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Market research firm, Analysys, estimates that Skype and similar services could rob the traditional telephony market of 5.4 percent of the global fixed telephony revenues by 2011, some $US18.2 billion (of $364b).
New players, such as Skype and Google, are successfully fostering novel forms of communication among online communities, potentially posing a major threat to core communications revenues. The usage associated with these services, while predominantly incremental at present, will increasingly substitute for traditional communications services
Market for content aggregation of on-demand video by online retailers is likely to be worth around $US820 million in 2011
“ Blended Applications” – use one IP stream to deliver multiple services (bundled) but provide an avenue to connect them in some way
example: You are listening to a radio stream of “Comfortably Numb – Pink Floyd” – on the side you have a small video preview of their concert (feed from IPTV service) and a sidebar on where they are performing next (feed from MTV News)
Hard to do ? What if it takes 10 minutes to do it ?
Yahoo Pipes ! Unix Pipes – for the Internet World
Biggest SP concern: Subscriber Churn
Single Service Churn Rate: approx 2.3%
multiple service churn rate: approx 1.2% (source: Bell Labs Research)
Key-Concept: Provide infrastructure, provide tools, let user’s build:
Yahoo Maps and Google Maps are mash-ups
Zillow – mashup company for real-estate, location, and price with analysis
Sales-Force: most successful Sales Automation tool has completely gone online – APIs for extension
Key logic: Gives users the tools (example Yahoo Pipes), they will innovate:
example:LastTube (Last.fm meets Youtube)
The Unification Game – think Service Control Uniformed Service Delivery X Wireline/Wireless Uniformed User/Device Identity Uniformed Charging/Policy Uniformed User Experience Service Delivery Platform LTE WiMAX Irrelevant ! It’s all about a Broadband PIPE IMS!
Mobile: Voice vs. Data - Facts Voice Data src: Yankee Group
Gaming – second life: virtual vs. real life – which do you prefer ?
User Generated Video vs. Professionally Generated Video
‘ Browser based model’ not acceptable in mobile world – local client install is the way to go. In a survey of around 50 vendors (mostly entertainment space) (typically ISVs or Content Providers for mobile space)
Native: 18, J2ME:12, Flash-lite:20
Feedback: J2ME, too slow: Native – not portable: Flash-lite: ideal but has limitations
AJAX restricted to desktop, non media intensive real-time uses at most (collaboration of documents, slick interfaces etc)
Increase your perspective – the world is bigger than bits and bytes
See it on Youtube here
Download hi-res version here
This version is what I presented in the tech seminar. You will not be able to click it, since it linked to a copy of the video on my desktop. Instead …. How the Internet has changed under our nose – did you realize it ? TURN YOUR SPEAKERS ON! credit: Prof. Michael Welsh