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2014.4.8 chartbook template

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Published in: Economy & Finance, Business

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  • 1. Weekly Chart Book March 28, 2014 Global Clients…Global Portfolios disclosure: The opinions expressed in this Weekly Chart Book report are those of the author. The materials and commentary are strictly informational and should be used for research use only. This bulletin is not intended to provide investing or other advice or guidance with respect to the matters addressed in the bulletin. All relevant facts, including individual circumstances, need to be considered by the reader to arrive at investment conclusions that comply with matters addressed in this bulletin. Charts and information used in this report are sourced from Bloomberg.
  • 2. Financial Conditions
  • 3. 4 Developed Markets
  • 4. 5 Emerging Markets
  • 5. 6 US Financial Conditions vs. 52 weeks & 2000-2007 Period
  • 6. 7 1 Year Default Probability – Developed Markets
  • 7. 8 1 Year Default Probability – Emerging Markets
  • 8. 9 5 Year CDS
  • 9. 10 SHIBOR (Shanghai Interbank Overnight Lending Rate)
  • 10. 11 The VIX Index (S&P 500 Implied Volatility)
  • 11. 12 Global Financial Stress Index (Higher = More Stress)
  • 12. 13 Citi Macro Risk Index
  • 13. 14 AAII Bullishness Index - % Bullish
  • 14. 15 StateStreet Investor Confidence Index
  • 15. 16 S&P 500 & Advance-Decline Index
  • 16. 17 S&P 500 – This Week
  • 17. Fixed Income & Credit
  • 18. 19 US Yield Curve (Current vs. 1 Month & 12 Months Ago)
  • 19. 20 UST Curve vs. US Investment Grade Curve
  • 20. 21 U.S. Treasury 30 Year Yield
  • 21. 22 U.S. Treasury 10 Year Yield
  • 22. 23 U.S. 10 Year Yield vs. Japanese Yen
  • 23. 24 U.S. Treasury 2s10s Yield Curve Slope
  • 24. 25 Fed’s 5 Year Forward Breakeven (Inflation Expectations)
  • 25. 26 Investment Grade Bond Prices
  • 26. 27 Investment Grade Credit Spread (BBB – 10 Yr. UST Yield)
  • 27. 28 High Yield Bond Prices
  • 28. 29 High Yield Credit Spreads (HY – 10 Yr. UST Yield)
  • 29. 30 Emerging Market Debt (USD Denominated)
  • 30. 31 Emerging Market Bond Spreads
  • 31. Global Equities
  • 32. 33 World Equity Indices
  • 33. 34 MSCI All Country World Index
  • 34. 35 S&P 500 Index
  • 35. 36 MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index
  • 36. 37 MSCI Emerging Markets Index
  • 37. 38 Equity Risk Premiums by Country
  • 38. 39 Sector Performance (YTD)
  • 39. 40 Sector Performance by Region (YTD)
  • 40. The Economy
  • 41. 42 Last week’s Economic Calendar
  • 42. 43 Next week’s Economic Calendar
  • 43. 44 Economic Surprise Monitor (Deviations from Expectations)
  • 44. 45 Economic Trends – National Accounts
  • 45. 46 Economic Trends – Economic Activity
  • 46. 47 Economic Trends – Business Conditions
  • 47. 48 Economic Trends – Credit Conditions
  • 48. 49 Economic Trends – Credit Conditions
  • 49. 50 Economic Trends – Leading Indicators
  • 50. 51 Economic Trends – Housing Market
  • 51. 52 Economic Trends – Housing Market
  • 52. 53 Economic Trends – Retail Sector
  • 53. 54 Economic Trends – Personal Sector
  • 54. Currencies & Commodities
  • 55. 56 World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (6 Month Spot Returns)
  • 56. 57 Carry Trades vs. U.S. Dollar (6 Month Carry Returns)
  • 57. 58 World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (Spot Forecast: Q2 2014)
  • 58. 59 Currency Implied Volatility
  • 59. 60 US Dollar Index
  • 60. 61 Euro €
  • 61. 62 Japanese Yen ¥
  • 62. 63 Chinese Renminbi
  • 63. 64 Mexican Peso
  • 64. 65 Turkish Lira
  • 65. 66 Russian Ruble
  • 66. 67 Indian Rupee
  • 67. 68 Global Commodity Prices
  • 68. 69 Continuous Commodity Index – 5 Years
  • 69. 70 Gold Prices – 5 Years
  • 70. 71 Crude Oil Prices – 5 Years
  • 71. 72 Copper Prices – 5 Years
  • 72. Investment Themes & Value
  • 73. 74 Industry - Valuations
  • 74. 75 Technology
  • 75. 76 U.S. Financials Services
  • 76. 77 Goldcorp
  • 77. 78 Yamana
  • 78. 79 Gold to Gold Miners Ratio
  • 79. 80 Energy Exploration & Production
  • 80. 81 WTI – Brent Crude Oil Spread
  • 81. 82 High Yield Bonds
  • 82. 83 HYLD – Holdings
  • 83. 84 U.S. Dollar – Bullish

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