Against the flow:  new power dynamics in the Nile Basin EPD Seminars King’s College London 1st November 2011 Ana Elisa Cas...
The Nile River Basin THE REGION 10+1 riparian states 160 million inhabitants Underdeveloped (but growing) economies Confli...
abc  of Nile Basin Hydropolitics SECURITISATION HYDRO-SOVEREIGNTY COOPERATION <ul><ul><li>Uneven distribution </li></ul></...
Nile Basin Political Economy pre-2011 <ul><li>Egypt: </li></ul><ul><li>‘ Hydraulic state’ still expanding </li></ul><ul><l...
Nile Basin Political Economy pre-2011 Changing  realpolitik :  new geopolitical actors, corridors, dynamics, ...  ‘ Land g...
The Hydropolitical chessboard pre-2011 Official  ‘ dyad’  UpstreamBloc
2011: Tipping point(s) in the hydropolitical trajectory in the Nile Basin
Implications of the several ‘events’?
Republic South Sudan: Referendum and  independence
Egypt: Revolution and Fall of Mubarak
Burundi signs the Cooperative Framework Agreement (CFA)
Ethiopia: Grand Renaissance Dam  and Tripartite Committee
<ul><li>Nile Basin: </li></ul><ul><li>The future is not what it used to be! </li></ul>Thanks for your attention [email_add...
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Against the flow: new power dynamics in the Nile Basin

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Against the flow: new power dynamics in the Nile Basin

  1. 1. Against the flow: new power dynamics in the Nile Basin EPD Seminars King’s College London 1st November 2011 Ana Elisa Cascão Stockholm International Water Institute
  2. 2. The Nile River Basin THE REGION 10+1 riparian states 160 million inhabitants Underdeveloped (but growing) economies Conflict-stricken region Low levels of regional integration Complex hydropolitics
  3. 3. abc of Nile Basin Hydropolitics SECURITISATION HYDRO-SOVEREIGNTY COOPERATION <ul><ul><li>Uneven distribution </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Inequitable utilisation </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Water = Politics </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Water = National Security </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Water = Sovereignty </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Power asymmetries </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Hydro-Hegemony </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Problematic water agreements </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Past: conflicts </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Water-Sharing: political priority </li></ul></ul>
  4. 4. Nile Basin Political Economy pre-2011 <ul><li>Egypt: </li></ul><ul><li>‘ Hydraulic state’ still expanding </li></ul><ul><li>Monopoly of the Nile waters </li></ul><ul><li>Stronger and more diversified economy </li></ul><ul><li>Monolithic and stable political system </li></ul><ul><li>Support of international community </li></ul><ul><li>Upstream: </li></ul><ul><li>Agriculture-based economies (rainfed) </li></ul><ul><li>Weaker but growing economies </li></ul><ul><li>Shadow of conflicts still present </li></ul><ul><li>Changing geopolitics </li></ul>
  5. 5. Nile Basin Political Economy pre-2011 Changing realpolitik : new geopolitical actors, corridors, dynamics, ... ‘ Land grabbing’: Growing economic interest for Nile natural resources Regional integration: Towards economic multilaterism Unilateralism: Unilateral hydraulic development
  6. 6. The Hydropolitical chessboard pre-2011 Official ‘ dyad’ UpstreamBloc
  7. 7. 2011: Tipping point(s) in the hydropolitical trajectory in the Nile Basin
  8. 8. Implications of the several ‘events’?
  9. 9. Republic South Sudan: Referendum and independence
  10. 10. Egypt: Revolution and Fall of Mubarak
  11. 11. Burundi signs the Cooperative Framework Agreement (CFA)
  12. 12. Ethiopia: Grand Renaissance Dam and Tripartite Committee
  13. 13. <ul><li>Nile Basin: </li></ul><ul><li>The future is not what it used to be! </li></ul>Thanks for your attention [email_address]

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