Alleghany ashe wilkes pathways to prosperity LMI Data
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A presentation of labor market information for Wilkes, Ashe & Alleghany Counties.

A presentation of labor market information for Wilkes, Ashe & Alleghany Counties.

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  • Corresponding labor force participation rates for these groups were 62.7% (all ages), 36.7% for 16-19 year olds and 70.3% for 20-24 year olds.In October 2011, Business Insider wrote an article on youth unemployment which profiled states with the worst problems with it in the nation. It said that the SE had especially high youth unemployment rates, with NC coming in at that time as the 9th worst in the nation.
  • Government and Manufacturing tied for largest share of employment at 19% eachRetail: 13%Health care and social assistance: 11%Accommodation and Food Service: 8%Mgmt of Companies and Enterprises: 7%Most other specific industries with at least 2% of employment are also labeled. (Slice between Accommodation & Food Services and Government is 2%, Other Services.
  • Hcare & soc. Asst. #5 for Wilkes Co.
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  • Beyond these, employment growth drops down to 25%
  • Textile mills is not among the top 25 industries in employment; only makes it on the list after filtering out declining, low-pay industries
  • Textile mills is not among the top 25 industries in employment; only makes it on the list after filtering out declining, low-pay industries
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  • Shows occupational groups with at least 500 employees in the 3-county area.Not shown:Community and Social Service Occupations459Computer and Mathematical Occupations288Architecture and Engineering Occupations201Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations190Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations122Legal Occupations121Military occupations0Unclassified Occupation0
  • Shows occupational groups with > 100 average annual openings, 2003-13.
  • “Top” determined by 2013 employment.
  • “Top” determined by employment.
  • “Top” determined by employment.
  • 15 largest occupations for these two required educational levels as of 2013.
  • 6.3% of workers who live in Alleghany Co commute to VA*****************************************************Jobs Counts by States Where Workers are Employed - Primary Jobs  2011  CountShareAll States3,172100.0% North Carolina2,957 -93.2% Virginia200- 6.3% South Carolina7 -0.2% Tennessee5- 0.2% Georgia2- 0.1% Kentucky1- 0.0%All Other Locations0-0.0%
  • 2.3% are employed in TN, 1.3% in VA; trace %s in SC, GA, KY
  • .9% work in VA (221), .6% work in GA (160), .3% work in SC and .3% work in TN
  • Do patterns look the same in the larger region, where residents of the 3 counties commute? Looking at additional counties that represent where at least 5% of each county’s residents commute to, we see a larger region that encompasses the 3 original counties plus Watauga, Forsyth and Surry Counties.
  • Do patterns look the same in the larger region, where residents of the 3 counties commute? Looking at additional counties that represent original 3 counties plus where at least 5% of each county’s residents commute to, we see the following major differences in industry sectors:Healthcare and Social assistance the largest industry sector and a larger share of jobs than in 3-county area (14% as opposed to 11% in 3-county area).Much lower share of manufacturing; 8% in larger area, compared to 19% for 3-county area. (‘Tho numbers are still big.)Government a smaller share, at 11% as opposed to 19%Admin and Waste Mgmt. and Remediation Services bigger in larger commuting area – 7% vs. 2% in 3-county area.Mgmt. of Cos and enterprises smaller in commuting region – 3% (7% in 3-county area)Not as different:Retail not much different as a share – 11% as opposed to 13% in 3-county areaConstruction roughly the same (had been 4% in 3-county area)Accommodation and Food Svcs exactly the same at 8%Note that industries representing at least 3% of employment are labeled; those with at least 5% of employment have their share shown. Smaller industries slices are not labeled but these are in order or NAICS industry classification, starting at “12:00” and going around clockwise.
  • Do industry employment trends look the same in the larger region, where residents of the 3 counties commute? There are some differences.
  • Occupational employment in larger region
  • 11-22% of jobs in these occupations are held by young adults 19-25 (occupation average around 7%)
  • Occupational employment in larger region
  • There are other tools to get occupational wage data – contact LEAD if you have questions or need slightly different information than provided via Career One Stop.

Transcript

  • 1. Data for Career Pathway Development: Alleghany, Ashe, Wilkes Counties Pathways to Prosperity Employer Roundtable Meeting January 28, 2014 nc Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 2. Career Pathway Goals 1. Jobs and career opportunities 2. Seamless transition to higher ed 3. Talent pipeline for area businesses 2 Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 3. Many young North Carolinians can’t find jobs Unemployment Rate All ages 9.2% 16-19 20-24 25.4% 16.0% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey (Annual Average Unemployment Rates, 2012) 3 Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 4. Meanwhile, a skills gap? “Skills Gap: Where Are the Qualified Workers?” --Wilkes Journal-Patriot, 12/3/12 “Can We Fix the Skills Gap?” – Forbes, 8/2/13 “Building a Country That Builds Things: The manufacturing industry faces a serious skills gap” –U.S. News and World Report, 10/4/13 “Is There Really a Skills Gap?” --U.S. News and World Report, 6/19/13 Labor & Economic Analysis Division “Stubborn Skills Gap in America’s Workforce” – NYTimes.com, 10/8/13 NC Department of Commerce 4
  • 5. Questions 1. What are the largest and fastest-growing industries and occupations in the area? 2. At certain education/experience levels, which area occupations have been growing and pay well? 3. What other considerations are important for career pathway programming? 5 Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 6. Reviewing the Area’s Industries (1) North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) • XX - Industry Sector (20 broad sectors) • XXX - Industry Sub sector • XXXX - Industry Group … 6 Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 7. Jobs by Industry Sector, 2013 7 Source: EMSI Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 8. County Differences – Industry Emp. Share Alleghany Ashe Wilkes 1 – Healthcare & Social Assistance (20%) 1 – Manufacturing 1 – Manufacturing (16%) (20%) 2 – Government (19%) 1 – Government (16%) 1- Government (20%) 3 – Manufacturing 1 – Healthcare & (14%) Social Assistance (16%) 3 – Retail (13%) 4 – Agriculture, 4 – Retail – 15% Forestry, Fishing & Hunting (9%) 4 – Management of Companies & Enterprises (10%) 8 Source: EMSI, 2013 2-digit industry employment Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 9. Employment Change, Industry Sectors Industry Sector Employment Change: Alleghany, Ashe, Wilkes Counties, 2003-13 Government Other Services (except Public Administration) Accommodation and Food Services Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Health Care and Social Assistance Educational Services (Private) Administrative and Support and Waste Management and … Management of Companies and Enterprises Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Finance and Insurance Information Transportation and Warehousing Retail Trade Wholesale Trade Manufacturing Construction Utilities Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting (3,000) 9 (2,500) (2,000) (1,500) (1,000) (500) Source: EMSI Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce 0 500 1,000
  • 10. Employment Change - % Industry Sector Employment Change (%): Alleghany, Ashe, Wilkes Counties, 2003-13 Government Other Services (except Public Administration) Accommodation and Food Services Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Health Care and Social Assistance Educational Services (Private) Administrative and Support and Waste Management and … Management of Companies and Enterprises Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Finance and Insurance Information Transportation and Warehousing Retail Trade Wholesale Trade Manufacturing Construction Utilities Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting (100%) 10 (50%) 0% 50% 100% 150% Source: EMSI Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce 200% 250% 300%
  • 11. Industry Sector Trends Employment Trends (2003-13): Large Industry Sectors, Alleghany, Ashe, and Wilkes Counties 9,000 Construction 8,000 Manufacturing 7,000 Wholesale Trade 6,000 Retail Trade Jobs 5,000 4,000 Management of Companies and Enterprises 3,000 Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services Health Care and Social Assistance 2,000 Accommodation and Food Services 1,000 Government 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: EMSI Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce 11
  • 12. Reviewing the Area’s Industries (2) North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) • XX - Industry Sector (20 broad sectors) • XXX - Industry Sub sector • XXXX - Industry Group … 12 Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 13. Top-10 Employing Subsectors, 2013 Industry Subsector 2003 Jobs 2013 Jobs Change % Change 2013 Avg. Earnings/ Job Local Government 4,769 4,440 (329) (7%) $41,854 Food Manufacturing 3,020 2,626 (394) (13%) $32,446 2,251 2,356 105 5% $14,099 3,186 2,256 (930) (29%) $60,893 1,018 1,358 340 33% $44,246 1,290 1,178 (112) (9%) $45,076 861 921 60 7% $22,633 1,052 830 (222) (21%) $27,517 Social Assistance 537 815 278 52% $24,384 Wood Product Manufacturing 874 796 (78) (9%) $49,192 Food Services and Drinking Places Management of Companies and Enterprises Ambulatory Health Care Services State Government General Merchandise Stores Nursing and Residential Care Facilities Source: EMSI Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce 13
  • 14. Subsector Trends, 2003-13 Employment Trends for the 10 Largest Subsectors as of 2013: Alleghany, Ashe and Wilkes Counties Local Government 6,000 Food Manufacturing 5,000 Food Services and Drinking Places Management of Companies and Enterprises Ambulatory Health Care Services 4,000 3,000 State Government General Merchandise Stores 2,000 Nursing and Residential Care Facilities 1,000 Social Assistance Wood Product Manufacturing 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: EMSI Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce 14
  • 15. Subsectors with Greatest Growth 2003-13 Industry Subsector (-Minimum of 100 jobs in 2013) Chemical Manufacturing 2003 Jobs 2013 Jobs Change % Change 2013 Avg. Earnings/ Job 18 115 97 539% $78,667 45 162 117 260% $22,313 59 135 76 129% $46,985 93 187 94 101% $24,894 Crop Production 261 483 222 85% $28,492 Transportation Equipment Manufacturing 324 497 173 53% $54,488 Social Assistance 537 815 278 52% $24,384 168 242 74 44% $36,271 1,018 1,358 340 33% $44,246 183 243 60 33% $39,952 Educational Services (Private) Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing Real Estate Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing Ambulatory Health Care Services Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction Source: EMSI Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce 15
  • 16. Top 10-employing Sectors, Filtered by Stable/Growing Jobs and Avg. $/Job > $20k Industry 2003 Jobs Ambulatory Health Care Services 2013 Jobs Change % Change 2013 Avg. Earnings/ Job 1,018 1,358 340 33% $44,246 General Merchandise Stores 861 921 60 7% $22,633 Social Assistance 537 815 278 52% $24,384 608 731 123 20% $27,885 611 728 117 19% $32,495 679 716 37 5% $57,911 Hospitals (Private) 486 596 110 23% $42,244 Transportation Equipment Manufacturing 324 497 173 53% $54,488 Crop Production 261 483 222 85% $28,492 Textile Mills 253 282 29 11% $32,031 Administrative and Support Services Building Material and Garden Equipment and Supplies Dealers Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods Source: EMSI Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce 16
  • 17. Close-up On Manufacturing 17 Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 18. Manufacturing Employment Trends Employment Trends in the Largest Manufacturing Industries Alleghany, Ashe and Wilkes Counties 3,500 Food Manufacturing 3,000 2,500 Textile Mills 2,000 Wood Product Manufacturing 1,500 Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing 1,000 Computer and Electronic Product Manufacturing 500 18 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: EMSI Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 19. Manufacturing Employment Trends Closeup on Trends in Large Manufacturing Industries Other than Food Manufacturing 1,400 Textile Mills 1,200 1,000 Wood Product Manufacturing 800 Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing 600 Computer and Electronic Product Manufacturing 400 Electrical Equipment, Appliance, and Component Manufacturing 200 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Source: EMSI Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce 19
  • 20. Occupations 20 Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 21. Employment in Major Occupational Groups Alleghany, Ashe, Wilkes Counties, 2013 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations Protective Service Occupations Personal Care and Service Occupations Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance… Business and Financial Operations Occupations Construction and Extraction Occupations Management Occupations Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations Healthcare Support Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical… Education, Training, and Library Occupations Food Preparation and Serving Related… Transportation and Material Moving Occupations Sales and Related Occupations Production Occupations 21 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 Source: EMSI Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 22. Occupational Groups with > 100 Annual Openings Alleghany, Ashe, Wilkes Counties Major Occupation Group Production Occupations Sales and Related Occupations Office and Administrative Support Occupations Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations Transportation and Material Moving Occupations Construction and Extraction Occupations Healthcare Support Occupations 2013 Jobs Average Annual Openings Median Hourly Earnings 3,769 219 $13.30 3,281 200 $12.76 4,679 178 $14.56 2,854 152 $8.89 2,934 143 $13.26 1,100 104 $14.96 1,439 102 $10.55 22 Source: EMSI Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 23. Top 10 Occupations Requiring On-the-Job Training: Alleghany, Ashe, Wilkes Counties Occupation Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers Social and Human Service Assistants 2013 Jobs % Median Change Hourly 2003-13 Earnings Education Level 216 23% $10.28 Short-term on-the-job training 115 6% $15.52 Moderate-term on-the-job training 91 6% $12.49 Short-term on-the-job training Insurance Sales Agents 89 14% $20.18 Moderate-term on-the-job training Pharmacy Technicians 89 11% $12.26 Moderate-term on-the-job training Highway Maintenance Workers 71 3% $14.72 Moderate-term on-the-job training Medical Secretaries Extruding, Forming, Pressing, and Compacting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Farmworkers, Farm, Ranch, and Aquacultural Animals Refuse and Recyclable Material Collectors 58 9% $13.52 Moderate-term on-the-job training 42 24% $11.90 Moderate-term on-the-job training 42 50% $11.86 Short-term on-the-job training 41 8% $10.06 Short-term on-the-job training Source: EMSI Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce 23
  • 24. Top 10 Occupations Requiring Post-secondary Educ. Alleghany, Ashe, Wilkes Counties Occupation 2013 Jobs % Median Change Hourly 2003-13 Earnings Education Level Nursing Assistants Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers 366 -16% $10.57 Postsecondary non-degree award 224 -20% $13.45 Postsecondary non-degree award 130 -16% $19.19 Postsecondary non-degree award 95 27% $17.45 Postsecondary non-degree award 87 -20% $16.78 Postsecondary non-degree award Dental Assistants Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists 67 43% $16.34 Postsecondary non-degree award 61 -24% $15.44 Postsecondary non-degree award 61 -9% $16.94 Postsecondary non-degree award Firefighters Telecommunications Equipment Installers and Repairers, Except Line Installers 52 8% $10.24 Postsecondary non-degree award 43 -17% $27.71 Postsecondary non-degree award Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce 24
  • 25. Top 10 Occupations Requiring Associate’s Degree Alleghany, Ashe, Wilkes Counties Occupation 2013 Jobs % Median Change Hourly 2003-13 Earnings Education Level Registered Nurses Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 521 0% $26.91 Associate's degree 120 19% $9.37 Associate's degree Dental Hygienists Computer User Support Specialists 68 55% $28.22 Associate's degree 67 -27% $21.96 Associate's degree Paralegals and Legal Assistants 63 2% $15.24 Associate's degree Radiologic Technologists 53 10% $24.45 Associate's degree Respiratory Therapists Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technicians 27 0% $23.72 Associate's degree 26 13% $18.55 Associate's degree Physical Therapist Assistants Appraisers and Assessors of Real Estate 26 4% $24.24 Associate's degree 25 9% $18.11 Associate's degree Source: EMSI Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce 25
  • 26. Large and Growing Occupations Requiring Associate’s Degree or Training Credentials 26 Source: EMSI Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 27. Where Alleghany Works 2011 Count Share 1,414 44.6% Surry County 197 6.2% Ashe County 176 5.5% Wilkes County 173 5.5% Forsyth County 166 5.2% Mecklenburg County 130 4.1% Iredell County All Other Locations (incl. 102 3.2% 814 25.7% Alleghany County Galax & Grayson Co., VA) 28 Source: Census Bureau, LED, On The Map Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 28. Where Ashe Works 2011 Count Share Ashe County 4,105 46.3% Watauga County 1,226 13.8% Wilkes County 412 4.7% Buncombe County 373 4.2% Mecklenburg County 254 2.9% Henderson County 202 2.3% Catawba County 180 2.0% Burke County All Other Counties 153 1.7% 1,955 22.1% (NC; 3.6% in TN or VA; …) Source: Census Bureau, LED, On The Map Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce 29
  • 29. Where Wilkes Works 2011 Count Share Wilkes County 11,595 45.6% Wake County 1,576 6.2% Surry County 1,508 5.9% Forsyth County 1,390 5.5% Iredell County 1,049 4.1% Yadkin County 915 3.6% Mecklenburg County 797 3.1% Guilford County All Other Locations 654 2.6% 5,917 23.3% (NC; < 1% ea. VA, GA…) Source: Census Bureau, LED, On The Map Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce 30
  • 30. The Primary Commuting Region 31 Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 31. Jobs by Industry Sector: 6-County Commuting Region 32 Source: EMSI Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 32. Industry Sector Trends 6-County Commuting Region Employment Trends (2003-13): Large Industry Sectors, 6-County Commuting Region 50,000 Construction 45,000 Manufacturing 40,000 Retail Trade 35,000 Finance and Insurance Jobs 30,000 25,000 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 20,000 Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services Health Care and Social Assistance 15,000 Accommodation and Food Services 10,000 Other Services (except Public Administration) 5,000 Government 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce 33
  • 33. Employment in Major Occupational Groups 6-County Commuting Region Military occupations Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations Architecture and Engineering Occupations Legal Occupations Community and Social Service Occupations Computer and Mathematical Occupations Protective Service Occupations Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Healthcare Support Occupations Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations Personal Care and Service Occupations Construction and Extraction Occupations Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations Business and Financial Operations Occupations Education, Training, and Library Occupations Production Occupations Management Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations Transportation and Material Moving Occupations Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations Sales and Related Occupations Office and Administrative Support Occupations 34 0 Labor & Economic Analysis Division 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 50,000 NC Department of Commerce
  • 34. Occupations Highly Accessible to Young Adults Higher than Average % of Employment < 25 Fitness Trainers and Aerobics Instructors Hairdressers, Hairstylists and Cosmotologists Veterinary Technicians Nursing Assistants Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education Dental Assistants Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics Source: EMSI (Alleghany, Ashe, Wilkes, Forsyth, Surry & Watauga Counties) 35 Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 35. Opportunities As Older Workers Retire? Higher than Average % of Employment 55+ Morticians, Undertakers, Funeral Directors Real Estate Sales Agents Legal Secretaries Medical Records and Health Information Technicians Registered Nurses Licensed Practical Nurses Bus and Truck Mechanics Source: EMSI (Alleghany, Ashe, Wilkes, Forsyth, Surry & Watauga Counties) 36 Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 36. Biz/admin/jack-of-all-trades skills needed? • Business establishments with < 10 employees are dominant in the High Country WDB area % with 0-9 Employees, by Industry 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Source: Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages (QCEW), 2nd Qtr. 2013 Some industries are omitted due to data suppression Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce 37
  • 37. Vetting the Data  How well do the data reflect your experiences?  What other trends or issues do you see?  Anticipated hiring  Opportunities, threats  Skill or credential “gaps”? Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce 38
  • 38. Beyond the Data  Career ladders and lattices  Job stability (e.g., cyclical industries)  Student demand  Employer engagement 39 Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 39. Some Tools  Commerce/Labor & Economic Analysis: www.nccommerce.com/lead  AccessNC (business, community data)  Demand driven data delivery (D4) - labor force stats  Wage data by occupation (U.S., state, sub-state): http://www.careeronestop.org/SalariesBenefits/  NC Works Online: www.ncworks.gov  Career ladder/lattice tools (O*NET): http://www.onetcenter.org/ladders.html 40 Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce
  • 40. QUESTIONS? FOR FURTHER INFORMATION: Anne Bacon Senior Workforce Analyst Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce anne.bacon@nccommerce.com (919)707-1579 (919)707-1500 (main) Labor & Economic Analysis Division NC Department of Commerce