic Total Chicago Illinois
  • 9. Mean Annual Earnings of Non-Enrolled 16-24 Year Old Males By Educational Attainment, U.S. and Illinois, 2009 (Including Zero Earners) 30,000 27,541 26,354 25,000 20,000 19,095 18,776Earn 14,019i 15,000n 12,516gs 9,475 10,000 7,328 5,000 0 <12 or 12, No H.S. Diploma H.S. Diploma/GED Some College, No Diploma Bachelors or Higher Degree U.S. Illinois
  • 10. Mean Annual Earnings of Non-Enrolled 16-24 Year Old Females By Educational Attainment, U.S. and Illinois, 2009 (Including Zero Earners)
 30,000 25,000 23,903 24,254 20,000Earn 14,022 13,466i 15,000ngs 10,000 9,153 9,351 4,626 4,689 5,000 0 <12 or 12, No H.S. Diploma H.S. Diploma/GED Some College, No Diploma Bachelors or Higher Degree U.S. Illinois
  • 11. Mean Lifetime Earnings of 18-64 Year Olds (Excluding 18-22 Years Old Students) in the U.S. by Educational Attainment, 1979-2009 (Earnings in 2009 Dollars) Educational Absolute Change, Percent Change, Attainment 1979 2009 1979-2008 1979-2009<12 or 12, NoH.S. Diploma 885,161 652,277 -232,884 -26.3H.S. Diploma/GED 1,226,563 1,050,306 -176,257 -14.4Some College,No Diploma 1,497,003 1,377,944 -119,059 -8.0Bachelor Degree 2,110,084 2,247,568 137,484 +6.5Masters orHigher Degree 2,708,079 3,163,556 455,478 +16.8Total 1,359,523 1,556,761 197,237 +14.5
  • 12. Percent of 16-24 Years Old Men Who Were Incarcerated by Educational Attainment, Illinois and U.S., 2009 Annual Average12.0 10.110.0 9.2 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.5 2.5 2.1 2.1 2.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 <12 or 12, No H.S. H.S. Diploma/GED Some College, No BA or Higher Degree Total Diploma Diploma Illinois U.S.
  • 13. Percent of 16-24 Years Old Male High School Dropouts Who Were Incarcerated in Illinois and U.S., 2009 Annual Average
25.0 22.5 21.720.015.0 Illinois 10.110.0 9.2 U.S. 5.7 6.2 5.4 5.0 3.6 0.0 White Black Hispanic Total
  • 14. Change in Statewide High School Graduation Rates in Four States That Implemented the National Governors Associations 4-Year Cohort Graduation Rate100 95 91.2 89.9 90 87.1 85.8 79.3 80 77.8 75.5 70.3 70 60 50 40 Michigan North Carolina Indiana Connecticut Illinois Before NGA Cohort Rate NGA Cohort Rate
  • 15. Smart Program InvestmentsG Keeping Truant, Suspended & Expelled Students In SchoolG Re-Enrolling Students Who Have Dropped Out of School
  • 16. Estimated Illinois Dropouts, Ages 15-20, in 2009 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 F F, S F, S, J F, S, J, S F, S, J, SClass of 2008 7,708 13,613 19,629 27,663 27,663 F F, S F, S, J F, S, J, SClass of 2009 6,356 12,273 18,528 25,001 F F,S F, S, JClass of 2010 6,815 13,958 18,631 F F, SClass of 2011 6,428 12,831 FClass of 2012 4,732 Estimated total youth out of school in 2009 88,858Source: Estimates built from ISBE End of Year Reports "High School Dropouts by Grade, Gender, and Racial/EthnicCategory," 2004 - 2009. the most recent data available. ASN compiles ISBE dropout data by class and grade in school (9th -12th) over the course of 5 years to estimate the total number of students, ages 15 - 20, in a given year. ASN estimates thatfreshman are 15 - 16 yrs old, sophomores are 16 - 17, juniors are 17 - 18, and seniors are 18 - 19.
  • 17. Funding for Illinois’ High-Risk Students Provides a Strong “Return on Investment” Each
Gradua*ng
High‐Risk
Student

 Over
Their
Life*me:
•  Earns
$400,000
more
in
wages
vs.
a
high
 school
dropout
•  Saves
$292,000
for
taxpayers

  • 18. Closing the Gap For High-Risk Students RESTORE
AND
EXPAND
FUNDING
•  $30
Million
—

 Truants’
Alterna*ve
Op*onal
and
Educa*on
 Program
(TAOEP)
•  $30
Million
—

 Regional
Safe
Schools
Program
 (RSSP)
•  $25
Million
—

 Illinois
Hope
and
Opportunity
Pathways
through
 Educa*on
 (I
HOPE)

  • 19. Smart Program InvestmentsG Keeping Truant, Suspended & Expelled Students In SchoolG Re-Enrolling Students Who Have Dropped Out of School