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VoIP Has Just Begun Andy Randall VP of Marketing, MetaSwitch O C C A M  N E T W O R K S  U S E R  C O N F E R E N C E ,  S...
Broadband & VoIP Subscriber Growth DSL VoIP
Why Voice over IP? + + More Flexible More Efficient More Reliable
Why Voice over IP? + OpEx Revenue, Loyalty More Reliable More Flexible More Efficient
The First VoIP Wave: PC-to-PC
1995:  Microsoft introduces NetMeeting
10 million Xbox Live subscribers Source: Microsoft, July 2008
The Second Wave: PC-to-PSTN
 
$1.9 billion <ul><li>lost to Skype </li></ul>Source: iLocus, March 4, 2008
0.03% <ul><li>Proportion of Skype users who use it as their  primary  home phone </li></ul>Source: Yankee Group
The Third Wave: Over-the-Top
 
May 19, 2005: “we require providers of interconnected VoIP service to provide E911 services to all of their customers”
Vonage Net Subscriber Additions 2,000 Source: Vonage SEC filings
 
The Fourth Wave:  Managed VoIP
 
10 million <ul><li>Telco phone lines switched to cable VoIP since the last Occam user’s conference </li></ul>
3.3 Million FTTH households Source: FTTH Council of North America, July 2008
The Next Battleground
 
Source: Heavy Reading, Cable vs. Telcos, July 2008 “ We have a market opportunity that rivals the size of our core video b...
<ul><li>4-year goals: </li></ul><ul><li>20% market share </li></ul><ul><li>1 million business customers </li></ul><ul><li>...
<ul><li>38% </li></ul><ul><li>Growth last quarter </li></ul><ul><li>4-year goals: </li></ul><ul><li>20% market share </li>...
 
 
 
Wave 5: Convergence
Convergence Applications
Users value <ul><li>Simplicity </li></ul><ul><li>Seamless connectivity </li></ul>
Convergence: Phone + Web
Web 2.0 APIs Enable Voice 2.0 Services
Web 2.0 APIs Enable Voice 2.0 Services
The Browser is Becoming a Powerful Application Environment
Convergence: Phone + TV Calling… Calling…
Convergence on the Phone Screen <ul><li>Voicemail </li></ul><ul><li>Call Lists </li></ul><ul><li>Contacts </li></ul><ul><l...
Convergence with Speech Recognition
Five Waves of VoIP Services Convergence Managed VoIP Over the top VoIP PC-to-PSTN PC-to-PC 1995 2010
VoIP  Services  Have Only Just Begun Source: TeleGeography, September 2007 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 0% 10% 20% 30% 40...
VoIP  Switching  Has Only Just Begun MetaSwitch Copper Com Taqua Lucent/ Telica Tekelec/ Santera Sonus Nortel CS2000 Cisco...
VoIP  Switches  Have Only Just Begun AXE EWSD GTD-5 DCO DMS-10 DMS 100/200 Nortel Remotes 5ESS All soft switches Source: L...
VoIP in the Carrier Network Core IMS-based Application Platforms Class 5 Replacement Class 5 Augmentation VoIP Gateways Cl...
What does this mean for my network? IP transport IP call control IP application server platform Voicemail FMC Web portal V...
Conclusions: Like Broadband… <ul><li>VoIP is here to stay </li></ul>
Conclusions: Like Broadband… <ul><li>VoIP is here to stay </li></ul><ul><li>VoIP services are evolving </li></ul>
Conclusions: Like Broadband… <ul><li>VoIP is here to stay </li></ul><ul><li>VoIP services are evolving </li></ul><ul><li>V...
VoIP has just begun VoIP is here to stay VoIP services are evolving VoIP service delivery architectures will evolve Conclu...
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ONUG Keynote - VoIP Has Just Begun

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  • Transcript of "ONUG Keynote - VoIP Has Just Begun"

    1. 1. VoIP Has Just Begun Andy Randall VP of Marketing, MetaSwitch O C C A M N E T W O R K S U S E R C O N F E R E N C E , S E P T E M B E R 7 – 1 1 , 2 0 0 8
    2. 2. Broadband & VoIP Subscriber Growth DSL VoIP
    3. 3. Why Voice over IP? + + More Flexible More Efficient More Reliable
    4. 4. Why Voice over IP? + OpEx Revenue, Loyalty More Reliable More Flexible More Efficient
    5. 5. The First VoIP Wave: PC-to-PC
    6. 6. 1995: Microsoft introduces NetMeeting
    7. 7. 10 million Xbox Live subscribers Source: Microsoft, July 2008
    8. 8. The Second Wave: PC-to-PSTN
    9. 10. $1.9 billion <ul><li>lost to Skype </li></ul>Source: iLocus, March 4, 2008
    10. 11. 0.03% <ul><li>Proportion of Skype users who use it as their primary home phone </li></ul>Source: Yankee Group
    11. 12. The Third Wave: Over-the-Top
    12. 14. May 19, 2005: “we require providers of interconnected VoIP service to provide E911 services to all of their customers”
    13. 15. Vonage Net Subscriber Additions 2,000 Source: Vonage SEC filings
    14. 17. The Fourth Wave: Managed VoIP
    15. 19. 10 million <ul><li>Telco phone lines switched to cable VoIP since the last Occam user’s conference </li></ul>
    16. 20. 3.3 Million FTTH households Source: FTTH Council of North America, July 2008
    17. 21. The Next Battleground
    18. 23. Source: Heavy Reading, Cable vs. Telcos, July 2008 “ We have a market opportunity that rivals the size of our core video business” - Bill Stemper President, Comcast Business
    19. 24. <ul><li>4-year goals: </li></ul><ul><li>20% market share </li></ul><ul><li>1 million business customers </li></ul><ul><li>$3 billion revenue </li></ul>Source: Heavy Reading, Cable vs. Telcos, July 2008
    20. 25. <ul><li>38% </li></ul><ul><li>Growth last quarter </li></ul><ul><li>4-year goals: </li></ul><ul><li>20% market share </li></ul><ul><li>1 million business customers </li></ul><ul><li>$3 billion revenue </li></ul>Source: Comcast Q2 2008 Earnings Call
    21. 29. Wave 5: Convergence
    22. 30. Convergence Applications
    23. 31. Users value <ul><li>Simplicity </li></ul><ul><li>Seamless connectivity </li></ul>
    24. 32. Convergence: Phone + Web
    25. 33. Web 2.0 APIs Enable Voice 2.0 Services
    26. 34. Web 2.0 APIs Enable Voice 2.0 Services
    27. 35. The Browser is Becoming a Powerful Application Environment
    28. 36. Convergence: Phone + TV Calling… Calling…
    29. 37. Convergence on the Phone Screen <ul><li>Voicemail </li></ul><ul><li>Call Lists </li></ul><ul><li>Contacts </li></ul><ul><li>Conferencing </li></ul><ul><li>Text messaging </li></ul><ul><li>… </li></ul>
    30. 38. Convergence with Speech Recognition
    31. 39. Five Waves of VoIP Services Convergence Managed VoIP Over the top VoIP PC-to-PSTN PC-to-PC 1995 2010
    32. 40. VoIP Services Have Only Just Begun Source: TeleGeography, September 2007 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Europe U.S.
    33. 41. VoIP Switching Has Only Just Begun MetaSwitch Copper Com Taqua Lucent/ Telica Tekelec/ Santera Sonus Nortel CS2000 Cisco BTS Nortel CS1500 Siemens SURPASS 803 Source: LERG, March 2008
    34. 42. VoIP Switches Have Only Just Begun AXE EWSD GTD-5 DCO DMS-10 DMS 100/200 Nortel Remotes 5ESS All soft switches Source: LERG, March 2008
    35. 43. VoIP in the Carrier Network Core IMS-based Application Platforms Class 5 Replacement Class 5 Augmentation VoIP Gateways Class 4 Replacement / IP Tandem
    36. 44. What does this mean for my network? IP transport IP call control IP application server platform Voicemail FMC Web portal Video messaging
    37. 45. Conclusions: Like Broadband… <ul><li>VoIP is here to stay </li></ul>
    38. 46. Conclusions: Like Broadband… <ul><li>VoIP is here to stay </li></ul><ul><li>VoIP services are evolving </li></ul>
    39. 47. Conclusions: Like Broadband… <ul><li>VoIP is here to stay </li></ul><ul><li>VoIP services are evolving </li></ul><ul><li>VoIP service delivery architectures will evolve </li></ul>
    40. 48. VoIP has just begun VoIP is here to stay VoIP services are evolving VoIP service delivery architectures will evolve Conclusions: Like Broadband…
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