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The Risk Opportunity Duality - Aditya Yadav
The Risk Opportunity Duality - Aditya Yadav
The Risk Opportunity Duality - Aditya Yadav
The Risk Opportunity Duality - Aditya Yadav
The Risk Opportunity Duality - Aditya Yadav
The Risk Opportunity Duality - Aditya Yadav
The Risk Opportunity Duality - Aditya Yadav
The Risk Opportunity Duality - Aditya Yadav
The Risk Opportunity Duality - Aditya Yadav
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The Risk Opportunity Duality - Aditya Yadav

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The Risk Opportunity Duality - Aditya Yadav

The Risk Opportunity Duality - Aditya Yadav

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  • 1. “Running an Agile Fortune 500 Company” Aditya Yadav, aditya.yadav@gmail.com in.linkedin.com/in/adityayadav76 *
  • 2. * *A Typical Global Company *Fortune 500/1000 *200 Divisions *40 Countries *25000 Employees
  • 3. @ Acme Inc. *
  • 4. * *Original Question “How do we Minimize Risk?” *The Correct Question - “Lets understand the relationship between Risk and Opportunity and make sure we don‟t kill the Value we can derive from Risks when we try to address (i.e. Mostly Prevent) risk. Allow me to show you…”
  • 5. And The Philosophy Behind The Answer *
  • 6. * *Red –> Derived *Yellow -> Input Telecom-Media Value Bundle Business Model/Simulation Serial Parameter Value Std. Dev. 1Total Bandwidth Bought (GBs/Month) 1500,00,000 10.00 2WholeSale Bandwidth Rate (Rs/GB) 10 1.00 3Total Operational Cost(Rs) 15000,00,000 1477,50,167 4Media Bundle Size(GBs) 50 15.00 5Compression Efficiency (%) 60.00% 10.00% 6Compressed Media Bundle Size (GBs) 30 10 7#Hours Programming in 1 Media Bundle (HRs) 16 1 8#Proxy Servers (All Over India) 100000 1000 9Proxy/Caching Server @Tower #Fan-out/#Network-Clients 10 2 10#Consumers/Network-Client 100 15 11Bandwidth Consumed In Delivering 1 Media Bundle All Over India (GBs) 30,00,000 10,43,936 12Total # Consumers Served 1000,00,000 255,37,600 13#Media Bundles / Month 50 5 14Total Bandwidth Consumed (GBs/Month) 1500,00,000 545,92,757 15Revenue/Consumer/Month (Rs) 20 3 16Total Revenue/Month 20000,00,000 5990,20,693 17Total Profit/Month (Rs) 5000,00,000 6134,66,401 18Profit Margin (%) 33.33% 42.56%
  • 7. * * In an unbiased “Random” game e.g. with 20% probability of someone winning * Players will play if… * They think they know the Rules & Internal Workings of The Game better than you/others/The-House !!! * They can beat the Probability e.g. using a Winning Streak or Lucky Charm * Have insider information which Tips things in their Favour * They think they can Cheat * They think they can influence the Randomness or the Probabilities * … * Or they might just have A Passion (#@$!@%!^#%^) for Gambling ( /Entrepreneurship )
  • 8. * * Risk „Almost Always‟ Implies Opportunity * In the Telecom Media Value Bundle – Business Model Example * If Std. Dev. Is Risk * Opportunity is in * Changing Input/Output Combinations * Making Better/Different Choices * Or when they are Frozen… * Moving the Mean‟s in a Favourable Direction * Reducing the Std. Deviation aka Risk * The $ Value of „The‟ Opportunity(s) is the Δ$‟s if you are able to change the Mean or Std. Dev. ceteris paribus * Rule: People who can handle the most risk make/deserve the most money. * Rule: The Primary Purpose of a Business is to Take Risk in a Limited Liability Legal Construct
  • 9. * Aditya!!!

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