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When Bear Markets End - Aaron Skloff, AIF, CFA, MBA - CEO Skloff Financial Group

by Aaron Skloff, AIF, CFA, MBA on Jul 27, 2009

1,392 views

When Bear Markets End

When Bear Markets End

Skloff Financial Group
www.skloff.com

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Aaron Skloff, AIF, CFA, MBA , CEO at Skloff Financial Group http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aptPhP7m74A 2 years ago Reply
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Aaron Skloff, AIF, CFA, MBA , CEO at Skloff Financial Group http://www.slideshare.net/askloff/investing-through-recessions-19492001-presentation 2 years ago Reply
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Aaron Skloff, AIF, CFA, MBA , CEO at Skloff Financial Group http://www.slideshare.net/askloff/two-stage-bull-markets-19532001 2 years ago Reply
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Aaron Skloff, AIF, CFA, MBA , CEO at Skloff Financial Group www.skloff.com 2 years ago Reply
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Aaron Skloff, AIF, CFA, MBA , CEO at Skloff Financial Group 2 years ago

When Bear Markets End - Aaron Skloff, AIF, CFA, MBA - CEO Skloff Financial Group — Presentation Transcript

When Bear Markets End www.skloff.com
The Turnaround of July 1982 In the spring of 1982: The U.S. economy was contracting The stock market was down Oil prices were very high Consumer morale was poor www.skloff.com
The Turnaround of July 1982 By the summer of 1982: Inflation had declined to single digits Inflation was down from 14%+ in March of 1980 The Fed had cut rates for nearly a year The target rate was 9.5% This is down from a historic high 19% in June 1981 The Index of Leading Indicators had begun to climb www.skloff.com
S&P 500 Went on a Tear www.skloff.com
The Turnaround of July 2009 By the summer of 2009: The Index of Leading Indicators had begun to climb June 2009 was the third consecutive monthly rise The annualized rate of increase was 12.8% 6 of 7 recessions since 1960 ended with 12% gains If over, this 22-month recession is the longest since The Great Depression www.skloff.com
Leading Indicators Signaling the Recession’s End www.skloff.com
S&P 500 on a Tear Again – 03/09/09 to 07/24/09 www.skloff.com
Goodbye Bear! www.skloff.com
Sources: Source: FactSet and Morningstar Encorr, Fidelity Investments, Institute of Supply Management, New York Times