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What in the world is going on?,[object Object],Aaron Fyke,[object Object],Founder and President,[object Object]
Framework,[object Object],Hot – Global warming due to greenhouse gases,[object Object],Flat – Everyone else is getting richer,[object Object],Crowded – And there are a lot more of us,[object Object]
Percent Job Losses in Recessions,[object Object]
Hot,[object Object]
What in the world is going on comp
Today’s CO2 Concentration,[object Object],After 45 More Years of current energy use patterns,[object Object],600,[object Object],500,[object Object],400,[object Object],300,[object Object],280,[object Object],260,[object Object],240,[object Object],CO2 Concentration,[object Object],CO2 [ppmv],[object Object],220,[object Object],200,[object Object],180,[object Object],0 °C,[object Object],Temp. in F°,[object Object],Temp. in °C,[object Object],-8 °C ,[object Object],Dan Miller – Climateplace.org,[object Object],0,[object Object],100,000,[object Object],200,000,[object Object],300,000,[object Object],400,000,[object Object],500,000,[object Object],600,000,[object Object],Age (yr BP),[object Object]
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies,[object Object]
Feedback Loops – Tipping Points,[object Object],At greater than 2°C average temperature increase, we risk unstoppable, runaway temperature increases:,[object Object],Polar Ice Caps Melting- reduced reflection,[object Object],Drought, insect infestations and fires killing/burning biomass,[object Object],Permafrost methane thawing – Contains as much GHG as currently in atmosphere,[object Object],Ocean methane thawing – Teratonnes of methane released,[object Object]
Flickr: DanielKHC,[object Object],Flat,[object Object],Flickr: Mark Austria,[object Object]
The “Poor” are Getting Richer,[object Object],300m Indian middle class becoming used to Western culture and consumption,[object Object],China car sales surpassed the US in December, 2008 – 872,900 vehicles sold/month,[object Object],52% of Brazil (100m+ citizens) now has a car, access to credit, and holds a middle class job,[object Object]
What in the world is going on comp
What in the world is going on comp
MTOe,[object Object]
Crowded,[object Object],Flickr: B℮n,[object Object]
What in the world is going on comp
What in the world is going on comp
Resulting Trends,[object Object],Higher Energy Prices and Volatility,[object Object],Price on Carbon,[object Object],Changing Consumer Preference,[object Object],Increased Energy Efficiency,[object Object],Increased Use of Renewable Energy,[object Object]
Peak Oil – ,[object Object],Hubbert’s Prediction,[object Object],Flickr: weatherjester,[object Object]
What in the world is going on comp
US Oil Production,[object Object]
World Oil Production,[object Object]
World Oil Production,[object Object],P2,[object Object],P,[object Object],P,[object Object],Before Peak Oil,[object Object],After Peak Oil,[object Object],Supply Increases,[object Object],Supply Decreases,[object Object],Q,[object Object],Q,[object Object],P1,[object Object],P1,[object Object],Demand Increases,[object Object],Demand Increases,[object Object],Q1,[object Object],Q2,[object Object],Q2,[object Object],Q1,[object Object]
Peak Oil - Actuals,[object Object],Ex-OPEC and USSR,[object Object],USA Peak – 1971,[object Object],Hubbert Predicted – 1965-1970,[object Object],Wikipedia,[object Object]
What in the world is going on comp
Increased Price of Carbon,[object Object],Flickr: davipt,[object Object]
Price on Carbon,[object Object],Baseline and Credit:,[object Object],Kyoto – Clean Development Mechanism (CDM),[object Object],Allows Annex A countries to invest in projects that reduce emissions in developing countries as an alternative to more expensive emission reductions in their own countries,[object Object],Sets targets for emissions reduction for each country,[object Object],Ratified by all Annex A nations except the US,[object Object],Uses principal of “additionality”,[object Object],Cap and Trade: Fix pollution, price floats ,[object Object],European Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS),[object Object],Waxman-Markey (US),[object Object],Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme (Australia),[object Object],Carbon Tax: Fix price, pollution floats,[object Object]
Price on Carbon,[object Object]
Price on Carbon,[object Object],http://climateinteractive.org/,[object Object]
Changing Consumer ,[object Object],Preference,[object Object]
1 M Vehicles,[object Object]
1 M Vehicles,[object Object]
1 M Vehicles,[object Object],US Gas Prices,[object Object],$ 2009,[object Object]
1 M Vehicles,[object Object],US Gas Prices,[object Object],$ 2009,[object Object],Total US Hybrid Sales,[object Object]
Cash for Clunkers, 2009,[object Object],Edmunds.com – 2009 and 2006 vehicle models,[object Object]
Increased Efficiency,[object Object]
GE Evolution Locomotive,[object Object],Has given Erie, Pennsylvania a trade surplus with China, Mexico and Brazil,[object Object],[object Object]
10% less fuel resulting in a $2.5m savings over its life (locomotive costs $4m),[object Object]
Smart Grid,[object Object],	"Our expectation is that this network will be 100 or 1,000 times larger than the Internet. If you think about it, some homes have Internet access, but some don't. Everyone has electricity access--all of those homes could potentially be connected,”,[object Object],Marie Hattar, VP Marketing,[object Object]
Increased Use of Renewables,[object Object]
Increased Use of Renewables,[object Object],Saul Griffith, Makani Power:,[object Object],Cannot be about “What is politically feasible”.,[object Object],Nor should it be constrained by “What is economically feasible”.,[object Object],If you want clean power for America (and the World), it must be about ,[object Object],	“What is Technically Necessary”,[object Object]
Courtesy: Saul Griffith,[object Object]
Courtesy: Saul Griffith,[object Object]
Courtesy: Saul Griffith,[object Object]
Courtesy: Saul Griffith,[object Object]
Courtesy: Saul Griffith,[object Object]
Courtesy: Saul Griffith,[object Object]
Courtesy: Saul Griffith,[object Object]
More People,[object Object],Consuming More,[object Object],With fewer resources,[object Object]
Energy prices will remain high,[object Object],To avoid runaway climate change, carbon will be priced,[object Object]
Opportunities:,[object Object],Energy efficiency,[object Object],Addressing customers needs,[object Object],Clean energy,[object Object]
Opportunities:,[object Object],Energy efficiency,[object Object],Addressing customers needs,[object Object],Clean energy,[object Object]
What in the world is going on comp
What in the world is going on comp
What in the world is going on comp
This is an issue that ought to be answered by the scientific community; I’m not a meteorologist. All I know is 90 percent of the scientists say climate change is occurring. If 90 percent of the oncological community said something was causing cancer we’d listen to them. I respect science and the professionals behind the science so I tend to think it’s better left to the science community – though we can debate what that means for the energy and transportation sectors.Read more: http://swampland.time.com/2011/05/16/qa-jon-huntsman-on-the-presidents-hes-worked-with-and-his-own-prospects-of-joining-their-ranks/#ixzz1Nl7v5Dzl,[object Object]
What in the world is going on comp
Hybrid Escalade,[object Object],~ $80,000,[object Object],20/21 MPG,[object Object],(vs 12/19 MPG),[object Object]

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Editor's Notes

  1. $80k