3G/4G Wireless Challenges

       FutureNet 2010
Wireless Evolution
                                                       Ph1 Ph2R97 R99 R4R5 R6 R7                       ...
WIRELESS TRENDS
Key Trends – A Market View
• Wireless technology peak data
  rates doubling every year
• Smartphones/Applications
  drivin...
HSPA Deployments Going
 Strong
240 commercially deployed HSPA
over 110 countries worldwide
(January 2009)

3.4 billion peo...
Mobile Data Explosion (1)
Apple reports they have shipped 30M
iPhones (March 09)

Number 2 seller of smart phones in the
U...
Mobile Data Explosion (2)
Traffic via portables to reach 1.8
exabytes per month by 2017 - a CAGR of
59% over 2009

Nearly ...
Enhanced Packet Core Exploding Performance
                 Density


                    100s of Gbps of data traffic
   ...
Overall Industry - Observations



   LTE initial deployments this year

   3G upgrades will continue strong

   Focus on ...
Promise & Pain



LTE Coming                     Voice revenues plummeting

HSPA roll-outs                 Crippled networ...
Wireline Network Topology

Consumer Devices       Wireless Access Network        Wireless Core Network                 Wir...
3G – 4G Network Devices
                       MME
     MME
                                         3G SGSN
             ...
Converged End-to-End Testing
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10 fn s48

  1. 1. 3G/4G Wireless Challenges FutureNet 2010
  2. 2. Wireless Evolution Ph1 Ph2R97 R99 R4R5 R6 R7 R8 0G 1G 2G 2.5G 3G 3.5G 3.9G 4G 1 Gbps -> 300 30-100 Mbps Mbps Multimedia 14 Mbps/ Advanced LTE 5 Mbps 2 Mbps PTT (VHF), MTS 172 kbps Super 3G LTE HSPA (D/A) 64 kbps LTE 2.4 kbps1 IMT-2000 EDGE/GPRS Voice IS-95, IS-136, AMPS GSM, PDC TACS, NTT 1980 1990 2000 2010 (1) Max theoretical rate Narrowband Era Wideband Era Broadband Era
  3. 3. WIRELESS TRENDS
  4. 4. Key Trends – A Market View • Wireless technology peak data rates doubling every year • Smartphones/Applications driving broadband wireless data access. • 3G mostly mature, 4G deployment starting. • Increasingly aggressive competition throughout the supply chain
  5. 5. HSPA Deployments Going Strong 240 commercially deployed HSPA over 110 countries worldwide (January 2009) 3.4 billion people who will have broadband by 2014 where: 80% will be mobile broadband subscribers 64% will use HSPA/LTE. By 2011 %50+ of all sold notebooks will be HSPA enabled
  6. 6. Mobile Data Explosion (1) Apple reports they have shipped 30M iPhones (March 09) Number 2 seller of smart phones in the US (28%), behind BlackBerry (41%) New open access phones, e.g. Android Huge impact from social networks: • YouTube, Facebook High demand for video streaming  1 billion of gigabyte, 1018 and P2P traffic  Reportlinker, Sept. 2009
  7. 7. Mobile Data Explosion (2) Traffic via portables to reach 1.8 exabytes per month by 2017 - a CAGR of 59% over 2009 Nearly three quarters (1.3 exabytes) of this will be video traffic - a CAGR of 64% over 2009 LTE to form two thirds of global traffic by 2017  1 billion of gigabyte, 1018  Reportlinker, Sept. 2009
  8. 8. Enhanced Packet Core Exploding Performance Density 100s of Gbps of data traffic Millions of tunnels/app flows with associated QoS and charging policies 10s of millions of hits per second Millions of triple-play subscribers
  9. 9. Overall Industry - Observations LTE initial deployments this year 3G upgrades will continue strong Focus on traffic management (DPI) Focus on mobile backhaul Vendors past consolidation – growth phase with LTE
  10. 10. Promise & Pain LTE Coming Voice revenues plummeting HSPA roll-outs Crippled networks – ATT, TNZ.. Mobile TV Massive capex for LTE Smart Phones – iPhone effect Massive complexity USB Dongles Bad 3G ROI
  11. 11. Wireline Network Topology Consumer Devices Wireless Access Network Wireless Core Network Wireline Network Wireless (Radio ) Wired (Ethernet) Wired (Ethernet) Mobility AAA/Billing Switches/Routers Gateway Location
  12. 12. 3G – 4G Network Devices MME MME 3G SGSN PCRF S11 Gx S4 S11 PDN GW IP Network, S1-MME IMS, etc Gi S1-U EUTRAN + UEs Serving GW AAA ePDG S2a SWm Trusted non- 3GPP Access
  13. 13. Converged End-to-End Testing
  14. 14. Thank you
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