Technology & Social Interactions
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in...5
×
 

Technology & Social Interactions

on

  • 367 views

 

Statistics

Views

Total Views
367
Views on SlideShare
281
Embed Views
86

Actions

Likes
0
Downloads
0
Comments
1

2 Embeds 86

http://blog.antonioaddario.com 84
http://www.linkedin.com 2

Accessibility

Upload Details

Uploaded via as Adobe PDF

Usage Rights

© All Rights Reserved

Report content

Flagged as inappropriate Flag as inappropriate
Flag as inappropriate

Select your reason for flagging this presentation as inappropriate.

Cancel
  • Full Name Full Name Comment goes here.
    Are you sure you want to
    Your message goes here
    Processing…
Post Comment
Edit your comment

Technology & Social Interactions Technology & Social Interactions Presentation Transcript

  • Technology  &  Social  Interac2on       A  ten  years  outlook  on  the  impact  of   technology  on  human  rela2ons   by  Antonio  Addario  
  •  Let’s  define  Social  Interac2on  first   “Social  interac2on  is  the  mutual  influences  that   individuals  and  groups  have  on  one  another  in  their   aCempts  to  solve  problems  and  in  their  striving   towards  goals.”  -­‐  Green   By  Antonio  Addario    
  •  There  are  five  major  types  of  Social  Interac2on   Coopera'on:  working  together  in  the  pursuit  of  common   interests  or  common  goal     Compe''on:  two  or  more  people  or  groups  oppose  each  other   to  achieve  a  goal  that  only  one  can  aCain     Conflict:  deliberate  aCempt  to  oppose,  resist  or  coerce  the  will   of  another  or  others     Accommoda'on:  resolu2on  of  conflict  by  adjus2ng  oneself  to   the  new  environment     Assimila'on:  the  process  whereby  persons  and  groups  acquire   the  culture  of  the  other  persons  and  groups  in  which  they  come   to  live   By  Antonio  Addario    
  •  All  types  of  Social  Interac2ons  are  impacted  by    technological  innova2on   We  are  living  in  the  Digital  Revolu2on1,  we  have  plenty  of   examples  of  how  our  lives  have  been  affected  by  technology     Coopera'on   Open  Source,  Crowd  Funding,  Online  Da2ng,  Peer-­‐to-­‐Peer  Data   Sharing,  Social  Networking,  Mul2lingual  Transla2on  Services     Compe''on   Mul2player  Online  Gaming,  Data  Intelligence,  Analy2cs,  Social   Influence  Ranking,  Online  Reviews   Conflict   Cyber  ACacks,  Cyber  Bulling,  Unmanned  Combat  Vehicles   Accommoda'on   Privacy  Exposure,  Online  Iden2ty  Management,  Digital  Security   Assimila'on   Digital  Alter-­‐Ego,  Hyper-­‐connec2vity,  Asynchronous   Communica2on,  increased  Transparency  and  Accountability,   Decline  in  interpersonal  physical  rela2ons   1.  hCp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Digital_Revolu2on   By  Antonio  Addario    
  • unstructured commands and subtle judgments judgments perform knowledge work tasks involving judgments unstructured commands and subtle potential of these technologies to drive economic impact and disruption and do The Internet of Things Networks of low-cost sensors and The Internet of Things Networks judgmentsof low-cost sensors and The Internet of Things Networks forlow-cost sensors and actuators of data collection, monitoring, actuators for data collection, monitoring, not represent our estimates of the potential economic impact by 2025, which actuatorsmaking, collection, monitoring, data decision forlow-cost process The Internet of Things Networks making,and sensors and decision of and process we describe in Exhibit E3 below. These numbers are not exhaustive; they are decision making, and process optimization data collection, monitoring, potential of these technologies to drive economic impact and disruption and do actuators for optimization optimization indicative and do not represent all possible applications or potential impacts for decision making, and process not represent our estimates of the potential economic impact by 2025, which optimization each technology. Cloud technology Use of computer hardware and software we describe in Exhibit E3 below. These numbers are not exhaustive; they are Cloud technology Use of computer hardware network or Cloud technology Use of computer hardware and software resources delivered over a and software potential and do technologies all possible applications and disruption and do indicativeof these not represent to drive economic impactor potential impacts for resources delivered over a network or resources delivered a service the of computer hardware network or Cloud technology UseInternet, often as over aand software not represent our Exhibit E1 the Internet, often as a service each technology. estimates of the potential economic impact by 2025, which the Internet, often as a service resources delivered over a network or potential potentially economically disruptive technologies disruption and do Twelve of in Exhibit E3 below. drive numbers impact and we describethese technologies toThese economic are not exhaustive; they are the Internet, often as a service Advanced robotics Increasingly capable robots with not represent our not representthe possible applications or potential impacts for indicative and do estimates of all potential economic impact by 2025, which Advanced robotics Increasingly capable robots with Exhibit E1 enhanced senses, dexterity, and Advanced robotics Increasingly capable robots with we describe in Exhibit E3Internet These numbers are not exhaustive; and capable below. they are enhanced senses, dexterity, and each technology. Mobile Increasingly inexpensive intelligence capable robots tasks or Advanced robotics Increasinglyused to dexterity,with Twelve potentially economically disruptive technologies enhanced used automate tasks intelligencesenses, automateand or indicative and do not represent all possible applications or potential impacts for mobile computing devices and Internet augment humansto enhanced senses, dexterity, and intelligence used augment humans to automate tasks or connectivity each technology. Increasingly  inexpensive  and  capable   Increasingly  capable  intelligence used enhanced   or robots  humansto automate tasks augment with   Exhibit E1 Mobile Internet Increasingly inexpensive and capable augment humans mobile  compu2ng  d mobile computing devices and Internet senses,  dexterity,  and  intelligence  used  to   operate Twelve potentially economically disruptive evices  and  Internet   technologies Autonomous and Vehicles that can navigate and Autonomous and vehicles connectivity near-autonomous asks  or  augment  humans   with reduced can navigate and operate Automation of knowledge Intelligent software systems that can Exhibit E1 connec2vity   automate  t vehicles Vehicles that or no human intervention near-autonomous with reduced or no human intervention work perform knowledge work tasks involving Autonomous and Vehicles that can navigate and operate Autonomous and Vehicles that can navigate and operate Twelve potentially economically disruptive technologies Mobile Internet Increasingly inexpensive and subtle   unstructured commands and capable near-autonomous vehicles near-autonomous vehicles with reduced or no human intervention with reduced or no human intervention mobile computing devices and Internet Next-generation genomics Fast, low-cost gene sequencing, judgmentssoftware systems that can Automation of knowledge Intelligent Next-generation genomics Fast, low-cost data analytics, and connectivity inexpensive and capable advanced big gene sequencing, Mobile Increasingly work Internet perform knowledge work tasks involving TheIntelligent  sodware  systems  that  can  pand subtle Internet of Things Networks of low-cost sensors and synthetic big data analytics, and Next-generation genomics sequencing,  advanced   mobile computing devices and Internet unstructured commands erform   Fast,  low-­‐cost  gene   advancedbiology (“writing” DNA) Next-generation genomics Fast, low-cost gene sequencing, Fast, low-cost gene sequencing, synthetic biology (“writing” DNA) actuators for advanced big data analytics, and connectivity data collection, monitoring, judgments knowledge  work   Intelligent software systems that can big  data  analy2cs,  and  synthe2c  biology   and advanced big data analytics, decision making, and process Automation of knowledgetasks  involving  unstructured   synthetic biology (“writing” DNA) Energy storage Devices or systems that store energy synthetic biology (“writing” DNA) optimization low-cost work perform knowledge sensors and Thecommands  and  subtle  judgments   work tasks involving Internet of Things Networks of (“wri2ng”   Energy storage DNA)   Devices use, including batteries for later or systems that store energy unstructured commands andthat can subtle actuators for data collection, monitoring, for later use, including batteries Automation of knowledge Intelligent software systems Energy storage Devices or systems that store energy judgments decision knowledge work tasks work perform making, and process software Cloud technology Use of computer hardware and involving for later use, including batteriesenergy Energy storage Devices or systems that store optimization commands and subtle 3D printing Additive manufacturing techniques to unstructured resources delivered over a network 3D printing Additive manufacturing techniques The Internet of Things Networks of low-cost sensors and or for later use, by printing layers create objectsincluding batteries of to judgments the Internet, data as a service create objects by printing layers of actuators for often collection, monitoring, material based on digital 3D printing Additive manufacturingo  models to Addi2ve  manufacturing  techniques  t techniques Cloud technology f  low-­‐cost  sensors  and  actuators  for   Use of computer and process Networks  o material based on digital models decision making, hardware and software The Internet of Things Networks of low-cost sensors and create objects by printing layers of resources delivered over a network or 3D printing objects  by  prin2ng  layers  of   techniques to Additive manufacturing optimization ecision  making,   create   Advancedcollec2on,  monitoring,  d capable robots with Increasingly data collection, monitoring, actuators for data   robotics material based on digital models Advanced materials Materials designed to have superior the Internet, often as a service create objects by printing layers of enhanced senses, dexterity, and decision making, and process Advanced materials Materials designed to have superior material  based  on  digital  models   digital models characteristics (e.g., strength, weight, and  process  op2miza2on   used to automate tasks or material based on intelligence optimization characteristics (e.g., strength, weight, Cloud technology Use of computer hardware and software conductivity) or functionality Advanced materials Materials designed to have superior augment humans Advanced robotics Increasingly capable robots with conductivity) or functionality resources delivered over a network or characteristics (e.g., strength, weight, enhanced senses, dexterity, and the Internet, often as a service software conductivity) or functionality superior Cloud technology Use of computer hardware and Advanced materials Materials designed to have intelligence used to automate tasks or Advanced oil and gas Exploration and(e.g., strength, weight, resources delivered over a and operate network or characteristics recovery techniques Autonomous and Vehicles humans augment that can navigate Advanced oil and gas Exploration and recovery techniques exploration and recoveryunc2onal  systems  aof the   that make extraction t   unconventional the Internet, oftenodware   Use  of  computer  h Increasingly capable a service Engineering  of  f Advanced robotics conductivity) or functionality near-autonomous vehicles ardware  and  noas robots with with reduced or s human intervention exploration and recovery that make extraction of unconventional oil and gas and recovery Advanced oil and gas Exploration economical techniques enhanced oil and gas economical resources  delivered  over  a  nsenses, dexterity, and or etwork  or  the   molecular  scale   exploration and recovery that make extraction of unconventional intelligence used to automate tasks Autonomous and Vehicles that Advanced robotics Increasingly can navigate and operate robots with oil and gas economical Internet,   genomics Fast,reducedcapablesequencing, augment senses, human intervention Next-generationoden  as  a  service  humans dexterity, and low-cost gene near-autonomous vehicles with or no enhanced Advanced energy Exploration and recovery techniques Renewable oil and gas Generation of electricity from renewable advanced big data analytics, and or intelligence used to automate tasks Renewable energy Generationextraction of unconventional exploration and recovery that make of electricity from climate sources with reduced harmfulrenewable synthetic humans(“writing” DNA) augment biology sourcesgas economical oil and impact with reduced harmful climate Renewable energy Generation of electricity from renewable Autonomous and Vehicles that can navigate and operate Next-generation genomics Fast, low-cost gene sequencing, impact sources with reduced harmful climate near-autonomous vehicles with reduced data nd  Users  for   1.  Gartner:  Top  Technology  Predic2ons  for  IT  Organiza2ons  ahuman intervention and  beyond   advanced bigor no analytics, and 2020   Energy storage Devices or systems that store energy impact synthetic that can (“writing” DNA) SOURCE: McKinsey Global Institute analysis 2.  McKinsey  Global:  MGI_Disrup2ve_technologies_Full_report_May2013   Autonomous and Vehicles biology navigate and for later use, including batteriesoperate SOURCE: McKinsey Global Institute analysis Renewable energy Generation of electricity from renewable near-autonomous vehicles with reduced or no human intervention Next-generation genomics Fast, low-cost gene sequencing, sources with reduced harmful climate SOURCE: McKinsey Global Institute analysis Energy storage Devices or systems that store energy advanced big data analytics, and to 3D printing Additive manufacturing techniques impact for later use, including batteries of synthetic biology (“writing”layers create objects by printing DNA) Next-generation genomics Fast, low-cost gene sequencing, By  Antonio  Addario     material based on digital models advanced big data analytics, and 3D printing Additive biology (“writing” DNA) syntheticor systems that store energy SOURCE: McKinsey Global Institute analysis Energy storage Devices manufacturing techniques to work      The  following  technologies1  will  have  transforma2onal                  impact  on  human  rela2ons  in  the  next  decade2   Mobility  Compu2ng   Autonomous  Machines   Automa2on  of  Knowledge  Work   Gene2c  engineering   Internet  Of  Things   3D  Prin2ng   Cloud  Technology   Nanotechnologies   E1
  •    Coopera2on  will  occur  globally  regardless  of  geographical        and  cultural  barriers,  value  exchange  will  increase   Key  Aspects     •  •  •  •  •  •  •  •  Mobility  and  internet  connec2vity  will  further   develop  socially  and  geographically  distributed   thinking  and  value  exchange     Predic2ve  data-­‐driven  applica2ons  will  provide   personalized  and  relevant  interac2ons   Speech  recogni2on  will  remove  language   barriers   The  Internet  of  Things  will  connect  machines,   people  and  businesses  blurring  the  line   between  human-­‐machine  rela2ons   More  than  half  of  consumer  goods   manufacturers  will  receive  75  percent  of  their   consumer  innova2on  through  crowdsourcing1   Augmented  Reality  will  enrich  our   understanding  of  people  and  our  surroundings   Social  rela2ons  will  be  more  transparent,   honest  and  authen2c  because  of  the  availability   and  depth  of  informa2on   Bio-­‐prin2ng  could  poten2ally  solve  many  health   issues  in  under  developed  countries   By  Antonio  Addario       Proof  Points  -­‐  Examples     Highlight  is  an  social  networking  applica2on     that  finds  nearby  users  and  shows  things  they   have  in  common  with  you.     World's  largest   crowdfunding  plajorm.   The  company’s  stated   mission  is  to  help  bring   crea2ve  projects  to  life.  
  •  Compe22on  will  increase,  but  it  will  enable  smaller        players  to  take  on  bigger  ones   Key  Aspects     •  •  •  •  •    Proof  Points  -­‐  Examples The  Internet  penetra2on  increase    from   2.8B  in  2013  to  5B  by  2020  will  make  the   world  a  truly  global  compe22ve  market   Individuals  with  a  strong  digital  social   status  will  have  a  significant  compe22ve   advantage   Advanced  robo2cs  will  lead  to  further   automa2on  causing  job  losses,  but  also   increasing  the  value  of  crea2ve  individuals       Cloud-­‐based  services  will  help  level  the   playing  field  for  small  organiza2ons  and   developing  na2ons,  offering  low-­‐cost  high-­‐ performance  ping  na2ons  and  small     Usage  of  Data  will  become  more  and  more   a  strategic    compe22ve  advantage  for   individuals  and  organiza2ons  able  to   capitalize  on  that   By  Antonio  Addario     1.  By  RethinkRobo2cs       Klout  is  a  influence  ranking   program  that  scans  and  pulls   informa2on  from  various   social  media  profiles,   including  Facebook,  TwiCer   and    couple  of  others.   Baxter  Robot1  performs  a   variety  of  repe22ve   produc2on  tasks  safely  and   working  next  to  people1  
  •    Conflict  interac2ons  will  be  gelng  more  sophis2cated  and  scarier                  especially  at  the  macro-­‐level,  the  “Terminator”  is  not  far  away   Key  Aspects     •  •  •  •  •  •  Prolifera2on  of  unmanned  combat  robots   Rising  risks  of  security  and  privacy   breaches  as  reliance  on  digital  services  will   con2nuously  increase   Risk  of  gene2c  engineering    being  misused   to  obtain  gene2c  altera2ons  and   enhancement,  or  discriminate  individuals   By  20201,  enterprises  and  governments  will   fail  to  protect  75  percent  of  sensi2ve  data,   and  declassify  and  grant  broad/public   access  to  it.  Enterprises  and  governments   will  focus  on  protec2ng  only  a  small  part  of   it,  but  protec2ng  it  well.  This  could  lead  to   iden2ty  thed  and  social  re-­‐engineering   3D  prin2ng  and  scanning  will  facilitate  IP   thed   Nanotech  will  be  developed  for  soldier   enhancement    and  chemical  weapons   Proof  Points  -­‐  Examples   “U.S.  military  may  have  10   robots  per  soldier  by  2023”     ScoC  Hartley,  Senior  research  engineer  and  co-­‐ founder  of  5D  Robo2cs     1.  Gartner:  Top  Technology  Predic2ons  for  IT  Organiza2ons  and  Users  for  2020  and  beyond   By  Antonio  Addario      
  •      Such  development  of  Conflict-­‐type  interac2ons  may          require  dras2c  Accommoda2on  measures   Key  Aspects     •  •  •  •    The  Robo2za2on  of  military  forces  will  further   increase  the  dominance  of  leading  na2ons.   The  reduc2on  of  own  casual2es  during   conflicts  will  also  cause  less  internal  poli2cal   resistance,  and  hence  poten2ally  trigger  more   acts  of  war.   The  ever  increasing  cases  of  digital  fraud  and   sensi2ve  informa2on  leaking  will  likely  trigger   a  spike  in  adop2on  of  encryp2on  and  digital   security  services,  but  also  being    “hacked  and   watched”  will  be  more  socially  accepted   Some  pre-­‐digital  revolu2on  constructs  like   Copyrigh2ng  and  Patent  law  might  become   obsolete  or  significantly  reformed  given  their   increasing  lack  of  effec2veness  or  relevance   Interna2onal  Non-­‐Governmental-­‐ Organiza2ons  will  flourish  to  help  individuals   around  the  globe  to  deal  with  hegemonic   governments  and  criminal  organiza2ons   By  Antonio  Addario     Proof  Points  -­‐  Examples     PLUG  a  data-­‐storage  device  that   could  combat  the  government's   data-­‐collec2on  surveillance  program   known  as  PRISM.  In  just  nine  days,   the  developers  received  more  than   $500,000  in  dona2ons.   Pirate  Party  is  a  label  adopted  by   poli2cal  par2es  in  different   countries.  Pirate  par2es  support   civil  rights,  direct  democracy  and   par2cipa2on  in  government,  reform   of  copyright  and  patent  law,  free   sharing  of  knowledge,  informa2on   privacy,  transparency,  freedom  of   informa2on  and  network  neutrality.  
  •  The  Assimila2on  processes  will  accelerate  thanks  to      the  connected  global  society   Key  Aspects     •  •  •  In  the  next  decade  we’ll  make  the  more   steps  towards  a  global  assimila2on  process   that  will  form  ONE  global  culture.  Evidence   of  this  is  higher  in  young  genera2ons  which   are:  comfortably  communica2ng  in  English;   spending  the  majority  of  their  2me   connected  and  consuming  interna2onally   produced  media  content;  adop2ng  global   fashion  trends.  The  size  of  these  global   ci2zen  will  increase,  and  a  more  balanced   cross  pollina2on  between  Eastern  and   Western  cultures  will  occur.   Individuals  aCracted  by  aspects  of  other   cultures  will  make  them  their  own,  and   even  demand  them  via  various  means  like   poli2cs  and  legisla2on.     Conscious  of  the  value  of  data,  by  2017,  80   percent  of  consumers  will  collect,  track   and  barter  their  personal  data  for  cost   savings,  convenience  and  customiza2on1.     Proof  Points  -­‐  Examples   1.  Gartner:  Top  Technology  Predic2ons  for  IT  Organiza2ons  and  Users  for  2020  and  beyond     2.  2.  FoxNews  December  2013   By  Antonio  Addario       The  infamous  music  video   GangNam  Style  has  now   reached  the  staggering     1,885,927,665  views  on   YouTube.     This  is  an  example  of  how   culture  (in  this  case  pop-­‐ culture)  can  rapidly  spread   in  a  connected  society   Versions  of  Black  Friday   now  take  place  in  Mexico,   Chile,  Argen2na,  Colombia,   Ecuador,  Costa  Rica,   Panama,  Nicaragua,  El   Salvador,  Honduras,  Peru   and  Brazil.  This  North   American  import  con2nues   to  grow  every  year2  
  •  Conclusions   •  •  •  •  •  We  expect  social  interac2ons  to  become  more  sophis2cated  and  meaningful  in  the   next  decade,  this  will  largely  be  due  to  smart  u2liza2on  of  data  and  connected   devices.   Technology  will  become  even  more  entrenched  into  our  lives,  and  boundaries   between  human  and  machine  interac2on  will  blur.  Our  digital  presence  will  just   become  an  extension  of  us,  no  longer  a  digital  alter-­‐ego.   Exis2ng  social  interac2on  dynamics  and  paradigms  will  be  challenged  and  in  some   cases  loose  relevance  and/or  become  obsolete;  privacy  and  copyright  are  a  typical   example  of  this.  Purely  physical  face-­‐to-­‐face  interac2on  won’t  necessarily  be  the   most  meaningful  nor  the  preferred  method  of  communica2on  among  individuals.   Robo2za2on,  gene2c  engineering,  and  nanotechnology  could  greatly  enhance  our   quality  of  life,  but  also  represents  the  biggest  threats  to  our  society  if  they  will  end   up  in  the  wrong  hands.   Overall  we  can  conclude  that  technology  will  contribute  to  improve  and  enhance   the  quality  of  social  interac2ons,  but  not  without  risks.  Policy  makers  and  socie2es   will  have  to  con2nuously  monitor  and  adopt  correc2ve  measures  as  necessary.   By  Antonio  Addario