Jayne Dale - Bournemouth, Dorset and Poole Calculating Local Population Projections in Partnership
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Jayne Dale - Bournemouth, Dorset and Poole Calculating Local Population Projections in Partnership

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Jayne Dale - Bournemouth, Dorset and Poole Calculating Local Population Projections in Partnership Jayne Dale - Bournemouth, Dorset and Poole Calculating Local Population Projections in Partnership Presentation Transcript

    • Bournemouth, Dorset and Poole: Calculating Local Population Projections in Partnership
    • By
    • Jayne Dale
    • Senior Research Officer
    • Bournemouth Borough Council
  • Why - The history
    • Bournemouth, Dorset and Poole is a strategic planning area and this geography has been subsequently used for the MAA.
  • What was required?
    • To support the strategic planning function evidence of the housing requirement was needed.
    • To undertake this work we agreed jointly to purchase PopGroup, HouseGroup and LabGroup.
    • Each authority has copies of the software.
  • How has this worked?
    • Over a number of years we have developed a consistent methodology for producing the projections.
    • We use a combination of national datasets and local data to produce the projections.
    • We produce a number of runs with various scenarios. These usually include trend-based, policy-based and natural change projections.
  • Who uses the results?
    • The projections are used across various departments in the three authorities, however the main purpose for which they are run is for strategic planning.
    • Therefore the policy-based projections are housing-led constrained to past housing completion figures and future allocations.
  • What else?
    • We have also produced short-term small area projections. A methodology was agreed although in this case each authority produced their own set of projections. The purpose was to support the Building Schools for the Future work.
  • Benefits of joint working
    • Shared staff resources across three authorities.
    • Consistency
    • Cost-saving
    • Time saving
    • Three authorities better than one!
  • Difficulties in joint working
    • Difficulties in getting together to arrange work programme.
    • Getting agreement on constraints can be difficult if the authorities have different priorities.
    • Differing working priorities.
    • General issues with staff resources.
    • Geography.
  • The Future
    • The LEP is currently looking like it will cover Bournemouth, Dorset and Poole. Therefore the joint work is likely to continue.
    • We have invested in PopGroup which is introducing new software to replace HouseGroup and LabGroup which we will need to purchase and learn to use.
    • October spending announcements.