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Containerport markets in the americas to 2020

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Containerport demand growth in the Americas has accelerated in recent years. Booming imports from Asia and the above-average economic growth of western US states have put particular pressure on ports ...

Containerport demand growth in the Americas has accelerated in recent years. Booming imports from Asia and the above-average economic growth of western US states have put particular pressure on ports on North America’s Pacific seaboard. There are concerns about the capacity of these ports and intermodal systems to handle continued long-term growth in demand. The expansion of Panama Canal capacity and increases in all-water services to the east coast will provide an alternative route. The development of Mexican ports could provide another.

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    Containerport markets in the americas to 2020 Containerport markets in the americas to 2020 Document Transcript

    • Containerport Markets in the Americas to 2020Containerport demand growth in the Americas has accelerated in recent years. Booming importsfrom Asia and the above-average economic growth of western US states have put particularpressure on ports on North America’s Pacific seaboard. There are concerns about the capacity ofthese ports and intermodal systems to handle continued long-term growth in demand. Theexpansion of Panama Canal capacity and increases in all-water services to the east coast willprovide an alternative route. The development of Mexican ports could provide another.This complex combination of factors is analysed in this new study. It provides forecasts of NorthAmerican containerport demand to 2020, based on the expected economic expansion of regionalhinterlands and anticipated market shares of each port range, including the Mexican Pacific.Containerport demand in Latin America and the Caribbean has also expanded strongly,particularly in Brazil, where recently privatised port operations have difficulty keeping up withthe strength of the country’s exports. Further growth in these markets will be spurred by thecontinued expansion of relay and hub-and-spoke transshipment centres on both sides of theCentral American isthmus.The study analyses both import/export and transshipment markets, and provides new forecasts ofcontainerport demand in Latin America and the Caribbean.An "increased-risk" scenario is included to reflect the possibility of protectionist measures orother shock to trade, brought about by concerns about the US trade deficit.The overall outlook is, nevertheless, for strong long-term demand growth, based on regionaleconomic expansion and increasing transshipment demand.The major regions covered in Containerport Markets in the Americas to 2020 are:*North America:▪ Pacific North ▪ Atlantic North ▪ US Gulf Coast ▪ US Pacific South ▪ Atlantic South ▪ MexicanGulf Coast ▪ Mexican Pacific*Central America/Caribbean Basin:▪ Caribbean islands ▪ Other Caribbean basin ▪ Central American Pacific*South America:▪ Atlantic ▪ PacificOn the supply side, current investment projects and plans are reviewed in detail. The resultantprospective development of port capacity is quantified to 2015. This provides the basis forcomparing demand and supply, in order to identify potential surplus capacity or shortfalls. Thelevel of capacity utilisation will indicate the likely direction of container handling prices.Containerport productivity is analysed by country or port range, in terms of TEUs per metre of
    • container quays, and TEUs per quayside container gantry crane.Table of Contents :Section 1 of Containerport Markets in the Americas to 2020 : Introduction And ExecutiveSummaryThe summary and conclusions for the study are presented here.Section 2 of Containerport Markets in the Americas to 2020 : Driving Forces And StrategicIssuesThe Section reviews the broad macroeconomic framework within which trade in containerisedgoods has expanded. After four decades of expansion, can the containerised trades continue theirpattern of rapid growth? This Section seeks to address this question by analysing factors whichcould limit expansion. The changing structure of the containerport industry is also considered,covering such issues as increasing vessel size and port depth, transshipment, the role ofinternational stevedoring companies and carriers in terminal operation, as well as carrieralliances and regional shipping trends.Section 3 of Containerport Markets in the Americas to 2020 :Development Of Regional Containerport DemandDemand trends are analysed by port for the following port regions :• North America: Containerport demand is being driven by imports of consumer goods and therelocation of domestic manufacturing to lower-cost economies notably China. The pressure onwest-coast ports to handle transpacific cargoes for the whole north continent has led to anincrease in all-water services to the east coast (via Panama and Suez).This port region is defined to include the USA, Canada and Mexico.• Caribbean Basin/Central America: The principal driving force for containerport demand growthin this region has been transshipment, which has expanded considerably more rapidly thanimport/export container handling demand. Ports in the Caribbean islands, Panama, Venezuelaand Colombia provide the main centre for transshipment between east-west and north-southservices, and a new transshipment hub is rapidly being established on the Pacific side of thePanama Canal. This port region comprises ports in the Caribbean islands, Costa Rica, Honduras,Guatemala, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Belize, Panama, Venezuela and Colombia’s Caribbeanseaboard.• South America: Recent container port demand growth in this region has focused on expandingAtlantic-seaboard demand, brought about by the rapid expansion of Brazil’s economy andexports. However, Pacific-seaboard demand continues to expand strongly too. Peru is the mostrecent country to invite private-sector investment in the development of its ports sector.This port region is defined to include:
    • - Atlantic seaboard: Brazil, Argentina and Uruguay;- Pacific seaboard: Chile, Peru, Ecuador and Pacific Colombia.Section 4 of Containerport Markets in the Americas to 2020 :Containerport Demand Forecasts to 2020The historical relationships between growth in GDP and that in non-transshipment containerhandling demand in the Americas are examined in this Section. A framework is established forthe economic cases which are used in forecasting container port demand. GDP forecasts to 2020are provided by country and North American hinterland region.Containerport demand forecasts to 2020 are presented for each country or port range. Analysis ofthe distribution of North American container port demand is used to forecast demand accordingto a matrix of port range and hinterland region.Container transshipment demand forecasts for the Caribbean Basin/Central America region arederived from the anticipated relation with continental GDP growth, bearing in mind the roles ofincreasing vessel size, individual carrier decisions, available port capacity and other regionalfactors in converting direct to transshipped flows.In addition to high and low economic growth scenarios, a third scenario is presented to reflectthe increased risk of a short-term shock to trade interrupting prevailing growth trends.Section 5 of Containerport Markets in the Americas to 2020 :Containerport Investment Plans to 2015The Section presents a comprehensive review of current and planned containerport investmentprojects. This provides the basis for capacity forecasts to 2015. (Beyond such a timescale,investment plans become too speculative to derive reasonable capacity forecasts by this method.)Section 6 of Containerport Markets in the Americas to 2020 :Containerport Capacity & Supply/Demand ForecastsBy aggregating the planned capacity additions from the foregoing Section, the implieddevelopment of container handling capacity at regional ports is detailed here. The anticipatedsupply/demand balance is quantified in terms of forecast port capacity and throughput to 2015.From this, indications of future port utilisation are derived, and likely areas of excess capacity orshortfall are identified.Section 7 of Containerport Markets in the Americas to 2020 :Containerport Productivity by Country or RangeThis Section analyses the development of containerport facilities by country or port range, interms of the length of quayage devoted to container handling and the number of quaysidecontainer gantry cranes. This development is compared with throughput to calculate average
    • productivity per metre of container quay and per container gantry crane, for each country or portrange.For more information, please visit :http://www.aarkstore.com/reports/Containerport-Markets-in-the-Americas-to-2020-13641.htmlContact :SanaaAarkstore EnterpriseTel : +912227453309Mobile No: +919272852585Email : contact@aarkstore.com