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Jayne Dale - Bournemouth, Dorset and Poole Calculating Local Population Projections in Partnership
 

Jayne Dale - Bournemouth, Dorset and Poole Calculating Local Population Projections in Partnership

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    Jayne Dale - Bournemouth, Dorset and Poole Calculating Local Population Projections in Partnership Jayne Dale - Bournemouth, Dorset and Poole Calculating Local Population Projections in Partnership Presentation Transcript

      • Bournemouth, Dorset and Poole: Calculating Local Population Projections in Partnership
      • By
      • Jayne Dale
      • Senior Research Officer
      • Bournemouth Borough Council
    • Why - The history
      • Bournemouth, Dorset and Poole is a strategic planning area and this geography has been subsequently used for the MAA.
    • What was required?
      • To support the strategic planning function evidence of the housing requirement was needed.
      • To undertake this work we agreed jointly to purchase PopGroup, HouseGroup and LabGroup.
      • Each authority has copies of the software.
    • How has this worked?
      • Over a number of years we have developed a consistent methodology for producing the projections.
      • We use a combination of national datasets and local data to produce the projections.
      • We produce a number of runs with various scenarios. These usually include trend-based, policy-based and natural change projections.
    • Who uses the results?
      • The projections are used across various departments in the three authorities, however the main purpose for which they are run is for strategic planning.
      • Therefore the policy-based projections are housing-led constrained to past housing completion figures and future allocations.
    • What else?
      • We have also produced short-term small area projections. A methodology was agreed although in this case each authority produced their own set of projections. The purpose was to support the Building Schools for the Future work.
    • Benefits of joint working
      • Shared staff resources across three authorities.
      • Consistency
      • Cost-saving
      • Time saving
      • Three authorities better than one!
    • Difficulties in joint working
      • Difficulties in getting together to arrange work programme.
      • Getting agreement on constraints can be difficult if the authorities have different priorities.
      • Differing working priorities.
      • General issues with staff resources.
      • Geography.
    • The Future
      • The LEP is currently looking like it will cover Bournemouth, Dorset and Poole. Therefore the joint work is likely to continue.
      • We have invested in PopGroup which is introducing new software to replace HouseGroup and LabGroup which we will need to purchase and learn to use.
      • October spending announcements.