CI 2.0 - Competitive Innovation Intelligence
Presentation to KMWorld 2006 Audience in San Jose California October 31 on How the Principles of Disruptive Innovation, Risk Management, Corporate Governance and Enterprise Collaboration are Driving the Incorporation of Blog, Wiki, Social Networking, Free-Tagging, Prediction Market and other Web 2.0 Features and Capabilities into Traditional Competitive Intelligence Software
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- Slide 1: CI 2.0 – Competitive Innovation Intelligence
Arik R. Johnson KMWorld 2006
Development & Leadership Institute San Jose, California USA
CEO & Managing Director, Aurora WDC Conference Session
Arik.Johnson@AuroraWDC.com Tuesday 31 October 2006
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 2: Defining Objectives for Today
1. Understand how CI has evolved over the past 25
years to become more and more “bottom-up”, driven
by Disruptive Innovation dynamics and less by
executive management decisions.
2. Learn how the “Duality of CI” drives selection and
implementation decisions to incorporate “Web 2.0”
software to support CI as processes have become
more distributed.
3. Meet a sample range of Software Vendors who have
Developed the best of these Applications and Learn
about their Comparative Strengths.
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 3: CI is About Better Decision-Making
• Strategic Decisions
– What Business are We in and Where are New
Opportunities for Growth?
• Operational Decisions
– How do we structure those business units to most
effectively compete for and win Market Share?
• Tactical Decisions
– Which customers are available to us and how can we
convince them to select us over any and all functional
equivalents?
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 4: Three CI Trends – “CMOR”
Collaborative Market Outlook Reconnaissance
(CMOR)
2. Organizational Acculturation – Everyone in the
Firm is a Virtual Member of the CI Team
3. Corporate Governance – Board-level Priority
for Ensuring Reliability of the Earnings
Forecast
4. Disruptive Innovation – Predicting Outcome of
Competitive Battles based on Product Strategy
& Predictable Dynamics
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 5: What is Competitive Intelligence
• As much about substitutes, emerging new entrants,
changing technologies and business models to address
needs of customers, as it is about competitors.
• Understand unarticulated customer needs today and align
assets & innovations for success tomorrow.
• Risk & Reward – risk to the current status quo or goals
vector plus reward in addressing new market objectives.
• CI is about Sensing, Interpreting & Acting to Mitigate
Threats & Exploit Opportunities in 3 Contexts:
– Strategy – existential mission and competency applicability
– Operations – performance alignment of assets and interface to
industry/market
– Tactics – engagement with customers vis-à-vis equivalents
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 6: Typical Climate of CI Initiative
• Crisis response in reaction to market surprise –
arising from a new competitor, regulatory
environment, business model shift,
customer/vendor backward/forward integration.
• Avoiding this climate requires discipline in
contemplating strategic scenarios to drive key
intelligence topics (KITs).
• A simpler approach will be discussed here, but first,
the “traditional approach”…
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 7: Traditional CI Follows a
The
Disciplined Process for
Traditional CI
Planning &
Information Collection and
Cycle
Direction
Analysis
Needs
Deliver, Inform
Secondary
& Recommend Tactical Users & Research
Strategic
Decision Makers
Analysis & Primary
Production Research
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 8: Research Collection Sources
Where does the
No Co m p a n y Op e ra te s in I o la tio n
s
information come from?
1. Primary Research
We may share
customers, prospects
and suppliers who can
be interviewed.
Every company has
knowledgeable
employees with loose
lips.
2. Secondary Research
Companies release
information for
Inform ation is e xchange d e ve rywhe re m one y is
promotional, image and
e xchange d.
regulatory purposes.
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 9: Analysis is Key
Data: 2001: “The D&B report told us that the competitors plant had 100
employees.”
Scattered bits and pieces of
2004: “One of our salespeople just passed by the competitor’s plant
facts, observations and rumors
and spotted only 30 cars in the lot.”
Information:
“Based on the D&B and the salesperson’s report, it appears the
A pooling of these bits of facts,
competitor has lost business.”
observations and rumors
“After gathering more operational information and running a side-by-
Analysis:
side profit & loss analysis, it appears the competitor has become
Distilled information
highly efficient. It exceeds industry standards and has become a best-
in-class facility.”
Intelligence:
“The competitor would make a good acquisition candidate. Its lean &
The insight that will allow you
mean structure would fit well with our current operations.”
to make an informed decision
The Difference B etween Data and Intellig ence
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 10: Two Fundamental
Competitive Analysis
Model Examples
SWOT Analysis
Core Competence
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 11: Key Intelligence Topics (KITs)
• Process of Interactive Dialog with
Decision-Makers through KIT
Interviews; Consists of 3 Protocols
w/Subtle Differences:
2. Strategic Decisions/Issues
3. Key Marketplace Players
4. Early-Warning Topics
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 12: KITs – Strategic Issues
Strategic Investment Decisions: Identify and assess changes in the competitive environment,
possible future investments, including alliances, acquisitions, etc.
Should we expand our current production capacity or build new capacity with a more cost-
effective manufacturing process?
What plans and actions must we take to maintain (our) technological competitiveness as
compared with competitive alternatives?
New Product Development and New Market Launch: Assessment of leading competitors and
the status of competing technologies.How and when will the competitors respond and how could
they affect our plans?
Sales & Marketing Strategy as Positioning in the industry.
Protection of IP and proprietary information and technology: Competitors efforts to acquire or
undermine it, and are there others interested in it?
Provide advice for developing the company’s ongoing strategic plan by assessing the role of
risks and opportunities in achieving our business goals.
Globalization & Outsourcing in the Industry: How/with whom should we proceed?
International Market Development: Assess the current competitive situation and describe the
most likely future situational scenarios.
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 13: KITs – Key Players
Context-specific Company & Market Profile Assessments of our competitors, including
strategic plans, competitive strategies, financial & market performance, organization & key
personnel, R&D, operations, sales & marketing, etc.
Identify Emerging Competitors, particularly those coming from different industries.
Describe & Assess Current & Future Competitive Environment, including: customers and
competitors; markets and suppliers; production and product technologies; political and
environmental; and the industry’s structure, including changes and trends.
New Customers, their changing needs and future interests: What are they and how are our
competitors trying to satisfy them?
Identify and assess new industry/market players, including: suppliers, distributors, customers
and/or competitors, that are considering entry into our business.
New Technology Development: Who are they and what are their plans and strategies for
competing in our industry?
Marketshare and Historical Growth Data, including that of our competitors for comparison.
Management support for regulatory and environmental activities for decision making.
Industry, financial & customer community views, attitudes and perceptions regarding the
Positioning or Value of our brand, products and services.
Perceptions by Financial & Investment Community of our Business & Industry
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 14: KITs – Early Warning
Potential Areas for Disruptive Technological Breakthrough that could dramatically affect our
current and future competitiveness, positively or negatively.
Technological Process Developments affecting either production capabilities, costs or product
development, and their uses by competitors and others.
Performance of Key Suppliers - financial health, cost & quality issues, potential acquisition or
alliances.
Potential for Disruption in Supply Chain and Change in Industry Procurement Practices.
Change in Customer & Competitors Perceptions of our company, products and services.
Companies and/or Combinations of Companies, considering possible entry into our business or
markets.
Changes in international political, social, economic, environmental or regulatory situations that
could effect our competitiveness.
Regulatory Issues: near-term changes and deviations in long-term trends; legislative changes
that could impact current regulatory status quo.
Intelligence on Alliances, Acquisitions, and Divestitures among our Competitors, Customers
and Suppliers: Understanding the forces causing them and purposes of each deal.
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 15: Tactical CI Project Example: Cost Analysis
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 16: Level of CI Involvement in
Stage
M&A
ID Evaluate Due Consum-
Criteria Targets Analyze Diligence Recommend Negotiation mation Integration
Intelligence
Research
Business Units
Finance
Technical Assessment
Legal
Executives
M&A Specialists
Transition Team
Logistics
HR
High
Level of CI
Involvement
Low
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 17: Seven Steps to Effective Competitive Benchmarking
1. Determine functional areas within your operation to be benchmarked. This is likely to
be those areas that will benefit most from the benchmarking process, based upon the cost,
importance and potential of changes following the study.
2. Identify the key factors and variables with which to measure those functions. Two general
forms – wherewithal/resources and goals/strategy.
3. Select the best-in-class companies for each area to be benchmarked -- those companies that
perform each function at the lowest cost, with the highest degree of customer satisfaction, etc.
The companies you select will be those that do whatever you’re measuring better than you do
and/or are ones you wish to emulate or copy.
4. Measure performance of the comparison companies for each benchmark being considered.
5. Measure your own performance for each variable and begin comparing the results in an
"apples-to-apples" format to determine the gap between your firm and the best-in-class
examples.
6. Specify programs and actions to meet and surpass the competition based on a plan
developed to enhance those areas that show potential for compliment.
7. Implement your improvement program by setting specific improvement targets and
deadlines, and by developing a monitoring process to review and update the analysis over time.
This will also form the basis for ongoing monitoring, revision and recalibration of
measurements in future benchmarking studies.
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 18: The Ideal Analyst = Investigative Journalist
• e.g. Maria Bartiromo (CNBC)
– Argument/Idea Evangelist
– Entrepreneurial Passion
– Quick Study with Intense Curiosity
– Instinctive but Empirical
– Project/Deadline Manager
– Librarian/Information Manager
– Hard-Core Interviewer
– Pattern Recognizant
– Great Communicator
– Persuasive Position Advocate
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 19: Different Missions, Different Approaches
Generalist Specialist Investigative
In a Hurry Slower Production Very Slow,
Curious, Historical
Lots of Output, Less Output, More
Less Analytical Analytical Little Output,
Highly Analytical
Agenda Driven by Agenda Driven by
the Publisher Contact Network Questions Official
Positions, Listens
Little Knowledge Lots of Subject to Nonspokesmen
of Subject Matter Matter Knowledge
Operates Outside
Seeks Volume of Seeks Explanation Routine Agenda of
Public Interest of the Subject the Publisher
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 20: The Insight Method
• Take Nothing at Face Value
• Get to the Facts at the Heart of an Issue
• Explain Difficult Concepts, Don’t Write Around It
• Speak to As Many Relevant People as Possible
• Use Simple, Obvious Questions to Open Subjects
• Don’t Echo Main Source, Find Other Views
• Every Company, Person & Issue Has a History that
Drives Behavior Today
• Sunday Times
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 21: Porter’s Five Forces Model
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 22: Impacts on Planning & Execution
Competitors’ Plans and Actions
Direct Competitors
New Forms of Competition Indirect Competitors
X Y Z P Q R A B C
Your Company’s Plans and Execution
Market
Operational
Tactical
Vision and Success
Strategic Plans Projects and
Execution
Grand Strategy
Programs
Other (More-or-Less) “Uncontrollables”
Government Industry Other
The Economy Technology Market Trends
and Regulatory Rationalization Unknowns
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 23: “Strategic Intelligence”
• Principles of Defensive Warfare
– Only the market leader should consider playing defense.
The Strategy Square – The best defensive strategy is the courage to attack
yourself.
– Strong competitive moves should always be blocked.
Defensive •
Offensive Principles of Offensive Warfare
Market Leaders No 2 or No 3 – The main consideration is the strength of the leader's
• Attacking themselves position.
• Avoiding leader’s
with new ideas – Find a weakness in the leader's strength and attack at that
strengths
point.
• Blocking competitive • Attacking leader’s – Launch the attack on as narrow a front as possible.
moves weaknesses
• Principles of Flanking Warfare
– A good flanking move must be made into an uncontested
area.
Flanking Guerilla – Tactical surprise ought to be an important
New Players Small Players
element of the plan.
• Moving into • Finding market small – The pursuit is just as critical as the attack itself.
uncontested area enough to defend
• Principles of Guerilla Warfare
• Prepared to bug out at
• Element of surprise – Find a segment of the market small enough to defend.
moment’s notice – No matter how successful you
become, never act like the leader.
– Be prepared to bug out at a moment's notice.
-- Jack Trout
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 24: Growth Vector Analysis
• Growth Vector Analysis (GVA) reviews the different product alternatives available to the firm in
relation to its market options, not already being pursued by competitors. Four complimentary
characteristics are used for defining common threads of strategy:
– Product-Market Scope specifies particular industries to which a firm confines its position.
– Growth Vector indicates the direction a firm is moving relative to current product-market posture (market
penetration, market development, product development and diversification).
– Competitive Advantage defined as particular properties of individual product markets conveying a strong
market position.
– Synergy is the combined effect on the firm’s resources that is greater than the sum of its parts.
Improved Products New Products
Present Products
Existing Market Penetration Product Extension Product Development
Market
Expanded Market Extension Market Segmentation / Product Development /
Market Product Differentiation Market Extension
New Market Market Product/Service Extension & Diversification
Development Market Development
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 25: Competitors, Customers & Technologies Are Complex Interdependencies
CI is about “Seeing Clearly” through Market Illusions
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 26: Success Breeds Complacency
“It is a classic conundrum for business titans: How
much money and attention should be focused on a
new, but growing, operation that is far less
profitable than the core business?”
- Prof. Clayton Christensen, The Innovator's Dilemma
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 27: The Duality of Intelligence
Both Decisive & Incisive Sensing
Decisive Incisive
Frame of Reference is the Scanning for Trends, there is
Decision, Less Trend-Dependent no “Decision” to be made
Framework for Analysis Recognizing “Pattern Vectors”
Compares Options & Outcomes Framework for Interpretation
Recommendations and Trust Implications for the Reader
Top-Down Bottom-Up
Driven by Issues Driven by Trends
Decision & Action vs. ‘Nariyuki’ Outcome is Observation
Factual Hypothetical
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 28: Consumers “Hire” Products to Do
“Jobs” for Them
Concentrate Less on
What Customers “Want” and
More on What Customers “Need”
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 29: Disruptive Technology
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- Slide 30: Value Chain Evolution Theory
• Disruptive Business Models: Vertically Integrating VC
to Improve What’s “Not Good Enough” in the company’s
products and services judged by customers.
• Performance Defining Subsystems: Companies must
control all those activities and combinations of activities
in the value chain that drive the product performance
characteristics that matter most to customers.
• Specialists will seek to control performance drivers
based on differences in motivation and skills around a
modular interface in the VC. (Sword & Shield)
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 31: RPV Theory: Building Capabilities
Resources Processes Values
Assets the Firm Ways to Turn Prioritization
can Buy or Sell, Resources into Criteria for
Build or Destroy Products/Services Decision-Making
People Hiring/Training Cost Structure
Technology Product Dev. Income Statement
Products Manufacturing Customer Demand
Equipment Budgeting Opp. Size
Cash/Brand/Distr. Research Ethics
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 32: Disruptive Innovation Theory
Sustaining Innovations
Better Products Brought to
Performance Established Markets
Difference
Performance
Measure
Low-End Disruptions
Target Overshot Customers with a
Lower Cost Business Model
New-Market Disruption
Compete Against Nonconsumption
Time
Nonconsumers or Nonconsuming Contexts
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 33: Consumer Demand & Signals of Change
1. Non-Market Contexts: External Forces (Government, Economics,
etc.) Increasing or Decreasing Barriers to Innovation
2. Undershot Consumers: Opportunities for Up-Market Sustaining
Innovations
3. Overshot Consumers: Opportunities for Low-End Disruption,
Shifting Profits by Specialist Displacements (Modularity) and the
Emergence of Rules
4. Non-Consumers: Opportunities for New Market Disruptive Growth
Established Companies almost always
Lose to Disruptive Innovators
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 34: Process of Predicting Industry Change
Signals
of
Change
Likely Outcome of Strategic Choices
Competitive Influencing
Battles Success
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 35: The CI Think Tank Model
Tasking the Research & Analysis Bureau using by KITs & Scenarios
to Deliver a Portfolio of End-User Applications
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 36: The 2007 Aurora Enterprise CI
Software Review
Why a CI Software Review? (CI is not possible without it!)
The Requirements of Automation: Discovery, Collaboration &
Synthesis, Reporting
2007 Review vs. 2004 Approach: Discover Core Competency
12 Application/Vendors Nominated by Actual Users (6-D/6-I)
10 Selected (6-D/4-I) + Dozens of “Honorable Mentions”
Comprehensive Demonstrations + Questionnaires
… on to the Vendors …
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 37: 10 Software Application Vendors
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 38: Key Trends Observed
1. CI Software has Acquiesced to being less Packaged
Application than Software Development Kit – a Platform for
Customization to Accelerate Implementation
2. Emergence of Strategies for Routing Around the IT
Department Bottlenecks has led to the Rise of Hosted
Options by Many Vendors, some Exclusively, Instead of
Solutions Installed Behind Firewall
3. Diverse & Sophisticated “Application Poly-Culture”
Emerging with “Mashups” to Enable Bolt-on Functionality
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 39: Making Unstructured Data Easy
to Understand Quickly
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- Slide 40: Acuity
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- Slide 41: Transforming Key Intelligence
Topics into Decision Support
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- Slide 42: Cipher
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- Slide 43: Networked Collaborative
Document Management for
Strategic Early Warning
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- Slide 44: Coemergence
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- Slide 45: Disciplined Structure for
Processing, Storage, Collaboration
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- Slide 46: Comintell
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- Slide 47: Filtered Tracking, Validated CI
Management & Fast Publishing
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- Slide 48: Digimind
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- Slide 49: Structured Filtering, Key Topic
Monitoring, Routine Automation
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- Slide 50: Novintel
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- Slide 51: Forms Driven Data Extraction
from the World Wide Web
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- Slide 52: QL2
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- Slide 53: Agile Automation of Competitor
Profiling, Monitoring & Action
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- Slide 54: Strategy
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- Slide 55: Communicating & Connecting
Text Flexibly & Intuitively
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- Slide 56: Traction
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- Slide 57: Sophisticated Simplicity,
Densely Analytical + Simple UI
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- Slide 58: Wincite
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- Slide 59: Aurora 2007 Enterprise
Competitive Intelligence
Software Review
Available for Download at
www.ReconG2.com
November 2006
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com
- Slide 60: Questions or Comments?
www.AuroraWDC.com
Arik R. Johnson Derek L. Johnson
Intelligence Development Institute Research & Analysis Bureau
Arik.Johnson@AuroraWDC.com Derek.Johnson@AuroraWDC.com
+01-715-720-1616 +01-608-268-3470
Aurora WDC www.AuroraWDC.com Competitive Intelligence for the Need to Know Enterprise ReconG2 www.ReconG2.com