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  1. 1. Strategic Report forApple Computer Inc. Elia Mrak-Blumberg Anna Renery Tycen Bundgaard April 2006
  2. 2. Table of ContentsEXECUTIVE SUMMARY............................................................... 3COMPANY BACKGROUND .......................................................... 4 The Founding of Apple (1976-1980).......................................................................................4 Failed Lisa and the Macintosh (1981-89).............................................................................5 The PowerBook and Apple’s Short-term Decline (1990-97) ....................................6 A New Beginning (1998-Present).............................................................................................7COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS .......................................................... 8 I. Personal Computing (PC) Industry.....................................................................................8 Internal Rivalry .......................................................................................................................8 Entry ............................................................................................................................................13 Substitutes and Complements......................................................................................15 Supplier Power ......................................................................................................................16 Buyer Power ............................................................................................................................18 II. Digital Music (DM) Industry................................................................................................19 Internal Rivalry .....................................................................................................................19 Entry ............................................................................................................................................22 Substitutes and Complements......................................................................................23 Supplier Power ......................................................................................................................23 Buyer Power ............................................................................................................................24FINANCIAL ANALYSIS............................................................. 25 Competitive Landscape .................................................................................................................34 I. PC Industry .........................................................................................................................34 II. DM Industry......................................................................................................................35STRATEGIC ISSUES AND RECOMMENDATIONS........................ 36SOURCES ................................................................................ 43Pandora Group 2Out of the Box Consulting
  3. 3. Executive SummaryFounded in 1976 inside a Palo Alto garage by Steve Wozniak and Steve Jobs, Appleblazed the trail for the personal computer (“PC”) industry with its innovative productsand marketing strategy. Demand convinced Jobs that there was a distinct market forsmall computers, and with a clear vision and consumer-friendly product, Apple wentpublic in 1980 and became the most successful initial public offering since Ford MotorCompany in 1956. Soon after, Apple hit the Fortune 500 faster than any company inhistory. Yet, internal rapid growth and stiff external competition from IBM andMicrosoft throughout the 1980s nearly forced Apple into bankruptcy by the mid-1990s.To stay afloat, Apple was forced to innovate their PC product lines and expand into thefragmented digital music (DM) industry only to blossom into the industry leader,poised to extend its influence on digital media through a diverse set of distributionchannels.In the last decade, Apple has seen unparalleled success and now designs, manufacturesand markets personal computers with its unique applications and a line of portabledigital music players with associated iTunes software. Forced to develop asophisticated distribution strategy to compete with larger companies, Apple now sellsits products worldwide through its online stores and its own retail stores, generatingannual revenues of over $21 billion. Apple’s recent release of the software application“Boot Camp” enables the Windows operating system to run on Apple machines,opening Apple’s doors to longtime PC faithful and limitless consumer base. This newflexibility in Apple’s architecture shows the company’s desire to not only compete withDell, HP and Microsoft, but overtake them through a unique and innovativecombination of digital media and personal computer products.Pandora Group 3Out of the Box Consulting
  4. 4. At a crossroads of success, Apple (with analysis from Pandora Group) must nowpursue a strategy of expansion to foster organic growth while also looking at possibleacquisitions, hoping to create revenue synergies, cross-sell products, and penetratediverse distribution channels.Company BackgroundThe Founding of Apple (1976-1980)Steve Wozniak and Steve Jobs had been friends prior to founding Apple, and togetherapproached a local Bay Area computer store, The Byte Shop, and offered to build thefirst Apple I machines. Jobs secured the parts from Cramer Electronics while Wozniakand another friend assembled them. Eventually, 200 computers were built and paid foron delivery as promised, with enough money to pay the input costs and purchase thenext order. Jobs and Wozniak had found a way to finance their future multimillion-dollar company without giving away a single share of stock or ownership.Building on their previous success, Jobs and Wozniak released the Apple II (animproved version of the Apple I) in 1977 at the inaugural West Coast Computer Faire.This model was immediately popular with home users as well as small businessesbecause of its innovative spreadsheets. In addition, the Apple II was unveiled with anaccompanying keyboard, color monitor and eight peripheral device slots (which madethe machine versatile with many third-party add-on devices and software). The AppleII sparked Apple’s industry-wide reputation as the innovator of user-friendly machineswith its hand on the pulse of consumers. Apple III, tailored towards larger businessesand corporations, was released in 1980 to compete with IBM and Microsoft. In the sameyear, Apple went public and enjoyed the richest IPO since Ford Motor Company in1956. In this same three-year span since the Apple II, sales jumped from $7.8 million toPandora Group 4Out of the Box Consulting
  5. 5. $117 million. Yet, despite these major milestones, the PC industry was growing morecompetitive every day and Apple sensed its early advantages fading.Failed Lisa and the Macintosh (1981-89)In the early 1980s, Apple released the first personal computer available to the publicwith a graphical user interface. Named “Lisa”, it was a significant technologicalbreakthrough, but was a commercial failure because of its $10,000 price tag and limitedsoftware applications.In 1979, Jobs and a handful of other Apple engineers had visited Xerox PARC for threedays to investigate the Alto computer. In return, Apple sold them one million shares ofpre-IPO stock (approximately $18 million net). Combining the knowledge from Xeroxseveral years earlier with a sudden shift away from the higher-end Lisa, Apple soonlaunched the more practical computer called the Macintosh. Its release in 1984 wasaccompanied by the now famous Super Bowl advertisement based on George Orwell’s1984. Simultaneously (and unfortunately for Apple), Bill Gates, the co-founder ofMicrosoft, was given several Macintosh prototypes for software development. Twoyears later, Microsoft launched Microsoft Windows for IBM computers, using many ofthe elements that made the Macintosh operating system so innovative. A long legalbattle ensued between Apple and Microsoft, culminating in an out-of-court settlementthat granted Microsoft access and unlimited use of the Macintosh OS.Shortly thereafter, an internal power struggle at Apple led to Jobs’ dismissal as CEOand the board promoted John Sculley. Jobs’ then founded NeXT, a computer companythat built machines with futuristic designs and used the UNIX operating system, but itnever caught on and the company soon failed.Pandora Group 5Out of the Box Consulting
  6. 6. The PowerBook and Apple’s Short-term Decline (1990-97)In 1991, Apple released its second attempt at a portable Macintosh. Allying with Sony,which at the time was the innovator in designing small, durable and functionalelectronics, the PowerBook had a smaller battery, a smaller (physically) hard drive anda smaller 9-inch screen. The PowerBook was a landmark product and standardized themodern form and ergonomic layout of today’s laptops. This reminded both consumersand competitors of Apple’s reputation as an innovator, designer and manufacturer ofquality computing products, which escalated revenues and raised the stock price forseveral years.In 1993, Apple unveiled the Newton handheld computer, but its sales were low andearnings fell drastically as overall competition increased in the PC industry. Toinvigorate declining margins, Apple trimmed its workforce and began licensing clonesof its operating system, hoping a plethora of cheaper Mac-alikes would encouragesoftware developers to compete with Windows. Then, in 1994, to everyone’s surprise,Apple allied with its archrival IBM in the AIM alliance. The goal was to revolutionizethe computing platform with the new PReP, fusing IBM hardware and Apple software.The hope was that PReP’s outstanding performance would supplant the PC andchallenge Microsoft, Apple’s other nemesis. Out of the PReP invention came the PowerMacintosh, able to run old Macintosh software and PC software on one computer.By 1997, Apple decided to purchase the operating system NeXT, but its market sharewas shrinking and sales kept declining, so Apple cut 30% of its workforce, canceledprojects, and trimmed research costs. At the same time, Apple’s board brought Jobsback aboard to manage as CEO and he immediately forged a surprising alliance withMicrosoft, which included the release of a Macintosh version of Microsoft’s popularPandora Group 6Out of the Box Consulting
  7. 7. Office software. To protect market share, Jobs also stripped the cloning license fromchief imitator Power Computing and put it out of business. Just in time, Jobs hadgrabbed the reins and sparked an incredible restructuring of the company’s productline.A New Beginning (1998-Present)A year after Jobs returned as CEO, Apple released its all-inclusive iMac in 1998 alone,boasting two USB ports. Although not technically impressive, its transparent designand colorful options caught customers’ eyes and Apple sold 800,000 units in 1998. TheiMac was also released with its unique server software, operating system Mac OS X.This product line generated a $309 million profit, Apple’s first positive year since 1995,and again put the company back in the consciousness of consumers, competitors andanalysts. To cut costs, Apple stopped production of the Newton PDA’s and downsizedtheir pocket PC research department. Shortly thereafter, Apple opened a new chapterin portable computing with the introduction of its iBook laptops and, taking a cue fromDell, began selling built-to-order systems online through Apple’s own website.In 2001 Apple revamped its Mac OS X. With the release of this state-of-the-artoperating system, which combined the stability, reliability and power of Unix with thesimplicity of a new interface, Apple had created a product for the masses. Hoping tocapitalize on the Mac OS X momentum, Apple saw an opportunity to reclaim itsslipping share in the education market and purchased software maker PowerSchool. Atthe same time, Apple opened its first retail store. This vertically integrated distributionstrategy proved brilliant. Technical professionals, students and home users flocked tothe new Apple retail stores to buy its products. The successful stores were designed fortwo primary reasons: First, to prevent any further loss of market share in the personalcomputing industry to companies such as Dell (who already had direct sales channels);Pandora Group 7Out of the Box Consulting
  8. 8. and second, to respond to the previously poor marketing of Apple products by third-party retailers. The introduction of the iPod in late 2001 was a brilliantly timed move,and the splash of the iPod combined with the new chic retail stores had people lined upfor blocks.In 2005, Jobs announced that Apple would begin producing Intel-based Macintoshcomputers, confirming rumors that the company had been secretly producing versionsof its Mac OS X for Intel processors for the previous five years. This alliance with theproducer of the fastest processing chip in the world (Intel), presently gives Apple astrategic first-mover advantage into the next era of computing. Furthermore, with thelatest release of Boot Camp software, Apple hardware is now compatible with theWindows operating system. This opens Apple’s proprietary structure to include theentire PC market and all the consumers previously unwilling to use Apple because ofits incompatibility. Apple sits poised to grasp significant market share.Competitive AnalysisI. Personal Computing (PC) IndustryInternal RivalryCompetitive pricing pressure from a flooded market has forced significantconsolidation and has shifted the landscape of the PC market and computer hardwareindustry in recent years. The industry is led by a small, elite group of multinationalsthat have maintained double-digit worldwide market share for several years. In the PCmarket specifically, two companies – Dell and Hewlett-Packard – dominate thelandscape. They have significantly more market share than their closest competitors(Microsoft, IBM, Sony, Fujitsu, Apple) on a global scale (34% of all PC shipments) andaccount for nearly half of domestic sales. Much of these new shipments have reflectedPandora Group 8Out of the Box Consulting
  9. 9. the demand for “volume servers” and enterprise servers, often a lower-end and lessexpensive product that the developing world can afford and large corporations orgovernment agencies can purchase in bulk. Because of their economies of scale, andestablished distribution channels, Dell and HP are more able to take advantage of thisburgeoning developing market and consistent enterprise market than are smallerplayers in the PC market. To counter this dominance, other companies have looked tomerge (IBM and Gateway have, though not with each other) with each other in order tocapture cost synergies in departments such as research and development, sales anddistribution channels.Though smaller, second-tier providers provide businesses and individuals with well-known brands, some with annual sales exceeding the billion mark. Includingcompanies such as Apple, there are large Asian PC providers such as Acer that arecommonly categorized as second-tier vendors. At the bottom of the PC pyramid liecompanies ranging in size from regional systems integrators to single-owner shopsoffering built-to-order systems. Many of these companies target niches such as high-performance systems for gaming, industrial or military purposes. Yet, recent numbershave shown that companies in all three tiers have seen growth in the market.Global demand for the PC industry has seen 10 straight quarters of double-digitgrowth, maxing out at a level of 17% in the 3rd quarter of 2005. Usually 8-10 quarters isthe maximum level of sustained growth, but industry analysts believe that the PC pricepoints have hit their inflection point with respect to price elasticity of demand and anew global appetite for PC has been discovered. Analysts have forecasted a 9% growthin 2006, though high oil prices could lower consumer spending, depressing this forecastto 6-7%. With a total market of about $247 billion in 2004, this has increased from 192 inPandora Group 9Out of the Box Consulting
  10. 10. 2005 and is based mainly upon PC sales. Although the industry includes 3 sectors,including PC’s, servers and workstations, PC sales have the largest margins and are thebest proxy for a company’s market influence.Major-brand PC providers are often referred to as OEMs (Original EquipmentManufacturers), which is a misnomer in the PC industry where established PC vendorsincreasingly rely on contract manufacturers (CMs). Though not recognized by theaverage consumer because their brand name is not on the computer, companies such asFlextronics, Solectron and Quanta Computer are often responsible for everything butthe final configuration of a PC. OEMs are able to cut costs and minimize risk byallowing CMs to manage the complex component supply chains. This is possiblebecause many CMs utilize cheaper labor oversees and others realize cost synergiesbecause they double as motherboard component manufacturers. Once they areassembled, PC’s can travel multiple routes before settling in an office, home or school.Though Dell revolutionized the direct-sales model, resale channels still account for avery significant percentage of the overall market. Most customers look to traditionalretailers when shopping for PC’s, and businesses in particular rely on local systems andresellers that offer more customized and personal service and support. OEMs usuallytake advantage of both direct and indirect sales channels, selling straight to end-usersand through resellers. Yet, this often creates a sensitive principal-agent relationshipbecause many OEMs who rely on channel partners also pose a threat to their resellerswith the OEM’s own direct sales operations. Complicating the old sales channelsfurther, some OEMs have introduced their own retail stores, such as Apple, which hasbeen incredibly successful through this vertically integrated distribution strategy.Pandora Group 10Out of the Box Consulting
  11. 11. Currently, most PC’s have an Intel processor and run a version of Microsoft’s Windowsoperating system. Because of this, Intel and Microsoft have significant control over PCsales cycles, major software updates and faster processors being primary marketdrivers. The dominance of both Intel and Microsoft has leveled the field for PCperformance, thus creating a commodity market with standard components and littleroom for innovation. As with any commodity, increasing market share meanstrimming margins, and companies at the top of the heap with established revenues canmore afford to cede profits. Lately, to the benefit of the average customer, Dell and HPhave engaged in fierce price wars across consumer, enterprise, government andeducation markets.Although the PC market has not seen recent radical technical innovation, the PCindustry still looks to new technologies and markets for continued growth. Sales ofnotebooks, a significant source of revenue for many companies in recent years, havebeen stimulated largely by the rise of wireless networking. Sales of handheldcomputers have slowed as competition has increased from lower-end notebooks andhigher-end mobile phones, but tablet PC’s have been tagged as another possible growthproduct if they can soon gain traction. Because the industry has become so competitivewith significant advantages to scale economies, many OEM’s have tried to expand theirbusiness into other sectors. No company has done this more successfully and quicklyas Apple has done into the DM industry.This is one area where Apple has a significant advantage over its rivals, given itshistoric relationship with many small businesses, especially those doing audio andvisual graphic design. Demanding higher end and more sophisticated software, thesebusinesses increase Apple’s revenue through their brand loyalty and continuedPandora Group 11Out of the Box Consulting
  12. 12. purchases of high-priced hardware and software. Apple, unlike many of itscompetitors, provides its customers with all the necessary hardware, software andaccessories that all interface smoothly with each other. This full implementation ofApple allows it to ensure that it can cross-sell all its different products to a specificbusiness or consumer. This insulates Apple from certain competition because Applesells to customers directly through retail stores in a cost efficient manner while meetingall the customers’ demand (because Apple has already realized cost synergies throughefficient distribution and channeling strategies, these new revenues lead directly togreater margins).Although Apple only controls about 3.3% of the computing market, the short-termfuture looks bright for Apple’s PC sales because it owns three significant advantagesover its competitors. First, the company has always realized a large percentage of itsrevenues from small businesses companies with specialized needs (and the educationmarket) and many analysts believe that the PC industry will continue to see increasingdemand from small and medium-sized businesses, especially companies withsophisticated technical needs. Second, in step with this optimistic industry outlook,Apple’s new software Boot Camp shows Apple’s new flexible architecture and entryinto new markets, putting companies like Dell and HP (who are accustomed tomonopolizing the enterprise market) on the defensive. Third, because Apple hasalways been exceptional at innovation, it has recently branched out into the DM market.With the advent of the iPod in the late 1990s’ and subsequent development of newgeneration iPods, Apple has found another entrée into the computing market and hasincreased its presence there. Using its ability to cross-sell its computers to people whohave already bought the iPod, Apple has seen increased revenue in its PC sales becauseit has gained a new slice of the PC consumer base.Pandora Group 12Out of the Box Consulting
  13. 13. EntryAlthough few substantial barriers prevent a company from simply entering the PCindustry, successfully remaining for long is very difficult. Any firm can buy constituentor surplus parts, build hardware and then channel its product to resellers, but thepotential of that company to sustain growth and compete with established companies islow. All large and profitable companies in the PC industry face several prohibitivecosts that block most entry by smaller companies. The first major barrier to entry is thedirect cost of manufacturing, which is high in the capital-intensive PC industry. Mostlarge and successful companies produce their own parts (such as Apple, Dell and HP),and the fixed costs to establish the factories necessary to do this are high. Thesefacilities enable large companies to realize economies of scale. Any firm looking tocompete will have higher average costs, making it difficult to create lower costs andhigher margins necessary to compete and survive.The second significant barrier to entry is the input costs from parts not produced by thehardware company. The major producers of input technology, Intel and Microsoft,manufacture industry-standard products and wield significant supplier power. Withnear-monopoly power, they are able to drive costs up and a smaller firm with littlebuyer power will struggle to negotiate lower prices. Paying higher input costs makes itnearly impossible for smaller firms to compete. In addition to input costs, having atrained and expansive support is a necessity for any PC company. Most consumers,including individuals and businesses, do not have the technical knowledge to repairsoftware or hardware. The computing company must have and the InformationTechnology staff able to correct any problems that arise. Without this service,consumers will be frustrated and less likely to buy the company’s products. Thus, thisPandora Group 13Out of the Box Consulting
  14. 14. significant service cost creates a barrier to many smaller firms who cannot affordexpensive computing professionals to be on-call.The channeling and distribution strategy is not only one of the most important aspectsto any PC company, but it is also one of the largest barriers to entry for new firms. Mostestablished PC companies have infrastructure in place to send its products to resellersor sell its product directly either through retail stores or online. The fixed cost for retailstores are high, including the price of real estate, construction costs and labor costs.Reselling my be cheaper upfront, but only large and established companies are able tonegotiate good deals that prevent principal-agent problems and ensure much of therevenue from sales is retained. New entrants to the PC market have a difficult timeestablishing itself in resell stores and do not have the capital necessary to sell in theirown retail stores. The advent of direct sales over the internet has created a cheaperchannel, but it is often hard to generate enough brand loyalty to get less-savvyconsumers to buy a new product without trying it out online.This introduces the last two major barriers to entry: advertising and brand loyalty. Thecost of advertising to a wide demographic range of consumers (including individuals,small businesses, large corporations, schools, etc.) is very expensive. And entering amarket that relies heavily on brand loyalty is hard to do unless the new company hasenough capital to spend on promoting its brand name. Often, a new company does nothave the resources and it struggles to grasp any market share from established brandnames that have the cash flow necessary to advertise. Overall, the PC industry is hardto successfully enter because of the return to economies of scale, the capital necessary tomanufacture, advertise and distribute, and the premium and trust that consumers placeon established name recognition.Pandora Group 14Out of the Box Consulting
  15. 15. Substitutes and ComplementsRecently, the issue of substitutes is a major concern for many firms in the PC industry,but this is not as big a threat for Apple. This is because although many of the largestplayers, including Dell, HP, Gateway and IBM all use similar operating systems withsimilar Microsoft software, Apple has developed its own unique operating system andunique software. This means that Apple’s largest competitors manufacture productsthat are close substitutes for each other, enabling Apple to sustain some market sharewith a stronghold on specific demand markets previously mentioned. Apple, whichuses its own operating system, is not a substitute for those who are loyal to Windowsand vice-versa. This insulates Apple from some of the fierce pricing wars that haveincluded Dell and Gateway (and eroded their margins in the first 3 quarters of 2005)because Apple’s customers are slightly more price inelastic and unwilling to switchaway from what they prefer.At the same time, Apple computers have historically not been compatible withWindows, and this has turned-off many potential Apple consumers (both domesticallyand internationally) who are partial to the Microsoft operating system. This lack ofcompatibility has limited Apple’s ability to grow has inhibited its pursuit of increasedmarket share. Apple’s Boot Camp will allows the Windows operating system tointerface with Apple computers, but many customers may still be wary of substitutingtheir Dell or HP machine for an Apple due to consumers’ high demand inelasticity.Thus, even with this new software, because Microsoft has such supplier control, Appleis left to develop its own software. And although this ensures Apple certain loyalcustomers and flexible innovation, it means that Apple has little chance of competing onMicrosoft’s global level. Furthermore, because Microsoft can underbid Apple in thePandora Group 15Out of the Box Consulting
  16. 16. developing world and in enterprise and governmental sectors, Microsoft software andnon-Apple machines (such as Gateway, Dell and HP) are getting certain large-scalevolume contracts that Apple is not.One important facet Apple has going for itself is that its iPod is a direct complement toits computers. Cross-selling these products to the same customers has opened up anentirely new revenue stream and allowed Apple to enter into untapped demandsectors. Able to now attract both the DM and PC customer, Apple has begun offeringvolume and package discounts for buying multiple products. They have designed theproducts in order to interface perfectly with each other and the ease with which one isused with the other facilitates this cross-selling. As discussed in the analysis of the DMindustry, because there is not a close substitute for the iPod and iTunes, Apple’s abilityto sell complimentary products to single consumers insulates its products and revenuefrom other PC manufacturers of computers and software, who have not developedcompeting DM products.Supplier PowerAs briefly mentioned earlier, the PC industry faces strong supplier power, notably fromsemi-conductor giant Intel and software developer Microsoft. Even though Apple hasits own operating system and software applications, all of its computers are compatiblewith Microsoft software, notably the Office Suite, and nearly all its computers areproduced with an chip from one of the big three: Intel, AMD and IBM (TexasInstruments is no longer a major player in the PC sector). Of these three, Intel has asignificant market share advantage over the other two, due in large part to its long-termcontract with Dell and recently signed contract with Apple (who had previously usedIBM chips). Although IBM does have a new contract with Microsoft to install its chipsPandora Group 16Out of the Box Consulting
  17. 17. on the Xbox product line, Intel’s chief competitor remains AMD – still too small acompany with neither the scale nor distribution channels to rival Intel’s market power(1/40 of Intel’s market share); and Microsoft has no real competitors in the softwaresector.Intel and Microsoft can both extract profits from hardware companies by using theirnear-monopoly power to raise prices. Still, if each company were pressured in similarfashion, there would be no cost disadvantage to individual hardware company. Thehigher input prices would be passed onto consumers uniformly and supplier powerwould not affect hardware manufacturers. However, both Intel and Microsoft pricediscriminate and do not offer uniform prices to their customers. Larger companies arerewarded for bulk purchases and smaller less-established companies are penalized andcharged a premium. Some companies, such as Dell, have been able to form allianceswith Intel and Microsoft especially in research and development, creating cost synergiesand negotiating lower prices for its inputs which has sparked Dell’s rise in marketshare.Because Apple is a totally vertically integrated company, it manufactures many of itsown products, from its processors to its screens to its iPods. Also, because Apple wasable to place its new iTunes software directly into its digital music players, it did notneed to find outside software for its iPods. This enabled Apple to control its supplierpower and not give up its revenue to any other digital music software provider. Withrespect to its PC division, Apple saw a strategic advantage in using Intel chips in itsnew computers and developing “Boot Camp” to make its computers compatible withWindows. Although Apple hopes to increase revenues with faster processors withcompatible software and operating systems for people accustomed to Windows, ApplePandora Group 17Out of the Box Consulting
  18. 18. has taken a risk in venturing away from its vertical integration and is no longer asinsulated from the supplier power Intel and Microsoft wield. Thus, Apple must ensureits input costs do not escalate dramatically in the next few years.Buyer PowerThe PC industry offers little buyer power to consumers because they are strictly price-takers. Consumers rarely buy more than one computer at a time, so there is noincentive for the PC company to offer lower prices in order to capture volumepurchases from a single consumer. Sometimes, enterprises or governments buy largequantities of computers, capturing some pricing power for themselves. Yet, most ofthese large entities do not buy Apple because these entities are more price sensitive(Apple’s computers are slightly more expensive) and large bureaucracies with manyemployees find it difficult to overhaul all their networks and change operating systems.Perhaps this will change with Apple’s new software, but now it will not (as of today,Apple is boxed-out of this market).It might be the case that Apple’s smartest move, besides the development of the iPod,was the decision to further vertically integrate and open its own retail stores.Attempting to eliminate the principal-agent problems that arise from sole distributorsand disconnected or lazy retailers, Apple decided that one aspect that made its productssuccessful and its customers happy was a knowledgeable and helpful sales staff thatenabled customers to experience (see, touch and feel) the new Apple products. Byopening its own retails stores, Apple guaranteed itself the power over informing itscustomer base and designed the store to reflect Apple’s trendy style. Although Appledoes sell in other retail stores (including Best Buy, Circuit City and online), the recentPandora Group 18Out of the Box Consulting
  19. 19. growth and expanding margins emanated from their decision to sell directly throughtheir own stores.By aligning incentives throughout the company, Apple no longer had to worry aboutpaying retailers to inform their customers (often informing them in a wayunsatisfactory to the way Apple wanted), and no longer fell victim to people gatheringinformation at a resell store only to then order it online for cheaper (which angered theretail stores who then charged Apple a higher contract price). Using its own retail store,Apple took control of its own products, enabling Apple to set its own prices.Furthermore, by selling all their products under one roof, Apple was able to takeadvantage of the complements mentioned earlier. They could attract a certain customerto a computer and then cross-sell them an iPod that the customer would not normallyhave bought. Apple relies on name and brand recognition more than other computingand DM companies, and opening their own stores was the best way to ensure theirname was well represented.II. Digital Music (DM) IndustryInternal RivalryThe days of the record store and video stores are numbered if the top companies in theDM industry have their way. Internet music distribution services have seen significantgrowth due to growing popularity with music fans, especially younger consumers.Digital music sales topped $1 billion in 2005, including over 350 million songsdownloaded in the US alone. The DM industry also includes ringtones and other musicformatted for mobile phones, video, and television downloads – which will soon be asbig a market as all other forms of downloadable music. Yet, prior to Apple, the DMindustry was fragmented. The knowledge and development of the MP3 player wasPandora Group 19Out of the Box Consulting
  20. 20. present, but no company had successfully launched their product into the mainstream.Companies were scrambling for digital media rights and software contracts whenApple introduced the “category cure” with its iPod and iTunes.Steve Jobs and Apple have an intuitive understanding of the interplay between thecustomer, manufacturer and distributor (in any industry) as fundamental as anyone inaround. They have an expansive consumer vision and know how to bring all theplayers to the same table. Mirroring his revolutionary changes to the PC industry in the1980’s (when he took down Atari and other industry giants through a betterunderstanding of the wants and needs of future consumers), he has brought Apple tothe top of the DM industry. Seeing record companies’ CD sales lag and margins sufferdue to piracy and expensive litigation, Jobs saw a market opportunity to sign digitalmusic contracts for fairly cheap. Offering to distribute the music for the recordcompanies, Apple positioned itself as the first and largest “middle-man.”Like most upstart, technology-driven industries, the DM industry favors first-moversand innovators, and rewards them with dominant market power. Apple’s iTunesservice, released in 2003 in tandem with the iPod line, currently commands 83% of theonline music market. Roxio, one of Apple’s chief competitors, also launched its ownservice in 2003 under the familiar name of Napster. The other major players in thismarket include Yahoo!, MSN and RealNetworks. Dell, threatened by Apple’s suddenascension to the top of the DM industry, recently completed its first M&A deal byacquiring the PC gaming producer Alienware. Straying far from its organic businessmodel, Dell sees similarities between what Apple is doing in the DM market and whatDell has done in the PC market the last decade: flexible architecture and efficientchanneling strategies. Dell’s model forced IBM our of the PC market and Dell isPandora Group 20Out of the Box Consulting
  21. 21. nervous that Apple could translate its successful and flexible architecture in the DMindustry to the PC market and capture market share from Dell. Apple already has anadvantage over Dell in design, and if Apple can outshine in architecture, flexibility(cross-selling options) and channeling, then Dell is in trouble. Microsoft is also nervousat Apple’s DM industry domination and released its own portable digital music player.How Apple will stave off this competition will be addressed in the Strategic Issues andRecommendations section later.The rapid growth of the DM industry has been a savior for struggling recordcompanies, but recent legal and technical obstacles might threaten continued growth ofthe DM market. Trade groups representing both the online media and music industriesare fighting to overhaul the arcane provisions in copyright law and enable the licensingof more content, including television shows, movies and a host of other multi-mediaproducts. However, the two sides cannot come to an agreement on the licensing feesand royalty contracts. Additionally, movie studios and record companies have beenpressuring consumer electronics makers to install anti-piracy technology in theirproducts, a change manufacturers have strongly resisted.With respect to technology, the DM industry is divided into two distinct camps. TheiTunes software and iPod products use a proprietary digital rights management (DRM)system called Fairplay that is purposefully incompatible with other portable musicplayers, including Sony’s Digital Walkman. RealNetworks has attempted to bridge thisgap by releasing its new software called Harmony DRM translation, but Apple hasrefused to allow its players to work with the compatible software. The landscape mayshift as legislation just passed in France that outlawed Apple from doing this in theirPandora Group 21Out of the Box Consulting
  22. 22. country. If this decision is upheld in US courts, Apple may have to allow its music to beplayed on non-iPod products, cutting into its primary source of revenue.EntryThe DM industry is easier to enter than is the PC industry because there are not asmany parts and accessories to manufacture, and the fixed cost of a production plant isnot necessary. In addition, it is easier to distribute digital music hardware and softwarethan PC’s or workstations because there are fewer parts to assemble and lightershipping loads. The complex and diversified channeling strategies necessary to targetdifferent consumers in the PC deters much entry, but because all of the music isavailable online, there is only one distribution portal. Furthermore, because this ease ofentry into the DM industry, Apple has seen more recent competition in the DMindustry from companies such as Rio and Sony (besides the peripheral attempts by Delland Microsoft), who have entered the industry with iPod clones.Because this is such a new industry, the first-mover advantage that Apple has enjoyedis not expected to last much longer according to analysts because others have seen themarketing and distribution strategies that Apple has used and has attempted to mimicthem. Yet, the iTunes software is harder to replicate because Apple has already signedcontracts with many record companies, television companies and movie studios thatgive iTunes exclusive rights to many multi-media products. A new firm entering theDM industry will have a hard time accessing much of the music and video thatconsumers have began to demand. As mentioned in the section above, because Applehas manufactured its iPod line so that it will only play iTunes songs and videos, Sony,Rio and other new entrants will have a hard time counteracting that market power. Therecent legislation in France outlawing this might be the only way for others to obtainPandora Group 22Out of the Box Consulting
  23. 23. some of Apple’s dominant DM market power. But it still unlikely that US courts willreach the same decision.Substitutes and ComplementsThere are many substitutes for online music and video in the DM industry. Recordstores, video rentals and illegal file sharing programs are all direct substitutes. Yet, theonline music and video source are preferred because of price, efficiency, and legality.There are close substitutes for iTunes, such as Yahoo!’s Launch software and Roxio’sonline software, but iTunes has an advantage because it has access to more videos andtelevision shows than either of the other two main competitors. In addition, because theiPod products are only compatible with iTunes, there are no close substitutes forowners of iPod products.There are many complements to most online digital music and video. There are manyportable music players and other products that will transmit multi-media files.Additionally, there are many accessories that accompany iPod products and otherdigital music players. Apple and other companies have found ways to sell products inpackages to increase their revenues. Through their retail stores, Apple has also usedtheir computers and iPod products to cross-sell to the same consumers. Selling the iPodas a complement to a PC has become a strategy that Apple has advertised to increasetheir revenues and capture both the PC and DM market simultaneously.Supplier PowerDepending on the legality of the online music source, there is significant or very limitedsupplier power. In the legal DM industry, there exists supplier power because recordcompanies and television and movie studios have intellectual property rights to theirPandora Group 23Out of the Box Consulting
  24. 24. product and can negotiate royalties with online distributors such as Apple; with respectto illegal file-sharing programs, there is obviously no supplier power, by definition.Apple charges a higher price for music because of large kickbacks owed to recordcompanies and Apple also pays a premium to be the sole distributor of certain videosand television shows. Yet, this supplier power might decline as more onlinedistributors surface and customers are able to choose the lowest priced digital media.The ongoing litigation will also affect the supplier power of media companies because ifApple loses its edge on the iPod and iTunes, certain record and visual media companieswill lose their sole distributor title and rich royalties they have enjoyed for severalyears.Buyer PowerDepending on the online distributor, some buyers have power while others do not.Customers who purchase their songs and videos from iTunes have very little buyerpower because the prices of the digital files are negotiated between Apple and theproducers of the media. The consumer has little influence on price. Songs have alwayscost $0.99 and that does not appear to be changing soon. Apple as a buyer of the musichas some power, as discussed above because it has a loyal customer base and canensure record and studio executives that it will sell their products to Apple’s customers.However, because the media companies have a monopoly over their products and thejudicial system behind them, they have ultimate power. Yet, Apple still has more buyerpower than its competitors because it has significant market share and the most efficientonline distribution infrastructure in place to expand or grow in new direction shouldthe demand change. Buyer and supplier power are both likely to shift dramatically asthe DM industry evolves and the legal engagements are decided.Pandora Group 24Out of the Box Consulting
  25. 25. Financial AnalysisApple’s overall financial situation has become brighter every year since 2001. In thefirst quarter of 2006, Apple announced record-breaking financial results, including $5.7billion in total sales for the company and $1 billion in sales for the retail stores. Thisincreased revenue resulted in greater margins, and a new record profit of $90 million.These new milestones are the result of an upward surge in revenue since the start of2003, when yearly revenue for retail stores was only $1.18 billion. The retail store sectorof Apple’s business is quickly becoming one of its largest sources of revenue and profitbecause many of its products are experience and credence goods (in which customersneed to touch and see the products), and Apple has successfully been able to hookcustomers once they have their attention. As the graph below shows, the retail storesinitially saw negative returns, but once the iPod caught hold, customers began using theretail stores to purchase accessories to the iPod and personal computers as well.Pandora Group 25Out of the Box Consulting
  26. 26. Source: Apple Computer Financial SummaryApple’s retail store sector achieved profitability towards the end of 2003 and theaverage revenue per store increased by 36% every year in 2004. As the graph belowdemonstrates, once Apple reached a significant level of economies of scale in their retailsegment, they were able to increase revenue by more efficiently distributing to theirown stores. Their revenues increased simultaneously as their channeling strategybecame more efficient. Thus, Apple saw both its manufacturing and retail profit gainsignificantly from the last quarter in 2003 to the last quarter in 2005. Because of therecent success of Apple’s retail stores, they are planning on adding 40 new stores bySeptember 1st, 2006. The 11 new stores that were established at the end of 2005 havealready seen an average per-store sales increase from $5.7 million to $8.3 million in 3months.Pandora Group 26Out of the Box Consulting
  27. 27. Source: Apple Computer Financial SummaryIn addition to the profitability of the retail stores, the decision to shift some of thecompany’s focus from personal computers to digital music has resulted in largerevenue increases. Since the first quarter of 2001, Apple has consistently shifted more oftheir focus to the iPod line, especially the Nano (Apple’s new, significantly smaller iPodline). While the iPod totaled less than 10% of their revenue stream in 2002, it now totalsover 40% of Apple’s total revenue. (The iTunes software and other assorted iPodproducts accessories are included in this revenue stream). As the two graphs belowrepresent, the innovation of the iPod from generation to generation has ensured thatApple’s revenue stream has been consistently increasing. Remaining on top ofcustomer taste and ahead of competition has allowed Apple to continue to seeconsistently high margins as of late on all their digital music products.As the iPod became smaller and more powerful, sales increased, totaling almost $7billion by the end of 2005. Analysts have all raised their iPod revenue estimates for thebeginning of 2006 to reflect data points from suppliers and channel partners thatsuggest demand, especially oversees, is growing in the digital music industry. From2004 to 2005 alone, Apple increased its market share in the digital music player industryfrom 31% to 65%.In addition, much of the increase in iPod estimates recently has been driven by thedemand for the 4 GB Nano. Because Apple can ship approximately twice as manyNanos as compared with iPods (10 million to 3.5-4 million), they save on shipping costsand this is reflected in their margins. Lehman Brothers’ report notes that as the globaldemand continues to increase, this ratio of Nanos to iPods will continue to increase andrevenues from the digital music players should continue to increase, ensuring Apple’scontinued control over this sector of the market.Pandora Group 27Out of the Box Consulting
  28. 28. Source: Apple Computer Financial SummaryPandora Group 28Out of the Box Consulting
  29. 29. Source: Apple Computer Financial SummaryAccompanying the increased revenue from the iPod and Nano is the iTunes softwareapplication. Music accounts for 59% of the company’s total revenues, up 145% from lastyear. Although iTunes is only a few years old, it now controls 83% of the U.S. marketfor legally purchased digital music and is the second largest online retailer Through iTunes, Apple has sold 850 million songs, 8 million videos, withannual revenues of near $657 million. Additionally, because Apple has manufacturedthe iTunes software to only operate with iPod’s, they are able to sell both products tothe same consumer and widen revenues further than if they only could sell one of them.iTunes currently has 10 million customers, and that number is steadily increasing.Some analysts have increased their estimates of the iTunes gross margins to middouble-digit gross values because Apple announced its agenda of moving iTunesPandora Group 29Out of the Box Consulting
  30. 30. towards a media portal much like that of Recent partnerships withDisney and NBC have paved the way for iTunes to start offering downloadabletelevision shows for $1.99 each, in addition to the recent addition of music videos forthe same price.The overall margins on the iTunes product are slightly higher than for Apple’s overallproduct line. Gross margins just under 30% while operating margins for the lastquarter of 2005 are between 11% and 12.5%. Because much of the iTunes developmentcosts are fixed (and already accounted for), most of the variable costs consist oflicensing contracts with record companies, and continued research and development tokeep the website in-step with demand.Source: Apple Computer Financial SummaryPandora Group 30Out of the Box Consulting
  31. 31. As iPod and Nano sales continue to increase with the help of iTunes, Apple’s globalpresence has also expanded. With two flagship retail stores in Japan and another inLondon, Apple has used its physical retail presence to bring the Apple brand andproduct line to many cities worldwide. In addition to the digital music market, onereason Apple has seen such a revenue boost from global sales is that their PC sales haveseen a limited but important halo effect on notebooks and a marginal positive impact ondesktops; thus Apple’s revenues from personal computing sector should remain highfor at least the short-term horizon. Shifting their product mix from predominatelydesktops to an even split between notebooks and desktops, Apple has tapped into thedemand for smaller portable computers and personal computers are now 41% of theirtotal company revenues, with 1.245 million units sold last quarter. Apple sold 587,000laptops last quarter, up 49% from the same quarter one year ago. Non-U.S. global salesof both personal computers and digital music players (including songs purchased fromiTunes), represents roughly 50% of Apple’s total revenues. The breakdown of revenueby segment is shown in the graph below.Pandora Group 31Out of the Box Consulting
  32. 32. Source: Apple Computer Financial SummaryApple’s stock chart reflects much of what was discussed in the above graphs. The stockprice has seen consistent growth in the last 3 years as the iPod, iTunes and notebookrevenues have steadily increased. The recent dip in stock price to just under $60 pershare (from nearly $80 a few weeks ago) is a reflection of recent litigation in France inwhich iTunes was banned from having sole licensing power over the distribution of itssongs. This would allow other online music distributors to put songs on iPods andNanos, and Apple would lose revenue from iTunes sales. Still, many analysts have kepttheir raised EPS and price target for the stock price to about $80 for the next quarter of2006 due to their forecasts of increased global iPod and Nano sales. Most price targetsare between $78 and $82 per share, though the litigation in France and introduction of acompeting portable music player from Microsoft could alter those forecasts.Pandora Group 32Out of the Box Consulting
  33. 33. Five-Component Disaggregation of ROE: Company Taxes Financing Operations Profitability Turnover Solvency ROE Apple 0.74 1.1 11.84% 9.58% 1.41 1.57 29.97% Microsoft 0.74 1.15 36.21% 30.80% 0.48 1.34 19.93% Intel 0.69 1.04 31.14% 22.31% 0.81 1.29 23.18% Gateway 1.04 1.17 1.06% 1.28% 2.09 6.79 18.20% HP 0.68 1.05 3.88% 2.77% 1.13 2.05 6.42% IBM 0.65 1.3 10.29% 8.71% 0.84 3.35 24.49%As the Dupont analysis shows for Apple and its 5 largest competitors, Apple has ahigher ROE than others in this industry even though its profitability is not the highest.Especially in the PC and DM industry, it is important that Apple’s margins continue torise, because otherwise their competitive edge is lost. With only 3% of the personalcomputing market, Apple needs its margins on its notebooks and desktops to be evenbetter than those of leading competitors such as Microsoft, IBM and Gateway. Much ofthe high ROE is boosted by the DM sector of Apple’s business, which has driven thePandora Group 33Out of the Box Consulting
  34. 34. stock up as well. As long as Apple can continue to increase revenues throughcontinued innovation in the DM market, their margins should remain high and enablethem subsidize their personal computing sector as well. This will allow Apple tocontinue to take advantage of economies of scope, and cross-sell their products in itsretail stores.Competitive LandscapeI. PC Industry PCKey Numbers Apple Dell HP Microsoft IndustryAnnual Sales ($ mil.) 13,931 55,908 86,696 39,788 NAMarket Cap ($ mil.) 53,165.50 68,586.90 94,837 286,183 NAEmployees 16,820 66,100 NA 61,000ProfitabilityGross Profit Margin 29.65% 18.50% 25.37% 87.25% 20.25%Pre-Tax Profit Margin 13.69% 8.18% 4.57% 42.01% 8.68%Net Profit Margin 9.91% 6.39% 3.05% 31.57% 6.67%Return on Assets 11.30% 15.50% 3.60% 19.40% 13.40%Return on Invested Capital 19.20% 77.10% 7.00% 29.50% 38.80%ValuationPrice/Sales Ratio 3.28 1.23 1.08 6.92 1.67Price/Earnings Ratio 33.68 20.36 36.45 22.97 26.12Price/Book Ratio 6.35 16.61 2.65 6.47 10.37Price/Cash Flow Ratio 29.55 17.28 19.05 20.26 22.27Growth12-Month Revenue Growth 65.80% 23.70% 7.40% 7.50% 20.50%12-Month Net Income Growth 215.90% 17.40% -23.50% 30.60% 78.60%12-Month EPS Growth 200.00% 23.70% -21.40% 30.40% 82.20%36-Month Revenue Growth 34.40% 16.70% 9.70% 8.80% 17.80%36-Month Net Income Growth 261.70% 18.60% NA 9.00% 36.20%36-Month EPS Growth 238.60% 21.60% NA 9.00% 32.40%As this competitive landscape illustrates, Dell and Microsoft dominate the industry bytheir sheer scale and scope, but Apple has the best growth. Apple has the second bestPandora Group 34Out of the Box Consulting
  35. 35. margins in the PC market, due in large part to their DM arm. But as Apple’s newWindows-compatible software gets distributed throughout the industry, look forApple’s traditionally small annual sales and market cap (as compared with Dell andMicrosoft) to increase and turn Apple from a small player to a mid-size competitor.II. DM Industry DMKey Numbers Apple Napster RealNetworks Yahoo! IndustryAnnual Sales ($ mil.) 13,931 46.7 325.1 5,257.70 NAMarket Cap ($ mil.) 57,035.20 147.9 1,439.70 45,527.30 NAEmployees 16,820 135 826 9,800 NAProfitabilityGross Profit Margin 29.65% 40.80% 74.81% 65.61% 52.96%Pre-Tax Profit Margin 13.69% -86.40% NA 50.82% 12.51%Net Profit Margin 9.91% -87.81% 96.06% 36.07% 10.76%Return on Assets 11.30% -46.60% 28.10% 17.50% 5.40%Return on Invested Cap. 19.20% -62.20% 33.20% 20.40% 11.20%ValuationPrice/Sales Ratio 3.52 1.74 4.42 8.65 3.37Price/Earnings Ratio 36.13 NA 5.33 25.09 34.69Price/Book Ratio 6.81 1.23 1.71 5.32 4.42Price/Cash Flow Ratio 31.7 -2.48 4.38 19.82 20.49Growth12-Month Rev. Growth 65.80% -17.20% 21.90% 47.10% 9.70%12-Month Net Inc. Growth 215.90% NA NA 125.80% 20.60%12-Month EPS Growth 200.00% NA NA 120.70% 14.80%36-Month Rev. Growth 34.40% -18.00% 22.20% 80.60% 2.50%36-Month Net Inc. Growth 261.70% NA NA 168.80% 111.10%36-Month EPS Growth 238.60% NA NA 148.60% 154.00%Across the financial board, Apple dominates the DM industry. With over 80% of thelegal online music distribution, Apple nearly has a monopoly on the distribution ofmedia files. Combine that with the hottest selling product in portable music historyand it is clear why Apple has not only scale economies but growth opportunities asPandora Group 35Out of the Box Consulting
  36. 36. well, and thus faces no real competition currently. However, Apple will not remaininsulated forever; as the “Entry” analysis showed that there are not enough significantbarriers to entry to prevent companies from eroding Apple’s share. Thus, Apple mustfind ways to continue to evolve and grow its distribution channels, yet remain wary offalling into the trap of Sony (becoming too vertically integrated to effectively cross-selltheir products and too big and bulky to nimbly of innovate). These issues are discussedin detail in the section below.Strategic Issues and RecommendationsPandora Group sees the strategic issues applying to three main areas: first, what are themain strategies to ensure that Apple continues to grow and innovate in its currentmarkets, generating steady revenues and high margins for the long-term. Second, it isimportant to analyze the strategic options outside of organic growth that Apple canpursue, including acquiring another company or diversification. And third, whatstrategic decisions can Apple make to control costs as the company continues to grow.Apple’s success is largely attributed to its ability to grow and innovate. It has been ahugely successful company the last five years due in large part to the risks it has takenin developing a new product and marketing it successfully. Strategic theory says thatthere are three stages of a product, potentially affecting the iPod or iTunes: ProductPower, Position Power and Process Power. In every stage, power is defined by twoaspects, benefit and barrier. In the first, Apple gained significant product power withthe introduction of the iPod generation and the accompanying iTunes software.Because of the quality of product, ease of use, and catchy marketing, Apple had a first-mover advantage in this market and capitalized. As the iPod and iTunes grew, Applegained position power in the market. These product innovations had benefit becausePandora Group 36Out of the Box Consulting
  37. 37. sales were high and Apple’s name was gaining brand loyalty and recognition amongnon-Apple users. They also had barrier, because as the iPod caught onto pop cultureand became a fad, this made it difficult for Sony and other companies in the digitalmusic player industry to break through and gain market share. Thus, Apple had bothproduct and position power and saw its highest sales, margins and stock price incompany history. Gaining the third and final power, process power, is what willdetermine if Apple’s is able to continue to create sustained organic growth, which is thefirst step in ensuring continued market power.Pandora Group believes that Apple must successfully continue to grow itself, andrecommends that funding for research and development is sustained at current levels,or increased slightly. The infrastructure already in place from the creation of the iPodand iTunes should be expanded and used to further pursue options in other media suchas movies and television. Apple should take its momentum and current economies ofscale and scope in the DM industry and aim to be the chief distributor of all digitalmedia files in the near future. Looking to sign contracts with movie studios andtelevision contracts, Pandora Group recommends that Apple try and secure the rights toplay streaming television shows directly onto iPod’s. Surveys have shown that there isa demand market for it, and Apple is better positioned than any other company to offerthis service.One reason for the success of the iPod, iTunes and any future product that Applereleases is its channel of distribution. Apple’s new notebooks and digital musicproducts succeeded largely because they were released at the same time that Appleopened their own retail stores around the world. This strategic vertical integrationallowed Apple to chose its own store locations, price its own products, and educatePandora Group 37Out of the Box Consulting
  38. 38. customers on the specifics of their products. Because most of the goods Apple sells areexperience (credence) goods, consumers need to touch, see, hear and play with theproducts to determine if they want to buy it. Especially with less-savvy consumers,opening retail stores allowed Apple to connect with a customer base that they wouldhave never tapped into. In addition, by opening stores in Asia, Europe and NorthAmerica, Apple has established itself as a global presence. And because all of iTunes isinternet-based, Apple is able to expand with low marginal cost, and people far from anystore can still purchase Apple’s products.Because it produces a quality product, Apple has the opportunity to grow its marketshare in the PC market. Some analysts believe that Apple has the potential to reach a10-15% market share in the next several years, up from 3.3% today. Thus the issuebecomes how does Apple get its product in the hands of more consumers. Onerecommendation that Pandora Group has is for Apple to aggressively continue openingretail stores in different parts of the world. This retail store is a visible statement ofApple’s presence and an effective to get the Apple brand name in people’s minds beforeother companies do. Especially in China where the demand is growing the fastest,Apple has a distinctive product advantage in the PC market in terms of its hardwareand software (it has won numerous awards), and Apple needs to grab the marketbefore it is saturated with Dell, HP and Microsoft. Because soon after, people will beunwilling to switch their purchasing trends and Apple will have lost the first-moveradvantage. Yet, if it can establish its superior product in demand markets that have notalready invested both money and time in a competing product, customers will be morelikely to try and continue buying Apple PC’s and digital music products. Furthermore,two goals of Apple should be to find ways to get its product into the hands of kids (whoPandora Group 38Out of the Box Consulting
  39. 39. are not limited by their familiarity with Windows or Dell/HP computers), and toconvince long-time non-Apple adults to switch to a superior Apple product.One recommendation that Pandora Group has is for Apple to extend its distributionchannel of PC into the financial services market. IBM and Dell both have a largepresence in this market, and with the release of Boot Camp, Apple is now better poisedto establish an enterprise and financial services computing facet to its operations. Inaddition to the expansion into enterprise markets, Apple should continue to installcomputer labs with Apple machines and software in schools across the country and indeveloping nations. Not only does Apple have an advantage in primary and secondaryeducation software, but also if the company is able to familiarize kids with its productsat an early age, the kids are more likely to continue buying Apple products.Convincing people to switch to Apple from their familiar computer and operatingsystem is already a major obstacle for the company, putting the product in the hands ofkids who do not yet have ingrained preferences is a way to help alleviate this problem.Pandora Group recommends that Apple look into a program that allows potentialconsumers to rent or lease a computer at no charge for a short amount of time. Similarto test-driving a car, Apple should invite people to take a computer home for a week,play with it and then decide. As discussed previously, because computers areexperience goods (similar to cars), people need to touch, see and play with it to make apurchasing decision. And because of Apple’s aesthetically pleasing designs andgraphics, people will be interested in experimenting with the computers. With nocharge, no pressure (and possibly even a $100-$200 discount if they decide to purchasethe computer), people will be able to test-drive the Apple at the own pace. The firststep to selling someone a product is to put it in their hands, and because Apple has aPandora Group 39Out of the Box Consulting
  40. 40. quality product, it is a program that could generate significant revenue and help peopleovercome their own stubbornness. Apple has just released software that is compatiblewith Windows, trying to accommodate users worried about switching to Apple andbeing confused and frustrated. A free-trail program would be another step inalleviating people’s stress and creating incentives for taking a risk. Although it is truethat some PC companies now offer these programs, Pandora Group emphasizes theimportance of Apple doing this because of its historically rigid proprietary architecture.In step with restructuring the framework of the company to create ore flexibility, thisprogram is a great public avenue to display it.Addressing the second strategic issue, Pandora Group recommends that Applecontinue to reconstruct its architecture so that it is flexible enough to pursue moredrastic growth strategies such as acquisition and diversification. Under the vision ofJobs, there already exists an ecology at Apple of recreation and innovation, and Applehas shown it can withstand downturns in the past and recover. This ecology hascreated an architectural process that contains five key components: aesthetics, consumerelectronics, media savvy, ergonomics and information technology. It is the intersectionof these five structures that create new and successful products such as the iPod lineand iTunes. It is this ingrained process structure that enables long-term success ofprevious products, and the continued innovation and introduction of new products, tomeet shifting consumer demand. In no industry is this more important than in the PCand digital music industry, where technology and demand change rapidly. The inertiaof other companies into both markets with added research and development isinevitable and will erode Apple’s market power. So Apple must use its internalstructure to remain ahead of the competition. Thus, the Pandora Group recommendsPandora Group 40Out of the Box Consulting
  41. 41. that Apple expand their architecture a bit further and pursue the opportunities ofacquiring Pixar and possibly also Disney.With Jobs already heading Pixar’s remarkable rise within Disney, the synergy betweenApple and Pixar could not be more direct. Although Pandora Group cautions againstfollowing Sony’s decision to vertically integrate the entire operation and attempt tocross-sell theme parks with graphic design software, Apple does have an opportunity tocreate revenue synergies by entering into outside markets. This would provide Apple aunique distribution medium to channel its DM and PC arms. Pandora Grouprecommends an initial analysis be completed to determine some potential strengths andweaknesses of this venture. The distribution channels is what will make this synergysuccessful (or not) and the various avenues need to be explored.Another acquisition that Pandora Group recommends pursuing at the initial level isthat of entry into communications industry. Apple has already branched out its iPodline to be included in Cingular phones and Apple is already in production of its ownphone. With the hardware already manufactured and the media distribution channelsunder control, Apple can seize communications with more ease that other entrants, andcan cross-sell its phone with music and streaming media. Thus, if it already has thetechnology for streaming media, Apple can create its own communication channels.Microsoft has been discussing this option for some time, and Pandora Grouprecommends that Apple take at least a superficial look into this option.Lastly, Pandora wants to address the control of costs as Apple moves forward withgrowth and expansion. Although Pandora is not able to dissect Apple’s current coststructure at the moment, it is clear from the margins and recently sustained growth thatPandora Group 41Out of the Box Consulting
  42. 42. Apple is operating fairly efficiently. Much of this is due to the excellent management.The main challenge will come as Apple continues to grow, expand and the companybecomes less nimble and efficient. In certain areas, scale economies will be created(production plants and in-house accounts or lawyers), but other costs will rise. Inaddition to checking-in on the progress of other recommendations, Pandora Group willbe continually available for analysis and recommendations should any cost issues arise.Pandora Group 42Out of the Box Consulting
  43. 43. SourcesBank of America, Apple Computer Inc. Analyst Report (December 14, 2005)Citigroup, Apple Computer Inc. Analyst Report (January 19, 2005)Lehman Brothers, Apple Computer Inc. Analyst Report (December 16, 2005)PiperJaffray, Apple Computer Inc. Analyst Report (November 11, 2005)PiperJaffray, Apple Computer Inc. Analyst Report (September 6, 2005)Apple Computer Inc., Online Financial Summary 2005Apple 10K Online Investor Relations ReportS&P 500 Industry Report 2005 Group 43Out of the Box Consulting