Scenario of development   of the Meat Industry in Russia . Medium-term   forecast . Report .  Meat Congress . А rgentina ....
Consumption in  2010  <ul><li>Growth of social payments : </li></ul><ul><li>-  for pensions ; </li></ul><ul><li>-  for sal...
Poultry   40%  market  consumption <ul><li>Continued growth of the Russian poultry   production , </li></ul><ul><li>about ...
Forecast for Poultry market   development  in RF ,  thousand tns
Pork   35%  consumption share <ul><li>Significant change in structure of pork-breeding.   </li></ul><ul><li>Intensive  ( m...
Forecast for Pork market development in RF,   thousand tns
Beef   25%  consumption share <ul><li>Improvement of dairy herds continues. </li></ul><ul><li>Decrease of dairy herds’ qua...
Forecast for Beef market development in RF ,  thousand tns
Customs tariff level.
Basic   assumptions. <ul><li>Poultry in medium-term up to 2014 : </li></ul><ul><li>а)  Russia will import Poultry meat ,  ...
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Rússia, um mercado em expansão

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www.beefpoint.com.br - Rússia, um mercado em expansão - apresentação de Musheg L. Mamikonyan no 18º Congresso Mundial da Carne

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Rússia, um mercado em expansão

  1. 1. Scenario of development of the Meat Industry in Russia . Medium-term forecast . Report . Meat Congress . А rgentina . 2010
  2. 2. Consumption in 2010 <ul><li>Growth of social payments : </li></ul><ul><li>- for pensions ; </li></ul><ul><li>- for salaries in governmental organizations . </li></ul><ul><li>Consequences : </li></ul><ul><li>- growing purchasing power ; </li></ul><ul><li>- restoring growth of the market for meat and </li></ul><ul><li>meat products in 2010г. 7-10% ( forecast 2010). </li></ul>2
  3. 3. Poultry 40% market consumption <ul><li>Continued growth of the Russian poultry production , </li></ul><ul><li>about 15% per year ( ~ 250–300 thousand tns ). </li></ul><ul><li>Import decrease : </li></ul><ul><li>а) due to quotas reductions ; </li></ul><ul><li>б) due to sanitary bans in 2010 </li></ul><ul><li>( as a result decrease forecast -250–300 thousand tns ). </li></ul>
  4. 4. Forecast for Poultry market development in RF , thousand tns
  5. 5. Pork 35% consumption share <ul><li>Significant change in structure of pork-breeding. </li></ul><ul><li>Intensive ( more than 20% pork ) growth of production in industrial pork-breeding of modern </li></ul><ul><li>technological structure. </li></ul><ul><li>Share reduction of pork-breeding : </li></ul><ul><li>а) small business forms ; </li></ul><ul><li>б) private farming . </li></ul>
  6. 6. Forecast for Pork market development in RF, thousand tns
  7. 7. Beef 25% consumption share <ul><li>Improvement of dairy herds continues. </li></ul><ul><li>Decrease of dairy herds’ quantity </li></ul><ul><li>in connection with growth of animal </li></ul><ul><li>productivity. </li></ul><ul><li>Beef cattle does not develop , </li></ul><ul><li>as business gives priority in cattle breeding </li></ul><ul><li>so far to : </li></ul><ul><li>а) dairy cattle ; </li></ul><ul><li>б) pork-breeding ; </li></ul><ul><li>в) poultry farming . </li></ul>
  8. 8. Forecast for Beef market development in RF , thousand tns
  9. 9. Customs tariff level.
  10. 10. Basic assumptions. <ul><li>Poultry in medium-term up to 2014 : </li></ul><ul><li>а) Russia will import Poultry meat , mainly “thigh quarters” , volume 200–250 thousand tns. </li></ul><ul><li>б) Russia will export Poultry meat ( sub-products and white meat) volume – 100 thousand tns </li></ul><ul><li>Pork </li></ul><ul><li>Russia will remain as importer of abt 300–350 thousand tns of Pork meat mostly ( fat cuts ) . </li></ul><ul><li>Beef </li></ul><ul><li>Russia will remain as importer of abt 300-400 thousand tns of Beef strictly for two segments : </li></ul><ul><li>а) for restaurant business and retail ( expensive and </li></ul><ul><li>qualitatively ); </li></ul><ul><li>б) for industrial processing ( price competition ). </li></ul>10

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