Climate change, globalization and war.
Mapping international policy and markets.
Data. All the data.
Emerging ecosystems and change
“the median surface
warming in 2091 to 2100
is 5.1°C compared
to 2.4°C in the 2003 study”
“the cull during this century is
going to be huge, up to 90%.
The number of people
remaining at the end of
the century will probably
be a billion or less.”
“If we burn all the coal, we might kick
in a runaway greenhouse effect,
if we burn all the tar shale and
tar sands we definitely will ...
leading to the Venus Syndrome.
Caps aren’t going to work
– we need a Carbon tax”
source: Hansen, Nasa
“capitalism is not up to the challenge
... it improperly and systemically
undervalues the future ... it has
become a kind of multi-generational
... we need a Carbon tax”
Are we moving to a
How might we deliver
SERVICES NOT PRODUCTS
EFFICIENCY + TECHNOLOGY
Rapid innovation in energy efficiency
technologies has created a consumerist,
Society balances delicately with
ever-increasing reliance on new technology
to mitigate continuing climate change.
High carbon prices mean businesses sell services
rather than products.
Car ownership is prohibitive but public transport is
A 'share with your neighbour' ethos exists and global
carbon emissions decline for the first year in history
People rethink what a fulfilling life means.
Meaningful jobs are valued and stronger
links with local communities are cultivated.
People are attracted to simplicity and
focus much more on quality of life than
ENVIRONMENTAL WAR ECONOMY
Governments leave it too late and are forced
to rationalise whole sectors and take control
of citizens' lives.
Environmental refugees must find countries
willing to accommodate them. GHGs begin
to decline, but at great cost to civil liberty.
The world is divided into protectionist blocs.
Countries wage war over scarce resources
such as water.
Communities are divided and terrorists
take advantage of the flux, targeting
DO MORE OF
SERVICES NOT PRODUCTS
THINGS TO EXPLORE REFRAMING VALUE
A measured response to resource scarcity
Map behavioural change
Work symbiotically with existing ecosystems
quot;collaboration networks are to
businesses what social
networks are to consumersquot;
@Padmasree, CTO, Cisco
“unifying monitoring, measuring, and managing rural environments,
rural to urban interconnects, and urban environments”
“95% of people are interested in receiving detailed
information on their energy use”
quot;If Edison would wake up today and look
at the grid he'd say 'that's where I left itquot;
“Data on your personal energy use belongs
to you ... in a standard, non-proprietary format”
Tim Berners-Lee at TED, “unlock all your raw data”
Tim O'Reilly on “instrumenting the world”
Standards-Public Carbon/Energy Consultancies Buildings
DECC (UK Government)
Environmental Agencies NaturalLogic
Travel & Transportation
The Guardian (Data Store) Carbonmetrics
MakeMeSustainable Julies Bicycle
The Climate Group Special Projects