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  • January 14, 2010 The EFCA Debate In Nevada Key Findings From A Nevada Statewide Survey
  • Research Methodology On behalf of the Workforce Fairness Institute, Public Opinion Strategies is pleased to present the key findings of a Nevada statewide telephone survey among voters and union households. The study was completed December 12-15, 2009 among 500 registered voters (margin of error of + 4.38%) and among 350 union households (margin of error of + 5.24%) . Nevada
  • The Things Nevada 4 You Need To Know
  • The Things You Need To Know While union leaders tout the importance of passing the Employee Free Choice Act, few union households are familiar with the proposal. When they hear what the proposed legislation will do, solid majorities of union households and voters statewide oppose it. And, voters and union households say they are more likely to support a candidate who will vote to oppose changing the way unions are formed and the bargaining process. This data shows that Senator Harry Reid was already in political hot water even before news broke of his improper comments. 1 2 3 4 4
  • A Look At The Key EFCA Metrics Nevada
  • “ How much, if anything, have you seen, read, or heard about the Employee Free Choice Act, also known as “card check” – a proposal in Congress to change labor laws in this country?” Interestingly, awareness of EFCA is no higher among union households than it is with voters. 27% 26% 72% 73% All Voters Union Households 54% Nothing At All 52% Nothing At All Total A Lot/Some Total Not Much/Nothing
  • What We Did “ Change the way unions are formed. Instead of holding a federally supervised secret ballot election to decide whether to unionize, union organizers would be allowed to ask employees to sign a card saying they support forming a union. Once a majority of employees sign these cards, the union would officially represent that company's entire workforce.” “ As you may know, the United States Congress is debating legislation to change several key labor laws in this country. Because this legislation is long, we have divided it into two parts. After I read each part, please tell me if you FAVOR or OPPOSE this particular aspect of the legislation.” “ Change the bargaining process. This legislation would give the newly formed union and the employer 90 days to reach a contract agreement or else the matter will be handed over to federal arbitrators. It would be those arbitrators who would determine the wages, benefits and other terms of the contract that employees would be required to work under for two years.” We tested the two key components of EFCA: WFI Nevada Statewide Survey January 2010 Slide
  • 38% 29% 57% 64% Change The Way Unions Are Formed Change The Bargaining Process -19% -35% Among All Voters 44% Strongly Oppose 46% Strongly Oppose Solid majorities of voters oppose the two main tenants of the EFCA legislation in Congress. Total Favor Total Oppose
  • Change The Way Unions Are Formed Change The Bargaining Process 10% 20% 13% 22% 90% 78% 83% 74% A Lot (12%) A Lot/Some (27%) A Lot (12%) A Lot/Some (27%) Interestingly, the voters most familiar with EFCA are also the voters most opposed to EFCA. Total Favor Total Oppose
  • Change The Way Unions Are Formed Change The Bargaining Process Republicans (35%) Independents (20%) Democrats (44%) Republicans (35%) Independents (20%) Democrats (44%) Democrats oppose changing the bargaining process, fairly lukewarm on the formation aspect. 25% 28% 53% 24% 28% 35% 73% 66% 39% 73% 66% 56% Total Favor Total Oppose
  • Change The Way Unions Are Formed Change The Bargaining Process -6% -36% Among Union Households 23% Strongly Favor 39% Strongly Oppose 9% Strongly Favor 42% Strongly Oppose Union households oppose both aspects of EFCA, especially the bargaining process changes. 45% 30% 51% 66% Total Favor Total Oppose
  • “ Thinking ahead to the next election, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who... FAVORS changing the way unions are formed and the bargaining process … or … OPPOSES changing the way unions are formed and the bargaining process?” Voters and union households say they are more likely to support a candidate who opposes EFCA. 32% 33% 47% 47% All Voters Union Households Favors Opposes
  • What We Did “ Some people say that business owners often drag out the union election process, making union campaigns long and costly, discouraging union efforts.” “ In addition to the two parts of this proposal we have already discussed, the legislation would also require union elections to take place within 10 days after the union presents business owners with signed cards from 30 per cent of the employees AND it would require business owners to allow union organizers to talk to employees about unionization at the workplace during company time.” “ Other people say that according to the federal agency in charge of overseeing labor relations, 90 percent of union elections take place within 60 days and that the process in place now is working.” We also tested: … While…
  • All Voters Union Households Current Union Households Former Union Households Over half of current union voters surveyed say the process in place today is working. Owners Drag Out Process Is Working 32% 33% 37% 27% 51% 53% 52% 54%
  • “ If the Employee Free Choice Act becomes law, federal government arbitrators would have the final say in determining contract terms. Are you comfortable or uncomfortable giving government arbitrators the right to set the wages and benefits that workers would be forced to accept?” Nevadans are uncomfortable with government arbitrators making final contract decisions. 19% 21% 77% 77% All Voters Union Households Comfortable Uncomfortable
  • “ And, when it comes to who has the final say on an employee contract agreement, which one would you prefer: That government arbitrators have the ability to determine the terms of a contract and require employees to accept it …or… That employees have the right to accept a final contract offer or renegotiate for a fairer deal?” Nearly all agree that employees should have a say as to what their final contract will be. 7% 6% 89% 90% All Voters Union Households Government Arbitrators Employees
  • The Political Landscape Nevada
  • Among All Voters 45% 24% 48% 24% 50% 72% 47% 72% President Obama Job Approval Congressional Job Approval President Obama Job Approval Congressional Job Approval Among Union Households -5% -48% +1% -48% Comparison Of Job Approval Ratings Voters and union households are mixed on the President’s job, decidedly negative about Congress’. Approve Disapprove
  • Harry Reid’s Image Rating -12% More than four out of ten Nevada voters have a strongly unfavorable image of Senator Reid. All Voters Union Households 43% Strongly Unfavorable -9% 43% Strongly Unfavorable Favorable Unfavorable 42% 44% 54% 53%
  • Harry Reid’s Image Rating Trend And, this survey falls in line with what other media outlets have been showing in their polls. 38% 42% 33% 50% 54% 52% May 2009 December 2009 WFI Survey January 2010 Favorable Unfavorable
  • “ And, do you think Harry Reid has performed his job as U.S. Senator well enough to deserve re-election, or do you think it's time to give a new person a chance to do a better job?” All Voters Union Households -27% -19% 52% Definitely New Person 48% Definitely New Person Senator Reid’s generic re-elect score underscores just how poorly positioned he is 10 months out. 35% 38% 62% 57% Total Re-Elect Total New Person
  • Among Union Households The economy and jobs Health care Taxes and spending The situation in Iraq and Afghanistan Illegal immigration Education Terrorism and national security Social Security and Medicare Moral values Energy-related issues Labor laws 57% 31% 23% 22% 17% 13% 12% 9% 5% 5% 3% First Choice - 36% 15% 12% 8% 7% 6% Only three percent of union households say the nation’s labor laws are something the President and Congress need to address. “ Which of the following would you say are the two most important issues or problems facing the nation today that you would like to see President Obama and Congress address?”
  • “ On the issue of health care...From what you have heard about the health care reform plan being considered by Congress, do you think this plan is a good idea or a bad idea? If you do not have an opinion either way, please just say so.” 27% 30% 50% 48% All Voters Union Households -23% -18% Few voters (or union households) think the health care reform plan is a good idea. Good Idea Bad Idea
  • “ And, thinking some more about health care reform plan now being considered by Congress...Would you advise your member of Congress to vote for or against the currently proposed health care bill?” Over half of union households would advise their Member of Congress to vote against this bill. 33% 35% 56% 54% All Voters Union Households For It Against It
  •