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EMERGENT
EMERGENT Issue 1 - 25 July 2010




                                  A fortnightly
                                  newsletter
                                  brought to you
                                  by the Emerging
                                  Markets Club at
                                  the Indian School
                                  of Business


                                                      Reverse Innovation to Tap Market Potential in
                                                      Emerging Markets
                                                      A talk by Sudhakar Ramakrishna - VP, Motorola
                                                      Abhishek Nag and Prerna Jain
                                                      ‘Reverse Innovation’, a term introduced in a                           communication. This leads to the creation of new
                                                      landmark HBR article by Dartmouth professors                           opportunities and economic models. Case in
                                                      Vijay Govindarajan and Chris Trimble and GE’s                          point, YouTube would not be possible without
                                                      Jeff Immelt, refers to an innovation seen first, or                     widespread broadband access. India has one of
                                                      likely to be used first, in the developing world                        the lowest broadband penetrations in the world.
                                                      before spreading to the industrialized world. 
                        This presents an opportunity for firms and
                                                      
          The focus of Sudhakar Ramakrishna’s                         entrepreneurs to further innovate, address
                                                      talk was how firms can use reverse innovation to                        untapped opportunities and affect the growth of
                                                      tap market potential in emerging economies.                            India’s GDP directly and indirectly.
                                                           	     Addressing a lecture theater filled to                         
     India faces major infrastructure hurdles
                                                      capacity, Mr. Ramakrishna started the session by                       towards enabling broadband access. The current
                                                      quoting a study which has established a causal                         copper wire cables were never laid in anticipation
                                                      relationship between broadband penetration and                         of the high bandwidth. Adding new capacity
                                                                                                                             through optical fiber cables is going to be
                                                      per capita GDP growth. He explained that
                                                                                                                             expensive and time consuming. The only way out,
                                                      looking a little further, it is not hard to understand                 appears to be wireless broadband. This is a boon
                                                      why; if a government or entity takes conscious                         in disguise. We already have the business systems
                                                      efforts to increase broadband penetration, it                          in place for wireless access. Today, India adds the
                                                      spends on infrastructure (like laying fiber cables,                     equivalent of half of Canada’s population (15
                                                      building wireless towers etc.). This leads to job                      million) to the mobile phone subscriber base every
                                                      creation and a general fillip to the economic                           day! So, not only does India need broadband,
                                                      ecosystem in a region.                                                 wireless broadband is perhaps the only way to go.
                                                           
     A deliberate focus on increasing                            
       “So, where is the opportunity for reverse
                                                      b ro a d b a n d p e n e t r a t i o n a l s o f a c i l i t a t e s   innovation in all this?” asked Mr. Ramakrishna.


            1
EMERGENT Issue 1 - 25 July 2010
                                                                                                        “Reverse innovation is not only about cost
                                                                                                        reduction. India is not only about low
                                                                                                        cost. Cost is important, but, not critical.
                                                                                                        Innovation has to be tangible and
                                                                                                        sustainable and being low cost is never
                                                                                                        sustainable.”
                                                                                                        Sudhakar Ramakrishna




                                  India’s largest import in Q4 2009 was telecommunications            Sudhakar Ramakrishna is the Corporate Vice President & General
                                  infrastructure. Can we supply this massive local demand with        Manager, Wireless Broadband Access Solutions and Software
                                  local products instead? We have examples which suggest that         Operations at Motorola Home and Networks Mobility. At Motorola, he
                                  we can. Taiwan has an estimated 500,000 WiMAX                       leads global teams that are responsible for the design and deployment of
                                  subscribers. Yet, Taiwan is one of the largest exporters of         4G products and solutions for operators worldwide. His teams are also
                                                                                                      responsible for creating and driving revenue growth with innovative
                                  WiMAX equipment today. This is mainly because of
                                                                                                      software solutions that enable media mobility. Prior to Motorola, Mr.
                                  government support in the manufacturing and marketing of            Sudhakar Ramakrishna was Vice President of Product Operations at
                                  WiMAX devices. We could examine what steps Taiwan took              Stoke Inc.
                                  and learn from them                                                 	
       Mr. Ramakrishna holds an MBA from Kellogg and a Master in
                                  
         Shifting gears, Mr. Ramakrishna said, “Reverse            Science in Computer Science from Kansas State University. He holds and
                                  innovation is not only about cost reduction. India is not only      has filed several patents in telecommunications engineering..
                                  about low cost.” Cost is important, but, not critical, he said.
                                  Innovation has to be tangible and sustainable and being low
                                  cost is never sustainable. India needs to learn to build
                                  products to address local needs and then proliferate these
                                  innovations to the world. India does not have a talent
                                  problem but rather needs a more specialized, focused talent.
                                  
       In the final leg of his talk, Mr. Ramakrishna had some
                                  highly relevant advice for ISB students. “Think about
                                  unconventional ways of progressing in your careers. In the
                                  beginning, the going will be uphill, but, you will see much
                                  greener pastures later in life.” He also strongly encouraged
                                  young Indians to not be held back by the fear of failure. This
                                  is largely true and perhaps more so in the context of reverse
                                  innovation. “It is far simpler to believe in time tested concepts
                                  and ideas. Don’t hang on to ideas too long. Failure will teach
                                  you many things but it’s important to fail fast and then get        Info Box
                                  back up and try again.” The only caveat to this - Indian            One of the most common misconceptions about ‘reverse
                                  organizations still do not have a culture of encouraging            innovation’ is that it is the same as ‘disruptive innovation’.
                                  failures.
                                    
     Mr. Ramakrishna ended his insightful and inspiring          The HBR blog post Is Reverse Innovation Like
                                  talk with a quote from the CEO of a large retail chain who          Disruptive Innovation? clearly illustrates the differences
                                  when asked what kept him awake at night, replied, “I fear the       and relationships between the two concepts.
                                  day when my employees are not making enough mistakes!”


            2
EMERGENT Issue 1 - 25 July 2010
                                  It’s Speculation Vs. Regulation
                                  Anjani Bansal, Business and Finance Coordinator, Emerging Markets Club

                                  Sovereign risk, until recently, was a term reserved for the                    • It provides international portfolio diversification to
                                  developing world. All episodes of debt default in the past                   lenders.
                                  four decades originated in these countries. This happened                      • Helps in development of nascent financial markets.
                                  even when these countries had a debt-to-GDP ratio below                        • Reduces borrowing costs for government and private
                                  most advanced countries and well below the limit of 60%                      sector which makes it easier to deal with fluctuations and
                                  specified in the Maastricht Treaty of the European Union.                     income and smooth consumption.
                                  A typical response from foreign investors to default is capital
                                  flight leading to currency depreciation. However, 2010 has                           The “Absorptive Capacity” of economy to divert
                                  so far seen the same game being played in reverse with                     increased capital inflow towards investment and away from
                                  capital rushing into emerging markets as sovereign risks                   consumption is important in withstanding the negative
                                  increase in developed countries. In addition, near zero                    effects of large capital inflows. An efficient financial system
                                  interest rates in developed world have made investors chase                has a big influence on that. For example, the lack of a range
                                  higher yields in emerging markets.                                         of financial instruments may also divert capital to more
                                  
           Emerging economies, particularly Asian countries,              speculative investments like real estate. A less developed
                                  who are receiving this capital, are trying to put regulations              bond market makes it difficult for the central bank to
                                  and systems in place to deal with the double edged sword of                implement capital controls or sterilization tools. This
                                  Foreign Portfolio Investments (FPIs), also called                          increases the chances of “Dutch Disease”, where excess
                                  “ S p e c u l a t i ve C a p i t a l ” . T h e m e m o r i e s o f t h e   inflows cause negative effects like currency appreciation and
                                  unpredictability of foreign capital are still fresh from the               decline of export competitiveness.
                                  financial crisis of 1997. There are several reasons why
                                  EMEs are wary of excess capital inflows:

                                       • FPIs increase volatility in exchange rates which
                                    makes executing monetary policy difficult for the central
                                    bank.
                                       • Currency appreciation that follows capital inflows
                                    hurts exports of EMEs. This has strong negative effects
                                    particularly on export dependent small open economies
                                    like South Korea.
                                       • It may lead to credit expansion as commercial banks
                                    intermediate these inflows. This may lead to rise in
                                    consumption or inflate prices of equity, real estate or
                                    other assets. The figure above shows the strong
                                    correlation between stock market performance and FPIs
                                    into India. Experience in past crisis has established a
                                    causal relationship between FPIs and asset prices.
                                       • Inflation is another important factor for EMEs.
                                    India, currently grappling with core inflation at above                            To maintain financial stability in the face of large
                                    10%, is rightly more cautious about FPIs.                                influx of capital, EMEs have adopted a range of regulations
                                                                                                             and capital sterilization tools. For example, South Korea has
                                       • Capital inflows increase foreign exchange reserves
                                    and these reserves are used to buy domestic currency.                    placed limits on foreign exchange transactions that add to
                                    This increases the money supply leading to inflation.                     the Won’s volatility. Even the IMF, which has historically
                                                                                                             supported opening up of financial markets by EMEs, is
                                       • Countries try to control inflation through “Capital
                                    Sterilization” which is essentially reducing monetary base               recommending capital controls to tackle inflows. Countries
                                    through open market operations, promoting private                        have several direct and indirect sterilization measures at
                                    investments overseas and other methods. However, this                    their disposal. However, developing countries are taking a
                                    may backfire as interest rates may increase causing                       cautious approach as no one wants to reverse the trend of
                                    further increase in capital inflow and reducing investment                financial liberalization.
                                    and output.
                                                                                             Anjani Bansal is the Coordinator, Business and Finance at the
                                  Developing countries are increasingly adopting policies of Emerging Markets Club at the ISB. At the United Nations
                                  financial liberalization and have reaped benefits of Development Program he worked on developing sustainable livelihood
                                  increasing investments and encouraging economic growth. options and capacity building of local governance to implement the
                                  Increased capital inflow has its advantages:                decentralization schemes of the GoI. Prior to that, he worked at
                                                                                             Morgan Stanley, New York, in the equity derivatives division on pricing
                                       • It supplements domestic savings and stimulates and risk management of equity derivatives products.
                                    growth.                                                             He holds an MS in computer science from the University of
                                                                                             Louisiana at Lafayette and is specializing in analytical finance at ISB.


            3
Speaker Session Events
EMERGENT Issue 1 - 25 July 2010

                                  By the Emerging Markets Club
                                  India - The Kutcha Road to                                          Talk on Education and Skilling
                                  Riches                                                              By CEMS
                                  By Prof. Krishna B Kumar                                            “India is among the world’s largest market for education and
                                                                                                      training”. This statement set the tone for the presentation by
                                  Although “India Shining” did not get the BJP too far, India         Nimesh Mehta, who heads the Education and Skilling
                                  today, truly is shining. With a GDP growth rate consistently        vertical at CEMS. He was supported by Radhika
                                  above the 9% mark before the global recession hit, India is         Khandelwal from CEMS, Kartik Srivatsa from SONG
                                  the eleventh largest economy by market exchange rates               Investment Advisors, Mohit Varma and Deepak Agarwal
                                  (standing at a elephantine $1.2 trillion). India is also known as   from CAS. There has been a lot of talk about the inherent
                                  the knowledge laboratory of the world; in sharp contrast to         potential of the Education and Skilling sector in India and
                                  the days it was the country losing much of its human capital        understandably there was a lot of student interest. An
                                  through brain drain. In spite of these stellar grades on our        audience of nearly 40 students turned up for this event, just a
                                  report card, inequality exists and is probably far worse than       couple of days before Term 2 end-term exams!
                                  many of us imagine.                                                 	         During the session, it was highlighted that there is a
                                  
        Professor Krishna B Kumar’s talk focused on                lot of latent demand for education and this is being coupled
                                  highlighting these inequalities. For every problem, he also         with a rise in disposable income across all segments in India.
                                  threw tantalizing hints in the direction of possible solutions.     The government despite its best efforts has not been able to
                                                                                                      provide an adequate infrastructure to meet the demand. This
                                                                                                      has opened up a number of opportunities for entrepreneurs
                                                                                                      and firms to provide business solutions in the sector. 80% of
                                                                                                      the fund managers are looking to invest in the education
                                                                                                      sector due to factors like the high rates of return, revenue
                                                                                                      predictability and to meet the large unmet demand.
                                                                                                      
         The education sector can be looked at as comprising
                                                                                                      of 4 distinct segments – pre-schools, schooling and tutorials,
                                                                                                      higher education and test preparation and vocational/
                                                                                                      corporate training. The schooling and tutorials segment
                                                                                                      offers opportunities in areas like content, test preparation,
                                                                                                      teacher training and supplies and management. Some of
                                                                                                      these areas can be extended to offer solutions in the higher
                                                                                                      education segment as well. A relatively untapped segment is
                                  	         Addressing a capacity audience of close to 100            the vocational/corporate training sector and a lot of activity
                                  students, Professor Kumar stressed the need for equality not        is happening in this segment.
                                  only as a moral imperative, but also as a political imperative
                                  to ensure stability and progress of reforms.
                                  
         One of the biggest reasons for the increasing
                                  inequality between the middle class and the poor (80% of
                                  India’s population subsists on less than $2 a day) according to
                                  Professor Kumar is the lagging productivity in the
                                  agricultural sector. Through hard-hitting data and charts, he
                                  then went on to prove that the biggest driver for this abysmal
                                  productivity is the low penetration of education. So much so
                                  that education levels and agricultural productivity track each
                                  other nearly perfectly. Professor Kumar also made the case
                                  for better infrastructure and the availability of technology in
                                  the farming sector. Professor Kumar suggested that the only
                                  levers to inclusive and sustainable growth for India are
                                  education, infrastructure and health. As closing comments,
                                  he stressed that simultaneously addressing high-tech and            
         This was a very informative session as the entire
                                  inclusive growth, is one of India’s greatest challenges going       value chain of the sector was mapped. Opportunities were
                                  forward; necessary because capitalism and entrepreneurship          highlighted across the entire spectrum from scalable online/
                                  are really tools for everyone to prosper not just the rich.         technology models, vocational training to infrastructure
                                  
         The audience was left truly inspired by the talk and      building. To round off the session, Kartik Srivatsa give an
                                  the Q&A session lasted for an hour. A comment from one of           investor’s perspective into the sector. All in all, for the
                                  the attendees - “This is exactly what I came to ISB for!”.          attendees it was an hour well spent and we hope to have
                                                                                                      more such events in the future.

            4
Articles of Note From the World
EMERGENT Issue 1 - 25 July 2010

                                  Relevant to Emerging Markets
                                  Urbanization                                                   Diageo Plans to Launch Local Brands in India
                                                                                                 Diageo, the world’s largest maker of alcoholic drinks
                                  Comparing Urbanization in China and India                      including Johnnie Walker whisky and Smirnoff vodka, plans
                                  China and India are both urbanizing rapidly, but China has to launch some local brands in India after a break of eight
                                  embraced and shaped the process, while India is still waking years.
                                  up to its urban realities and opportunities. Read more in this
                                  insightful McKinsey Quarterly article.
                                                                                                    Business and Finance
                                  Indian Public Private Partnership Project Headlines Mexico: Downward Drift
                                  A smattering a headlines related to public private Latin America’s second-largest economy is just emerging
                                  partnerships, from the government of India.                     from its worst downturn since 1932, contracting 6.5 per cent
                                                                                                  last year. Average annual growth since 2000 has been a

                                  Education                                                       disappointing 1.9 per cent – considerably lower than the 3.2
                                                                                                  per cent racked up by Brazil, Latin America’s largest
                                  Skill Training Institutes Likely to See Capital Influx economy, or the regional average of 3 per cent. Instead of
                                  Higher education, corporate training and vocational skill accelerating down the path of development, Mexico seems to
                                  training will attract private equity and venture capital in the have lost its way.
                                  short term, while school education will do so in the longer
                                  term, says a new report, Education Sector in India, from
                                  investment bank Avendus Capital Pvt. Ltd.                         Sports Management
                                                                                                  IMG, Reliance in Deal to Develop Indian Basketball
                                  Too Cool for School                                             Sports and entertainment agency IMG and Indian
                                  A TechCrunch article on how innovative companies are conglomerate Reliance Industries have scored an agreement
                                  using online/mobile education to reach the bottom of the that could eventually lead to the formation of an Indian
                                  pyramid in emerging markets like India.                         professional basketball league.


                                  Public Policy and Governance
                                  E-governance to Combat Corruption in the Asia
                                  Pacific Region
                                  The introduction of ICT can reduce corruption by
                                  improving the enforcement of rules, lessening the discretion
                                  of officials, and increasing transparency. This article from the
                                  Asian Development Bank examines through cases, the
                                  successes and challenges of using e-governance to reduce
                                  corruption.


                                  Lifestyle Businesses
                                  An Interview with Dilip Kapur, Founder and
                                  President of Hidesign
                                  Hidesign is a hippie brand that was born in the late 1970s.
                                  Today, it’s a flourishing 30-year-old that is mainstream in
                                  both its availability and its brand values. Dilip Kapur,
                                  founder and president of the Puducherry-based company, is
                                  now straddling the upmarket, luxury end of the business with
                                  Louis Vuitton buying a stake in his company and also wooing
                                  the value-conscious Indian shopper with Holii, his
                                  partnership with Kishore Biyani’s Future Group.              If you want to write for EMERGENT or have feedback for
                                                                                               us, please email:
                                  Auromatrix to Roll Out More Aloft Brand Hotels of
                                  Starwood                                                     Santosh Reddy N
                                  Chennai-based Auromatrix Hotels, which is into hospitality President - EMC, Class of 2011
                                  business since 1990, has charted out plans to roll out more
                                  "Aloft" branded four star properties of Starwood Hotels & Abhishek Nag
                                  Resorts World-wide Inc.                                      Knowledge Initiatives Coordinator - EMC, Class of 2011


            5

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Reverse Innovation to Tap Market Potential in Emerging Markets

  • 1. EMERGENT EMERGENT Issue 1 - 25 July 2010 A fortnightly newsletter brought to you by the Emerging Markets Club at the Indian School of Business Reverse Innovation to Tap Market Potential in Emerging Markets A talk by Sudhakar Ramakrishna - VP, Motorola Abhishek Nag and Prerna Jain ‘Reverse Innovation’, a term introduced in a communication. This leads to the creation of new landmark HBR article by Dartmouth professors opportunities and economic models. Case in Vijay Govindarajan and Chris Trimble and GE’s point, YouTube would not be possible without Jeff Immelt, refers to an innovation seen first, or widespread broadband access. India has one of likely to be used first, in the developing world the lowest broadband penetrations in the world. before spreading to the industrialized world. This presents an opportunity for firms and The focus of Sudhakar Ramakrishna’s entrepreneurs to further innovate, address talk was how firms can use reverse innovation to untapped opportunities and affect the growth of tap market potential in emerging economies. India’s GDP directly and indirectly. Addressing a lecture theater filled to India faces major infrastructure hurdles capacity, Mr. Ramakrishna started the session by towards enabling broadband access. The current quoting a study which has established a causal copper wire cables were never laid in anticipation relationship between broadband penetration and of the high bandwidth. Adding new capacity through optical fiber cables is going to be per capita GDP growth. He explained that expensive and time consuming. The only way out, looking a little further, it is not hard to understand appears to be wireless broadband. This is a boon why; if a government or entity takes conscious in disguise. We already have the business systems efforts to increase broadband penetration, it in place for wireless access. Today, India adds the spends on infrastructure (like laying fiber cables, equivalent of half of Canada’s population (15 building wireless towers etc.). This leads to job million) to the mobile phone subscriber base every creation and a general fillip to the economic day! So, not only does India need broadband, ecosystem in a region. wireless broadband is perhaps the only way to go. A deliberate focus on increasing “So, where is the opportunity for reverse b ro a d b a n d p e n e t r a t i o n a l s o f a c i l i t a t e s innovation in all this?” asked Mr. Ramakrishna. 1
  • 2. EMERGENT Issue 1 - 25 July 2010 “Reverse innovation is not only about cost reduction. India is not only about low cost. Cost is important, but, not critical. Innovation has to be tangible and sustainable and being low cost is never sustainable.” Sudhakar Ramakrishna India’s largest import in Q4 2009 was telecommunications Sudhakar Ramakrishna is the Corporate Vice President & General infrastructure. Can we supply this massive local demand with Manager, Wireless Broadband Access Solutions and Software local products instead? We have examples which suggest that Operations at Motorola Home and Networks Mobility. At Motorola, he we can. Taiwan has an estimated 500,000 WiMAX leads global teams that are responsible for the design and deployment of subscribers. Yet, Taiwan is one of the largest exporters of 4G products and solutions for operators worldwide. His teams are also responsible for creating and driving revenue growth with innovative WiMAX equipment today. This is mainly because of software solutions that enable media mobility. Prior to Motorola, Mr. government support in the manufacturing and marketing of Sudhakar Ramakrishna was Vice President of Product Operations at WiMAX devices. We could examine what steps Taiwan took Stoke Inc. and learn from them   Mr. Ramakrishna holds an MBA from Kellogg and a Master in Shifting gears, Mr. Ramakrishna said, “Reverse Science in Computer Science from Kansas State University. He holds and innovation is not only about cost reduction. India is not only has filed several patents in telecommunications engineering.. about low cost.” Cost is important, but, not critical, he said. Innovation has to be tangible and sustainable and being low cost is never sustainable. India needs to learn to build products to address local needs and then proliferate these innovations to the world. India does not have a talent problem but rather needs a more specialized, focused talent. In the final leg of his talk, Mr. Ramakrishna had some highly relevant advice for ISB students. “Think about unconventional ways of progressing in your careers. In the beginning, the going will be uphill, but, you will see much greener pastures later in life.” He also strongly encouraged young Indians to not be held back by the fear of failure. This is largely true and perhaps more so in the context of reverse innovation. “It is far simpler to believe in time tested concepts and ideas. Don’t hang on to ideas too long. Failure will teach you many things but it’s important to fail fast and then get Info Box back up and try again.” The only caveat to this - Indian One of the most common misconceptions about ‘reverse organizations still do not have a culture of encouraging innovation’ is that it is the same as ‘disruptive innovation’. failures. Mr. Ramakrishna ended his insightful and inspiring The HBR blog post Is Reverse Innovation Like talk with a quote from the CEO of a large retail chain who Disruptive Innovation? clearly illustrates the differences when asked what kept him awake at night, replied, “I fear the and relationships between the two concepts. day when my employees are not making enough mistakes!” 2
  • 3. EMERGENT Issue 1 - 25 July 2010 It’s Speculation Vs. Regulation Anjani Bansal, Business and Finance Coordinator, Emerging Markets Club Sovereign risk, until recently, was a term reserved for the • It provides international portfolio diversification to developing world. All episodes of debt default in the past lenders. four decades originated in these countries. This happened • Helps in development of nascent financial markets. even when these countries had a debt-to-GDP ratio below • Reduces borrowing costs for government and private most advanced countries and well below the limit of 60% sector which makes it easier to deal with fluctuations and specified in the Maastricht Treaty of the European Union. income and smooth consumption. A typical response from foreign investors to default is capital flight leading to currency depreciation. However, 2010 has The “Absorptive Capacity” of economy to divert so far seen the same game being played in reverse with increased capital inflow towards investment and away from capital rushing into emerging markets as sovereign risks consumption is important in withstanding the negative increase in developed countries. In addition, near zero effects of large capital inflows. An efficient financial system interest rates in developed world have made investors chase has a big influence on that. For example, the lack of a range higher yields in emerging markets. of financial instruments may also divert capital to more Emerging economies, particularly Asian countries, speculative investments like real estate. A less developed who are receiving this capital, are trying to put regulations bond market makes it difficult for the central bank to and systems in place to deal with the double edged sword of implement capital controls or sterilization tools. This Foreign Portfolio Investments (FPIs), also called increases the chances of “Dutch Disease”, where excess “ S p e c u l a t i ve C a p i t a l ” . T h e m e m o r i e s o f t h e inflows cause negative effects like currency appreciation and unpredictability of foreign capital are still fresh from the decline of export competitiveness. financial crisis of 1997. There are several reasons why EMEs are wary of excess capital inflows: • FPIs increase volatility in exchange rates which makes executing monetary policy difficult for the central bank. • Currency appreciation that follows capital inflows hurts exports of EMEs. This has strong negative effects particularly on export dependent small open economies like South Korea. • It may lead to credit expansion as commercial banks intermediate these inflows. This may lead to rise in consumption or inflate prices of equity, real estate or other assets. The figure above shows the strong correlation between stock market performance and FPIs into India. Experience in past crisis has established a causal relationship between FPIs and asset prices. • Inflation is another important factor for EMEs. India, currently grappling with core inflation at above To maintain financial stability in the face of large 10%, is rightly more cautious about FPIs. influx of capital, EMEs have adopted a range of regulations and capital sterilization tools. For example, South Korea has • Capital inflows increase foreign exchange reserves and these reserves are used to buy domestic currency. placed limits on foreign exchange transactions that add to This increases the money supply leading to inflation. the Won’s volatility. Even the IMF, which has historically supported opening up of financial markets by EMEs, is • Countries try to control inflation through “Capital Sterilization” which is essentially reducing monetary base recommending capital controls to tackle inflows. Countries through open market operations, promoting private have several direct and indirect sterilization measures at investments overseas and other methods. However, this their disposal. However, developing countries are taking a may backfire as interest rates may increase causing cautious approach as no one wants to reverse the trend of further increase in capital inflow and reducing investment financial liberalization. and output. Anjani Bansal is the Coordinator, Business and Finance at the Developing countries are increasingly adopting policies of Emerging Markets Club at the ISB. At the United Nations financial liberalization and have reaped benefits of Development Program he worked on developing sustainable livelihood increasing investments and encouraging economic growth. options and capacity building of local governance to implement the Increased capital inflow has its advantages: decentralization schemes of the GoI. Prior to that, he worked at Morgan Stanley, New York, in the equity derivatives division on pricing • It supplements domestic savings and stimulates and risk management of equity derivatives products. growth. He holds an MS in computer science from the University of Louisiana at Lafayette and is specializing in analytical finance at ISB. 3
  • 4. Speaker Session Events EMERGENT Issue 1 - 25 July 2010 By the Emerging Markets Club India - The Kutcha Road to Talk on Education and Skilling Riches By CEMS By Prof. Krishna B Kumar “India is among the world’s largest market for education and training”. This statement set the tone for the presentation by Although “India Shining” did not get the BJP too far, India Nimesh Mehta, who heads the Education and Skilling today, truly is shining. With a GDP growth rate consistently vertical at CEMS. He was supported by Radhika above the 9% mark before the global recession hit, India is Khandelwal from CEMS, Kartik Srivatsa from SONG the eleventh largest economy by market exchange rates Investment Advisors, Mohit Varma and Deepak Agarwal (standing at a elephantine $1.2 trillion). India is also known as from CAS. There has been a lot of talk about the inherent the knowledge laboratory of the world; in sharp contrast to potential of the Education and Skilling sector in India and the days it was the country losing much of its human capital understandably there was a lot of student interest. An through brain drain. In spite of these stellar grades on our audience of nearly 40 students turned up for this event, just a report card, inequality exists and is probably far worse than couple of days before Term 2 end-term exams! many of us imagine. During the session, it was highlighted that there is a Professor Krishna B Kumar’s talk focused on lot of latent demand for education and this is being coupled highlighting these inequalities. For every problem, he also with a rise in disposable income across all segments in India. threw tantalizing hints in the direction of possible solutions. The government despite its best efforts has not been able to provide an adequate infrastructure to meet the demand. This has opened up a number of opportunities for entrepreneurs and firms to provide business solutions in the sector. 80% of the fund managers are looking to invest in the education sector due to factors like the high rates of return, revenue predictability and to meet the large unmet demand. The education sector can be looked at as comprising of 4 distinct segments – pre-schools, schooling and tutorials, higher education and test preparation and vocational/ corporate training. The schooling and tutorials segment offers opportunities in areas like content, test preparation, teacher training and supplies and management. Some of these areas can be extended to offer solutions in the higher education segment as well. A relatively untapped segment is Addressing a capacity audience of close to 100 the vocational/corporate training sector and a lot of activity students, Professor Kumar stressed the need for equality not is happening in this segment. only as a moral imperative, but also as a political imperative to ensure stability and progress of reforms. One of the biggest reasons for the increasing inequality between the middle class and the poor (80% of India’s population subsists on less than $2 a day) according to Professor Kumar is the lagging productivity in the agricultural sector. Through hard-hitting data and charts, he then went on to prove that the biggest driver for this abysmal productivity is the low penetration of education. So much so that education levels and agricultural productivity track each other nearly perfectly. Professor Kumar also made the case for better infrastructure and the availability of technology in the farming sector. Professor Kumar suggested that the only levers to inclusive and sustainable growth for India are education, infrastructure and health. As closing comments, he stressed that simultaneously addressing high-tech and This was a very informative session as the entire inclusive growth, is one of India’s greatest challenges going value chain of the sector was mapped. Opportunities were forward; necessary because capitalism and entrepreneurship highlighted across the entire spectrum from scalable online/ are really tools for everyone to prosper not just the rich. technology models, vocational training to infrastructure The audience was left truly inspired by the talk and building. To round off the session, Kartik Srivatsa give an the Q&A session lasted for an hour. A comment from one of investor’s perspective into the sector. All in all, for the the attendees - “This is exactly what I came to ISB for!”. attendees it was an hour well spent and we hope to have more such events in the future. 4
  • 5. Articles of Note From the World EMERGENT Issue 1 - 25 July 2010 Relevant to Emerging Markets Urbanization Diageo Plans to Launch Local Brands in India Diageo, the world’s largest maker of alcoholic drinks Comparing Urbanization in China and India including Johnnie Walker whisky and Smirnoff vodka, plans China and India are both urbanizing rapidly, but China has to launch some local brands in India after a break of eight embraced and shaped the process, while India is still waking years. up to its urban realities and opportunities. Read more in this insightful McKinsey Quarterly article. Business and Finance Indian Public Private Partnership Project Headlines Mexico: Downward Drift A smattering a headlines related to public private Latin America’s second-largest economy is just emerging partnerships, from the government of India. from its worst downturn since 1932, contracting 6.5 per cent last year. Average annual growth since 2000 has been a Education disappointing 1.9 per cent – considerably lower than the 3.2 per cent racked up by Brazil, Latin America’s largest Skill Training Institutes Likely to See Capital Influx economy, or the regional average of 3 per cent. Instead of Higher education, corporate training and vocational skill accelerating down the path of development, Mexico seems to training will attract private equity and venture capital in the have lost its way. short term, while school education will do so in the longer term, says a new report, Education Sector in India, from investment bank Avendus Capital Pvt. Ltd. Sports Management IMG, Reliance in Deal to Develop Indian Basketball Too Cool for School Sports and entertainment agency IMG and Indian A TechCrunch article on how innovative companies are conglomerate Reliance Industries have scored an agreement using online/mobile education to reach the bottom of the that could eventually lead to the formation of an Indian pyramid in emerging markets like India. professional basketball league. Public Policy and Governance E-governance to Combat Corruption in the Asia Pacific Region The introduction of ICT can reduce corruption by improving the enforcement of rules, lessening the discretion of officials, and increasing transparency. This article from the Asian Development Bank examines through cases, the successes and challenges of using e-governance to reduce corruption. Lifestyle Businesses An Interview with Dilip Kapur, Founder and President of Hidesign Hidesign is a hippie brand that was born in the late 1970s. Today, it’s a flourishing 30-year-old that is mainstream in both its availability and its brand values. Dilip Kapur, founder and president of the Puducherry-based company, is now straddling the upmarket, luxury end of the business with Louis Vuitton buying a stake in his company and also wooing the value-conscious Indian shopper with Holii, his partnership with Kishore Biyani’s Future Group. If you want to write for EMERGENT or have feedback for us, please email: Auromatrix to Roll Out More Aloft Brand Hotels of Starwood Santosh Reddy N Chennai-based Auromatrix Hotels, which is into hospitality President - EMC, Class of 2011 business since 1990, has charted out plans to roll out more "Aloft" branded four star properties of Starwood Hotels & Abhishek Nag Resorts World-wide Inc. Knowledge Initiatives Coordinator - EMC, Class of 2011 5