Foresight technology

Slide 1: From Regional Networking to International Partnerships in Technology Transfer and Innovation Support. TII 2008 Annual Conference, 23-25 April 2008, Valencia, Spain Pursuing innovation: the foresight issues in Latvian universities Dr. Arturs Puga Forward Studies Unit (Riga, Latvia)

Slide 2: From Regional Networking to International Partnerships in Technology Transfer and Innovation Support. TII 2008 Annual Conference, 23-25 April 2008, Valencia, Spain Outline and I Foresight process (EU framework of the projects approach) as a presentation kind of social technology III EU foresight II LNELS project (2003- technology transfer (TT) 2008) – capabilities to Latvian S&T building for foresight institutions and activities at national and universities European level

Slide 3: From Regional Networking to International Partnerships in Technology Transfer and Innovation Support. TII 2008 Annual Conference, 23-25 April 2008, Valencia, Spain Foresight comprises methodologies, I Foresight process (EU techniques, tools, and systematic, projects approach) as a participatory, future-intelligence- gathering and medium-to-long-term kind of social vision-building processes aimed at technology enabling present-day decisions and mobilising joint actions. FOR-LEARN, EC, JRC-IPTS - action-oriented, open to alternative futures, participatory, multidisciplinary Above all else, foresight is a social - tangible and intangible outcomes providing benefits to involved organizations / enterprises / technology individual participants -- for policy making, strategies and other business Dr. Michael Keenan, PREST, University of objectives, priority setting, innovation, education, Manchester, UK, UNIDO Technology Foresight etc. Training Programme, TF for Organizers, 2006 - use in knowledge and human action domains aiming at thinking, debating and shaping the future.

Slide 4: From Regional Networking to International Partnerships in Technology Transfer and Innovation Support. TII 2008 Annual Conference, 23-25 April 2008, Valencia, Spain Successful technology transfer means Thus technologies are meant to be that it is necessary to a broad view of total systems that include know-how, "Technology" to mean not only procedures, goods and services, as machines and equipment, but also well as organizational and operational the skills, abilities, knowledge, measures. systems and processes necessary Dr. Hari Srinivas, The Global Development to make things happen. Research Center III EU foresight II LNELS project (2003- technology transfer (TT) 2008) – capabilities to Latvian S&T building for foresight institutions and activities at national and universities European level

Slide 5: From Regional Networking to International Partnerships in Technology Transfer and Innovation Support. TII 2008 Annual Conference, 23-25 April 2008, Valencia, Spain A showcase of a Latvian foresight experience is grounded on the transdisciplinary knowledge work; its processes, outcomes and lessons might be rethought, adapted / innovatively used for foresight related activities in both Latvia and other countries and regions III EU foresight II LNELS project (2003- technology transfer (TT) 2008) – capabilities to Latvian S&T building for foresight institutions and activities at national and universities European level

Slide 6: The Lisbon strategy (2000-2010) Latvia EU context National context Adaptation Organizational Policies processes context Values Tranfer BARRIERS Objectives Methodologies (Council of Science RTD Scientific publications Universities Practices Projects Academies Incentives Guides Ministries Conferences RTD institutions (businesses) Foresight as Workshops an advanced Communities social Networks Change and Non-profit technology Innovation organizations) (F-AST) A receiver / user decides

Slide 7: Towards Latvian Foresight Network: 2003-2008 Latvian Council of Latvian Ministry of Ministry of Agriculture, Science Agriculture Latvian Academy of Sciences, Forward Studies Latvian Technological Latvian Academy of Latvian Academy of Unit Center Sciences Agricultural and Forestry Sciences agreed on the Latvian Union of Latvian Academy of cooperation Scientists Agricultural and Forestry Sciences within the Foresight network of specialists and Banking Institution Riga Technical practitioners of Higher Education University 2007 Receivers and users of the EU University of Latvia foresight technology transfer

Slide 8: Now, a main objective is to link gains of methodological studies and participation in EU foresight projects to entrepreneurial and innovative use of foresight in Latvian universities and SME’s Networks and collaboration in Since 2007 projects used by Latvian foresight specialists to participate in activities The Riga Technical University of the European Research / • research on the use of information technologies for foresight methods, Foresight area and the global developing the knowledge futures community management systems for SME’s The EC, DG RTD, and Joint Research Centre - IPTS supported The University of Latvia initiatives studies and exercises EC, DG Enterprise and Industry, IRE • foresight and futures–oriented The Millennium Project technology analysis for innovation and The European Foresight Monitoring technology marketing Network • integration of technologies of natural SCAR Agricultural Foresight sciences and foresight within the university research COST A22 • foresight and S&T policy making Shaping Tomorrow Foresight Network, etc.

Slide 9: From Regional Networking to International Partnerships in Technology Transfer and Innovation Support. TII 2008 Annual Conference, 23-25 April 2008, Valencia, Spain A.Puga. A Latvian experience addressing issues of the foresight innovation. I Foresight process (EU International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy, 2007, Vol.3, No.4, pp. 369- projects approach) as a 387 About a project "Latvia towards Knowledge kind of social Societies of Europe: new options for entrepreneurship and employment achieving the technology goals of the Lisbon Strategy“ 2003-2007 III EU foresight II LNELS project (2003- technology transfer (TT) 2008) – capabilities to Latvian S&T building for foresight institutions and activities at national and universities European level

Slide 10: From Regional Networking to International Partnerships in Technology Transfer and Innovation Support. TII 2008 Annual Conference, 23-25 April 2008, Valencia, Spain The European Foresight Global Foresight Outlook 2007: Monitoring Network (EFMN) Mapping Foresight in Europe and monitors ongoing and emerging the rest of the World foresight activities and disseminates information about these activities For the period of 2004-2007, Spain 43 talking to experts, assisted by Estonia 8 correspondents, looking at existing reports, browsing the Internet, the Latvia 5 data was collected from a total of Lithuania 1 1650 foresight initiatives and projects

Slide 11: • Relevance Trees (2) Mapping frequencies of use of • Morphological Analysis (4) • Gaming (4) methods • Bibliometrics (7) (Global Foresight Outlook 2007, • Multi-criteria Analysis (11) EFMN) • Cross-Impact Analysis (12) • Structural analysis (13) • Citizen Panels (28) • Stakeholder Mapping (30) • Backcasting (42) • Essays (50) 10 of used methods in Latvian foresight exercises (2003-2007) • Modelling and simulation (52) • Environmental Scanning (69) Scenarios • Technology Roadmapping (76) • SWOT Analysis (107) Delphi Futures Priority • Megatrend Analysis (110) Workshops Setting • Key Technologies (120) • Delphi (120) • Questionnaire / Survey (121) Trend Strategic Brainstorming • Interview s (127) Extrapolation Conversation • Trend Extrapolation (133) • Brainstorming (157) • Other methods (158) Literature Structural Expert Panels • Futures Workshops (195) • Scenarios (324) Review Analysis • Expert Panels (397) • Literature Review (437)

Slide 12: From Regional Networking to International Partnerships in Technology Transfer and Innovation Support. TII 2008 Annual Conference, 23-25 April 2008, Valencia, Spain BARRIERS To accept new methodologies, new approaches and paradigms of collective learning and sharing knowledge, of analysing structures and understanding in-depth current processes – both focused research Spread of foresight in issues and context (e.g., STEEPV domains - the country, Europe, and universities the world), engage in knowledge work using quantitative and qualitative methods to develop alternative futures, and search for consensus between different stakeholders CHALLENGES making today's decisions to shape the future (mid- and long-term horizon) Undertake foresight when it’s possible to act on the results

Slide 13: Iron curtain EU Iron cage Unlike the transfer of physical objects, the transfer of social technologies asks individuals in the target location to follow what transferred technologies suggest. Dr. Masahiro Matsuura

Slide 14: From Regional Networking to International Partnerships in Technology Transfer and Innovation Support. TII 2008 Annual Conference, 23-25 April 2008, Valencia, Spain University of Latvia Education and learning for To accept new methodologies, new approaches and paradigms of sustainable development collective learning and sharing knowledge, of analysing structures and understanding in-depth current processes – both focused research issues and context (e.g., STEEPV domains - the country, Europe, and the world), engage in knowledge work Sustainable development is using quantitative and qualitative methods to develop alternative an ethical challenge and a futures, and search for consensus scientific concept between different stakeholders UNESCO making today's decisions to shape the future (mid- and long-term horizon) International partnership, using and integrating F – AST into innovative initiatives

Slide 15: Thanks ! arturs_puga@yahoo.com