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The White Swan's Beyond Eureka and
Sputnik Moments: How To Fundamentally
Cope With Corporate Litmus Tests and
With The I...
2
To Nora, my mother, who rendered me with
the definitiveness to seek the forethoughts to
outsmart any impending demand an...
3
IN CORPORATE SETTINGS, IS THERE AN
OUTRIGHT COUNTERMEASSURING
WHITE SWAN TO THE BLACK SWAN?
The White Swan Proven Idea (...
4
associations, unions, clubs and religious
organizations — puts forward that, although
and sometimes disproportionately h...
5
toolkit for continuously securing lucrative
success.
Back to the White Swan hardcore:
By “...corporate ...” and “...corp...
6
WHITE SWAN AND TRANSFORMATIVE
AND INTEGRATIVE RISK MANAGEMENT
ARE NEVER INTO:
(I.-) Divination,
(II.-) Soothsaying,
(III...
7
(IX.-) First-Guessing,
(X.-) Second-Guessing,
.
(XI.-) Fortunetelling, and
(XII.-) Prophesying.
To this purpose and give...
8
Back to the White Swan hardcore:
White Swan and Transformative and
Integrative Risk Management interdisciplinary
methodo...
9
in omniverseral: (a) hidden quadrants and (b)
ignored flanks and (c) recondite spheres and
(d) hermetic theater of opera...
10
manager's perpetual MOST-RECURSIVE
search for lucrative intangibles in
omniverseral: (a) hidden quadrants and (b)
ignor...
11
Epsilon.- Fuzzy Logic: (A form of algebra
employing a range of values from "true" to
"false" that is used in decision-m...
12
ignored flanks and (c) recondite spheres and
(d) hermetic theater of operations).
Eta.- Fortuitousness (Unexpected and
...
13
Iota.- Recursiveness (pertaining to or using a
rule or procedure that can be applied
repeatedly, as a result of corpora...
14
result of corporate manager's perpetual
MOST-RECURSIVE search for lucrative
intangibles in omniverseral: (a) hidden
qua...
15
RECURSIVE search for lucrative intangibles
in omniverseral: (a) hidden quadrants and (b)
ignored flanks and (c) recondi...
16
By The University of Texas at Austin's Most
Honorable and Respected: (i) Alumnus and (ii)
The University of Arkansas at...
17
the upside opportunities, flexible thinking is
required. FOR EXAMPLE, IT IS USEFUL TO
VIEW PROBLEMS FROM MULTIPLE
DIFFE...
18
activities. Andres is invaluable in providing an
international dimension to the project which
would otherwise be unavai...
19
alternatives to current interdisciplinary
approach. The understanding of alternative
futures is critical to the success...
20
the highly complex area of risk management
which often overwhelms senior management
in policy and strategy formulations...
21
“ … The White Swan is very interesting,
Andres! Thank you for putting so much
thought into this subject for the benefit...
22
By USA's Greater Los Angeles Management
and Corporate Strategy Consultant Mr.
William Hultquist:
“... Mr. Andres Agosti...
23
ability of the observer becomes, however, this
is easier said than done. I believe Mr. Agostini
is capable of deliverin...
24
involvement exercises profound wisdom in
penetrating the causative issues behind
events and thereby being able to extra...
25
technologies and new philosophies are not
created from older ways of thinking …. To
speak about Mr. Agostini's concept ...
26
provides solutions to problems others would
not even begin to tackle …. Andres Agostini is
one of the brightest minds I...
27
approaches, these failing lamentably to
provide organizations with proactive, agile
plans to face current and future op...
28
in our particular turbulent times, the white cat
(swan) will be the one that can catch the mice.
Transformative and Int...
29
better chance to find the path to renewed
organizational health and prosperity using the
proactive approaches inherent ...
30
Educate Corporations how to become
prosperous..."
By United Kingdom’s Dr. Ann Shaw, M.D.:
"…I am in awe of Andy for man...
31
scholars, entrepreneurs, advanced students
and responsible citizens, aiming to make a
difference for a better yet chall...
32
contacts and sources....His positive outlook,
energetic enthusiasm and unfailing courtesy
and respect for others is ins...
33
every day and in every work both literary and
technical ...”
By São Paulo, Brazil's Ms. Giselle Cury:
“... An exception...
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“ … Andres Agostini is always willing to lend
his wisdom and support to those of us who
may not be scientists however I...
35
the flow of the topic and brings a rich new set
of useful distinction to consider …. I think this
will offer elements t...
36
By Manhattan's Mr. Edward Andron, ACom,
ARM, RAM, CNE, NYU Fellow:
"...I have known Andres for approximately two
years ...
37
By USA's Greater Los Angeles Area's Mr.
Terry Tucker:
“... Mr. Agostini provides a valuable look, and,
provides valuabl...
38
would choose to utilize his expertise. Good
luck on your White Swan project ...”
By USA's New York Area Ms. Sonny Cardi...
39
By Mexico's Ms. Orenda Urbano Hernández:
“... The sequence of your work in White Swan
seems like the chronicle of the d...
40
correct and a technological breakthrough and
scientific discovery in itself, coming forward in
the most expected and ne...
41
By South Africa's Mr. Anton van den Berg:
“... As always, Mr. Andres Agostini cuts to the
heart of the matter. The abun...
42
Example ! What does this mean? It is
believed that Swan accepts milk portion only
from out of the mixture of Milk and W...
43
meticulous step in his narration citing and
acknowledging his indebtedness to his peers !
My knowledge of Science and t...
44
"... In the U.S. and China there is a great
fervor about Mr. Andres Agostini's White
Swan. I love this amazing read and...
45
“ … I greatly enjoyed this read, and found it
very helpful and eye opening …. Most of all I
find the remarks about prep...
46
A Quick Message from India:
An Indian Civil Engineer and Mystic argues
and as per own account,
“... In Sanskrit the Ved...
47
What is the White Swan Target?
In a nutshell:
(A.-) Most Advanced Management (chiefly by
applied Scientific Method), an...
48
2.- Drew,
3.- Andy,
4.- Pervasive Technologists and Scientists,
5.- Extremely radiant Corporation's Officers,
6.- Force...
49
Something that I relentlessly embrace at all
times.
“...Google's Chief Engineer Officer Dr.
Raymond Kurzweil's, with 19...
50
AND HAD CHANGED THE WORLD. THE
MESSAGE WAS THAT HUMAN IDEAS
CHANGED THE WORLD. AND THAT IS THE
ONLY THING THAT COULD CH...
51
(A.-) Positive Risks,
(B.-) Negative Risks,
(C.-) Upside Futures,
(D.-) Downside Futures,
(E.-) Positive and Upside Dyn...
52
Items A, B, C, D, E, F, G and H
aforementioned will be infinitely up-exploited
and outsmarted, in order to augment
Corp...
53
“ ...If you are not failing frequently [trough
pervasive and forceful, yet well-directed error-
and-trial real-life exp...
54
ensuing 24-hours, said Chairpersons and
CEOs get a most solid, thorough, complete
and well-written hard-copied material...
55
This is not done to capture the legally-binding
“...trails...” of their verbal output, but to hold
them extremely respo...
56
I reject professionals, executives,
Chairpersons and CEOs who are not into
detailed writing.
Back to the White Swan har...
57
Let us briefly define Eureka Moment and
Sputnik Moment now:
“ … The Eureka Moment, also known as the
'...Aha! Moment .....
58
exists between it and some other superpower,
increasing its investment efforts into education
and innovative R&D ...”
A...
59
Back to the White Swan hardcore:
A thing or two about the word:
“...Experience...”
Experience (optimal and correct) Vs....
60
Just, use “...Experience...” and never
“...Previous Experience...”
The White Swan hardcore now starts:
THIS WORK ADDRES...
61
suggested and reminded, via a placid e-mail,
of the reading of the Black Swan, which I did.
ERGO:
A management consulta...
62
5.- What is the historic perspective applied to
current management?
6.- What is it meant by Dynamic Driving
Forces?
7.-...
63
19.- What is scenario-planning methodology?
20.- How Quality Assurance and Continuous
Improvement Don't Equate to Risk
...
64
28.- What is retrospection and what is
prospection?
29.- Quantitative Analyzes Versus Qualitative
Analyzes?
30.- How fa...
65
39.-In the twentieth-one century, How
managers must be in order to succeed?
40.- What is Computronium?
41.- What is Mul...
66
52.- Google, Facebook, Twitter, Microsoft and
Oracle defined both by Wikipedia and the
White Swan?
53.- What did CEOs f...
67
IN ORDER TO REVERSE-ENGINEER THE
HUMAN BIOLOGICAL MIND?
59.- The most serious scientific and noted
establishment of the...
68
"...Andres, from your work on the future which
management skills need to be developed?
Classically the management role ...
69
Now you have such a bridged volume.
Bridged volume does never equate to the
unabridged treatise (A systematic, usually
...
70
NOTA BENE:
If you are serious and you mean lucratively
handsome business for you and me, THE
ONE AND ONLY CV (Curriculu...
71
WHITE SAWN'S UNABRIDGED AND
ILLUSTRATED TREATISE ABOUT EVERY
MOST-CHERISHED AND MOST-UN-
CHERISHED BLACK SWAN THAT WILL...
72
This proprietary treatise may be reproduced
for noncommercial purposes if it is copied in
its entirety, including this ...
73
Back to the White Swan hardcore:
As David, a proto-Britton, formulated this
interesting question to me and given that I...
74
Rabbis are wonderful intellectuals that
deserve my greatest appreciation. In solving
problems rabbis will use sacred sc...
75
Both in German and English and through the
Germanization-process from two (2) to three
(3) Indo-European words are coal...
76
Incidentally:
It is acknowledged that an alleged King once
said, “... The size of a person's vocabulary is
directly com...
77
“...Ascertain, at all times, to always replace
upgradable words and terms by ones than are
even better ...”
By the way:...
78
maintaining the technological superiority of the
U.S. military …. To fulfill its mission, the
Agency relies on diverse ...
79
Accordingly, the signatory might be, among
other amenities (MEMES), Davincian and
Bonapartian.
The author is never opin...
80
empirical and factual lessons from direct
practical and intimate execution of and
involvement with management and also ...
81
marshaled them into in-the-field problem
solving.
I will share my insight and experience as an
adviser, studier, learne...
82
other important themes, this POV also deals
with process, content and context.
Partial solutions are inconsequential wh...
83
1.- Ignorance.
2.- Sloppy, emotional thinking.
3.- Fashionable thinking.
4.- Within-style thinking.
5.- Ideal-based rat...
84
9.- Non-Crowd-Wisdom Thinking. (No one
played Albert's violin and theories, nor
Amadeus' piano, nor Howard's gigantic
w...
85
16.- Laggards' Thinking.
17.- Bohemian Thinking.
18.- Hippie Thinking.
19.- “...Keep It Simple, Stupid...” (K.I.S.S.)
T...
86
24.- Un-Orchestrated Thinking.
To further underpin the intellectual manifesto
of the author, let us understand this cle...
87
Everything here, the totality of all, is unfailingly
interrelated with everything else.
Back to the White Swan hardcore...
88
Leadership without management is like a
Mirage without a runway.
There are many authors placing a huge divide
between l...
89
Notwithstanding, the past and the present are
never a script for the future.
In Spanish there are two interesting words...
90
deals with imagining future plausible
scenarios, known as “...futuribles ...”, and in
occasions in order to determine t...
91
“...You can never plan [retrospectively, that is
a posteriori] the future by the past...” Brackets
are of the author.
T...
92
Conversely:
What are the frequent problems and
challenges (including: humanly-induced
existential ones) that we frequen...
93
7.- Usage of embedded-in-the-past notions
and assumptions (obsoledge). Obsoledge
equates to obsolete knowledge as this ...
94
14.- Holding and incorporation of “ …
cherished beliefs ...”
15.- Absence of open-mindedness.
16.- Excess of narrowmind...
95
One other aspect that must now be
considered is a primordial axiom that is
instrumental and widely considered here.
Tha...
96
Management..." and “...Insurance Careers ...”
(U.S.).
The Beatles' song lyrics indicate, “... take a
sad song and make ...
97
country can do for you, ask what you can do
for your country ...”
And the White Swan of it argues:
“... My fellow Ameri...
98
And he also stated:
His Most Excellency and Honorable President
John F. Kennedy’s speech on September 12,
1962 at Race ...
99
whether we join in it or not [ whether we like it
not, by instituting White Swans], and it is one
of the great adventur...
100
climb it [, conquer and prevail, as we ascertain
that our White-Swan-ned Corporation is
Global Player Number One, for ...
101
Technology is also, at many times,
synonymous with the term “ ...task …,” as it is
argued by a Stanford University Pro...
102
…. The profession of and or the work
performed by any engineer ...”
To this purpose and furthering the present
work:
“...
103
Khan) and Royal Dutch Shell's Pierre Wack
and Peter Schwartz.
The actual practical effectiveness of
scientifically-dri...
104
objectives. Global corporations use both,
integrally.
Hence:
Working with the second largest oil group in
the world (C...
105
words, I attempted to reconstruct the story
here:
“...Moses allegedly wrote some 3,500 years
ago a seemingly parable a...
106
loss (potential disruption), it did not suffice to
them to have the indemnity payment from the
insurance and reinsuran...
107
“... [Insurance underwriters have the]
'...preference for insuring against probable
small losses...' — at the expense ...
108
For illustrative purposes:
Let me start by telling the reader that Optimal
Risk Management (the exact opposite of
insu...
109
A brief sample of what Risk entails it is now
offered:
1.- Academicians' and Scholars' Trickery
2.- Bankruptcy
3.- Com...
110
16.- Illegal Immigration
17.- Incompetence
18.- Malign mind-set(s)
19.- Managerial Malfeasance
20.- Mediocrity
21.- Nu...
111
RISKS ARE ALSO:
(A.-) Unnecessary yet onerous problems, and
B.-) Sudden Disruptive Expensive Expenses.
Back to the Whi...
112
scientific, engineering and applied
mathematical principles throughout all phases
and facets of system operation ...”
...
113
By “ … early on ...” it is meant: “ … Before the
beginning of a course of events, chiefly those
events least expected ...
114
etc. …. A concurrent problem that aggravates
the original problem …. It is a difficulty or
confusion stemming from the...
115
(mild) and dramatic (wild). All of the preceding
can, too, be both covert, overt and/or ignored.
And now:
For illustra...
116
6) Parallel Analysis of Elements (Orchestrated
Analysis of Elements),
7) Inputs and Outputs in Clear Language and
8) S...
117
When dealing with an ample-conception of
“...System...”, if you find there simplicity, it is
because your thought proc...
118
ENTERPRISE (ORGANIZATION)
SUCCESSFULLY?
WHAT EXACTLY IS THE APPLIED
EXPERIENCE IN THE FIELD THAT THEY
POSSES?
QUESTION...
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
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The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini
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The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini

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The White Swan's Beyond Eureka and Sputnik Moments: How To Fundamentally Cope With Corporate Litmus Tests and With The Impact of the Dramatic Highly Improbable And Succeed and Prevail Through Transformative and Integrative Risk Management! [TREATISE EXCERPT]. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » — The Lifeboat Foundation Worldwide Ambassador —

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The White Swan Book By Mr. Andres Agostini at www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini

  1. 1. 1 The White Swan's Beyond Eureka and Sputnik Moments: How To Fundamentally Cope With Corporate Litmus Tests and With The Impact of the Dramatic Highly Improbable And Succeed and Prevail Through Transformative and Integrative Risk Management! [TREATISE EXCERPT]. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » — The Worldwide Ambassador at the Lifeboat Foundation — (An Independent, Solemn, Most-Thorough and Copyrighted Answer. Independence, solemnity, thoroughness, detail, granularity of details, accuracy and rigor, hereunder, will be then redefined by several orders of nonlinear magnitude and without a fail). By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  2. 2. 2 To Nora, my mother, who rendered me with the definitiveness to seek the forethoughts to outsmart any impending demand and other developments. To Francisco, my father: There is no one who has taught me better. There is no one I regard most highly. It is my greatest fortune to be his son. He endowed me with the Agostini family's charter, “…Study and, when grown up, you will neither be the tyrants' toy, nor the passions' servile slave…” I never enjoyed a “...Mom...”, but enjoyed a gargantuan Mother, Father, Grandparents and Forbears. WHAT IS A WHITE SWAN, COUNTERMEASSURING THE BLACK SWAN? By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  3. 3. 3 IN CORPORATE SETTINGS, IS THERE AN OUTRIGHT COUNTERMEASSURING WHITE SWAN TO THE BLACK SWAN? The White Swan Proven Idea (through omniscient-truthful evidences and real-world measurable and repeatable outcomes, acquired and audited by own corporations' applied managing scientists) — only concerning organizations of a rational-type structure such as corporations, start-ups by entrepreneurs, coalitions, consortia, joint ventures, governments, non-governmental organizations, international organizations, supranational organizations, armed forces, charities, not-for-profit corporations, partnerships, cooperatives, universities, various types of political organizations, semi- public-agencies, hybrid organizations (acting in public and private sectors), voluntary By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  4. 4. 4 associations, unions, clubs and religious organizations — puts forward that, although and sometimes disproportionately high-profile, hard-to-predict, persistently threatening and disruptive, as well as rare events are mostly unpredictable, yet a visionary and savvy organization can, anyway, make unprecedented and auspicious early-on preparations to address huge potential disruptions and downside futures through (beforehand) « ...Transformative and Integrative Risk Management ...» interdisciplinary problem-solving and decision- making interdisciplinary methodology, also known as TAIRM. White Swan Transformative and Integrative Risk Management interdisciplinary methodology is a fancy name for a manager's By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  5. 5. 5 toolkit for continuously securing lucrative success. Back to the White Swan hardcore: By “...corporate ...” and “...corporations...” I mean to state immeasurable large global for- lucre corporations whose outputted services and products are mostly manufactured tangibles. A good brief example of what I do NOT mean by the aforementioned terms are, for instance, Investment Banks or Stock-Market Traders. I am only interested in Fortune-7 Corporations (sic). By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  6. 6. 6 WHITE SWAN AND TRANSFORMATIVE AND INTEGRATIVE RISK MANAGEMENT ARE NEVER INTO: (I.-) Divination, (II.-) Soothsaying, (III.-) Foretelling, (IV.-) Predictioneering, (V.-) Futurism, (VI.-) Futurity, (VII.-) Futilitarianism, (VIII.-) Hunches-telling, By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  7. 7. 7 (IX.-) First-Guessing, (X.-) Second-Guessing, . (XI.-) Fortunetelling, and (XII.-) Prophesying. To this purpose and given to me by a Sephardi Hebrew, an Arab adage argues, “... that who foretells the future correctly lies even if he is telling the truth ...” WHITE SWAN AND TRANSFORMATIVE AND INTEGRATIVE RISK MANAGEMENT ARE ONLY INTO SCIENTIFIC FUTURING AND OTHER PROPRIETARY AMENITIES, BETTER EXPLAINED BELOW. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  8. 8. 8 Back to the White Swan hardcore: White Swan and Transformative and Integrative Risk Management interdisciplinary methodology enthusiastically exploits every aspect, facet and phase of negative and positive risks and downside and upside futures, to further and continuously outright sequester continuous and sustainable lucre, including the following defined amenities. With the sponsorship of Ancient Greek and Modern Greek, each amenity will be thereby numbered and/or lettered: Alpha.- Serendipity (The faculty of making fortunate technological breakthroughs and scientific discoveries and innovation developments by accident, as a result of corporate manager's perpetual MOST- RECURSIVE search for lucrative intangibles By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  9. 9. 9 in omniverseral: (a) hidden quadrants and (b) ignored flanks and (c) recondite spheres and (d) hermetic theater of operations). Beta.- Pseudo-Serendipity (The faculty of making fortunate technological breakthroughs and scientific discoveries and innovation development by quasi-accident, as a result of corporate manager's perpetual MOST- RECURSIVE search for lucrative intangibles in omniverseral: (a) hidden quadrants and (b) ignored flanks and (c) recondite spheres and (d) hermetic theater of operations). Gamma.- Randomness (Randomness means lack of pattern or predictability in events. Randomness suggests a non-order or non- coherence in a sequence of symbols or steps, such that there is no intelligible pattern or combination, as a result of corporate By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  10. 10. 10 manager's perpetual MOST-RECURSIVE search for lucrative intangibles in omniverseral: (a) hidden quadrants and (b) ignored flanks and (c) recondite spheres and (d) hermetic theater of operations). Delta.- Pseudo-Randomness (Pseudo- Randomness means quasi-lacking of pattern or quasi-predictability in events. Pseudo- Randomness suggests a quasi-non-order or quasi-non-coherence in a sequence of symbols or steps, such that there is no intelligible pattern or combination, as a result of corporate manager's perpetual MOST- RECURSIVE search for lucrative intangibles in omniverseral: (a) hidden quadrants and (b) ignored flanks and (c) recondite spheres and (d) hermetic theater of operations). By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  11. 11. 11 Epsilon.- Fuzzy Logic: (A form of algebra employing a range of values from "true" to "false" that is used in decision-making with imprecise data, as in artificial intelligence systems, as a result of corporate manager's perpetual MOST-RECURSIVE search for lucrative intangibles in omniverseral: (a) hidden quadrants and (b) ignored flanks and (c) recondite spheres and (d) hermetic theater of operations). Zeta.- Pseudo-Fuzzy Logic: (A form of algebra employing a range of values from quasi-"true" to quasi-"false" that is used in decision- making with quasi-imprecise data, as in artificial intelligence systems, as a result of corporate manager's perpetual MOST- RECURSIVE search for lucrative intangibles in omniverseral: (a) hidden quadrants and (b) By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  12. 12. 12 ignored flanks and (c) recondite spheres and (d) hermetic theater of operations). Eta.- Fortuitousness (Unexpected and casually happening[s], as a result of corporate manager's perpetual MOST-RECURSIVE search for lucrative intangibles in omniverseral: (a) hidden quadrants and (b) ignored flanks and (c) recondite spheres and (d) hermetic theater of operations). Theta.- Pseudo-fortuitousness (quasi- unexpected and quasi-casually happening[s], as a result of corporate manager's perpetual MOST-RECURSIVE search for lucrative intangibles in omniverseral: (a) hidden quadrants and (b) ignored flanks and (c) recondite spheres and (d) hermetic theater of operations). By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  13. 13. 13 Iota.- Recursiveness (pertaining to or using a rule or procedure that can be applied repeatedly, as a result of corporate manager's perpetual MOST-RECURSIVE search for lucrative intangibles in omniverseral: (a) hidden quadrants and (b) ignored flanks and (c) recondite spheres and (d) hermetic theater of operations). Kappa.- Pseudo-recusriveness (quasi- pertaining to or using a rule or procedure that can be applied repeatedly, as a result of corporate manager's perpetual MOST- RECURSIVE search for lucrative intangibles in omniverseral: (a) hidden quadrants and (b) ignored flanks and (c) recondite spheres and (d) hermetic theater of operations). Lambda.- Haphazardness (the quality of lacking any predictable order or plan, as a By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  14. 14. 14 result of corporate manager's perpetual MOST-RECURSIVE search for lucrative intangibles in omniverseral: (a) hidden quadrants and (b) ignored flanks and (c) recondite spheres and (d) hermetic theater of operations). Mu.- Pseudo-Haphazardness (the quality of quasi-lacking any predictable order or plan, as a result of corporate manager's perpetual MOST-RECURSIVE search for lucrative intangibles in omniverseral: (a) hidden quadrants and (b) ignored flanks and (c) recondite spheres and (d) hermetic theater of operations). Nu.- Mishaps (an unknown and unpredictable phenomenon that causes an event to result one way rather than another, as a result of corporate manager's perpetual MOST- By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  15. 15. 15 RECURSIVE search for lucrative intangibles in omniverseral: (a) hidden quadrants and (b) ignored flanks and (c) recondite spheres and (d) hermetic theater of operations). Xi.- Pseudo-Mishaps (a quasi-unknown and quasi-unpredictable phenomenon that causes an event to result one way rather than another, as a result of corporate manager's perpetual MOST-RECURSIVE search for lucrative intangibles in omniverseral: (a) hidden quadrants and (b) ignored flanks and (c) recondite spheres and (d) hermetic theater of operations). Back to the White Swan hardcore: White Swan — Early Praise: By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  16. 16. 16 By The University of Texas at Austin's Most Honorable and Respected: (i) Alumnus and (ii) The University of Arkansas at Little Rock's Professor and (iii) The Author of “...The Human Race to the Future: What Could Happen — and What to Do ...” — By Daniel Berleant, PhD.: “... You may have heard of the '...black swan...' concept. Now there is the White Swan, a name for an '...interdisciplinary methodology...' of '...Transformative and Integrative Risk Management...' This is offered by Mr. Andres Agostini and his work is a creative approach that can help organizations large and small prepare for the future. Of course the future has risks — and opportunities — because of it's intrinsic property of uncertainty and unpredictability. To best mitigate the downside risks and leverage By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  17. 17. 17 the upside opportunities, flexible thinking is required. FOR EXAMPLE, IT IS USEFUL TO VIEW PROBLEMS FROM MULTIPLE DIFFERENT POINTS OF VIEW. THIS TASK IS BOTH IMPORTANT AND NONTRIVIAL. TO MAKE IT HAPPEN, AN INTERDISCIPLINARY APPROACH IS IMPORTANT. The hope is to manage the multiple uncertainties (risks and opportunities) by integrating an array of insights and resources. A successful result can indeed be transformative. Thank you Mr. Agostini for contributing this methodology with its pathway to! Ward solutions of originality and significance .... It is a pleasure to have the opportunity to work with Andres Agostini on a technology foresight related project. Mr. Agostini is a great source of stimulating and interesting ideas. His high energy level makes working with him an efficient way to leverage By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  18. 18. 18 activities. Andres is invaluable in providing an international dimension to the project which would otherwise be unavailable. I absolutely recommend Andres Agostini as a colleague and project team partner! ...” By Washington D.C. Metro Area (Industry and Military)'s Deputy Director, National Maritime Intelligence-Integration Office (NMIO), Most Honorable Mr. Jose Nieves: “… Mr. Agostini has a broad intellectual background and technological understanding providing him the ability to see issues from a very different perspective than most people, thus allowing him to see alternate futures, confront challenges head on, and solve complex problems through methodical and sequential processes. Mr. Agostini’s White Swan Book addresses the very issue of By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  19. 19. 19 alternatives to current interdisciplinary approach. The understanding of alternative futures is critical to the success of organizations. Further, Mr. Agostini’s deep understanding of alternative futures and technological progression is a most necessary skill in our nation’s military and intelligence community’s ability to predict and solve future threats and see future opportunities to exploit. Separately, Mr. Agostini’s focus on transformative and integrative risk management to prevent technological surprise was, is, and will remain relevant into the future ...” By Canadian Space Agency's Dr. Narasimha Bhashyam DSc. (Toronto, Ontario, Canada): “... Agostini's book White Swan presents a refreshingly a path-breaking novel approach in By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  20. 20. 20 the highly complex area of risk management which often overwhelms senior management in policy and strategy formulations … the presentation is in well integrated problem- solving interdisciplinary approach makes it a manual for optimal risk management in very challenging operational environment … THE BOOK WILL BE VERY USEFUL AND HANDY SPECIALLY FOR THOSE HANDLING PROJECTS IN SPACE AND AERONAUTICS … I will very warmly recommend this book to all practicing managers and teachers in management may like to use this book for course in risk management ...” By USA's Austin, Texas Area's Mr. Steve Pearson (CEO of The Pearson Strategy Group): By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  21. 21. 21 “ … The White Swan is very interesting, Andres! Thank you for putting so much thought into this subject for the benefit of all. Preparing for the future isn't just looking into a crystal ball, it involves using many existing and varying resources. This also includes the involvement of experienced and knowledgeable people looking for trends and comparisons that can be extrapolated and used to define future directions while minimizing risk. Organizations should quickly transform their processes to accommodate for this with the only variable being how heavily their resources are invested according to the amount of risk involved and resources available. In general, most organizations are likely underestimate their level of risk and it is highly recommended that they consult with Mr. Agostini, an expert in his field ...” By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  22. 22. 22 By USA's Greater Los Angeles Management and Corporate Strategy Consultant Mr. William Hultquist: “... Mr. Andres Agostini is one of the most honorable and fearless original thinkers I have ever had the pleasure to know. Through his thirty-three-plus years of commitment to the science of transformative and integrative risk management he has become one of the pioneers in this fledgling field of predictive science. Being a pioneer and thought leader requires enormous self confidence and dedication. Andres Agostini has prepared himself for his auspiciously spectacular career with diligent studies of the truth and meaning behind major shifts and technological changes in the world’s consciousness infrastructure …. The deeper one travels in understanding an issue or trend, the clearer the interpretive By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  23. 23. 23 ability of the observer becomes, however, this is easier said than done. I believe Mr. Agostini is capable of delivering his interpretive predictions because of his unfailing commitment to his own brand of rugged personal individualism. In other words, he is relentless in his pursuit of the truth in all matters and does not allow others’ perceptions to sway his resolve. Therefore, his findings and conclusions have the potential to provide unique substantive impactful solutions and outcomes on the lives of individuals, organizations, communities and countries …. The White Swan project demonstrates that unpredictability occurs as a consequence of not having considered issues beyond what the superficial mind reports to us. Mr. Agostini through his years of relentless research and analysis at mind-boggling levels of detail in scientific, economic and societal By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  24. 24. 24 involvement exercises profound wisdom in penetrating the causative issues behind events and thereby being able to extrapolate likely scenarios from the data …. Major corporations, organizations, governments and their leaders consult with Mr. Agostini because of his no nonsense view of trends. You can count on receiving his absolute uncompromising opinion on the issues you are concerned with and you can take them to the bank ...” By USA's Washington D.C. Mr. Glenn Alpert: “...'...The future belongs not to those who possess a crystal ball, but those willing to challenge the biases and prejudices of the ‘establishment ….' ….Not very many people want to challenge the establishment out of fear or ridicule. Unfortunately, new By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  25. 25. 25 technologies and new philosophies are not created from older ways of thinking …. To speak about Mr. Agostini's concept of the White Swan Treatise — These methods allow for an organization to plan for optimal futures, rather than leave events to chance. Mr. Agostini is an expert in the domain of Scientific Futuring, and can provide thought leadership and solutions for real-world problems that organizations face in this area ...” By USA's Manhattan's Mr. Joel Elveson: “ … Mr. Andres Agostini's brilliance is well documented …. In the field of insurance, risk management, etc. Mr. Agostini combines critical thinking with multiple areas of experience using a variety of platforms. His ethics are beyond question. Mr. Agostini By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  26. 26. 26 provides solutions to problems others would not even begin to tackle …. Andres Agostini is one of the brightest minds I have ever encountered. Mr. Agostini possesses a dearth of expertise and experience in numerous fields. There is no task or endeavor that Mr. Agostini cannot successfully undertake and complete with ease. I would highly recommend that in the numerous areas that Mr. Agostini has worked in that his expertise be fully utilized. His thought processes are far superior to anybody I have ever met or that you will ever meet. Thank you ...” By Montreal's Mr. Claude Emond, BEng, MEng, MBA, rmc, CD: “... Mr. Agostini makes very clearly his point about the need to have better alternatives to current «insurance-based risk management» By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  27. 27. 27 approaches, these failing lamentably to provide organizations with proactive, agile plans to face current and future opportunities and threats to continue to thrive and achieve long term sustainability. He also offers, with his White Swan metaphor, the path to better forecasting and proactivity: his Transformative and Integrative Risk Management interdisciplinary methodology. This methodology being the fruit of real time applications and demonstrated successes on many very complex organizational environments, I am confident that it can help any organization face the current turbulent times and its future evolutions with more certainty and agility in the face of permanent change. I particularly liked his rendering and interpretation of the Deng Xiaoping’s quote: ' … It doesn’t matter whether the cat is black or white, as long as it catches mice …', because By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  28. 28. 28 in our particular turbulent times, the white cat (swan) will be the one that can catch the mice. Transformative and Integrative Risk Management is a real interdisciplinary systems approach, ensuring a better, more complete (if not always completely omniscient) , look at all future possibilities and resulting in better organizational actions in the present, and superior agile plans for the future …. I am privileged to have had the chance to read this abstract of Mr. Agostini coming book and I am looking forward to the unabridged version. I am also confident that the organizations that will use his Transformative and Integrative Risk Management interdisciplinary methodology will continue to lead their fields of activities, remain sustainable and prosper for a long time to come. I am also sure that the organisations experimenting difficulties right now have a By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  29. 29. 29 better chance to find the path to renewed organizational health and prosperity using the proactive approaches inherent to Transformative and Integrative Risk Management ...” By USA' California's Mrs. Peggy Leyva Conley: "...Andres, Is a World leader as an Analytical Manager and Consultant who has worked in various sectors consisting of applying his vast White Swan knowledge, and skills. This includes Fortune 500 Companies who have hired him as an Adviser, Planner and Futurist who can shed his foresight to help determine where a Company should be driven to become Successful in the marketplace. As a Professional he is highly valuable when researching and using strategic plans to By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  30. 30. 30 Educate Corporations how to become prosperous..." By United Kingdom’s Dr. Ann Shaw, M.D.: "…I am in awe of Andy for many reasons. Not only am I impressed with his business and management practical approach, vast knowledge and professionalism in current high-tech and concerning future technologies, but as a unique and very valuable human being…With extensive work based on 30-plus years of corporate experience, Andy has completed his current treatise, 'White Swan'. He has managed to incorporate his wealth of knowledge and experience to address the threats and opportunities and benefits so that incumbents gain augmented insight about what greatly impacts the practices by change managers, leaders, educators, researchers, By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  31. 31. 31 scholars, entrepreneurs, advanced students and responsible citizens, aiming to make a difference for a better yet challenging world… With minuteness, he explores deep reflections, initiatives, notions and ideas that may have been long ignored, under-estimated and misunderstood. 'White Swan' is an interesting, deep and comprehensive exploration that allows the reader to freely come to his/her own conclusions. He has a dynamic and deep mind, and is gifted with a true art of expression for all he feels…” By USA's Miami's Dr. David Burkart, PhD. at "...I know Andres Agostini to be one of the most astute and informed advisers to government and private sector businesses and NGO's working today. He has a huge knowledge base and an impressive number of By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  32. 32. 32 contacts and sources....His positive outlook, energetic enthusiasm and unfailing courtesy and respect for others is inspirational and motivational. His forecasting skills and advice are wisely sought by many in high places and appreciated by all those who benefit from his generosity....Andres is a rare example of a true polymath in this day of specialization. His incisive intellect is well balanced by his social skills and personal integrity. I can recommend him without reservation for any organization that is in need of expert counsel at the highest level..." By Italy's Dr. Claudio Mantovani M.D.: “... This book reflects Mr. Agostini definitely great preparation but especially the heart of Mr. Agostini. Heart that Mr. Agostini crosses By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  33. 33. 33 every day and in every work both literary and technical ...” By São Paulo, Brazil's Ms. Giselle Cury: “... An exceptional source of deep insight into the contemporary intricacies of an organization, a delightful invitation to dip into the author’s multifaceted analysis of such wonderful, although complex entity. The absorption of Mr. Andres Agostini’s 'White Swan' concepts is not only highly recommended, but also a condition sine qua non for organizations around the world to be on top of their businesses. Simply fantastic! ...” By USA's Tampa's Mr. Dan Aduito: By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  34. 34. 34 “ … Andres Agostini is always willing to lend his wisdom and support to those of us who may not be scientists however I see Mr. Agostini as a bridge and interpreter of the sciences to the multitude of other specialists in business, commerce and industry …. A rare man with the capacity to draw all who come near, closer to the leading edges of scientific analysis and predictability based upon fact as opposed to conjecture and pontification …. I consider it an honor to call Mr. Agostini my friend and translator of cosmic relationships of all matter ...” By USA's Las Vegas' Mr. Bob Smith: “... I find the writings associated with White Swan to be delightfully thought-provoking and offer a clever and insightful juxtaposition to the Black Swan concept. It provides balance in By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  35. 35. 35 the flow of the topic and brings a rich new set of useful distinction to consider …. I think this will offer elements to a full and complete range of thinking that holds two ends of the same line of thinking. The Swans become bookends to an elegant body of thinking and consideration on how to '...be ...' in the midst of the two influences …. I enjoy the additional thinking that Andres has brought forward and I appreciate the visit to the fundamentals of thinking in so many areas that affect the true productivity of business and the impact on people and results ...” By USA's Greater New York City Area's Ms. Tamara Beck: “...Andres, as always a very thorough and insightful view of things as they are and are going to be! ...” By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  36. 36. 36 By Manhattan's Mr. Edward Andron, ACom, ARM, RAM, CNE, NYU Fellow: "...I have known Andres for approximately two years and found him to be an outstanding intellectual .... He seeks answers to the most complex and confounding problems in many industries and always finds an answer .... Andres is engaging, insightful, and creative …. He is quite literally a walking encyclopedia and veritable cornucopia of wisdom on any subject or any industry .... I highly recommend him to White Swan, any think tank, corporation, or governmental agency looking for a sage whose prescient wisdom is both accurate and ahead of his time .... He is an incalculable asset, but more importantly, a great human being I am proud to call my friend! ..." By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  37. 37. 37 By USA's Greater Los Angeles Area's Mr. Terry Tucker: “... Mr. Agostini provides a valuable look, and, provides valuable contributions to 'Red Teaming' and decision analysis planning. Modern Strategy and White Swans are also about the social dynamics, which many analysts neglect. Andres covers this nicely ...” By Greater Minneapolis-Saint Paul Area Business' Mr. John Lucic: “ … Mr. Agostini has proven to be one of the most qualified and ethics driven business consultants I have recommended to our clients. He truly cares for success of his clients and is an asset to any business that By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  38. 38. 38 would choose to utilize his expertise. Good luck on your White Swan project ...” By USA's New York Area Ms. Sonny Cardinal: " ... White Swan's Transformative and Integrative Risk Management is a tremendously comprehensive prospecting tool that I will be sure to reference in the future. Great work! …" By Berlin's Mr. Steffen D. Bieser “... There are too many superstitions in the world of trade, commerce and management. People embrace too many half truths. This is wrong and it does not help to understand a complicated world. The White Swan unmasks a large number of global lies. There was about time for its author to tell it better ...” By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  39. 39. 39 By Mexico's Ms. Orenda Urbano Hernández: “... The sequence of your work in White Swan seems like the chronicle of the different layers of organizational systems. It express the natural course of events and generates the idea that by comprehending these processes human possess tools of assertiveness to generate intuitive approach to solve challenges or to manufacture an intelligent and generous reality ...” By Iran's Industrial Engineer Ms. Pegah Nikzat: “ … As a Futurist and Industrial Engineer I am greatly involved with many disciplines, techniques, research and reading. The White Swan treatise, by Mr. Andres Agostini, is By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  40. 40. 40 correct and a technological breakthrough and scientific discovery in itself, coming forward in the most expected and needed moment. Mr. Agostini’s unprecedented abilities to coalesce Scientific Futuring with Transformative and Integrative Risk Management is a methodological novelty hugely embraced by the international community of Industrial Engineers. As he states, White Swan is not only about holding and futilely entertaining abstracts notions that do not have an instrumental and decisive practical application is enhancing corporation’s astute choice- making process. From this point onward I will be requesting my clients and customers to seriously study the White Swan as I am definitively considering forthcoming mutually- beneficial teaming arrangement with Mr. Agostini toward joint professional consulting services ...” By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  41. 41. 41 By South Africa's Mr. Anton van den Berg: “... As always, Mr. Andres Agostini cuts to the heart of the matter. The abundance of experience and knowledge required to achieve a break-through thought like this is staggering. I am glad that my life allowed me to experience this brilliant minds and exceptional thoughts that it produced. I’m grateful that he is able to articulate his thoughts in a way that we can absorb it. Thank you Andres!!!! ...” By India's Civil Engineer Mr. GramaKeshava Ananthram: “...White Swan; yes White Swan !! In Sanskrit‚ we have an adage-HAMSA KSHEERA NYAYAM— meaning Swan and the Milk By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  42. 42. 42 Example ! What does this mean? It is believed that Swan accepts milk portion only from out of the mixture of Milk and Water ! I am honoured to compare this Vedic Analogy with Andres Agostini's WHITE SWAN — I do not know whether Andres kept this Vedic term. While titling his Great foreseeing of the Future ! Needless to say that Andres is a foreseer; DRASHTARA ! He illumines the present science and technology and eighteens the future Metascale heights , yet he says that he does not know what could be in 2045 ! The universe is a legendary verse and I must admit with my limited knowledge of the past to future, the evolution is the greatest revolution in all aspects ; known becomes non existent and unknown becomes the most adored and preferred tool of the present tool for affluence in scientific and technological fast tracks ! I admire Andres at every By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  43. 43. 43 meticulous step in his narration citing and acknowledging his indebtedness to his peers ! My knowledge of Science and technology is limited to appreciation of the facts of the future ! I am no match to Andres Agostini’s knowledge, but have the firm belief that Andres Agostini’s forethoughts of the future are the as true as Sun and Moon ! …. It is a prevailed I casually came across this page and must say I am a gainer in knowledge! …. There is ignorance in knowledge and so too knowledge in ignorance because the more one learns; much more he/she feels more he/she must learn !.... People like Andres Agostini are always sought after to educate the thirsty for knowledge of the futuristic developments ! ...” By USA, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Ms. Annie (xiao xuan) Liu: By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  44. 44. 44 "... In the U.S. and China there is a great fervor about Mr. Andres Agostini's White Swan. I love this amazing read and how Andres explains every difficult thing with nice definitions and real examples. I also love the unprecedented level of candor by the White Swan. I find interesting that this book is about telling the truth and not to sugar-coat difficult realities while giving easy ideas about how to fix challenges and complications. I am into teaching people how to be successful in their professional and personal lives. As a process of that I will have my folks consider the White Swan because it is a great tool to make Success happen ..." By Israel's Mr. Nachum Katz: By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  45. 45. 45 “ … I greatly enjoyed this read, and found it very helpful and eye opening …. Most of all I find the remarks about preparing to the future and making it happen based on changing ideas, thoughts, concepts, preparing a new vision that pushes us all forward, not based on the past ...” By USA's Tampa's Mrs. Maria Carolina Sisiruca: “... Mr. Agostini …. I can profess the book to be a great revelation on business concepts that reach beyond any conventional treatise. Just reading the reviews above from the highest academic members of the business world should be proof enough of the great business work that it is ...” Back to the White Swan hardcore: By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  46. 46. 46 A Quick Message from India: An Indian Civil Engineer and Mystic argues and as per own account, “... In Sanskrit the Vedantic Sages call Andres a «... DRASHTARA ...» and as such he is set out to re-channelize the R&D&I effort's direction and pathway by applied scientists in dire straits, thus re-illuminating them in the unaccounted-for dynamic driving forces in order for scientists to return to the right path ...” An Indian Yogi also called Andres, some years ago, “...Auspiciousness...” Back to the White Swan hardcore: By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  47. 47. 47 What is the White Swan Target? In a nutshell: (A.-) Most Advanced Management (chiefly by applied Scientific Method), and (B.-) Most Exponential Dynamic Driving Forces. And in achieving “A.-” and “B.-” above, again and again, thoroughness and completeness will be redefined by several nonlinear orders of geometrical magnitude. Back to the White Swan hardcore: Who is the White Swan Audience? 1.- Mr. David Shaw, By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  48. 48. 48 2.- Drew, 3.- Andy, 4.- Pervasive Technologists and Scientists, 5.- Extremely radiant Corporation's Officers, 6.- Forcefully irradiant Management Practitioners, Business Owners and Serious Entrepreneurs, 7.- People who love K.I.S.S., Keep It Scientific, Savant. And that impiously reject K.I.S.S.: Keep It Simple, Stupid, and 8.- Others. If you don't like strongest and most subtle thinking, the White Swan is never for you. Back to the White Swan hardcore: THE POWER OF GRANDIOSE IDEAS …. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  49. 49. 49 Something that I relentlessly embrace at all times. “...Google's Chief Engineer Officer Dr. Raymond Kurzweil's, with 19 doctoral degrees, relatives escaped the Holocaust '... BECAUSE THEY USED THEIR MINDS. THAT'S ACTUALLY THE PHILOSOPHY OF MY FAMILY …. THE POWER OF HUMAN IDEAS. I remember my grandfather coming back from his first return visit to Europe. I was seven and he told me he'd been given the opportunity to handle — with his own hands — original documents by LEONARDO DA VINCI. HE TALKED ABOUT IT IN VERY REVERENTIAL TERMS, LIKE THESE WERE SACRED DOCUMENTS. But they weren't handed down to us by God. They were created by a guy, a person. A SINGLE HUMAN HAD BEEN VERY INFLUENTIAL By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  50. 50. 50 AND HAD CHANGED THE WORLD. THE MESSAGE WAS THAT HUMAN IDEAS CHANGED THE WORLD. AND THAT IS THE ONLY THING THAT COULD CHANGE THE WORLD ...” [231] Back to the White Swan hardcore: A NOTICE TO CORPORATIONS I OF IV: My White Swan Tranformative and Integrative Risk Management's Corporate Clients will NEVER get Sputnik Moments (sic.). A NOTICE TO CORPORATIONS II OF IV: My White Swan Tranformative and Integrative Risk Management's Corporate Clients will get a spelled-out of the totality of their upcoming: By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  51. 51. 51 (A.-) Positive Risks, (B.-) Negative Risks, (C.-) Upside Futures, (D.-) Downside Futures, (E.-) Positive and Upside Dynamic Driving Forces, (F.-) Negative and Downside Dynamic Driving Forces, (G.-) Positive and Upside Counter-Dynamic Driving Forces, and (H.-) Negative and Downside Counter- Dynamic Driving Forces. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  52. 52. 52 Items A, B, C, D, E, F, G and H aforementioned will be infinitely up-exploited and outsmarted, in order to augment Corporation’s hyperbolic cash sequestration and its SUSTANIABILITY within SUCCESS and PREVAIL, regardless of the Uncharted Waters and Territories. My amazing mother used to say, “...Andres, that who seeks it is the one who finds it...” Incidentally: DARPA has a nice adage: “ ...If you are not failing frequently, you are not succeeding enough ...” And that can be further clarified and enhanced by: By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  53. 53. 53 “ ...If you are not failing frequently [trough pervasive and forceful, yet well-directed error- and-trial real-life experiments to avoid the emergence of Black Swans], you are not succeeding enough [and, therefore, you are not securing the White Swan that will ascertain that your corporation stays lucrative, grows fiscally sound and thrives though any rogue swirl of change]...” Brackets are of the author. Back to the White Swan hardcore: A NOTICE TO CORPORATIONS III OF IV: Corporate Chairpersons and CEOs MUST NEVER accept spoken interviews and presentations and other ORAL EXCHANGES, UNLESS and UNLESS alone, within the By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  54. 54. 54 ensuing 24-hours, said Chairpersons and CEOs get a most solid, thorough, complete and well-written hard-copied material of the aforementioned: spoken interviews and presentations and other ORAL EXCHANGES. A NOTICE TO CORPORATIONS IV OF IV: Only my Corporate Clients and Customers will get, through White Swan Transformative and Integrative Risk Management the following: (1.-) Extremely-detailed Predictions for the Short-, Mid- and Long-term. (2.-) Most Robust and Detailed Operationalized Plans to Lucre and Profit from (1.-) above. Back to the White Swan hardcore: By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  55. 55. 55 This is not done to capture the legally-binding “...trails...” of their verbal output, but to hold them extremely responsible in everything said by executives to Chairpersons and CEOs. This author is not going to elaborate in the sine qua non instrumentality of the bridged version. That would take other tome. Any serious Corporation is so when everything spoken, including “...hello...”, is extremely documented, both digitally and physically. I like talking but once the fundamentals HAVE BEEN FIRST dealt with in abundant writing. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  56. 56. 56 I reject professionals, executives, Chairpersons and CEOs who are not into detailed writing. Back to the White Swan hardcore: Transformative and Integrative Risk Management is a multifarious methodology. The reader has been warned. This is a “...brute force...” and “ ...subtle force...” problem-solving and decision-making interdisciplinary approach. Through thorough application of Transformative and Integrative Risk Management (the exact opposite of insurance-based risk unmanagement), White Swan can be hereunder explained abundantly. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  57. 57. 57 Let us briefly define Eureka Moment and Sputnik Moment now: “ … The Eureka Moment, also known as the '...Aha! Moment ...', refers to the common human experience of suddenly understanding a previously incomprehensible problem or concept. The Eureka effect is named after the myth that the Greek polymath Archimedes, having discovered how to measure the volume of an irregular object, leaped out of a public bath, and ran home naked shouting 'eureka' (I found it) ...” And: “ … The Sputnik Moment is point in time in which a country or a society, in particular the U.S., realizes that it needs to catch up with the apparent technological and scientific gap that By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  58. 58. 58 exists between it and some other superpower, increasing its investment efforts into education and innovative R&D ...” And Litmus Test: “... a critical indication of future success or failure ...” Coming Back to the White Swan hardcore: The author (a manager, consultant, researcher and strategist into beyond- insurance risk management and scientific futuring) has a sufficient tangible number of unimpeachable actual corporate cases, attained through 33-year-plus of in-the-field professional experience, of outright success fundamentally coping with disproportionately high-profile, hard-to-predict, and rare events. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  59. 59. 59 Back to the White Swan hardcore: A thing or two about the word: “...Experience...” Experience (optimal and correct) Vs. “...Previous Experience...” (totally wrong). Check it out: If you Google Previous Experience, you will get about: 5,120,000 results. “...Previous Experience...” is outright flaw since Plain-Vanilla-Per-Se Experience is always ACHIEVED AND SEQUESTERED in the Past and not always exploited in the Present and Future. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  60. 60. 60 Just, use “...Experience...” and never “...Previous Experience...” The White Swan hardcore now starts: THIS WORK ADDRESSES ORGANIZATIONAL SETTINGS (RATIONAL- TYPE ONES) ONLY, NEVER PROFESSIONAL OR PERSONAL ENVIRONMENTS AT ALL. On October 09, 2013 I was asked a simple yet intriguing question at the right time and place. Without any direct or indirect intent, such a simple query gave birth to the White Swan. And that query's momentum gained infinite more critical mass when San Diego University Mathematics Professor Vernor Vinge, PhD, By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  61. 61. 61 suggested and reminded, via a placid e-mail, of the reading of the Black Swan, which I did. ERGO: A management consultant in Peterborough, United Kingdom presented this query to me, the commencing co-author. His name is David Shaw. [228]. SYNTHESIS: Questions and matters to be randomly addressed here include: 1.- What is change? 2.- What is management? 3.- What is change management? 4.- Why present-day age is now different? By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  62. 62. 62 5.- What is the historic perspective applied to current management? 6.- What is it meant by Dynamic Driving Forces? 7.- What is a risk, both positive and negative? 8.- What are futures, both upside and downside? 9.- What is risk management? 10.- What is risk unmanagement? 11.- What is a White Swan? 12.- What is a Eureka Moment? 13.- What is a Sputnik Moment? 14.- What is a leader and a manager? 15.- How does one define technology? 16.- What is insurance? 17.- What is beyond-insurance risk management? 17.- What is Transformative and Integrative Risk Management? 18.- What is scientific futuring? By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  63. 63. 63 19.- What is scenario-planning methodology? 20.- How Quality Assurance and Continuous Improvement Don't Equate to Risk Management? 21.- Practically, How do managers and entrepreneurs achieve sustainable success? 22.- What is non-theological applied omniscience? 23.- What is Organizational Integral Protection? 24.- Common Sense Versus Scientific Knowledge? 25.- Out-Of-The-Box Thinking versus Disruptional Creative Thinking (Meaning: The Strong-Sense Critico-Creative One)? 26.- What is the current and rampant progression of science and technology? 27.- Solving persistently grave organizational problems through Rocket Science? By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  64. 64. 64 28.- What is retrospection and what is prospection? 29.- Quantitative Analyzes Versus Qualitative Analyzes? 30.- How far can we get with algorithm-based calculations of risks and futures? 31.- What is strategy and its limitations? 32.- What are new management skills to be developed in the as-of-now future? 33.- What are problem-solving approaches for? 34.- What are adversarial truths and technical truths? 35.- The Technological Singularity Versus the Disruptional Singularity? 36.- How NASA, DARPA and Royal Dutch Shell are redefining management? 37.- What is Space-Age Risk Management? 38.- What are the name of the reputable organizations instituting all of the above? By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  65. 65. 65 39.-In the twentieth-one century, How managers must be in order to succeed? 40.- What is Computronium? 41.- What is Multiverse? 42.- What is Omniverse? 43.- What is a Litmus Test? 44.- What and How to Study? 45.- Forthcoming as-per-now times will be? 46.- Plausabilities, as of today? 47.- The World's Most-Cherished and Most- Uncherished Black Swans that will never happen? 48.- White Swan Tranformative and Integrative Risk Management Problem- Solving Methodology Encompasses? 49.- A Quick Message from India. 50.- Oxford University's Faculty of Philosophy Professor Nick Bostrom on the Disruptional Singularity. 51.- What is the Chief Polymath Officer? By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  66. 66. 66 52.- Google, Facebook, Twitter, Microsoft and Oracle defined both by Wikipedia and the White Swan? 53.- What did CEOs from ExxonMobil, Conoco, Chevron, Phillips Petroleum, Statoil (Scandinavia), Italy's ENI and Wilpro Energy Services (U.S.) tell Andres? 54.- A Little Actual Fun Story with World's #2 Petroleum Corp Chairman and CEO? 55.- Andres goes to the Massachusetts Board Room with the 90-Million-Dollar Chairman and CEO? 56.- U.S. President George Herbert Walker Bush's (41st U.S. president) Ambassador and Andres Agostini? 57.- If you country is flooded with unemployment, poverty, public protests and a promissory future of outright failure? Why? 58.- IN WHAT ARE GOOGLE, FACEBOOK, IBM, APPLE AND MICROSOFT FOCUSING By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  67. 67. 67 IN ORDER TO REVERSE-ENGINEER THE HUMAN BIOLOGICAL MIND? 59.- The most serious scientific and noted establishment of the U.S. uses this language priority ... 60 .- What is the White Swan Target? 61.- Who is the White Swan Audience? 62.- THE POWER OF GRANDIOSE IDEAS …. 63.- Experience (optimal and correct) Vs. “...Previous Experience...” (totally wrong)? 64.- To see what Germany and China are doing about manufacturing …. 65.- AS PER NOBEL PHYSICS PRIZE LAUREATE DR. STEPHEN HAWKING WARNS …. Back to the White Swan hardcore: David's question was then exactly, By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  68. 68. 68 "...Andres, from your work on the future which management skills need to be developed? Classically the management role is about planning, organizing, leading and controlling. With the changes coming in the future, what's your view on how this management mix needs to change and adapt? … " Probably, and thanks to the preceding question, the interview or exchange has hereby grown into a copyrighted treatise. A treatise, not a book, but a beta treatise, not an alpha treatise yet. A lady by the name of Lisa sent me an e-mail, indicating: “...You have given David a good academic lecture and scholarship …” By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  69. 69. 69 Now you have such a bridged volume. Bridged volume does never equate to the unabridged treatise (A systematic, usually extensive clear-eyed-ly written discourse on a multi-fold subject matter expertises.), illustrated version, containing additional: facts, stats, drawings, mind-mappings, pictorials, graphics, tables, PERTs (Program Evaluation and Review Techniques), CPMs (Critical Path Method Techniques), SWOTs (A SWOT analysis — alternatively SWOT matrix — is a structured planning method used to evaluate the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats involved in a project or in a business venture), sketches, cartoons, slides, pictures, photos, videos and other resources. The unabridged and illustrated tome is awaiting a publisher to come forward and do the proper deed. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  70. 70. 70 NOTA BENE: If you are serious and you mean lucratively handsome business for you and me, THE ONE AND ONLY CV (Curriculum Vitae) that I am going to give you is the Present Treatise Excerpt. Alternative, you are extremely welcome to have access to my (i) Lifeboat Foundation Professional Profile and (ii) LinkedIn Professional Profile at: http://lifeboat.com/ex/bios.andres.agostini http://www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini Back to the White Swan hardcore: By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  71. 71. 71 WHITE SAWN'S UNABRIDGED AND ILLUSTRATED TREATISE ABOUT EVERY MOST-CHERISHED AND MOST-UN- CHERISHED BLACK SWAN THAT WILL NEVER HAPPEN IN THE WORLD. Back to the White Swan hardcore: If this were a course, it would indeed rather be a “... crash course ...” Some could correctly argue that this is an intense treatise given with kindness. It is both intense and lucid. Worry not, you are all set out to have lavish educational fun. Incidentally: By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  72. 72. 72 This proprietary treatise may be reproduced for noncommercial purposes if it is copied in its entirety, including this notice. Please recall that “...if it is copied in its entirety, including this notice....” This exploration (reconnaissance) is the most thorough, deep and independent one. Instantly, you have been warned. If a better one is available, don't dwell on Romanticism and go get it. To exercise greater emphasis on some parts, I will use partial capitalization of words often. In some U.S. audiences, capitalization is discouraged while in Canada, Germany, France, Switzerland and the entirety of the Western World is most encouraged. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  73. 73. 73 Back to the White Swan hardcore: As David, a proto-Britton, formulated this interesting question to me and given that I want to claim my rights on the present comment and treatise, I will be using first- person language frequently. David, any time the author use the words “...reader(s)...” or “...you...”, there must be understood that the ensuing persons are conjointly included: a) The reader, and b) David Shaw. Accordingly, Jewish scholar and Rabbi Hillel concludes, “...If I am not for myself, then who will be for me? And if I am only for myself, than what am I? And if not now, when?...” By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  74. 74. 74 Rabbis are wonderful intellectuals that deserve my greatest appreciation. In solving problems rabbis will use sacred scriptures, philosophy, history and hard science. I don't belong to their creed but I will greatly support them at any time, any where. Extensive quotations and citations will also be used. Massive insights by third parties and the author will be available. Semantics and linguistics will be provided by Thomas' Jeffersonian Lingua Franca, exclusively. Has anyone told you and taught you about the outright Germanization of English? Some neologisms in English here are through the sponsorship of the Germanization-process of English. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  75. 75. 75 Both in German and English and through the Germanization-process from two (2) to three (3) Indo-European words are coalesced together. By the way: If you are on King's Road and the locals there start telling you, “...Sir, you are a smart cookie and in awe by what you know ...” It is better for you to depart from ignorant envy by suboptimals. Back to the White Swan hardcore: QUESTION: Who, by the way, owns English? QUICK REPLY: Esperanto! To second the motion, Baroness Thatcher argued, “ … you ain't seen nothing, yet ...” By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  76. 76. 76 Incidentally: It is acknowledged that an alleged King once said, “... The size of a person's vocabulary is directly commensurate with the scale of his or her Cosmos ...” And good works enlightens ideas and good ideas further enlightens good cohesive detailed plans and hence success. Back to the White Swan hardcore: Some shared wisdom pertaining to language enhancement came from Leonardo (greatly cherished by NASA and DARPA) and Napoleon (greatly cherished by gargantuan U.S. Forces and the Industrial-Military- Complex). The wisdom posits, By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  77. 77. 77 “...Ascertain, at all times, to always replace upgradable words and terms by ones than are even better ...” By the way: Napoleon's mother (first) language was not French but Italian. Most probably, his third language was English. He spoke French with a heavy accent and some difficulties, but his recondite letters to his generals are most lucid. What is DARPA? “... The Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) was established in 1958 to prevent strategic surprise from negatively impacting U.S. national security and create strategic surprise for U.S. adversaries by By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  78. 78. 78 maintaining the technological superiority of the U.S. military …. To fulfill its mission, the Agency relies on diverse performers to apply multidisciplinary approaches to both advance knowledge through basic research and create innovative technologies that address current practical problems through applied research. DARPA’s scientific investigations span the gamut from laboratory efforts to the creation of full-scale technology demonstrations in the fields of biology, medicine, computer science, chemistry, physics, engineering, mathematics, material sciences, social sciences, neurosciences and more. As the DoD’s primary innovation engine, DARPA undertakes projects that are finite in duration but that create lasting revolutionary change ...” http://www.darpa.mil/our_work/ Back to the White Swan hardcore: By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  79. 79. 79 Accordingly, the signatory might be, among other amenities (MEMES), Davincian and Bonapartian. The author is never opinionated but ideanated. Back to the White Swan hardcore: The author has done and always will be doing his “ … homework ...” In no way this work is NEVER a substitute for doing your own reasoning, studying and researching. Everyone should do his / her own homework by himself / herself. My alleged “ … homework ...” is primarily done through learning theoretical, practical, By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  80. 80. 80 empirical and factual lessons from direct practical and intimate execution of and involvement with management and also by massive, perpetual research engaged by my own self, for Life. Jiddu Krishnamurti observed on education and learning: “... There is no end to education. It is not that you read a book, pass an examination, and finish with education. The whole of life, FROM THE MOMENT YOU ARE BORN TO THE MOMENT YOU DIE, IS A PROCESS OF LEARNING ...” Back to the White Swan hardcore: I relish developing own ideas, their detailed plans, theories and proto-theories and By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  81. 81. 81 marshaled them into in-the-field problem solving. I will share my insight and experience as an adviser, studier, learner, thinker, researcher, strategist, practitioner and seminal speaker of forward-looking management both in theoretical and practical contexts. Whatever I reflect here is a conscientious, empirical, factual, independent and solemn POV (Point of View). “ …Solemnity is characterized or marked by seriousness or sincerity …. or profound …. earnest ….” This POV addresses practical and structural solutions, not onerous quick fixes. Among By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  82. 82. 82 other important themes, this POV also deals with process, content and context. Partial solutions are inconsequential while total solutions are indispensable and, hence, the optimal pathway is hereby suggested. THIS POV WILL BE COMMUNICATED UNAMBIGUOUSLY AND EMPHATICALLY. The author NEVER does dogmas. Everyone else has the greatest right to having his / her own opinion(s) as well. No problem with that! Conversely, if you want to access my intellectual manifesto, a summation is here: With the purpose to remain authentic and genuine with my intellectual manifesto, I AM AGAINST: By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  83. 83. 83 1.- Ignorance. 2.- Sloppy, emotional thinking. 3.- Fashionable thinking. 4.- Within-style thinking. 5.- Ideal-based rational. 6.- Instant-gratification thought process. 7.- Non-Gestalt Thinking. 8.- Non-lumpen Thinking. (Lumpen is a nice word, extremely manipulated by Commies. Ergo, anything stemming from Commies I reject). By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  84. 84. 84 9.- Non-Crowd-Wisdom Thinking. (No one played Albert's violin and theories, nor Amadeus' piano, nor Howard's gigantic wooden aqua-airplane or communication's satellites, nor Newton's unpublished prophecies, but them, and them alone, in in- companionship-ed solitude). 10.- Clustered Thinking. 11.- Silo Thinking. 12.- Charter Thinking. 13.- Standard Thinking. 14.- Informal Thinking. 15.- Undocumented Thinking. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  85. 85. 85 16.- Laggards' Thinking. 17.- Bohemian Thinking. 18.- Hippie Thinking. 19.- “...Keep It Simple, Stupid...” (K.I.S.S.) Thinking. 20.- Short-term Thinking. 21.- Linear Thinking. 22.- Extra-Mile Thinking (We need several Extra-Leagues Thinking. A league is 3 miles or 4.8 kilometers). 23.- Single-mindedness Thinking (Against in- series thinking). By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  86. 86. 86 24.- Un-Orchestrated Thinking. To further underpin the intellectual manifesto of the author, let us understand this clearly: “...My manner of thinking, so you say, cannot be approved. Do you suppose I care? A poor fool indeed is he who adopts a manner of thinking for others! ...” Jointly by the Marquis de Sade and the Author. Back to the White Swan hardcore: You must, the soonest, interrelate or correlate and connect the dots of every aspect that is included in this independent POV, on the doubles. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  87. 87. 87 Everything here, the totality of all, is unfailingly interrelated with everything else. Back to the White Swan hardcore: Everything that the author will share applies for large and small for-profit and nonprofit organizations (including start-ups), both in the U.S. and around the world. By the way, it is really valued that in dealing with the practice of management you, David, haven't divorce said practice from its leadership component. BY KEEPING “ … MANAGEMENT ...” AND “ … LEADERSHIP … ” INDIVISIBLY INTEGRATED, YOU ARE ABSOLUTELY JUDICIOUS. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  88. 88. 88 Leadership without management is like a Mirage without a runway. There are many authors placing a huge divide between leadership and management when you cannot apply your leadership outside of a management context. They are gravely mistaken. Management and leadership cannot be separated and they must always be exercised in a monolithic unison. I will give you, as well, some primary view on the historic perspective I have found regarding current-day future-driven management, now. I really believe that the historic perspective is a sine qua non. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  89. 89. 89 Notwithstanding, the past and the present are never a script for the future. In Spanish there are two interesting words: (i) “ ...futurible ...” (from Latin futuribĭlis) and (ii) “...futurable...” As a result: “... Futurible ...” entails a conditioned future [scenario], that is not to happen with certainty, but that it will take place if a determined condition were firstly in place. Brackets are of the author. And it is also observed: Through other means, futurology is a discipline and a set of methodologies oriented to the prevision of the future. Basically, it By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  90. 90. 90 deals with imagining future plausible scenarios, known as “...futuribles ...”, and in occasions in order to determine their likelihoods, with the express purpose of planning the necessary actions to avoid or accelerate their occurrence. And also: " … Futurable ..." consists of a desired future [scenario]. Brackets are of the author. The White Swan hardcore continues: And, for instance, Stuart A. Copans asserted, “...Study the past if you would divine the future...” And Edmund Burke pointed out, By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  91. 91. 91 “...You can never plan [retrospectively, that is a posteriori] the future by the past...” Brackets are of the author. To set the stage properly, I will start with an enlightening quote by Albert Einstein. “...The significant problems we face cannot be solved at the same level of thinking we were at when we created then...” Or, it could be better noted: “...The significant problems we face [today] cannot be solved [in the future] at the same level of [démodé] thinking we were at when we created then [in the fossilized past]...” Brackets are of the author. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  92. 92. 92 Conversely: What are the frequent problems and challenges (including: humanly-induced existential ones) that we frequently encounter in managing risks optimally? For example and briefly: 1.- Corruption and Malfeasance. 2.- Radical ignorance. 3.- Learned ignorance. 4.- Dysfunctional knowledge. 5.- Unknowldege. 6.- Overspecialization and superspecialization. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  93. 93. 93 7.- Usage of embedded-in-the-past notions and assumptions (obsoledge). Obsoledge equates to obsolete knowledge as this term was coined by Alvin Toffler. 8.- Not thinking in series (not simultaneously). 9.- Dismissal of thinking of the entire Whole. 10.- Inability to learn to unlearn. 11.- Gray areas and biases. 12.- Lack of thorough and lucid practical definition and demarcation of the system to be addressed and its boundaries. 13.- Incomplete reasoning and thinking. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  94. 94. 94 14.- Holding and incorporation of “ … cherished beliefs ...” 15.- Absence of open-mindedness. 16.- Excess of narrowmindedness. 17.- Excess of un-reconnoiterable cues. Overspecialization and superspecialization beget incomplete knowledge and flawed execution. And hence they create many blind spots that beget folly black swans. Because through overspecialization and superspecialization, you are only dealing with Knowledge Depth, but also outright ruling out and precluding advanced Knowledge Width. Back to the White Swan hardcore: By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  95. 95. 95 One other aspect that must now be considered is a primordial axiom that is instrumental and widely considered here. That is, “...everything is somewhat related to everything else ...” Any management endeavor must consider this maxim seriously at all times. Please allow me some leeway to give some historic professional antecedents that will greatly prove useful in dealing with this work. Ensuing. Before being interested in applied scientific futuring and beyond-insurance risk management, I was college doubled trained in and majored in "...General Insurance By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  96. 96. 96 Management..." and “...Insurance Careers ...” (U.S.). The Beatles' song lyrics indicate, “... take a sad song and make it better...” It can be better written by saying: “... Take a sad song [Black Swan and its unmanaged perils] and make it better [into a White Swan, while lucratively exploiting its brought-under-control: (a) Negative Risks, (b) Positive Risks, (c) Upside Futures and (d) Downside Futures]...” A prominent U.S. president seconded the motion by the Beatles: Amazing JFK has a wondrous quotation, “... My fellow Americans, ask not what your By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  97. 97. 97 country can do for you, ask what you can do for your country ...” And the White Swan of it argues: “... My fellow Americans [and incumbent Corporate Chairpersons and CEOs, as well as serious Managers, in general], ask not what your country [and management systems] can do for you [, in order to advert black swans], ask [yes] what you [and your managerial: Scientific Futuring and Transformative and Integrative Risk Management] can do [with the ultimate end to make black swan cahsabale upon and with the ulterior purpose to seize grandest lucrative success and fiscally-sound, sustainable earnings] for your country [and corporation in urgent need for a White Swan practical perspective] ...” By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  98. 98. 98 And he also stated: His Most Excellency and Honorable President John F. Kennedy’s speech on September 12, 1962 at Race University: “...If this capsule history [, given to us by Gaia and, hence, Earth] of our progress [and scientific accomplishments toward leveraging our corporate pursuits towards more lucrative legally-incorporated entities] teaches us anything [before the gloomy and spookier black swan outlook], it is that man [and the manager in her and him], in his quest [practical study and corporate training] for knowledge and progress, is determined and cannot be deterred [, despite the most outlandish black swans]. The exploration of space [anyone pursuit by Fortune-7 Global Corporations into outright lucre] will go ahead, By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  99. 99. 99 whether we join in it or not [ whether we like it not, by instituting White Swans], and it is one of the great adventures [and transformation of known inputs into desired outputs] of all time [that is, quarter by quarter, early on, beforehand], and no nation [and Prominent Global Corporation] which expects to be the leader and [executing manager] of other nations [and competing corporations] can expect to stay behind [mired by unmanaged black swans] in the [contentious] race for space [and the down-to-earth Corporation's lucrative targets, objectives and goals] .... Well, space [and globalized marketplace mired by unpronounceable NEGATIVE RISKS AND DOWNSIDE FUTURES] is [and better said, are] there, and we're going [, and as per a corporate mandate to leverage the monolithic unison of all members in our TEAM and CREW into outright White Swans] to By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  100. 100. 100 climb it [, conquer and prevail, as we ascertain that our White-Swan-ned Corporation is Global Player Number One, for Life!] …” [80] Brackets are of author. Back to the White Swan hardcore: I also took serious university classes on engineering and mechanical-engineering technology and electronic-engineering technology (Canada, Venezuela). In my evening and dawn daydreams I seem to be a lucky alumnus of Georg-August- Universität Göttingen and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). Back to the White Swan hardcore: By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  101. 101. 101 Technology is also, at many times, synonymous with the term “ ...task …,” as it is argued by a Stanford University Professor. This author's definition of Technology is: “... Technology is instituted in order to solve practical problems (both mild and complex ones, whether randomized, pseudo- randomized or not ) ─ especially in industry, commerce, economy, science, technology, society, and politics (including geopolitics) ─, the methodical practical application of the scientific method, mathematical principles, practical sciences and material used to achieve a commercial or industrial objective and beyond, as well as to achieve practical ends such as the design, manufacture, and operation of efficient and economical structures, machines, processes, and systems By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  102. 102. 102 …. The profession of and or the work performed by any engineer ...” To this purpose and furthering the present work: “...From Nostradamus to Alvin Toffler, individuals and organizations have long been obsessed with trying to see the future. The goal is to somehow get advanced warning of ‘ ...what will be ...’...” [64] In order to do the prior, it is important to institute advanced scenario planning. Through it, the reader will get White Swans only. By Scenario Planning I mean a Methodology that is beyond that of Dr. Strangeloves (RAND Corporation' and Hudson Institute's Herman By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  103. 103. 103 Khan) and Royal Dutch Shell's Pierre Wack and Peter Schwartz. The actual practical effectiveness of scientifically-driven scenario planning can be considerably improved yet, as it done in Transformative and Integrative Risk Management (the exact opposite of insurance-based risk unmanagement). Furthermore: Objectives expressed in specific numbers (numerical data), to be accomplished through a detailed plan, can be called goals. And goals expressed in unambiguous narrative (narrative data), to be accomplished through a detailed plan, can be called By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  104. 104. 104 objectives. Global corporations use both, integrally. Hence: Working with the second largest oil group in the world (Citgo's PDVSA, with 54,000 active employees and 210,000 eligible dependents. PDVSA is Citgo's parent company), that group wanted me to only institute beyond-insurance risk management as it is posited here. What later became Transformative and Integrative Risk Management (TAIRM). Question: Who was Risk Management's Practitioner #1? Once someone told me a spoken and loose account about the item above. Using my own By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  105. 105. 105 words, I attempted to reconstruct the story here: “...Moses allegedly wrote some 3,500 years ago a seemingly parable as per an unknown source, [that] ‘ … Every new house must have a guard rail around the edge of the flat rooftop in order to prevent anyone from falling off and precluding inhabitants from bringing guilt and liability to both the householders and neighbors...'....” [226]. Brackets are of the author. Back to the White Swan hardcore: You see, when these organizational executives (from PDVSA, Citgo, other worldwide petroleum corporations, Toyota, Mitsubishi Motors, TNT Delivery Express and other global corporations) were to incur in a By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  106. 106. 106 loss (potential disruption), it did not suffice to them to have the indemnity payment from the insurance and reinsurance pool. On February 01 1984 I officially started serious thinking about long-studied "...beyond- insurance risk management..." And since then all the way throughout this date. Conversely, insurance-based risk management is the old guard while beyond- insurance risk management is the vanguard. Some reasons for that will be offered here. For illustration purposes and just using one narrow self-explanatory instance, please check out how insurance and reinsurance habitually opine and operate, say, the following: By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  107. 107. 107 “... [Insurance underwriters have the] '...preference for insuring against probable small losses...' — at the expense of the less probable but larger impact ones ...” [227]. Brackets are of the author. The entire account of the paragraph above is next: “...However, [Dr. Paul] Slovic [, PhD. at http://bit.ly/1l697f0] and his colleagues found [at the University of the president of Decision Research], in insurance patterns, neglect of these highly improbable events in people's insurance purchases. The call is the '...preference for insuring against probable small losses...' — at the expense of the less probable but larger impact ones ...” Brackets are of the author. [227]. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  108. 108. 108 For illustrative purposes: Let me start by telling the reader that Optimal Risk Management (the exact opposite of insurance-based risk unmanagement), at all times, equates to Optimal Per-Se Management. Ergo and at the outset, allow me to offer a definition of Risk. “... Risk is the quantitative or qualitative expression of possible loss that considers both the probability that an event will occur and the consequences of that event … and/or the likeliness of injury, harm, damage, disruption or loss multiplied by its potential magnitude ...” By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  109. 109. 109 A brief sample of what Risk entails it is now offered: 1.- Academicians' and Scholars' Trickery 2.- Bankruptcy 3.- Competition 4.- Currency Collapse 5.- Disease 6.- Earthquake 7.- Energy Shortage 8.- Existential Risks (and/or beyond Global Catastrophic Risks) 9.- Espionage (Industrial, Political and Geopolitical), including: cyberspionage. 10.- Explosion 11.- Fire 12.- Flood 13.- Fraud 14.- Geopolitical Conflict 15.- Hurricane By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  110. 110. 110 16.- Illegal Immigration 17.- Incompetence 18.- Malign mind-set(s) 19.- Managerial Malfeasance 20.- Mediocrity 21.- Nuclear War 22.- Oil-Drilling Spill 23.- Political Chicanery 24.- Political Reversal 25.- Robbery 26.- Scientific and Pseudo-Scientific Sophistry 27.- Severe Weather 28.- Terrorism (homegrown and foreign) 29.- Volcano and Super-volcano Eruption 30.- Leaders' and Managers' and Scientists' lack of candor 31.- Others. The brain is the biological hardware. The mind is the rotational and translational software. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  111. 111. 111 RISKS ARE ALSO: (A.-) Unnecessary yet onerous problems, and B.-) Sudden Disruptive Expensive Expenses. Back to the White Swan hardcore: Accordingly, I will give you, likewise, a definition of Risk Management. “...Transformative and Integrative Risk Management (TAIRM) comprises of all activities and initiatives required to seize the optimum degree of risk elimination, mitigation, modulation or control within the constraints of operational effectiveness, time, and cost, attained through the specific, systemic and systematic application of management, By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  112. 112. 112 scientific, engineering and applied mathematical principles throughout all phases and facets of system operation ...” Let us address the word “ … system ...” (the entirety of the Whole). Whether the boundaries of a designated system (ample conception) are porous or not, blurred or not, defined or not, fluid or not, the beyond-insurance risk manager must radically, structurally and continuously tackle said system optimally. TAIRM exhaustively copes, early on (beforehand), with intended and unintended consequences within and beyond determinism and indeterminacy. By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  113. 113. 113 By “ … early on ...” it is meant: “ … Before the beginning of a course of events, chiefly those events least expected ...” TAIRM is only instituted with the express purpose of solving complex problems in all practicality. Complication and complexity are never synonymous! Here is why: “ … Complication is a confused or intricate relationship of elements, parts and/or subsystems …. A condition, event, etc, that is confused …. A problem arising as a consequence of another problem …. Something that introduces, usually unexpectedly, a difficulty, problem, change, By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  114. 114. 114 etc. …. A concurrent problem that aggravates the original problem …. It is a difficulty or confusion stemming from the concurrence and happening of diverse things ...” And then: “ … Complexity is the state or quality of being intricate …. Consists of interconnected or interwoven parts; composite …. Composed of two or more units …. Involved or intricate, as in structure …. A whole composed of interconnected or interwoven or interrelated parts …. It entails diverse elements ...” This is significant: Interrelationships and linkages that are both subtle and discrete and those that are soft By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  115. 115. 115 (mild) and dramatic (wild). All of the preceding can, too, be both covert, overt and/or ignored. And now: For illustrative purposes, the Characteristics of the Systems Approach by Transformative and Integrative Risk Management (the exact opposite of insurance-based risk unmanagement) include: 1) Methodical, 2) Objective, 3) Quantitative or Measurable, 4) Analytical, 5) Subsystem Interdependence, By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  116. 116. 116 6) Parallel Analysis of Elements (Orchestrated Analysis of Elements), 7) Inputs and Outputs in Clear Language and 8) Self-Containment / Closed Loop. Ergo, Important to note: Many experts and even scientists, scholars and futurologists speak about empirical, factual management with the sole perspective of unimplemented theoretical notions (that is: with too many unanswered questions and unlearned lessons never realized, seized, defined or explained by their own selves). Back to the White Swan hardcore: By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  117. 117. 117 When dealing with an ample-conception of “...System...”, if you find there simplicity, it is because your thought process is flawed and incomplete. And, for instance: Complication and complexity are nonlinear blessings when you have endowed your mind with preparedness in order to deal with and through them. Back to the White Swan hardcore: BUT THE MATTER IS, HAVE THEY REALLY EXERCISED THE ACTUAL RESPONSIBILITY OF DIRECTLY MANAGING A LARGE, GLOBAL By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts
  118. 118. 118 ENTERPRISE (ORGANIZATION) SUCCESSFULLY? WHAT EXACTLY IS THE APPLIED EXPERIENCE IN THE FIELD THAT THEY POSSES? QUESTION: What PRECISELY have said scientists, scholars and futurologists directly manage in the practical theater of operations? Allegedly: “... Theater of Operation is hereby included to mean the four-dimensional coordinate system and beyond it, in which organization's physical (tangible) and non-physical (intangible) events are located ...” By © Copyright 2013, 2014 Mr. Andres Agostini — All Rights Reserved Worldwide — « www.linkedin.com/in/andresagostini » T h e W h ite S w a n 's B e y o n d E u r e k a a n d S p u t n ik M o m e n ts

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