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5 8-12 Harvard Technical Analysis
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5 8-12 Harvard Technical Analysis

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Published in: Economy & Finance, Business
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  • 1. Technical Analysis From the Top/Down J.C. Parets, CMT 5/8/12
  • 2. Harvard Sentiment Polls• S&P500 1600 or 1200?• Own/Hold Just One Stock for a full Year? Ten Years?• Technical or Fundamental Analysis?
  • 3. “Technical Analysis refers to the study of the action of the market itselfas opposed to the study of the goods in which the market deals” - Robert D. Edwards and John Magee in 1948
  • 4. Technical Analysis• Risk Management• Top/Down Market Analysis• Sentiment• Seasonality• Momentum• Risk/Reward• Technical Analysis & Social Media
  • 5. Where Am I Wrong?
  • 6. Dow Jones Industrial Average 1900-Present
  • 7. 10-Year US Treasury Yields 1940 - Present
  • 8. Dow Industrials Priced in Gold 1969 - Present
  • 9. Stock Sector Performance Since 2009
  • 10. Financials in 2007 (Pre-Crash)
  • 11. Consumer Discretionary/Staples in 2007
  • 12. Consumer Discretionary/Staples in 2009
  • 13. Nasdaq100 vs S&P500 in 2008 - 2009
  • 14. S&P500, DJIA, Nasdaq100 2009-Present
  • 15. Leading Indicators• Copper• Semiconductors• Other Intermarket Relationships
  • 16. S&P500Bottom 2009US Dollar Index Top 2009
  • 17. AAII Survey of Retail Investor Sentiment
  • 18. August 1979 June 2005
  • 19. Sell in May and Go Away?
  • 20. Bullish Divergence in Momentum
  • 21. Bearish Divergence in Momentum
  • 22. Risk vs Reward
  • 23. Technical Analysis on the Web • Stocktwits • Chart.ly • Blogs
  • 24. J.C. Parets, CMT jc@allstarcharts.comStocktwits & Twitter @allstarcharts

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