Global Economic Prospects Latin America and the Caribbean January 2014 World Bank

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Global Economic Prospects Latin America and the Caribbean January 2014 World Bank
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Global Economic Prospects Latin America and the Caribbean January 2014 World Bank

  1. 1. Derek Chen World Bank January 2014 Global Economic Prospects January 2014 Latin America & Caribbean www.worldbank.org/globaloutlook
  2. 2. Subdued global trade, softer commodity prices, and domestic challenges curbed economic growth in the Latin America and Caribbean region in 2013.
  3. 3. Economic Growth in 2013 6.0 4.1 2.6 2.5 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 2010 2011 2012 2013e Latin America and the Caribbean Region Real GDP Growth 2010 - 2013 %
  4. 4. Economic Growth in 2013 6.0 4.1 2.6 2.5 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 2010 2011 2012 2013e Latin America and the Caribbean Region Real GDP Growth 2010 - 2013 %
  5. 5. Economic Growth in 2013 6.0 4.1 2.6 2.5 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 2010 2011 2012 2013e Latin America and the Caribbean Region Real GDP Growth 2010 - 2013 %
  6. 6. Economic Growth in 2013 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 South America Central and North America Caribbean % Real GDP Growth
  7. 7. Economic Growth in 2013 4.1 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 South America Central and North America Caribbean % 4.1 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 South America Central and North America Caribbean 2012 2013e %
  8. 8. Economic Growth in 2013 4.1 1.7 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 South America Central and North America Caribbean 2012 2013e %
  9. 9. Economic Growth in 2013 4.1 1.7 2.2 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 South America Central and North America Caribbean 2012 2013e %
  10. 10. Economic Growth in 2013 4.1 3.0 1.7 2.2 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 South America Central and North America Caribbean 2012 2013e %
  11. 11. Economic Growth in 2013 4.1 3.0 2.7 1.7 2.2 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 South America Central and North America Caribbean 2012 2013e %
  12. 12. Economic Growth in 2013 2.1 4.1 3.0 2.7 1.7 2.2 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 South America Central and North America Caribbean 2012 2013e %
  13. 13. Slowdown in Exports and Lower Commodity Prices 7.6 4.1 -1.7 -2.6 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 Jan-Nov 2012 Jan-Nov 2013 2012 2013e Latin America and the Caribbean Exports Growth and Current Account Balance (2012 & 2013) Merchandise Exports Growth Current Account Balance %
  14. 14. Slowdown in Exports and Lower Commodity Prices 7.6 4.1 -1.7 -2.6 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 Jan-Nov 2012 Jan-Nov 2013 2012 2013e Latin America and the Caribbean Exports Growth and Current Account Balance (2012 & 2013) Merchandise Exports Growth Current Account Balance %
  15. 15. Slowdown in Exports and Lower Commodity Prices 7.6 4.1 -1.7 -2.6 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 Jan-Nov 2012 Jan-Nov 2013 2012 2013e Latin America and the Caribbean Exports Growth and Current Account Balance (2012 & 2013) Merchandise Exports Growth Current Account Balance %
  16. 16. Slowdown in Exports and Lower Commodity Prices 7.6 4.1 -1.7 -2.6 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 Jan-Nov 2012 Jan-Nov 2013 2012 2013e Latin America and the Caribbean Exports Growth and Current Account Balance (2012 & 2013) Merchandise Exports Growth Current Account Balance %
  17. 17. Slowdown in Exports and Lower Commodity Prices 7.6 4.1 -1.7 -2.6 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 Jan-Nov 2012 Jan-Nov 2013 2012 2013e Latin America and the Caribbean Exports Growth and Current Account Balance (2012 & 2013) Merchandise Exports Growth Current Account Balance %
  18. 18. Growth Outlook 2.9 2.6 3.5 3.4 3.2 2.9 3.9 3.9 3.7 3.5 4.2 4.2 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 Latin America and the Caribbean South America Developing Central and North America Caribbean Latin America and the Caribbean Projected Real GDP Growth (2014-2016) 2014 2015 2016 %
  19. 19. Growth Outlook 2.9 2.6 3.5 3.4 3.2 2.9 3.9 3.9 3.7 3.5 4.2 4.2 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 Latin America and the Caribbean South America Developing Central and North America Caribbean Latin America and the Caribbean Projected Real GDP Growth (2014-2016) 2014 2015 2016 %
  20. 20. Growth Outlook 2.9 2.6 3.5 3.4 3.2 2.9 3.9 3.9 3.7 3.5 4.2 4.2 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 Latin America and the Caribbean South America Developing Central and North America Caribbean Latin America and the Caribbean Projected Real GDP Growth (2014-2016) 2014 2015 2016 %
  21. 21. Pick up in Exports 2.5 2.2 4.0 4.7 5.4 4.8 2.1 3.6 4.1 4.6 5.5 6.3 5.0 5.7 5.9 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 2012 2013e 2014f 2015f 2016f Latin America and the Caribbean Exports Growth (2012 - 2016) LAC Central America Caribbean %
  22. 22. Pick up in Exports 2.5 2.2 4.0 4.7 5.4 4.8 2.1 3.6 4.1 4.6 5.5 6.3 5.0 5.7 5.9 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 2012 2013e 2014f 2015f 2016f Latin America and the Caribbean Exports Growth (2012 - 2016) LAC Central America Caribbean %
  23. 23. Pick up in Exports 2.5 2.2 4.0 4.7 5.4 4.8 2.1 3.6 4.1 4.6 5.5 6.3 5.0 5.7 5.9 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 2012 2013e 2014f 2015f 2016f Latin America and the Caribbean Exports Growth (2012 - 2016) LAC Central America Caribbean %
  24. 24. Decline in Net Capital Flows 2012 2013e 2014f 2015f 2016f $US bn $US bn % change $US bn % change $US bn % change $US bn % change Capital Inflows 312.1 296.2 -5.1 285.3 -3.7 303.8 6.5 313.8 3.3 Private inflows, net 300.3 289.9 -3.5 277.8 -4.2 294.5 6.0 308.4 4.7 Official inflows, net 11.8 6.3 -46.6 7.5 19.0 9.3 24.0 5.4 -41.9
  25. 25. Decline in Net Capital Flows 2012 2013e 2014f 2015f 2016f $US bn $US bn % change $US bn % change $US bn % change $US bn % change Capital Inflows 312.1 296.2 -5.1 285.3 -3.7 303.8 6.5 313.8 3.3 Private inflows, net 300.3 289.9 -3.5 277.8 -4.2 294.5 6.0 308.4 4.7 Official inflows, net 11.8 6.3 -46.6 7.5 19.0 9.3 24.0 5.4 -41.9
  26. 26. Decline in Net Capital Flows 2012 2013e 2014f 2015f 2016f $US bn $US bn % change $US bn % change $US bn % change $US bn % change Capital Inflows 312.1 296.2 -5.1 285.3 -3.7 303.8 6.5 313.8 3.3 Private inflows, net 300.3 289.9 -3.5 277.8 -4.2 294.5 6.0 308.4 4.7 Official inflows, net 11.8 6.3 -46.6 7.5 19.0 9.3 24.0 5.4 -41.9
  27. 27. Derek Chen World Bank January 2014 Global Economic Prospects January 2014 Latin America & Caribbean www.worldbank.org/globaloutlook

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