SUPERMANAGEMENT
V E R S U S

MANAGEMENT

SUPERMANAGEMENT
(By NASA)
12/1/13

By © Copyright 2013 Andres Agostini at http://lnkd.in/bYP2nDC
...
UPDATE:
V E R S U S

This material has now been officially re-published by the Lifeboat Foundation
And Forward Metrics, re...
V E R S U S

LINEAR

NONLINEAR

3
V E R S U S

Out-Of-TheBox Thinking

Strong Sense,
Critico-Creative
Thinking

4
V E R S U S

Quick
Fixes

Fundamental
Solutions

5
V E R S U S

Common
Sense

Most exponentially
Nonlinear
Counterintuitiveness

6
V E R S U S

The Sixth Sense
has one gender.

The Sixth Sense
has no gender
whatsoever.
In addition, there
are some other
...
V E R S U S

Simplicity

Science of
Complexity

8
V E R S U S

Luck

A Prepared Mind Plus:
"...practice makes perfect..."

9
V E R S U S

Complete

Cradle-to-grave
perspective

10
V E R S U S

Insurance

Beyond-Insurance
Risk Management

11
V E R S U S

Leadership

Leadership
And
MANAGEMENT

12
V E R S U S

Management

Scientific
Management

13
V E R S U S

Technique

Scientific
Method with
The Omniscience
Perspective

14
V E R S U S

Financially
Driven

Scientifically
Driven

15
V E R S U S

Global

1.- Systemic
2.- Systematic
3.- Holistic

16
V E R S U S

Even

Explosively
Exponential

17
V E R S U S

Incrementalism

HyperGeometrically

18
V E R S U S

Knowledge

Applied
Omniscience

19
V E R S U S

Planetary

Omniverse

20
V E R S U S

Social
Science

10% of Social
Sciences
PLUS
90% of Exact
Sciences

21
V E R S U S

Dogma

ZERO
DOGMA

22
V E R S U S

Thinking

Unconventional Thinking
Orthodox Thinking
Heterodox Thinking
Systems Thinking
Strategic Thinking
Me...
V E R S U S

Entire

Gestalt

24
V E R S U S

Meditation

Thought
Experiments

(Einsteinian gedanken)

25
V E R S U S

“…here and now…"

OMNIPRESENT:
Interested
'in the “now” locus
and in the
immediate-term
future and in
the med...
V E R S U S

“…logic…"

“…fuzzy logic…”

27
V E R S U S

contradictions

Paradoxes
and
predicaments

28
V E R S U S

query

conundrum

29
V E R S U S

Technologies

Exponential
Technologies

30
V E R S U S

Timely

In advance,
preemptively.

31
V E R S U S

Now

This as-of-now
Future.

32
V E R S U S

Planning

Scenario-Driven
Planning.

33
V E R S U S

Controlling

Bringing under
structural and
sustainable
control.

34
V E R S U S

Mending

Preventing

35
V E R S U S

Changing

Fostering
Changes
Massively

36
V E R S U S

Good,
Excellent

Optimal

37
V E R S U S

Inefficient,
inefficacious,
ineffective

Ineffectual,
inconsequential

38
V E R S U S

Trend

Dynamic
Driving
Force.

39
V E R S U S

Practical

Practical,
Empirical,
Pragmatic

40
V E R S U S

Experience
of others

Own experience
and Experience
of others.

41
V E R S U S

Failure

a) Lesson learned,
b) Innovation.

42
V E R S U S

Advancement

Breakthrough
and Discovery

43
V E R S U S

Fashionable
Thinking.

Most
Unfashionable
Thinking.

44
V E R S U S

Retrospectives
Analyzes

Retrospective
Analyzes (20%)
And Prospective
Analyzes (80%).

45
V E R S U S

The present is a
function of the past.

The past
and the
present
are never a
script
for the
future.

46
V E R S U S

“…things are
unrelated…”

“…everything is
related to
everything else…”

47
48

V E R S U S
49

V E R S U S
V E R S U S

Risk transfer

Risk elimination

50
V E R S U S

Adversarial truth

Technical Truth

51
V E R S U S

Loss

Disruption
potential

52
V E R S U S

Loss
Ratio.

Risk
Tolerance.

53
V E R S U S

Management of
Risk and Insurance.

Beyond-Insurance
Risk Management,
Namely:
Transformative and
Integrative R...
V E R S U S

Conflict
Seeking.

Truth
Seeking.

55
V E R S U S

Risk Management is
a function of
Corporate Strategy.

Corporate Strategy
is a sub-chapter of
Transformative a...
V E R S U S

Technical.

“Skunkworks,” “Space Age,”
“Wargaming” and
Technocratic
Management.
Hence,
non-status quo
managem...
COMPROMISED.

V E R S U S

Thought Process /
School:

Thought Process /
School:
FULLY INDEPENDENT
AND AS PER THE
SCIENTIFI...
V E R S U S

The Future
Comes From
The Past.

The Future
Is Not an
Echo From
The Past.

59
V E R S U S

Quantitative
Analyzes.

Quantitative
Analyzes (20%).
Qualitative
Analyzes (80%).

60
V E R S U S

Best
Practices.

Outright
Rocket
Science.

61
V E R S U S

“…Guerilla
Marketing…”

Incessant and
Decisive and
Strategic
Over-Communication

62
V E R S U S

Actuarial
Sciences

Diagnostics,
Analytics and
Science of
Complexity.

63
V E R S U S

Keep It
Simple,
Stupid!

Keep It
Scientific,
Savant!

64
V E R S U S

Problems and
broken in little
chunks and ergo
studied in series.

Problems are
holistically
analyzed and
henc...
V E R S U S

Numerical data
is enough.

Narrative and
numerical data
are optimal.

66
V E R S U S

Seeks out
Goals and
Objectives.

Guarantees that
miraculous
success is always
and continuously
accomplished.
...
V E R S U S

Rate of change is,
by far, greatly
underestimated.

It feeds on
change regardless
of how pervasive
it is.

68
V E R S U S

The future is
irrelevant.

Everything is
driven by the
Future, now.

69
The best map to
the present and
future is the old one.

Focused to:
V E R S U S

Held hostage to:

You can never get
to a ...
V E R S U S

You can’t ever
prepare for
the future.

You are
ALWAYS
preparing
for the
future.

71
V E R S U S

The future
suddenly happens
to you.

You are always
creating a
better and
sustainable
future, for Life.

72
NEVER:

Everything that is
going to be
invented must
have been
invented already.

V E R S U S

ALWAYS:

Everything that is...
V E R S U S

Learning is getting
new stuff in your
mind.

Learning is getting
old stuff out of your
mind.

74
“...If you are not failing
frequently,
you are not
succeeding enough...”

V E R S U S

MISTAKE:

MOST DESIRED
SUCCESS:
“.....
V E R S U S

Quality Control

76
V E R S U S

Rejects Technical
and Technological
Novelty.

Fosters Technical
and Technological
Novelty.

77
V E R S U S

Losses are
“countermeasured”
by purchasing institutional
insurance policies.

Losses are “countermeasured”
by...
V E R S U S

Rate of change
varies very little.

"...BEGINNING WITH THE AMOUNT OF
KNOWLEDGE IN THE KNOWN WORLD
AT THE TIME...
“...Denial is tragic.
Delay is deadly ...”

V E R S U S

HELPLESS:

SINE QUA NON:
“...Denial is tragic.
Delay is deadly .....
WRONG:
V E R S U S

“...To solve a very
complicated problem,
you generally need
a fairly complicated
solution [in advance]...
URGENT:

BRING THE PAST
BACK TO LIFE
INTO THE PRESENT.

V E R S U S

URGENT:

BREAKS WITH
THE PAST
RUTHLESSLY,
AND EMBRACE...
V E R S U S

We mustn’t get
prepared when
we cannot predict.

We MUST get
prepared when
we cannot predict.

83
V E R S U S

Strategic
advantage is
linear.

84
V E R S U S

"...Here and Now..."

"...Here and Now..."
is, put simply,
the endless
entry point
into the future.

85
- IGNORAMUS

V E R S U S

“...It’s our present that
lays down the law of
our present..."

“...It’s our future that
lays do...
V E R S U S

Social
Media

Strong
Artificial
Intelligence

87
V E R S U S

HUMANS.

Enhanced humans,
bots and
transbiologicals
(biologicals who
has transcend
their own biology).

88
V E R S U S

Downside
Risks
Only.

Upside and
downside
Risks,
as well.

89
V E R S U S

Effective
Communication.

Most unambiguous
language, seriously
considering
technical parlance.

90
V E R S U S

Disparate
Techniques.

Optimally Integrated
Methodology to
a) Solve
Problems, b) Make
Decisions, and
c) Insti...
V E R S U S

Client’s Top
Officer: CFO.

Client’s Top
Officers:
Chairman
and CEO.

92
V E R S U S

Insurance losses.

Unmanaged risks.

93
V E R S U S

Insurance protects
you from any risks.

Risks are eliminated
or
mitigated or,
at least,
modulated.

94
V E R S U S

“LOSS INDEMNITY”
IS ALWAYS
INSURANCE.

“LOSS INDEMNITY”
IS NEVER
RISK
MANAGEMENT.

95
Keep It Simple,
Stupid.

V E R S U S

K.I.S.S.:

K.I.S.S.:
Keep It Scientific,
Savant.

96
V E R S U S

The Power
Of
Simplicity.

The Power
Of
Complexity.
NB: Ask:
Cambridge University'
and Royal Society's
Sir Mar...
V E R S U S

So-called
“…Simplicity…”

98
V E R S U S

Management is
an art.

Management is
an art,
practice,
method
technology
and science.

99
V E R S U S

Knowledge is
linearly
creative and
does not
operate out of
destruction.

Knowledge is nonlinearly
creative an...
V E R S U S

“...Today,
physical assets
trump
intellectual assets
in nearly
every industry...”

“...Today,
intellectual as...
V E R S U S

“...In the world of the future,
THE NEW LITERATE WILL BE
THE PERSON WHO ONCE
ATTENDED COLLEGE...”

“...In the...
V E R S U S

“...We live in a society
not
dependent on science
and
technology...”

“...We live in a society
exquisitely
de...
V E R S U S

THE MANAGER
MUST BE A
GOOD
PROFESSIONAL.

THE MANAGER
MUST NOW
BE AN EXPERT
STATE-OF-THE-ART
GENERALIST AND
E...
V E R S U S

“...The present
belongs to
the people who
prepare for it...”

“...Tomorrow
belongs to
the people who
prepare ...
HOW DOES A 21ST-CENTURY
MANAGER MUST
EXERCISE HIS / HER MIND?

FIRST. Through
Creativity.
SECOND. Through
Strategy.
THIRD....
V E R S U S

Reality is
Objective.

Reality is
Subjective
(mostly) and
Objective.

107
108

V E R S U S
V E R S U S

Thinks and
acts like a
POLITICIAN.

Thinks and
acts like an
ENGINEER.

109
V E R S U S

Manager of
Risk and
Insurance.

110
111

V E R S U S
V E R S U S

Thinking Through
Challenges and
Benefits.

112
V E R S U S

Emotional
Intelligence
(EQ).

IQ + EQ
+ Multiple
Intelligences

113
V E R S U S

The social
scientist’s
criteria.

The physicist' and
engineer's
all-rounded criteria.

114
Humanities.

V E R S U S

FIRST:
Hard Science.
SECOND:
Humanities.

115
V E R S U S

Knowledge

Totality of
applied
Knowledge.

116
V E R S U S

Professionals.

STEM
Professionals.

117
V E R S U S

Virtually all lawyers, economists,
financiers, business administrators,
accountants, auditors,
corporate plan...
V E R S U S

Litigation and
over litigation.

Full
Litigation
Avoidance.

119
V E R S U S

Street-smart
Manager.

1)Applied Omniscience,
2) Street Smarts.

120
V E R S U S

Framework.

Theater of
Operations.

121
V E R S U S

Innovation.

R&D and
Innovation.

122
V E R S U S

Problem.

Structural
Solution.

123
V E R S U S

Fix.

Turnkey.

124
V E R S U S

Hearing.

Attentive
Listening.

125
V E R S U S

Knowns.

Knowns
and
Unknowns.

126
MARKETPLACE:
V E R S U S

MARKETPLACE:

127
V E R S U S

Complication.

Both
dynamic complexity
and
detail complexity,
along with fuzzy logic.

128
V E R S U S

The manager
must be strategic
and creative.

The manager
must also be:
i)Multidimensional,
ii) Interdisciplin...
Interactions.

V E R S U S

[i] Interrelationships
and
dynamics of the subtle,
[ii] interrelationships
and
dynamics of the...
V E R S U S

Success.

Sensible
business prosperity
and
sustainable growth
and progress.

131
V E R S U S

Challenges
and Benefits.

TOWARDS ANY CHALLENGES,
PROBLEMS,
FUTURES, RISKS, PRINCIPLES,
PROCESSES, CONTENTS,
...
V E R S U S

Technological Singularity.

Technological Singularity
And
Disruptional Singularity.

133
V E R S U S

Conundrum.

Wondrous
Conundrum.

134
RIGHT:

“...We choose to go to
the moon in this decade
and do the other things,
not because they are easy,
but because the...
V E R S U S

Onerous, quick
fixes.

Cost-effective
Fundamental
Solutions.

136
V E R S U S

Divines the
Future.

Institutes:
Futures Studies,
Foresight Research,
Scenario Methodology
And Forecasting.

...
RIGHT:

“...The significant problems
we face [today]
cannot be
solved [in the future]
at the same level
of thinking we
wer...
139

V E R S U S
140

V E R S U S
V E R S U S

Exploits from benefits.

Exploits from
Downsides,
Upsides,
Risks,
Hazards,
Challenges,
Problems,
Benefits and...
V E R S U S

“…Drivers…” that
affect me,
a handful
of them.

142
V E R S U S

Global Crisis.

143
V E R S U S

The
Technological
Singularity.

144
V E R S U S

One
Planetary
Crisis.

145
Excellent
Management.

V E R S U S

THE ADMINISTRATION AND APPLICATION
OF THE SCIENTIFIC METHOD
WITHOUT INNUENDOS AND IN C...
V E R S U S

I just carried
on and
never look back
to past mistakes.

“...What were
the most important
lessons you learned...
V E R S U S

“…EXECUTION
IS STRATEGY…”

“…EXECUTION
IS STRATEGY,
ONLY IF IS
OPERATED
FROM
BEYOND-INSURANCE
RISK MANAGEMENT...
V E R S U S

Partially successful
outcomes from the
flat organization
suffice.

“...But the man who focuses
on contributio...
V E R S U S

Be
Excellent!

“...I have only one
counsel for you –
be master...”
-Napoleon Bonaparte

150
V E R S U S

Gaming

WarGaming

151
V E R S U S

Details.

Granularity
of
Details.

152
V E R S U S

Low-Tech.

High-Tech
and
Low-Tech.

153
V E R S U S

Management.

154
V E R S U S

Without a procedure
or process
for obtaining
a clear objective.

155
V E R S U S

Common
Sense

Scientific
Knowledge

156
V E R S U S

Leadership

157
V E R S U S

Accidental
Discoveries.

Under Optimal Tutelage:
Serendipity
Pseudo-Serendipity
Randomized Serendipity
Pseudo...
V E R S U S

Problems are the
result of fate,
destiny and
other unknowns.

The only
and underlying
cause of every
problem ...
V E R S U S

Ingenuity

160
V E R S U S

Surprises.

Surprises by
exponential
technologies
as Corporate
Sputnik Moments

161
V E R S U S

Universe

Omniverse

162
V E R S U S

The present is
to learn about
the past.

The past and
present are to
learn about the
future.

163
V E R S U S

To solve extremely
complicated problems,
you prohibit hiring
austistics.

To solve extremely
complicated
prob...
165

V E R S U S
V E R S U S

Sameness
and mimic.

Differentiate
or Die.

166
V E R S U S

Price.

Value.

167
V E R S U S

Some things
need to
be created
to be
believed.

Some things
need to
be believed
to be
seen.

168
V E R S U S

Experts,
Pundits,
Gurus,
Czars.

Champions.

169
V E R S U S

Start
Small.

Biggest
challenges
beget the best
work.

170
171

V E R S U S
ROGUE
RULER

V E R S U S

FREE
SOCIAL
MEDIA

NAÏVE
SLAVES

172
V E R S U S

Follows the
Flow.

Purposeful
Contrarian.

173
V E R S U S

Innovator.

Innovist.

174
“…People are ready
to make choices…”

Peter Drucker
asserted:
V E R S U S

Peter Drucker
asserted:

“…People are NOT
ready...
176

V E R S U S
V E R S U S

Best-practice
Manager

TECHIES,
NERDS,
SAVANTS,
PRIMA BALLERINAS,
PRIMA DONNAS,
WEIRDOS,
EGOTISTICALS,
EGOCEN...
178

V E R S U S
179

V E R S U S
Out-Of-The-Box
THINKING!
V E R S U S

SAVANT

180
TECHNICAL TRUTH
V E R S U S

ADVERSARIAL TRUTH

181
182

V E R S U S
V E R S U S

Expert
Domain
Knowledge

183
V E R S U S

Dynamics

184
V E R S U S

Simplicity

Complexity

185
V E R S U S

Complicated

Complexity

186
V E R S U S

Proven
track record

187
POINT OF CONTACT:
www.linkedin.com/in/AndresAgostini
V E R S U S

“...I am no longer a captive to history.
Whatever I can ...
189

V E R S U S
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The Future of Skunkworks Management, Now! By Mr. Andres Agostini http://lnkd.in/bYP2nDC

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The Future of Skunkworks Management, Now! By Mr. Andres Agostini http://lnkd.in/bYP2nDC

POINT OF CONTACT:

www.linkedin.com/in/AndresAgostini

POINT OF CONTACT:

http://lnkd.in/bYP2nDC

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The Future of Skunkworks Management, Now! By Mr. Andres Agostini http://lnkd.in/bYP2nDC

  1. 1. SUPERMANAGEMENT
  2. 2. V E R S U S MANAGEMENT SUPERMANAGEMENT (By NASA) 12/1/13 By © Copyright 2013 Andres Agostini at http://lnkd.in/bYP2nDC 1 1
  3. 3. UPDATE: V E R S U S This material has now been officially re-published by the Lifeboat Foundation And Forward Metrics, respectively: http://lifeboat.com/blog/2013/12/military-industrial-complex-supermanagement http://connect.forwardmetrics.com/success/military-industrial-complex-supermanagement.html 2
  4. 4. V E R S U S LINEAR NONLINEAR 3
  5. 5. V E R S U S Out-Of-TheBox Thinking Strong Sense, Critico-Creative Thinking 4
  6. 6. V E R S U S Quick Fixes Fundamental Solutions 5
  7. 7. V E R S U S Common Sense Most exponentially Nonlinear Counterintuitiveness 6
  8. 8. V E R S U S The Sixth Sense has one gender. The Sixth Sense has no gender whatsoever. In addition, there are some other pervasive senses, as those practiced by “patternist.” 7
  9. 9. V E R S U S Simplicity Science of Complexity 8
  10. 10. V E R S U S Luck A Prepared Mind Plus: "...practice makes perfect..." 9
  11. 11. V E R S U S Complete Cradle-to-grave perspective 10
  12. 12. V E R S U S Insurance Beyond-Insurance Risk Management 11
  13. 13. V E R S U S Leadership Leadership And MANAGEMENT 12
  14. 14. V E R S U S Management Scientific Management 13
  15. 15. V E R S U S Technique Scientific Method with The Omniscience Perspective 14
  16. 16. V E R S U S Financially Driven Scientifically Driven 15
  17. 17. V E R S U S Global 1.- Systemic 2.- Systematic 3.- Holistic 16
  18. 18. V E R S U S Even Explosively Exponential 17
  19. 19. V E R S U S Incrementalism HyperGeometrically 18
  20. 20. V E R S U S Knowledge Applied Omniscience 19
  21. 21. V E R S U S Planetary Omniverse 20
  22. 22. V E R S U S Social Science 10% of Social Sciences PLUS 90% of Exact Sciences 21
  23. 23. V E R S U S Dogma ZERO DOGMA 22
  24. 24. V E R S U S Thinking Unconventional Thinking Orthodox Thinking Heterodox Thinking Systems Thinking Strategic Thinking Metaphorical Thinking Deep Thinking Nuanced Thinking Holistic Thinking Macro Thinking Vertical-lateral-+Thinking Gestalt Thinking Counter-intuitive Thinking Nonlinear Thinking Radiant Thinking Irradiantly Inside-out Thinking Upside-down Thinking Bottom-Up Thinking Top-down Thinking Synergistic Thinking Cross-pollinated Thinking Cross-functional Thinking Futures Thinking Integrative and Transformative Thinking Beyond Status-Quo Thinking Generative Thinking 23
  25. 25. V E R S U S Entire Gestalt 24
  26. 26. V E R S U S Meditation Thought Experiments (Einsteinian gedanken) 25
  27. 27. V E R S U S “…here and now…" OMNIPRESENT: Interested 'in the “now” locus and in the immediate-term future and in the medium-term future and in the long-term future and in the “all out”-term future. 26
  28. 28. V E R S U S “…logic…" “…fuzzy logic…” 27
  29. 29. V E R S U S contradictions Paradoxes and predicaments 28
  30. 30. V E R S U S query conundrum 29
  31. 31. V E R S U S Technologies Exponential Technologies 30
  32. 32. V E R S U S Timely In advance, preemptively. 31
  33. 33. V E R S U S Now This as-of-now Future. 32
  34. 34. V E R S U S Planning Scenario-Driven Planning. 33
  35. 35. V E R S U S Controlling Bringing under structural and sustainable control. 34
  36. 36. V E R S U S Mending Preventing 35
  37. 37. V E R S U S Changing Fostering Changes Massively 36
  38. 38. V E R S U S Good, Excellent Optimal 37
  39. 39. V E R S U S Inefficient, inefficacious, ineffective Ineffectual, inconsequential 38
  40. 40. V E R S U S Trend Dynamic Driving Force. 39
  41. 41. V E R S U S Practical Practical, Empirical, Pragmatic 40
  42. 42. V E R S U S Experience of others Own experience and Experience of others. 41
  43. 43. V E R S U S Failure a) Lesson learned, b) Innovation. 42
  44. 44. V E R S U S Advancement Breakthrough and Discovery 43
  45. 45. V E R S U S Fashionable Thinking. Most Unfashionable Thinking. 44
  46. 46. V E R S U S Retrospectives Analyzes Retrospective Analyzes (20%) And Prospective Analyzes (80%). 45
  47. 47. V E R S U S The present is a function of the past. The past and the present are never a script for the future. 46
  48. 48. V E R S U S “…things are unrelated…” “…everything is related to everything else…” 47
  49. 49. 48 V E R S U S
  50. 50. 49 V E R S U S
  51. 51. V E R S U S Risk transfer Risk elimination 50
  52. 52. V E R S U S Adversarial truth Technical Truth 51
  53. 53. V E R S U S Loss Disruption potential 52
  54. 54. V E R S U S Loss Ratio. Risk Tolerance. 53
  55. 55. V E R S U S Management of Risk and Insurance. Beyond-Insurance Risk Management, Namely: Transformative and Integrative Risk Management. 54
  56. 56. V E R S U S Conflict Seeking. Truth Seeking. 55
  57. 57. V E R S U S Risk Management is a function of Corporate Strategy. Corporate Strategy is a sub-chapter of Transformative and Integrative Risk Management. 56
  58. 58. V E R S U S Technical. “Skunkworks,” “Space Age,” “Wargaming” and Technocratic Management. Hence, non-status quo management. 57
  59. 59. COMPROMISED. V E R S U S Thought Process / School: Thought Process / School: FULLY INDEPENDENT AND AS PER THE SCIENTIFIC METHOD. 58
  60. 60. V E R S U S The Future Comes From The Past. The Future Is Not an Echo From The Past. 59
  61. 61. V E R S U S Quantitative Analyzes. Quantitative Analyzes (20%). Qualitative Analyzes (80%). 60
  62. 62. V E R S U S Best Practices. Outright Rocket Science. 61
  63. 63. V E R S U S “…Guerilla Marketing…” Incessant and Decisive and Strategic Over-Communication 62
  64. 64. V E R S U S Actuarial Sciences Diagnostics, Analytics and Science of Complexity. 63
  65. 65. V E R S U S Keep It Simple, Stupid! Keep It Scientific, Savant! 64
  66. 66. V E R S U S Problems and broken in little chunks and ergo studied in series. Problems are holistically analyzed and hence studied in parallel. 65
  67. 67. V E R S U S Numerical data is enough. Narrative and numerical data are optimal. 66
  68. 68. V E R S U S Seeks out Goals and Objectives. Guarantees that miraculous success is always and continuously accomplished. 67
  69. 69. V E R S U S Rate of change is, by far, greatly underestimated. It feeds on change regardless of how pervasive it is. 68
  70. 70. V E R S U S The future is irrelevant. Everything is driven by the Future, now. 69
  71. 71. The best map to the present and future is the old one. Focused to: V E R S U S Held hostage to: You can never get to a new place with an old map. 70
  72. 72. V E R S U S You can’t ever prepare for the future. You are ALWAYS preparing for the future. 71
  73. 73. V E R S U S The future suddenly happens to you. You are always creating a better and sustainable future, for Life. 72
  74. 74. NEVER: Everything that is going to be invented must have been invented already. V E R S U S ALWAYS: Everything that is going to be invented must have been invented already. 73
  75. 75. V E R S U S Learning is getting new stuff in your mind. Learning is getting old stuff out of your mind. 74
  76. 76. “...If you are not failing frequently, you are not succeeding enough...” V E R S U S MISTAKE: MOST DESIRED SUCCESS: “...If you are not failing frequently, you are not succeeding enough...” 75
  77. 77. V E R S U S Quality Control 76
  78. 78. V E R S U S Rejects Technical and Technological Novelty. Fosters Technical and Technological Novelty. 77
  79. 79. V E R S U S Losses are “countermeasured” by purchasing institutional insurance policies. Losses are “countermeasured” by on-site, advanced beyond-insurance risk management methodology. Said methodology is operated from the systems thinking, applied beyond-insurance risk management with the applied omniscience perspective. 78
  80. 80. V E R S U S Rate of change varies very little. "...BEGINNING WITH THE AMOUNT OF KNOWLEDGE IN THE KNOWN WORLD AT THE TIME OF CHRIST, STUDIES HAVE ESTIMATED THAT THE FIRST DOUBLING OF THAT KNOWLEDGE TOOK PLACE ABOUT 1700 A.D. THE SECOND DOUBLING OCCURRED AROUND THE YEAR 1900. IT IS ESTIMATED TODAY THAT THE WORLD'S KNOWLEDGE BASE WILL DOUBLE AGAIN BY 2010 AND AGAIN AFTER THAT BY 2013...” 79
  81. 81. “...Denial is tragic. Delay is deadly ...” V E R S U S HELPLESS: SINE QUA NON: “...Denial is tragic. Delay is deadly ...” 80
  82. 82. WRONG: V E R S U S “...To solve a very complicated problem, you generally need a fairly complicated solution [in advance]...” RIGHT: “...To solve a very complicated problem, you generally need a fairly complicated solution [in advance]...” 81
  83. 83. URGENT: BRING THE PAST BACK TO LIFE INTO THE PRESENT. V E R S U S URGENT: BREAKS WITH THE PAST RUTHLESSLY, AND EMBRACES THE FUTURE-READY PRESENT. 82
  84. 84. V E R S U S We mustn’t get prepared when we cannot predict. We MUST get prepared when we cannot predict. 83
  85. 85. V E R S U S Strategic advantage is linear. 84
  86. 86. V E R S U S "...Here and Now..." "...Here and Now..." is, put simply, the endless entry point into the future. 85
  87. 87. - IGNORAMUS V E R S U S “...It’s our present that lays down the law of our present..." “...It’s our future that lays down the law of our today..." - NIETZSCHE 86
  88. 88. V E R S U S Social Media Strong Artificial Intelligence 87
  89. 89. V E R S U S HUMANS. Enhanced humans, bots and transbiologicals (biologicals who has transcend their own biology). 88
  90. 90. V E R S U S Downside Risks Only. Upside and downside Risks, as well. 89
  91. 91. V E R S U S Effective Communication. Most unambiguous language, seriously considering technical parlance. 90
  92. 92. V E R S U S Disparate Techniques. Optimally Integrated Methodology to a) Solve Problems, b) Make Decisions, and c) Institute Anticipatory Sciences. 91
  93. 93. V E R S U S Client’s Top Officer: CFO. Client’s Top Officers: Chairman and CEO. 92
  94. 94. V E R S U S Insurance losses. Unmanaged risks. 93
  95. 95. V E R S U S Insurance protects you from any risks. Risks are eliminated or mitigated or, at least, modulated. 94
  96. 96. V E R S U S “LOSS INDEMNITY” IS ALWAYS INSURANCE. “LOSS INDEMNITY” IS NEVER RISK MANAGEMENT. 95
  97. 97. Keep It Simple, Stupid. V E R S U S K.I.S.S.: K.I.S.S.: Keep It Scientific, Savant. 96
  98. 98. V E R S U S The Power Of Simplicity. The Power Of Complexity. NB: Ask: Cambridge University' and Royal Society's Sir Martin Rees, PhD. 97
  99. 99. V E R S U S So-called “…Simplicity…” 98
  100. 100. V E R S U S Management is an art. Management is an art, practice, method technology and science. 99
  101. 101. V E R S U S Knowledge is linearly creative and does not operate out of destruction. Knowledge is nonlinearly creative and does operate out of CREATIVE destruction. 100
  102. 102. V E R S U S “...Today, physical assets trump intellectual assets in nearly every industry...” “...Today, intellectual assets trump physical assets in nearly every industry...” 101
  103. 103. V E R S U S “...In the world of the future, THE NEW LITERATE WILL BE THE PERSON WHO ONCE ATTENDED COLLEGE...” “...In the world of the future, THE NEW ILLITERATE WILL BE THE PERSON WHO HAS NOT LEARNED TO LEARN...” 102
  104. 104. V E R S U S “...We live in a society not dependent on science and technology...” “...We live in a society exquisitely dependent on science and technology, in which hardly anyone knows about science and technology...” 103
  105. 105. V E R S U S THE MANAGER MUST BE A GOOD PROFESSIONAL. THE MANAGER MUST NOW BE AN EXPERT STATE-OF-THE-ART GENERALIST AND ERUDITE. 104
  106. 106. V E R S U S “...The present belongs to the people who prepare for it...” “...Tomorrow belongs to the people who prepare for it...” 105
  107. 107. HOW DOES A 21ST-CENTURY MANAGER MUST EXERCISE HIS / HER MIND? FIRST. Through Creativity. SECOND. Through Strategy. THIRD. Through Hard working. V E R S U S HOW DOES A 21ST-CENTURY MANAGER MUST EXERCISE HIS / HER MIND? FIRST. Through Discipline of Thought. SECOND. Through Discipline of Technique. THIRD. Through Discipline of Procedure. 106
  108. 108. V E R S U S Reality is Objective. Reality is Subjective (mostly) and Objective. 107
  109. 109. 108 V E R S U S
  110. 110. V E R S U S Thinks and acts like a POLITICIAN. Thinks and acts like an ENGINEER. 109
  111. 111. V E R S U S Manager of Risk and Insurance. 110
  112. 112. 111 V E R S U S
  113. 113. V E R S U S Thinking Through Challenges and Benefits. 112
  114. 114. V E R S U S Emotional Intelligence (EQ). IQ + EQ + Multiple Intelligences 113
  115. 115. V E R S U S The social scientist’s criteria. The physicist' and engineer's all-rounded criteria. 114
  116. 116. Humanities. V E R S U S FIRST: Hard Science. SECOND: Humanities. 115
  117. 117. V E R S U S Knowledge Totality of applied Knowledge. 116
  118. 118. V E R S U S Professionals. STEM Professionals. 117
  119. 119. V E R S U S Virtually all lawyers, economists, financiers, business administrators, accountants, auditors, corporate planners, actuaries, human resources managers, CIOs, CISOs, CTOs, I.T. managers and I.T. risk managers are NEVER into beyond-insurance risk management and TAIRM. An expert state-of-the-art generalist and erudite. 118
  120. 120. V E R S U S Litigation and over litigation. Full Litigation Avoidance. 119
  121. 121. V E R S U S Street-smart Manager. 1)Applied Omniscience, 2) Street Smarts. 120
  122. 122. V E R S U S Framework. Theater of Operations. 121
  123. 123. V E R S U S Innovation. R&D and Innovation. 122
  124. 124. V E R S U S Problem. Structural Solution. 123
  125. 125. V E R S U S Fix. Turnkey. 124
  126. 126. V E R S U S Hearing. Attentive Listening. 125
  127. 127. V E R S U S Knowns. Knowns and Unknowns. 126
  128. 128. MARKETPLACE: V E R S U S MARKETPLACE: 127
  129. 129. V E R S U S Complication. Both dynamic complexity and detail complexity, along with fuzzy logic. 128
  130. 130. V E R S U S The manager must be strategic and creative. The manager must also be: i)Multidimensional, ii) Interdisciplinary, iii) Multifaceted, iv)Cross-functional, v) and Multitasking. 129
  131. 131. Interactions. V E R S U S [i] Interrelationships and dynamics of the subtle, [ii] interrelationships and dynamics of the overt and [iii] interrelationships and dynamics of the covert. 130
  132. 132. V E R S U S Success. Sensible business prosperity and sustainable growth and progress. 131
  133. 133. V E R S U S Challenges and Benefits. TOWARDS ANY CHALLENGES, PROBLEMS, FUTURES, RISKS, PRINCIPLES, PROCESSES, CONTENTS, PRACTICES, TOOLS, TECHNIQUES, OPPORTUNITIES, BENEFITS, GROWTH AND PROGRESS. ALL OF THE PRIOR OBSERVING THE IMMEDIATE TERM, THE MEDIUM TERM AND THE LONG TERM. 132
  134. 134. V E R S U S Technological Singularity. Technological Singularity And Disruptional Singularity. 133
  135. 135. V E R S U S Conundrum. Wondrous Conundrum. 134
  136. 136. RIGHT: “...We choose to go to the moon in this decade and do the other things, not because they are easy, but because they are hard, because that goal will serve to organize and measure the best of our energies and skills...” “...We choose to go to the moon in this decade and do the other things, not because they are easy, but because they are hard, because that goal will serve to organize and measure the best of our energies and skills...” V E R S U S WRONG: 135
  137. 137. V E R S U S Onerous, quick fixes. Cost-effective Fundamental Solutions. 136
  138. 138. V E R S U S Divines the Future. Institutes: Futures Studies, Foresight Research, Scenario Methodology And Forecasting. 137
  139. 139. RIGHT: “...The significant problems we face [today] cannot be solved [in the future] at the same level of thinking we were at when we created them [in the past]...” “...The significant problems we face [today] cannot be solved [in the future] at the same level of thinking we were at when we created them [in the past]...” V E R S U S WRONG: 138
  140. 140. 139 V E R S U S
  141. 141. 140 V E R S U S
  142. 142. V E R S U S Exploits from benefits. Exploits from Downsides, Upsides, Risks, Hazards, Challenges, Problems, Benefits and Opportunities. 141
  143. 143. V E R S U S “…Drivers…” that affect me, a handful of them. 142
  144. 144. V E R S U S Global Crisis. 143
  145. 145. V E R S U S The Technological Singularity. 144
  146. 146. V E R S U S One Planetary Crisis. 145
  147. 147. Excellent Management. V E R S U S THE ADMINISTRATION AND APPLICATION OF THE SCIENTIFIC METHOD WITHOUT INNUENDOS AND IN CRESCENDO AS FLUID POINTS OF INFLECTIONS ASCERTAIN THAT THE MORROW IS A THING OF THE PAST. SUBSEQUENTLY, THERE IS NOW AND HERE AVAILABLE THE UNABRIDGED, AUTHORITATIVE ELICITATION AND ELUCIDATION OF ACTIONABLE KNOWLEDGE FROM AND FOR THE INCESSANTLY ARRHYTHMIC, ABRUPT, ANTAGONISTIC, MORDANT, CAUSTIC, AND ANARCHISTIC FUTURE, AS WELL AS THE CONTENTIOUS INTERRELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SUCH FUTURE AND THE PRESENT. A RADICAL YET RIGOROUS STRONG-SENSE AND CRITICO-CREATIVE «FUTURES THINKING», SYSTEMS APPROACH TO QUINTESSENTIAL UNDERSTANDING OF THE COMPLEXITIES, SUBTLETIES, AND INTRICACIES, AS WELL AS THE OPPORTUNITIES TO BE EXPLOITED OUT OF THE DRIVING FORCES INSTILLING AND INFLICTING PERPETUAL CHANGE INTO TWENTY-FIRSTTH CENTURY. 146
  148. 148. V E R S U S I just carried on and never look back to past mistakes. “...What were the most important lessons you learned in your long and distinguished career?...” 147
  149. 149. V E R S U S “…EXECUTION IS STRATEGY…” “…EXECUTION IS STRATEGY, ONLY IF IS OPERATED FROM BEYOND-INSURANCE RISK MANAGEMENT…” 148
  150. 150. V E R S U S Partially successful outcomes from the flat organization suffice. “...But the man who focuses on contributions and who takes responsibility for results, no matter how junior, is in the most literal sense of the phrase, ‘top management.’ He holds himself responsible for the performance of the whole…” 149
  151. 151. V E R S U S Be Excellent! “...I have only one counsel for you – be master...” -Napoleon Bonaparte 150
  152. 152. V E R S U S Gaming WarGaming 151
  153. 153. V E R S U S Details. Granularity of Details. 152
  154. 154. V E R S U S Low-Tech. High-Tech and Low-Tech. 153
  155. 155. V E R S U S Management. 154
  156. 156. V E R S U S Without a procedure or process for obtaining a clear objective. 155
  157. 157. V E R S U S Common Sense Scientific Knowledge 156
  158. 158. V E R S U S Leadership 157
  159. 159. V E R S U S Accidental Discoveries. Under Optimal Tutelage: Serendipity Pseudo-Serendipity Randomized Serendipity Pseudo-Randomized Serendipity Pseudo-Randomized Pseudo-Serendipity 158
  160. 160. V E R S U S Problems are the result of fate, destiny and other unknowns. The only and underlying cause of every problem is ignorance and ignorance of supine ignorance. This can only be optimally countermeasured with scientific knowledge. 159
  161. 161. V E R S U S Ingenuity 160
  162. 162. V E R S U S Surprises. Surprises by exponential technologies as Corporate Sputnik Moments 161
  163. 163. V E R S U S Universe Omniverse 162
  164. 164. V E R S U S The present is to learn about the past. The past and present are to learn about the future. 163
  165. 165. V E R S U S To solve extremely complicated problems, you prohibit hiring austistics. To solve extremely complicated problems, you FOSTERS hiring austistics. 164
  166. 166. 165 V E R S U S
  167. 167. V E R S U S Sameness and mimic. Differentiate or Die. 166
  168. 168. V E R S U S Price. Value. 167
  169. 169. V E R S U S Some things need to be created to be believed. Some things need to be believed to be seen. 168
  170. 170. V E R S U S Experts, Pundits, Gurus, Czars. Champions. 169
  171. 171. V E R S U S Start Small. Biggest challenges beget the best work. 170
  172. 172. 171 V E R S U S
  173. 173. ROGUE RULER V E R S U S FREE SOCIAL MEDIA NAÏVE SLAVES 172
  174. 174. V E R S U S Follows the Flow. Purposeful Contrarian. 173
  175. 175. V E R S U S Innovator. Innovist. 174
  176. 176. “…People are ready to make choices…” Peter Drucker asserted: V E R S U S Peter Drucker asserted: “…People are NOT ready to make choices…” 175
  177. 177. 176 V E R S U S
  178. 178. V E R S U S Best-practice Manager TECHIES, NERDS, SAVANTS, PRIMA BALLERINAS, PRIMA DONNAS, WEIRDOS, EGOTISTICALS, EGOCENTRICS, RENEGADES. 177
  179. 179. 178 V E R S U S
  180. 180. 179 V E R S U S
  181. 181. Out-Of-The-Box THINKING! V E R S U S SAVANT 180
  182. 182. TECHNICAL TRUTH V E R S U S ADVERSARIAL TRUTH 181
  183. 183. 182 V E R S U S
  184. 184. V E R S U S Expert Domain Knowledge 183
  185. 185. V E R S U S Dynamics 184
  186. 186. V E R S U S Simplicity Complexity 185
  187. 187. V E R S U S Complicated Complexity 186
  188. 188. V E R S U S Proven track record 187
  189. 189. POINT OF CONTACT: www.linkedin.com/in/AndresAgostini V E R S U S “...I am no longer a captive to history. Whatever I can imagine, I can accomplish. I am no longer a vassal in a faceless bureaucracy, I am an activist, not a drone. I am no longer a foot soldier in the march of progress. I am a Revolutionary!...” 188188
  190. 190. 189 V E R S U S

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