What Do Future Technology and Trends Mean for You?

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Keynote for the Pre-Conference of #AFCPE30

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  • http://www.flickr.com/photos/nationalinfantrymuseum/7218133344/
  • http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Nick_Saban_09_Practice.jpg
  • http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Nick_Saban_09_Practice.jpg
    Coach Saban instills “Confident Paranoia” in his players. Each has to keep improving. When one player does not improve but the players behind him improves, the first player loses his position.
  • http://www.flickr.com/photos/janitors/9193371148/
    Dead as we had known these companies.
    Blockbuster is dead
    Kodak has adjusted but lost lots of market share
    Blackberry may survive via another company—but with a different strategy.
    Cooperative Extension cannot identify the “players” behind us but we do know that the environment is changing and if we don’t continue to improve and adjust we can be replaced. We need to have a level of confident paranoia.
  • We need to reach more people and to make a difference to more people. Another study indicates Cooperative Extension is losing around 10% of our reach each decade.
  • The good news is that for those who have used Cooperative Extension they believe Cooperative Extension is valuable. The Ask an Expert eXtension widget attracts people who are new to Cooperative Extension.
  • Social media is more than Facebook and Twitter. One value of many social media tools is that we have new ways to socially learn and socially collaborate without regard to geography.
    WikipediaFacebookTwitterTextingSmartphonePinterestLinkedInGroup messagingBlogging
    GoogleDocs
    Google +
    GoogleNow
    Evernote
    Foursquare
    Hootsuite
    Vine
    FaceTime
  • http://www.flickr.com/photos/trekkingrinjani/4930552641/
    During this slide I ask the audience about their reactions to lots of social media terms.
  • The online abilities afford many aspects of change.
    Democratization and fast flowing information
    Changed frameworks
    Behavior change
    Cultural impacts
    Opportunities
    Concerns (e.g. privacy)
    Challenges (e.g. information and data overload, confirming of reliability).
    Changes in privacy
    Confirming reliability
    Overwhelming information
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/gwire/3397651143/
  • Social media is not just tools but are the foundation for changing “tribal behavior” Can build tribes on a global scale that are formed because of shared opinions, hearts and souls and passions? The joining of forces have its advantage in creating social change. Also the joining of forces or the forming of tribes can create a more polarized commentary and shared opinion.
    Social learning looks more like a wirearchy (Jon Husband coined this term) and not like hierarchy
    The 4 Cs Framework of Social Media
    Beth Kanter’s work
    http://beth.typepad.com/beths_blog/2009/07/guest-post-by-gaurav-mishra-the-4cs-social-media-framework.html
    Content
    Collaboration
    Community
    Collective Intelligence
    Every tribe becomes a media channel
    No one is in charge
    Geographic boundaries are diminished as people flock together with similar interests can also be support systems.
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/tschiae/8417927326/
  • http://www.flickr.com/photos/taedc/6514039527/
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/taedc/6514035905/
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/opensourceway/4371000486/
    http://www.people-press.org/2013/08/08/amid-criticism-support-for-medias-watchdog-role-stands-out/
    Andrea Lunsford, at Stanford University studied more than 800 freshman composition papers from 2006 and compared them to similar papers in 1986, 1930 and 1917. Critics of the current digital-social media era would have hypothesized a decline in grammar, spelling and word use. Lunsford found no such decline. In fact, she found a significant positive change. Freshman writing in the modern era had expanded in length and intellectual complexity.
    More people get their news from the Internet
    There is a greater expectation of openness, transparency, availability, and access.
  • http://www.people-press.org/2013/08/08/amid-criticism-support-for-medias-watchdog-role-stands-out/
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/usarmyafrica/4400689525/
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/reivax/10111700495/
    The social ties increased with people they don’t know when culture was similar in other countries
    http://www.wrbrpapers.com/static/documents/March/2012/7.%20Nergis.pdf
    Because of social media, there is a greater awareness of political events. In some cases, developing understanding across cultures and in other cases intensifying the polarization of issues.
    Accountability is sometimes driven by individuals---not just assigned agencies.
  • Opportunities
    Greater diversity in thought
    Creativity and innovation
    Empowerment
    Increased effectiveness (being able sense trends and assess needs sooner)
    Greater reach
    Impacting in areas we have not before
    Increasing capacity
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/edublogger/9975820805/
  • Concerns (e.g. privacy)
    Challenges (e.g. information and data overload, confirming of reliability).
    Concerns of privacy come about with the availability of big data, targeting marketing, geolocation services, and government oversight.
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/alancleaver/4105726930/
  • Challenges (e.g. information and data overload, confirming of reliability
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/deapeajay/1928521563/
    We have to learn to filter and confirm information.
    At the same time increase the diversity of information and diversity of sources.
  • http://www.flickr.com/photos/mathplourde/10425003764/
    These are some of the technologies that will change our work and how we live.
    For instance, Driverless cars will enable us to work, read, sleep etc while in the car. Driverless cars may mean we need fewer cars and the car can drop a person off and return to a destination for use by someone else. This may also mean that we would share cars with others (outside of our family members). What does that scenario do for the economics of autosales and manufacturing? The business models may change.
  • http://www.flickr.com/photos/peddhapati/9610022099/
  • Communications look like this. People are networked and the networks are joined and chained.
  • We want to know how we can stand out. There is little we can do to stand out in the crowd with everyone having a voice and creating information.
  • We have to learn to work in a networked society, creating online relationships, and leveraging connections and networks,
  • http://www.flickr.com/photos/opensourceway/4749431651/
    Five variables determine users‟ perceptions of social networking: trust, relationship, loyalty, value and word of mouth. When people communicate through social networking tools, they are likely to perceive the suggestions of people whom they know as credible and trustworthy (Howard2007). Social network users also develop relationships with those who have similar interests (Bickart & Schindler 2001), and show loyalty to the network they choose (Harridge-March2009) and identify themselves with.
  • This is indication of closed vs. opened access technologies.
  • We have to get better at sharing and learning in the open.
  • These skills are adapted from the Institute of the Future Work Skills 2020
  • These skills are adapted from the Institute of the Future Work Skills 2020
  • These skills are adapted from the Institute of the Future
  • Most of these abilities are adapted from the Institute of the Future
  • What Do Future Technology and Trends Mean for You?

    1. 1. What Do Future Technology and Trends Mean for You? #AFCPE30 November 20, 2013 Anne Mims Adrian @aafromaa aadrian@extension.org slideshare.net/aafromaa
    2. 2. Who is this man?
    3. 3. Nick Saban Head Football Coach University of Alabama 4 National Championships 4 SEC Championships Recruits great players
    4. 4. Confident Paranoia His “great” players know that someone can take their place or they can take others’ places. Individual players continue to improve. Players know complacency will result in a loss of position for themselves and the team.
    5. 5. Dead Died from within
    6. 6. 2008 Copernicus Survey
    7. 7. Good News 2008 Copernicus Survey: Those who have used Cooperative Extension believe Cooperative Extension is valuable. Ask an Expert Survey: Those who asked a question via the web using the Ask an Expert widget were new to Cooperative Extension.
    8. 8. MOOCs Massive Open Online Courses
    9. 9. What do you see, how do you react, and how do you feel?
    10. 10. Democratization and fast flowing information Changed frameworks Behavior change Cultural impacts Opportunities Changes in privacy Concerns of reliability Overwhelming amount of information
    11. 11. Changed Frameworks Democratized accountability Wirearchy not hierarchy No one is in charge Every tribe (community) is a channel Communities form and flow with shared interests and passions
    12. 12. Changes is Behavior and Expectations
    13. 13. Cultural Impacts
    14. 14. Opportunities Greater diversity in thought Creativity and innovation Empowerment Increased effectiveness (being able sense trends and assess needs sooner) Greater reach Impacting in areas we have not before Increasing capacity
    15. 15. Concerns Privacy
    16. 16. Information Overload Confirming Reliability
    17. 17. New growth to blooming to flourishing MOOCs Open Access Classes Blended learning models Mobile Computing Open Research Streaming TV (Netflix, Google, & Apple) Geolocation products (Driverless cars, geo-targeting marketing) Wearable computing (Google Glass & fitness bands)
    18. 18. Being challenged Newspapers K-12 Education Higher Education Land lines Cable TV
    19. 19. Trust Being embedded and in the flow Building relationships Consistent open sharing Consistent finding value in others Consistent providing value
    20. 20. Closed Mixed Closed vs Open apps Access closed/open Access More open to Open Access Email Facebook, LinkedIn, Google +, Foursquare Twitter, Yelp, Pinterest Intranets Dropbox, Box Tumblr, Scoop.it Storify MS Word Docs Google Docs Slideshare Most research journals Most blogging apps Open access journals Wikipedia
    21. 21. Closed Mixed Closed closed/open vs Open apps More open to Open Email Facebook, LinkedIn, Google +, Foursquare Twitter, Yelp, Pinterest Intranets Dropbox, Box Tumblr, Scoop.it Storify Can Googlelearn and share in the Can we learn and share in the we Docs Slideshare open? open? MS Word Docs Most research journals Most blogging apps Open access journals Wikipedia
    22. 22. Skills needed in Cooperative Extension Able to think critically, analyze, provide insight, and relay understanding in contextual ways (e.g. sense-making and curation). Be adept in new media. Collaborate virtually. Work in and cross disciplines - understand and developing skills and knowledge in a range of subjects.
    23. 23. Skills needed in Cooperative Extension Think and respond quick-novel and adaptive ways. Read social clues and respond. Be socially savvy online and off line (social Intelligence). Have a design mindset. Have cross-cultural competency. Think computationally and understand vast amount of data.
    24. 24. As an organization, what should Cooperative Extension look like? Amplify without a bull horn effect. Respond to changing landscapes. Keep and hire life long learners. Develop systems for constant skill renewal. Develop content that is sharable and open.
    25. 25. As an organization, what should Cooperative Extension look like? Identify critical skills to select and develop talent. Build a structure that is flexible for disruptions. Collaborate inside and outside the organization. Meet complex problems with flexible processes (logic model does not work in these situations). Stop using language that shows we don’t understand.
    26. 26. Referencess 1 of 2 pages Photo credits are in the notes of each slide. Resources for this presentation came from the following works Institute of the Future 2020 Skills for Knowledge Workers http://www.iftf.org/our-work/global-landscape/work/future-work-skills-2020/ Realiging Human Organization: A toolkit for making the future http://www.iftf.org/uploads/media/IFTF_FutureofCoordination_Toolkit_SR-1553.pdf Cooperative Extension Brand Survey ExtBrandValue_2-16-10.pdf Ask an Expert User Survey http://about.extension.org/2013/06/30/ask-an-expert-evaluation-and-impact-data/
    27. 27. References 2 of 2 pages The state of the news media 2013 http://stateofthemedia.org/2013/overview-5/ Harold Jarche http://www.jarche.com/ Jon Husband http://wirearchy.com/ Beth Kanter’s The 4 Cs Framework of Social Media http:// beth.typepad.com/beths_blog/2009/07/guest-post-by-gaurav-mishra-the-4cs-social-media-framework.html The Impact of Social Networks on Behavioral Change: A Conceptual Framework http://www.wrbrpapers.com/static/documents/March/2012/7.%20Nergis.pdf
    28. 28. What Do Future Technology and Trends Mean for You? #AFCPE30 November 20, 2013 Anne Mims Adrian @aafromaa aadrian@extension.org slideshare.net/aafromaa Creative Commons License What Do Future Technology and Trends Mean for You? by Anne Mims Adrian is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 Unported License.

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