Diabetes Prevalence Model
Produced by Trent and Northern & Yorkshire Public Health Observatories, June 2002
This model estimates the total (both diagnosed and undiagnosed) prevalence of Type 1 and Type 2 diabetes mellitus
in the former Northern & Yorkshire and Trent Regional Office areas and Northamptonshire, based on age, sex, and ethnicity data.
Prevalence estimates can be obtained for PCTs or for former PCGs and Health Authorities.
The model also produces projected estimates for diabetes prevalence between 2002 and 2008.
A user manual and an accompanying report are available.
Population data sources
The model assumes that the sum of the resident registered populations of the PCG/Ts for a Health Authority equals the
total Health Authority resident population. If this is not the case it is important to input local population figures.
Health Authority population projections:
Based on 1998-based population projections, Office for National Statistics.
PCT/PCG population age/sex distribution:
Based on the mid-2000 projections of resident registered population, Compendium of Clinical and Health Indicators 2000.
Percentage of residents by ethnic group:
1991 Census data from the National Database for Primary Care Groups and Trusts, Manchester University.
Prevalence data sources
Age-, sex-, and ethnic-group-specific estimates are derived from population surveys of diagnosed
and undiagnosed diabetes. Full references are given in the accompanying report.
The model assumes that two thirds of cases are diagnosed and the user can change this.
n age, sex, and ethnicity data.
To start using the model, please click here:
To see the data that the model uses, click here:
Choose an area (PCT, PCG, or HA) for the projections.
First choose a type of area, then select a Health Authority. Continue
The list of areas of the selected type and in the chosen HA will appear in the third box.
Alternatively, choose ‘Other Area’, type the name of the area, and press Enter.
When you have chosen an area, clickContinue.
Type of area Health Authority
þÿPCT (April 2002) þÿBARNSLEY HA þÿ
þÿFormer PCG (March 2002) þÿBRADFORD HA
þÿHealth Authority (March 2002) þÿCALDERDALE AND KIRKLEES HA
þÿOther Area þÿCOUNTY DURHAM HA
TRUE þÿDONCASTER HA
Name of Other Area þÿEAST RIDING HA
þÿGATESHEAD AND SOUTH TYNESIDE HA
þÿNEWCASTLE AND NORTH TYNESIDE HA
þÿNORTH CUMBRIA HA
þÿNORTH DERBYSHIRE HA
þÿNORTH NOTTINGHAMSHIRE HA
þÿNORTH YORKSHIRE HA
þÿNORTHUMBERLAND CARE TRUST
þÿSOUTH HUMBER HA
þÿSOUTHERN DERBYSHIRE HA
þÿSUNDERLAND TEACHING PCT
Continue Go back
Area for projections
Do you wish to enter your own data?
No, use the model's data Yes, usemy own data Go back
If you click ‘Yes’, you will be able to enter any or all of the following:
1. Prevalence rates for each type of diabetes, by age, sex, and ethnic group.
2. Population projections for the years 2002–2008, by age and sex.
3. The distribution of population by ethnic group.
Any boxes you leave blank will be filled in by the model from the estimates and projections built into it.