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5 8-12 Harvard Technical Analysis
 

5 8-12 Harvard Technical Analysis

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    5 8-12 Harvard Technical Analysis 5 8-12 Harvard Technical Analysis Presentation Transcript

    • Technical Analysis From the Top/Down J.C. Parets, CMT 5/8/12
    • Harvard Sentiment Polls• S&P500 1600 or 1200?• Own/Hold Just One Stock for a full Year? Ten Years?• Technical or Fundamental Analysis?
    • “Technical Analysis refers to the study of the action of the market itselfas opposed to the study of the goods in which the market deals” - Robert D. Edwards and John Magee in 1948
    • Technical Analysis• Risk Management• Top/Down Market Analysis• Sentiment• Seasonality• Momentum• Risk/Reward• Technical Analysis & Social Media
    • Where Am I Wrong?
    • Dow Jones Industrial Average 1900-Present
    • 10-Year US Treasury Yields 1940 - Present
    • Dow Industrials Priced in Gold 1969 - Present
    • Stock Sector Performance Since 2009
    • Financials in 2007 (Pre-Crash)
    • Consumer Discretionary/Staples in 2007
    • Consumer Discretionary/Staples in 2009
    • Nasdaq100 vs S&P500 in 2008 - 2009
    • S&P500, DJIA, Nasdaq100 2009-Present
    • Leading Indicators• Copper• Semiconductors• Other Intermarket Relationships
    • S&P500Bottom 2009US Dollar Index Top 2009
    • AAII Survey of Retail Investor Sentiment
    • August 1979 June 2005
    • Sell in May and Go Away?
    • Bullish Divergence in Momentum
    • Bearish Divergence in Momentum
    • Risk vs Reward
    • Technical Analysis on the Web • Stocktwits • Chart.ly • Blogs
    • J.C. Parets, CMT jc@allstarcharts.comStocktwits & Twitter @allstarcharts