A Story of Ox Carts and Airplanes: Converging the Promise and Reality of eLearning

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Keynote presentation by Phil Ice, Ed.D. Associate VP, Research and Development, American Public University System for the DEHub/ODLAA Education 2011 to 2021- Global challenges and perspectives of …

Keynote presentation by Phil Ice, Ed.D. Associate VP, Research and Development, American Public University System for the DEHub/ODLAA Education 2011 to 2021- Global challenges and perspectives of blended and distance learning the (14 to 18 February 2011).

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  • 1. Education 2011 – 2021 Sydney, Australia Phil Ice, Ed.D.
  • 2.  
  • 3.
    • Henry Block
    • ???
  • 4.
    • Is a market characterized by consistent, double-digit growth
    • Provides a means to reach new groups of previously underserved learners
    • Can leverage new technologies to increase learning outcomes
  • 5.
    • Henry Block authored the eBang Theory for Montgomery Securities, Bank of America, in 1999
    • Hype exceeded the ability to implement
    • Only the names have change
  • 6.
    • Learning Management System’s are far removed from the way contemporary learners access and act on information
  • 7.
    • Privacy can’t be assured and even if it could students might learn about the Pacific Northwest Tree Octopus
  • 8.  
  • 9.  
  • 10.
    • triggering event (sense of puzzlement)
    • exploration (sharing information & ideas)
    • integration (connecting ideas)
    • resolution (synthesizing & applying new ideas)
  • 11.  
  • 12.  
  • 13.  
  • 14.
    • Standard OS from devices from cell phones to flat panel TV’s
    • Build once, TWEAK and deploy
    • Ubiquitous consumption of content
  • 15.  
  • 16.
    • Server based applications can exist on the desktop
  • 17.
    • Interactive experiences for users with limited connectivity
    • Peer to Peer activity emulation through Flex
    • New York Times Reader
    • Connect desktop client
    • POC’s in the works
  • 18.
    • Lots of static around analytics
    • Rebranding what we have been doing
    • Not visionary enough
    • Ignoring the realities in the corporate sector
  • 19.  
  • 20.
    • Data has a limited lifespan in predictive analytics
    • IBM Intelligent Data Management
  • 21.
    • F or W grades may have significant psychological impact. Department of Defense requires service members to reimburse Department for tuition if grade received is F or W. For disenrolled students, last grade of F = 31% and last grade of W = 15% of that population.
    • 4.0 GPA may be related to students transferring to other institutions. Represents 9% of disenrolled students.
  • 22.  
  • 23.  
  • 24.
    • Students have to be retrained – they know nothing about the world
    • Means more than having a campus in another country
    • Why aren’t there programs with multiple international components?
  • 25.
    • Programs, Courses, Components, Analytics, Emerging Technology, etc, etc. all require:
  • 26.  
  • 27. The CoI Survey at APUS
    • Used as the end of course survey since January 2009
    • 45% return rate
    • To date n = approximately 130,000
    • Data analyzed using comparative descriptive statistics, regression analysis and factor analysis at the University, School, Program, Course and Instructor levels
    • Recognized as Sloan-C’s effective pract
  • 28. Implementation
  • 29.
    •  
    • Social Presence
    • Affective Expression  
    • 14. Getting to know other course participants gave me a sense of belonging in the course.
    • 15. I was able to form distinct impressions of some course participants.
    • 16. Online or web-based communication is an excellent medium for social interaction.
    • Open communication
    • 17. I felt comfortable conversing through the online medium. 
    • 18. I felt comfortable participating in the course discussions. 
    • 19. I felt comfortable interacting with other course participants.
    • Group cohesion
    • 20. I felt comfortable disagreeing with other course participants while still maintaining a sense of trust.
    • 21. I felt that my point of view was acknowledged by other course participants.
    • 22. Online discussions help me to develop a sense of collaboration.
  • 30.  
  • 31.
    •  
  • 32.
    •  
  • 33.
    • Leveraging economies of scale
    • Programs, Courses, Infrastructure, Resources, Research
    • There will be winners and loosers – California as an example vs. for-profits
  • 34.
    • The greatest change, and the one we are the least prepared for, is that the school will have to commit itself to results.
        • Peter Drucker, 1993
  • 35.
    • Phil Ice, Ed.D.
    • Associate VP, Research and
    • Development
    • American Public University System
    • [email_address]
    • Vice President
    • Sage Road Analytics
    • [email_address]